AMGN NASDAQ
Amgen Inc.
1W: +4.6%
1M: +7.2%
3M: +13.8%
YTD: +38.5%
1Y: +56.0%
3Y: +73.4%
5Y: +155.8%
$447.95
+3.32 (+0.75%)
After Hours: $449.16 (+1.21, +0.27%)
Weekly Expected Move ±4.0%
$404
$421
$439
$457
$475
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 74% of companies Debt: 19.2% of company value Bonds: $1.31B held by 639 funds, 79 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the safest four tenths, about 1 in 3,500 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $7.22 (down 98%), Amgen Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $57.30B against a stock market value of $240.38B.
Distance to default 8.24 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $31.37B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 29.5%; Altman Z 2.36. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $7.22 (down 98%), Amgen Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $57.30B against a stock market value of $240.38B.
Distance to default 8.24 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $31.37B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 29.5%; Altman Z 2.36. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Supply Chain
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+8.5% YTD avg
Midterm Year
☀️
Sunny
+10.2% YTD avg
2026 Now
☀️
Sunny
Above typical
20yr Avg YTD
+8.5%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
+10.2%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
+39.5%
Above 20yr avg
Typical Vol
32%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
⛅
+1.0%
Midterm
⛅
+1.2%
65% win
25% vol
Feb
20yr
🌧️
-0.2%
Midterm
⛅
+1.4%
45% win
26% vol
Mar
20yr
⛅
-0.3%
Midterm
⛅
+1.5%
60% win
31% vol
Apr
20yr
⛅
-0.8%
Midterm
🌧️
-4.2%
40% win
27% vol
May
20yr
☁️
-0.5%
Midterm
☁️
+0.2%
40% win
24% vol
Jun
20yr
☀️
+1.2%
Midterm
🌧️
-1.5%
65% win
22% vol
Jul
20yr
☀️
+7.6%
Midterm
⛅
+3.1%
85% win
27% vol
Aug
20yr
⛅
+7.9%
Midterm
⛅
+3.9%
60% win
25% vol
Sep
20yr
☁️
+7.6%
Midterm
☀️
+5.8%
50% win
27% vol
Oct
20yr
⛅
+9.1%
Midterm
☀️
+12.9%
62% win
32% vol
Now:
+6.3%
Nov
20yr
⛅
+10.5%
Midterm
☀️
+14.9%
65% win
27% vol
Dec
20yr
☁️
-0.4%
Midterm
🌧️
-3.6%
55% win
21% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: +39.5%