— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: ALPKF (OTC) · $vol 0M

ALPEKA.MX MEX

ALPEK, S.A.B. de C.V.
1W: -1.0% 1M: +13.2% 3M: +16.5% YTD: +56.7% 1Y: +65.9% 3Y: -13.1% 5Y: -36.7%
MX$14.78 ($0.81)
+0.06 (+0.41%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±4.4%
MX$13 MX$14 MX$15 MX$15 MX$16
MEX · Basic Materials · Chemicals - Specialty · Tech Score Buy · Power 69 · MX$31.0B mcap · 377M float · 2.36% daily turnover

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B-
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
1
ROE
3
ROA
5
D/E
1
P/E
1
P/B
4
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. ALPEKA.MX receives an overall rating of B-. Strongest factors: ROA (5/5), P/B (4/5). Areas of concern: DCF (1/5), D/E (1/5), P/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-01 C+ B-
2026-07-25 C- C+
2026-04-06 None ADDED
2026-04-06 EXISTED None

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 52 Grade B
Profitability
27
Balance Sheet
44
Earnings Quality
69
Growth
48
Value
60
Momentum
80
Safety
50
Cash Flow
55
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. ALPEKA.MX scores highest in Momentum (80/100) and lowest in Profitability (27/100). A grade of B indicates above-average fundamentals with room for improvement in select areas.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
2.06
Grey Zone
Piotroski F-Score
8/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-2.94
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-8.41
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BB+
Score: 46.5/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 10.25x
Accruals: -7.3%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. ALPEKA.MX scores 2.06, placing it in the Grey Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Financial distress is possible and warrants monitoring. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. ALPEKA.MX scores 8/9, signaling strong financial health across all three dimensions. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. ALPEKA.MX's score of -2.94 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. ALPEKA.MX's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. ALPEKA.MX receives an estimated rating of BB+ (score: 46.5/100), with a improving trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). ALPEKA.MX's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
46.09x
PEG
-0.56x
P/S
0.25x
P/B
1.19x
P/FCF
4.10x
P/OCF
2.93x
EV/EBITDA
4.89x
EV/Revenue
0.43x
EV/EBIT
8.71x
EV/FCF
8.52x
Earnings Yield
3.33%
FCF Yield
24.41%
Shareholder Yield
2.47%
Graham Number
$10.91
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 46.1x earnings, ALPEKA.MX is priced for high growth expectations. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $10.91 per share, 35% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.180
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.776
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.050
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
1.142
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
4.090
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
3.2%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. ALPEKA.MX's ROE of 3.2% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 4.09x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance. A tax burden ratio of 0.18 suggests the company retains less than 60% of pre-tax earnings after taxes.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$3.62
Price/Value
3.53x
Margin of Safety
-252.97%
Premium
252.97%
Assessment
Overvalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with ALPEKA.MX's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. ALPEKA.MX trades at a 253% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $3.62, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 46.1x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$14.73
Median 1Y
$12.93
5th Pctile
$7.33
95th Pctile
$22.83
Ann. Volatility
36.7%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE 20.3% 21.4% 18.4% 23.0% 29.0% 28.1% 31.1% 22.2% 9.3% 3.3% -27.7% -30.4% -30.9% -28.2% -2.7% -2.5% -5.2% -13.4% -12.1% 3.2% 3.24%
ROA 7.0% 7.7% 6.7% 8.3% 9.8% 9.7% 10.8% 7.8% 3.1% 1.1% -8.7% -9.4% -9.5% -8.5% -0.7% -0.7% -1.4% -3.3% -2.9% 0.8% 0.79%
ROIC 18.5% 19.5% 18.1% 20.4% 21.4% 20.7% 21.9% 16.1% 8.9% 4.5% -8.8% -8.4% -7.6% -4.8% 6.5% 5.7% 4.5% 1.6% 2.6% 4.1% 4.13%
ROCE 18.3% 19.1% 19.2% 21.9% 22.8% 24.0% 25.3% 20.3% 12.3% 6.4% -9.5% -10.1% -10.9% -9.1% 2.7% 2.4% 3.3% 1.7% 2.5% 9.1% 9.15%
Gross Margin 15.4% 14.4% 13.9% 20.8% 19.2% 11.5% 7.1% 9.3% 7.7% 8.0% 4.1% 8.7% 8.2% 10.7% 6.2% 7.8% 6.0% 3.8% 10.0% 19.2% 19.15%
Operating Margin 12.0% 10.9% 6.7% 17.4% 16.1% 8.3% 4.5% 3.7% 4.1% 1.7% -33.2% 5.0% 5.4% 6.8% -2.1% 3.5% 1.8% 0.0% -0.2% 15.2% 15.24%
Net Margin 6.7% 5.3% 1.3% 9.8% 10.7% 3.8% 2.2% 0.9% 1.5% -1.3% -36.6% 0.4% 0.7% 1.3% -4.6% 0.5% -1.7% -5.6% -3.8% 11.1% 11.05%
EBITDA Margin 14.9% 12.6% 9.1% 18.9% 17.9% 9.1% 7.3% 7.4% 8.1% 3.4% -30.9% 7.6% 4.8% 6.3% -2.1% 6.8% 7.2% 3.8% 3.4% 18.4% 18.36%
FCF Margin 7.7% 3.8% 5.6% 6.2% 5.9% 6.1% 5.7% 4.8% 6.5% 9.7% 9.0% 8.2% 6.5% 4.7% 3.1% 4.2% 3.0% 2.3% 4.0% 5.1% 5.08%
OCF Margin 11.4% 7.1% 8.5% 8.9% 7.3% 7.6% 7.2% 6.1% 8.1% 11.2% 10.9% 10.2% 8.3% 6.3% 4.6% 5.7% 4.7% 4.4% 6.1% 7.1% 7.11%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only -12.20%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 1.68%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -3.47%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only -1.08%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 3.72%
Cash ROA snapshot only 8.64%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 16.67%
CROIC snapshot only 11.91%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 1.76%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 3.86%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 4.33%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio 6.08 5.32 5.98 5.65 4.27 4.02 4.23 4.31 8.41 20.11 -2.54 -2.40 -2.50 -2.66 -35.90 -30.02 -14.18 -5.40 -7.67 30.00 46.094
P/S Ratio 0.40 0.35 0.30 0.33 0.30 0.26 0.28 0.21 0.19 0.20 0.19 0.19 0.21 0.20 0.20 0.16 0.15 0.15 0.19 0.21 0.245
P/B Ratio 1.18 1.08 1.06 1.23 1.15 1.06 1.27 1.00 0.88 0.76 0.93 0.90 0.90 0.88 0.97 0.76 0.78 0.84 1.04 1.03 1.189
P/FCF 5.17 9.26 5.27 5.30 5.13 4.31 4.91 4.33 2.98 2.06 2.13 2.36 3.28 4.33 6.50 3.74 5.11 6.32 4.66 4.10 4.096
P/OCF 3.51 4.93 3.51 3.69 4.18 3.46 3.92 3.37 2.41 1.79 1.77 1.91 2.57 3.21 4.39 2.77 3.28 3.34 3.10 2.93 2.927
EV/EBITDA 3.60 3.39 3.37 3.37 3.21 3.16 3.41 3.64 4.59 5.79 -24.50 -20.97 -14.62 -21.84 10.97 10.80 9.04 10.24 7.96 4.89 4.887
EV/Revenue 0.58 0.52 0.46 0.47 0.48 0.43 0.45 0.39 0.37 0.39 0.41 0.42 0.46 0.47 0.45 0.43 0.41 0.40 0.43 0.43 0.433
EV/EBIT 4.55 4.18 4.22 4.11 3.78 3.74 4.08 4.65 6.84 10.66 -8.11 -7.73 -6.93 -8.42 27.63 30.33 22.63 43.30 31.57 8.71 8.710
EV/FCF 7.49 13.95 8.12 7.55 8.09 7.14 7.91 8.21 5.67 3.99 4.49 5.14 7.03 10.04 14.64 10.19 13.59 17.07 10.72 8.52 8.517
Earnings Yield 16.5% 18.8% 16.7% 17.7% 23.4% 24.9% 23.6% 23.2% 11.9% 5.0% -39.3% -41.7% -40.0% -37.6% -2.8% -3.3% -7.0% -18.5% -13.0% 3.3% 3.33%
FCF Yield 19.4% 10.8% 19.0% 18.9% 19.5% 23.2% 20.4% 23.1% 33.6% 48.6% 46.9% 42.4% 30.5% 23.1% 15.4% 26.8% 19.6% 15.8% 21.5% 24.4% 24.41%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 1.148
EV/OCF snapshot only 6.087
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 4.203
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 8.846
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 2.47%
Graham Number snapshot only $10.91
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 1.90 1.92 1.73 1.79 1.62 1.48 1.47 1.41 1.42 1.76 1.64 1.68 1.60 1.53 1.53 1.58 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.611
Quick Ratio 1.17 1.13 1.01 1.05 0.88 0.79 0.69 0.65 0.72 0.96 0.86 0.85 0.86 0.78 0.73 0.74 0.80 0.81 0.88 0.86 0.860
Debt/Equity 0.78 0.77 0.81 0.75 0.93 0.89 0.91 1.03 0.97 0.93 1.28 1.25 1.28 1.44 1.44 1.56 1.60 1.80 1.78 1.44 1.440
Net Debt/Equity 0.53 0.55 0.57 0.52 0.67 0.69 0.78 0.90 0.79 0.71 1.02 1.06 1.02 1.16 1.22 1.31 1.30 1.44 1.36 1.11 1.113
Debt/Assets 0.29 0.28 0.29 0.27 0.29 0.30 0.31 0.34 0.33 0.32 0.36 0.35 0.35 0.37 0.35 0.38 0.40 0.42 0.40 0.35 0.353
Debt/EBITDA 1.65 1.59 1.68 1.44 1.63 1.61 1.52 1.97 2.66 3.68 -16.10 -13.36 -9.73 -15.32 7.20 8.14 6.95 8.07 5.89 3.28 3.282
Net Debt/EBITDA 1.12 1.14 1.18 1.01 1.17 1.25 1.29 1.72 2.18 2.80 -12.87 -11.34 -7.79 -12.42 6.10 6.84 5.64 6.45 4.50 2.54 2.536
Interest Coverage 6.02 6.67 6.49 11.21 13.74 12.81 11.55 7.79 4.19 2.39 -2.87 -3.10 -3.80 -3.28 0.74 0.64 0.80 0.38 0.76 2.52 2.523
Equity Multiplier 2.72 2.74 2.84 2.73 3.16 3.01 2.92 3.00 2.93 2.88 3.58 3.53 3.69 3.92 4.13 4.10 3.96 4.32 4.40 4.08 4.076
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.236
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 4.498
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.227
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.175
Defensive Interval snapshot only 1556.8 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 1.07 1.18 1.36 1.42 1.38 1.50 1.63 1.62 1.32 1.14 1.15 1.17 1.11 1.11 1.25 1.28 1.26 1.20 1.16 1.14 1.142
Inventory Turnover 5.42 5.57 6.10 6.17 5.22 5.58 6.09 6.18 5.05 4.65 4.47 4.45 4.50 4.62 4.88 4.81 4.96 4.73 4.61 4.06 4.065
Receivables Turnover 8.82 8.57 9.90 8.86 8.19 8.51 10.88 10.37 8.42 7.39 8.55 8.76 8.14 8.85 10.35 10.06 9.70 10.15 9.71 8.37 8.366
Payables Turnover 5.80 5.88 6.30 6.35 4.99 5.63 6.71 7.11 5.14 4.66 4.81 5.07 4.43 4.47 4.81 4.81 4.78 4.65 4.53 3.95 3.955
DSO 41 43 37 41 45 43 34 35 43 49 43 42 45 41 35 36 38 36 38 44 43.6 days
DIO 67 66 60 59 70 65 60 59 72 78 82 82 81 79 75 76 74 77 79 90 89.8 days
DPO 63 62 58 57 73 65 54 51 71 78 76 72 82 82 76 76 76 78 81 92 92.3 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 46 46 39 43 41 44 39 43 45 50 48 52 43 39 34 36 35 35 36 41 41.1 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 3.156
Operating Cycle snapshot only 133.4 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 15.148
Capital Intensity snapshot only 0.823
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 13.5% 24.8% 37.1% 44.8% 49.0% 48.8% 36.0% 18.6% -3.9% -24.9% -35.0% -35.1% -29.7% -15.5% -0.5% 6.2% 8.7% -1.4% -8.6% -8.6% -8.63%
Net Income 78.9% 78.1% 1.5% 65.9% 61.8% 48.3% 81.5% -2.6% -68.8% -88.6% -1.7% -2.1% -3.6% -7.5% 92.7% 93.1% 86.2% 64.7% -3.0% 2.2% 2.21%
EPS 78.9% 78.2% 1.5% 66.1% 62.0% 48.5% 81.8% -2.4% -68.7% -88.6% -1.7% -2.1% -3.6% -7.5% 92.7% 93.1% 86.2% 64.3% -3.1% 2.2% 2.23%
FCF 61.3% -36.2% -5.9% 28.9% 14.4% 1.4% 37.9% -9.1% 6.1% 19.9% 2.9% 11.8% -30.0% -59.2% -66.2% -45.8% -49.7% -50.9% 20.3% 10.7% 10.65%
EBITDA 45.2% 43.9% 61.0% 38.1% 38.5% 32.0% 32.8% -8.3% -48.0% -63.4% -1.1% -1.1% -1.3% -1.3% 3.5% 3.1% 2.6% 2.8% 21.3% 1.0% 1.04%
Op. Income 55.7% 72.8% 1.3% 70.5% 57.3% 43.7% 40.3% -12.9% -59.6% -77.6% -1.3% -1.4% -1.6% -1.7% 1.8% 1.8% 1.6% 1.3% -65.4% 30.6% 30.61%
OCF Growth snapshot only 14.66%
Asset Growth snapshot only -11.25%
Equity Growth snapshot only -10.65%
Debt Growth snapshot only -17.62%
Shares Change snapshot only -1.00%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -73.76%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 4.8% 4.0% 5.1% 7.6% 12.3% 17.9% 21.1% 20.3% 17.6% 11.7% 6.6% 3.7% 0.2% -1.9% -4.2% -6.5% -9.8% -14.5% -16.1% -14.3% -14.27%
Revenue 5Y 8.2% 10.0% 11.6% 12.5% 14.4% 16.5% 16.5% 14.9% 10.5% 4.7% 0.5% -0.8% -0.9% 0.8% 2.8% 3.7% 4.4% 3.0% 1.9% 1.6% 1.59%
EPS 3Y — 20.6% -17.1% -7.3% 7.7% 9.6% 28.9% 20.2% -3.2% -32.8% — — — — — — — — — -54.8% -54.83%
EPS 5Y 21.0% 20.9% 16.5% 19.5% 29.8% — — — — -21.5% — — — — — — — — — -31.6% -31.63%
Net Income 3Y — 20.5% -17.1% -7.4% 7.6% 9.5% 28.7% 20.0% -3.3% -32.9% — — — — — — — — — -55.0% -54.99%
Net Income 5Y 20.9% 20.9% 16.4% 19.5% 29.7% — — — — -21.6% — — — — — — — — — -31.8% -31.82%
EBITDA 3Y 1.5% 14.2% 12.0% 18.5% 28.3% 35.8% 21.6% 13.0% 1.5% -11.5% — — — — -35.7% -38.5% -39.4% -43.8% -37.6% -19.7% -19.72%
EBITDA 5Y 14.2% 14.7% 12.0% 14.4% 23.4% — — — 61.0% -6.4% — — — — -18.5% -18.2% -14.9% -19.6% -12.3% -8.1% -8.12%
Gross Profit 3Y 12.3% 8.3% 11.1% 18.2% 31.0% 36.4% 33.6% 24.8% 13.8% 3.8% -4.2% -16.1% -22.4% -21.6% -22.1% -25.3% -31.0% -38.3% -34.4% -18.9% -18.88%
Gross Profit 5Y 9.6% 11.1% 13.3% 15.7% 24.6% 27.2% 24.4% 18.2% 3.1% -6.5% -10.6% -10.8% -8.4% -4.2% -2.1% -1.8% -0.9% -6.6% -5.7% -4.0% -3.97%
Op. Income 3Y 2.6% 10.4% 11.3% 20.0% 36.0% 45.7% 25.7% 14.4% -0.4% -17.7% — — — — -33.4% -38.1% -47.4% -64.7% -58.2% -29.2% -29.21%
Op. Income 5Y 11.3% 12.9% 12.1% 15.4% 26.6% — — — 97.4% -15.4% — — — — -16.0% -16.5% -18.7% -35.8% -24.9% -12.0% -12.02%
FCF 3Y 37.3% -5.5% 11.9% 21.7% 19.0% 18.4% 20.3% 4.9% 25.1% 22.5% 10.1% 9.4% -5.3% 5.6% -21.7% -18.0% -28.0% -37.8% -25.2% -12.5% -12.47%
FCF 5Y 35.9% 58.7% 2.0% 73.9% 33.2% 81.5% 34.1% 18.3% 25.7% 19.4% 14.8% 12.9% 4.6% -4.1% -9.5% -6.9% -7.2% -18.1% -11.5% -4.7% -4.70%
OCF 3Y 31.0% 5.8% 17.0% 23.0% 14.9% 15.3% 15.0% 3.7% 18.8% 17.5% 8.0% 7.1% -9.6% -5.4% -22.1% -19.7% -22.1% -28.5% -20.5% -9.9% -9.93%
OCF 5Y 15.9% 8.0% 17.1% 14.6% 9.1% 21.4% 16.1% 10.7% 18.1% 15.9% 12.7% 10.3% 3.2% -4.1% -9.0% -6.6% -5.8% -11.8% -8.6% -3.6% -3.61%
Assets 3Y 2.4% 4.7% 1.1% 2.4% 11.3% 10.3% 10.0% -0.8% -0.7% 1.2% -1.2% -4.3% -1.3% -1.1% -2.0% -1.9% -11.9% -14.1% -10.0% -5.7% -5.72%
Assets 5Y 8.1% 7.4% 6.3% 7.6% 13.6% 13.4% 7.8% 6.6% 1.6% 2.0% -3.1% -3.0% -0.4% 0.6% 2.6% -1.6% -2.2% -3.0% -1.3% -1.7% -1.69%
Equity 3Y 14.8% 15.2% 4.7% 9.0% 11.9% 12.1% 5.0% 3.2% 0.9% 0.7% -10.8% -11.5% -10.9% -12.3% -13.5% -14.4% -18.2% -23.8% -21.5% -14.8% -14.84%
Book Value 3Y 14.9% 15.3% 4.8% 9.1% 12.0% 12.3% 5.2% 3.3% 0.9% 0.8% -10.7% -11.4% -10.8% -12.2% -13.5% -14.3% -18.1% -23.5% -21.3% -14.5% -14.52%
Dividend 3Y -6.4% -3.0% -1.9% 80.8% 13.5% 11.8% 26.3% -5.2% 8.6% 4.0% -16.2% -47.1% -41.1% -14.0% -16.5% 38.5% 18.3% -67.5% -43.7% -36.0% -35.96%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.62 0.66 0.58 0.57 0.62 0.69 0.76 0.81 0.73 0.41 0.18 0.11 0.07 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.005
Earnings Stability 0.22 0.40 0.11 0.24 0.48 0.68 0.32 0.33 0.20 0.00 0.31 0.41 0.42 0.47 0.21 0.31 0.38 0.50 0.26 0.28 0.284
Margin Stability 0.81 0.79 0.82 0.85 0.75 0.75 0.79 0.82 0.73 0.71 0.72 0.73 0.64 0.65 0.68 0.68 0.61 0.60 0.68 0.74 0.743
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 1.00 1.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.81 0.50 0.99 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.200
Earnings Smoothness 0.43 0.44 0.15 0.50 0.53 0.61 0.42 0.97 0.00 0.00 — — — — — — — — — — —
ROE Trend -0.02 -0.00 0.06 0.07 0.11 0.10 0.17 0.05 -0.13 -0.20 -0.60 -0.60 -0.55 -0.48 0.01 0.05 0.07 -0.01 0.06 0.23 0.235
Gross Margin Trend 0.05 0.06 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.02 -0.03 -0.07 -0.08 -0.08 -0.07 -0.06 -0.04 -0.03 -0.01 -0.00 -0.02 -0.01 0.03 0.026
FCF Margin Trend 0.03 -0.03 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.00 0.05 0.03 0.03 0.00 -0.03 -0.04 -0.02 -0.04 -0.05 -0.02 -0.01 -0.011
Sustainable Growth Rate 11.9% 12.4% 9.6% 5.5% 18.2% 17.0% 14.6% 7.5% -4.9% -9.6% — — — — — — — — — 0.8% 0.84%
Internal Growth Rate 4.3% 4.7% 3.6% 2.0% 6.6% 6.3% 5.4% 2.7% — — — — — — — — — — — 0.2% 0.21%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.73 1.08 1.71 1.53 1.02 1.16 1.08 1.28 3.49 11.24 -1.44 -1.26 -0.97 -0.83 -8.18 -10.85 -4.32 -1.62 -2.47 10.25 10.249
FCF/OCF 0.68 0.53 0.66 0.70 0.81 0.80 0.80 0.78 0.81 0.87 0.83 0.81 0.78 0.74 0.67 0.74 0.64 0.53 0.67 0.71 0.715
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 7.325
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.803
CapEx/Revenue 3.6% 3.3% 2.8% 2.7% 1.4% 1.5% 1.4% 1.4% 1.5% 1.5% 1.8% 2.0% 1.8% 1.6% 1.5% 1.5% 1.7% 2.1% 2.0% 2.0% 2.03%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.522
Accruals Ratio -0.05 -0.01 -0.05 -0.04 -0.00 -0.02 -0.01 -0.02 -0.08 -0.12 -0.21 -0.21 -0.19 -0.16 -0.06 -0.08 -0.07 -0.09 -0.10 -0.07 -0.073
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.032
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 2.796
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield 6.8% 7.9% 8.0% 13.5% 8.7% 9.8% 12.5% 15.4% 18.1% 19.2% 16.4% 3.7% 4.8% 14.2% 9.2% 11.5% 10.1% 0.7% 1.9% 2.5% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $1.64 $1.83 $1.76 $3.61 $2.39 $2.54 $3.53 $3.07 $3.07 $2.85 $2.07 $0.45 $0.63 $1.81 $1.20 $1.21 $1.04 $0.06 $0.22 $0.32 $0.00
Payout Ratio 41.3% 42.0% 47.8% 76.2% 37.2% 39.4% 52.9% 66.4% 1.5% 3.9% — — — — — — — — — 74.2% 74.18%
FCF Payout Ratio 35.1% 73.1% 42.2% 71.4% 44.7% 42.3% 61.4% 66.7% 53.9% 39.6% 35.0% 8.8% 15.7% 61.4% 60.1% 43.1% 51.6% 4.2% 8.8% 10.1% 10.13%
Total Payout Ratio 41.9% 42.5% 51.6% 79.1% 39.3% 41.5% 54.6% 68.9% 1.6% 4.0% — — — — — — — — — 74.2% 74.18%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chowder Number -0.11 -0.01 0.02 5.02 0.54 0.49 1.13 0.00 0.46 0.31 -0.25 -0.81 -0.75 -0.22 -0.33 1.76 0.75 -0.96 -0.80 -0.72 -0.715
Buyback Yield 0.1% 0.1% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 0.9% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Shareholder Return 6.9% 8.0% 8.1% 13.6% 8.8% 9.9% 12.6% 15.6% 18.3% 19.4% 16.5% 3.8% 4.8% 14.2% 9.2% 11.5% 10.1% 0.7% 1.9% 2.5% 2.47%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.62 0.61 0.54 0.56 0.61 0.61 0.66 0.65 0.56 0.47 1.12 1.12 1.03 1.05 0.96 0.65 2.45 1.84 5.74 0.18 0.180
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.83 0.85 0.85 0.91 0.93 0.92 0.91 0.87 0.76 0.58 1.35 1.32 1.26 1.30 -0.35 -0.57 -0.24 -1.62 -0.31 0.78 0.776
EBIT Margin 0.13 0.13 0.11 0.11 0.13 0.12 0.11 0.08 0.05 0.04 -0.05 -0.05 -0.07 -0.06 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.05 0.050
Asset Turnover 1.07 1.18 1.36 1.42 1.38 1.50 1.63 1.62 1.32 1.14 1.15 1.17 1.11 1.11 1.25 1.28 1.26 1.20 1.16 1.14 1.142
Equity Multiplier 2.89 2.79 2.74 2.76 2.96 2.88 2.88 2.86 3.06 2.95 3.17 3.22 3.26 3.32 3.85 3.82 3.82 4.09 4.25 4.09 4.090
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $3.97 $4.35 $3.67 $4.74 $6.44 $6.46 $6.68 $4.62 $2.01 $0.74 $-4.96 $-5.07 $-5.23 $-4.79 $-0.36 $-0.35 $-0.72 $-1.71 $-1.48 $0.43 $0.43
Book Value/Share $20.49 $21.37 $20.71 $21.83 $23.83 $24.53 $22.26 $19.86 $19.27 $19.61 $13.62 $13.52 $14.55 $14.45 $13.41 $13.74 $13.09 $10.96 $10.86 $12.40 $14.85
Tangible Book/Share $18.85 $19.73 $19.12 $20.30 $22.31 $23.03 $20.16 $17.95 $17.51 $17.84 $12.09 $11.94 $12.86 $12.71 $11.67 $12.05 $11.55 $9.57 $9.50 $11.14 $11.14
Revenue/Share $60.57 $66.45 $74.00 $81.17 $90.37 $99.05 $100.82 $96.41 $86.88 $74.36 $65.57 $62.62 $61.06 $62.85 $65.22 $66.55 $66.55 $62.67 $60.21 $61.42 $60.59
FCF/Share $4.68 $2.50 $4.17 $5.06 $5.36 $6.02 $5.76 $4.61 $5.69 $7.22 $5.92 $5.15 $3.98 $2.95 $2.01 $2.79 $2.01 $1.46 $2.44 $3.12 $3.20
OCF/Share $6.88 $4.69 $6.27 $7.26 $6.58 $7.50 $7.22 $5.91 $7.03 $8.30 $7.13 $6.38 $5.09 $3.97 $2.97 $3.77 $3.12 $2.77 $3.66 $4.37 $4.37
Cash/Share $5.22 $4.67 $4.99 $4.90 $6.21 $4.87 $3.00 $2.61 $3.39 $4.36 $3.51 $2.55 $3.72 $3.93 $2.95 $3.42 $3.95 $3.95 $4.55 $4.05 $4.05
EBITDA/Share $9.73 $10.29 $10.04 $11.33 $13.50 $13.61 $13.36 $10.40 $7.02 $4.98 $-1.08 $-1.26 $-1.91 $-1.35 $2.68 $2.64 $3.02 $2.44 $3.28 $5.44 $5.44
Debt/Share $16.07 $16.40 $16.86 $16.30 $22.06 $21.91 $20.27 $20.49 $18.69 $18.31 $17.46 $16.86 $18.63 $20.74 $19.26 $21.46 $20.97 $19.69 $19.32 $17.86 $17.86
Net Debt/Share $10.85 $11.73 $11.87 $11.40 $15.85 $17.04 $17.27 $17.88 $15.29 $13.94 $13.95 $14.31 $14.90 $16.81 $16.31 $18.04 $17.02 $15.74 $14.77 $13.80 $13.80
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2.056
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 2.559
Piotroski F-Score 9 8 8 8 7 6 6 5 5 5 4 4 5 4 6 4 6 6 5 8 8
Beneish M-Score -2.61 -1.94 -2.14 -2.23 -2.08 -2.06 -1.96 -2.27 -2.66 -3.42 -3.84 -3.91 -3.44 -3.42 -2.40 -2.61 -2.85 -2.42 -3.69 -2.94 -2.943
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -8.406
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 10.19%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-8.03
EVA snapshot only $-3207782631.76
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BB+
Credit Score 63.36 61.17 62.20 69.44 67.62 65.01 70.62 63.17 60.15 50.91 43.75 37.52 35.95 33.30 27.85 25.69 32.86 31.97 35.50 46.47 46.474
Credit Grade snapshot only 11
Credit Trend snapshot only 20.784
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 400.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 33
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 35

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