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AMRI NASDAQ

Albany Molecular Research, Inc.
1W: +0.1% 1M: +0.1% 3M: +7.8% 1Y: +46.7% 3Y: +12.6% 5Y: +550.9%
$21.74
Last traded 2017-08-31 — delisted
NASDAQ · Healthcare · Biotechnology

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
43.3 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Cost Advantage  ·  ROIC: -1.8%  ·  5Y Avg: 0.8%
Cost Advantage ★
71
Intangibles
18
Switching Cost
58
Network Effect
32
Scale
35
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. AMRI shows a Weak competitive edge (43.3/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Cost Advantage. Negative ROIC of -1.8% indicates the company is currently destroying value, though this may reflect a growth investment phase.

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 18 Grade D
Profitability
7
Balance Sheet
18
Earnings Quality
46
Growth
52
Value
29
Momentum
50
Safety
15
Cash Flow
22
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. AMRI scores highest in Growth (52/100) and lowest in Profitability (7/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
0.90
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
3/9
✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-2.15
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-4.52
Bankruptcy prob: 1.1%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
CCC
Score: 9.8/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
—
OCF/NI: -0.33x
Accruals: -7.8%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. AMRI scores 0.90, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. AMRI scores 3/9, suggesting weak financial fundamentals — the company fails the majority of these accounting tests. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. AMRI's score of -2.15 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. AMRI's implied 1.1% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. AMRI receives an estimated rating of CCC (score: 9.8/100), with a deteriorating trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-13.18x
PEG
0.23x
P/S
0.00x
P/B
3.09x
P/FCF
-54.08x
P/OCF
46.26x
EV/EBITDA
25.44x
EV/Revenue
2.21x
EV/EBIT
-90.79x
EV/FCF
-88.42x
Earnings Yield
-6.49%
FCF Yield
-1.85%
Shareholder Yield
0.23%
Graham Number
—
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. AMRI currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.881
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
4.090
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
-0.024
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.665
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
3.533
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-20.6%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. AMRI's ROE of -20.6% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 3.53x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
—
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$21.74
Median 1Y
$23.44
5th Pctile
$11.03
95th Pctile
$49.93
Ann. Volatility
46.3%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Current
ROE -11.1% 0.9% 5.8% 7.8% 7.9% 8.5% 6.9% 6.7% 1.3% -1.3% -3.6% -4.1% -2.2% -0.9% -3.8% -13.2% -16.9% -23.9% -24.3% -20.6% -20.61%
ROA -8.9% 0.7% 4.7% 6.0% 6.3% 5.5% 4.2% 3.9% 0.8% -0.7% -1.7% -1.9% -0.9% -0.3% -1.4% -4.8% -5.1% -6.8% -7.1% -5.8% -5.83%
ROIC -10.8% -0.3% 4.3% 6.6% 8.5% 9.9% 8.6% 8.8% 20.1% 1.3% -0.1% 0.1% 1.4% 1.7% 1.0% 1.1% -0.6% -1.7% -1.1% -1.8% -1.80%
ROCE -13.2% -0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 2.6% 3.3% 4.4% 5.4% 2.1% 1.2% -0.0% 0.3% 1.7% 2.1% 1.2% 0.4% -1.3% -1.9% -1.4% -2.6% -2.55%
Gross Margin 21.7% 27.9% 36.3% 64.2% 26.7% 29.8% 29.9% 33.9% 9.7% 23.6% 28.9% 27.8% 23.3% 26.8% 24.8% 31.9% 19.2% 20.2% 25.1% 23.8% 23.83%
Operating Margin 0.8% 3.4% 15.8% 6.1% 9.9% 10.4% 12.6% 7.5% -15.6% 3.4% 1.5% 6.9% 0.0% 4.9% -3.9% 5.4% -10.3% -2.8% 1.3% -0.9% -0.90%
Net Margin 6.4% 2.9% 11.0% 3.6% 6.5% 6.7% 5.9% 5.5% -13.8% -2.1% -2.7% 2.6% -4.0% 1.4% -9.5% -17.6% -15.3% -8.1% -6.5% -5.9% -5.92%
EBITDA Margin -8.7% 11.0% 23.4% 13.4% 16.2% 15.7% 17.0% 12.4% -9.1% 7.8% 7.3% 13.2% 11.2% 12.6% 4.1% 7.9% 0.7% 11.4% 12.3% 9.4% 9.43%
FCF Margin 2.3% 11.6% 18.0% 17.7% 16.3% 8.1% 2.0% 0.1% -2.7% -5.5% -1.3% -0.2% 4.9% 4.4% 4.1% -1.0% -7.9% -4.3% -5.6% -2.5% -2.50%
OCF Margin 3.7% 4.8% 10.2% 12.5% 13.6% 11.5% 6.6% 5.1% 3.3% 0.7% 4.8% 5.5% 10.1% 9.8% 11.0% 7.6% 1.3% 4.7% 1.4% 2.9% 2.93%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only -11.95%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only -4.40%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -3.57%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only -3.35%
ROIC Economic snapshot only -1.74%
Cash ROA snapshot only 1.60%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 2.21%
CROIC snapshot only -1.89%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only -2.38%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -9.97%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 2.38%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 20.81%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Current
P/E Ratio -4.21 82.57 27.05 23.09 24.62 17.00 37.17 41.76 225.85 -156.57 -64.19 -64.12 -95.79 -286.14 -52.49 -13.88 -11.53 -11.35 -8.41 -15.41 -13.176
P/S Ratio 0.50 0.70 1.42 1.24 1.34 1.07 1.97 2.56 2.70 1.86 1.93 2.08 1.57 1.64 1.25 1.02 1.21 1.40 0.95 1.35 0.000
P/B Ratio 0.50 0.77 1.55 1.78 1.90 1.33 2.38 2.58 2.83 2.12 2.39 2.68 1.97 2.29 1.86 1.78 1.81 2.66 2.01 2.91 3.087
P/FCF 21.77 6.00 7.90 7.05 8.17 13.20 99.98 2016.72 -98.33 -33.58 -143.90 -912.63 32.27 37.44 30.58 -101.55 -15.28 -32.12 -16.91 -54.08 -54.081
P/OCF 13.40 14.50 13.94 9.95 9.81 9.24 29.92 50.10 82.37 269.42 40.26 38.06 15.61 16.61 11.34 13.43 96.01 29.90 69.85 46.26 46.259
EV/EBITDA -4.81 14.07 13.94 10.61 7.98 5.47 12.08 16.59 34.21 31.95 48.52 44.01 23.46 21.99 19.99 19.77 38.53 37.16 22.53 25.44 25.437
EV/Revenue 0.46 0.63 1.33 1.14 1.23 0.90 1.83 2.53 3.11 2.27 2.51 2.58 2.34 2.48 2.06 1.80 2.35 2.39 1.88 2.21 2.212
EV/EBIT -3.32 -104.00 224.96 — 62.44 20.88 27.24 25.36 80.51 114.11 -3192.11 493.50 70.89 62.86 96.93 270.24 -84.92 -68.02 -86.85 -90.79 -90.786
EV/FCF 19.94 5.38 7.39 6.46 7.51 11.10 93.12 1992.47 -113.27 -41.00 -186.84 -1130.60 48.14 56.77 50.30 -178.19 -29.70 -54.97 -33.53 -88.42 -88.419
Earnings Yield -23.8% 1.2% 3.7% 4.3% 4.1% 5.9% 2.7% 2.4% 0.4% -0.6% -1.6% -1.6% -1.0% -0.3% -1.9% -7.2% -8.7% -8.8% -11.9% -6.5% -6.49%
FCF Yield 4.6% 16.7% 12.7% 14.2% 12.2% 7.6% 1.0% 0.0% -1.0% -3.0% -0.7% -0.1% 3.1% 2.7% 3.3% -1.0% -6.5% -3.1% -5.9% -1.8% -1.85%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.233
EV/OCF snapshot only 75.632
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 10.024
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.23%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Current
Current Ratio 2.81 3.15 3.41 3.14 3.25 6.36 7.18 5.20 2.91 3.92 3.53 3.41 3.06 2.83 2.70 2.50 2.21 2.24 2.31 0.68 0.682
Quick Ratio 1.95 2.37 2.51 2.30 2.44 5.63 6.27 4.32 1.88 2.90 2.53 2.41 2.00 1.93 1.77 1.59 1.11 1.29 1.26 0.37 0.367
Debt/Equity 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.51 0.50 0.48 0.51 0.66 0.83 0.81 1.25 1.36 1.35 1.46 1.84 2.07 2.09 1.98 1.978
Net Debt/Equity -0.04 -0.08 -0.10 -0.15 -0.15 -0.21 -0.16 -0.03 0.43 0.47 0.71 0.64 0.97 1.18 1.20 1.34 1.71 1.89 1.97 1.85 1.845
Debt/Assets 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.28 0.25 0.24 0.23 0.31 0.35 0.34 0.44 0.45 0.46 0.48 0.49 0.51 0.53 0.50 0.505
Debt/EBITDA -0.41 0.79 0.36 0.23 0.16 2.47 2.70 3.15 5.30 8.18 12.99 10.75 9.93 8.57 8.85 9.24 20.16 16.86 11.84 10.59 10.592
Net Debt/EBITDA 0.44 -1.61 -0.97 -0.97 -0.71 -1.03 -0.89 -0.20 4.51 5.78 11.15 8.48 7.73 7.49 7.84 8.50 18.71 15.45 11.17 9.88 9.879
Interest Coverage -39.62 — 9.68 — — 10.47 5.31 3.67 1.04 0.50 -0.02 0.15 0.79 0.82 0.39 0.11 -0.41 -0.50 -0.30 -0.32 -0.324
Equity Multiplier 1.23 1.22 1.22 1.30 1.29 1.81 1.99 2.05 2.17 2.15 2.36 2.42 2.84 3.01 2.91 3.07 3.72 4.05 3.92 3.92 3.919
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.071
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 1.155
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.067
FCF to Debt snapshot only -0.027
Defensive Interval snapshot only 419.7 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Current
Asset Turnover 0.75 0.88 0.89 1.11 1.16 0.88 0.80 0.64 0.63 0.57 0.56 0.57 0.54 0.58 0.61 0.65 0.49 0.55 0.63 0.66 0.665
Inventory Turnover 5.49 6.20 5.36 4.84 5.13 5.71 5.16 4.48 4.20 5.11 5.08 4.68 3.35 4.25 4.29 4.35 2.46 3.41 3.59 3.80 3.795
Receivables Turnover 5.95 6.22 6.66 8.17 7.76 6.46 6.48 5.27 5.15 4.47 4.38 4.66 5.02 4.42 4.88 5.09 4.70 4.47 5.33 5.68 5.675
Payables Turnover 6.16 8.70 7.06 6.06 6.31 8.11 7.18 5.79 5.44 7.43 6.48 5.97 5.16 6.35 5.44 5.48 3.96 5.09 5.27 5.60 5.603
DSO 61 59 55 45 47 56 56 69 71 82 83 78 73 83 75 72 78 82 68 64 64.3 days
DIO 67 59 68 75 71 64 71 81 87 71 72 78 109 86 85 84 148 107 102 96 96.2 days
DPO 59 42 52 60 58 45 51 63 67 49 56 61 71 57 67 67 92 72 69 65 65.1 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 69 76 71 60 60 75 76 88 91 104 99 95 111 111 93 89 134 117 101 95 95.3 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 1.881
Operating Cycle snapshot only 160.5 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 16.123
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.825
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Current
Revenue -1.7% 9.2% 13.7% 50.1% 48.5% 35.0% 31.6% -15.2% -16.0% -9.6% -2.2% 25.5% 41.0% 45.5% 42.5% 42.7% 39.4% 41.8% 47.5% 48.9% 48.85%
Net Income 57.2% 1.1% 1.4% 1.5% 1.7% 9.0% 32.3% -3.6% -81.5% -1.2% -1.6% -1.7% -2.9% 29.8% -12.7% -2.2% -7.9% -29.5% -6.0% -77.3% -77.26%
EPS 56.3% 1.1% 1.3% 1.5% 1.6% 8.3% 28.7% -6.3% -81.3% -1.2% -1.5% -1.7% -2.9% 33.3% -6.2% -2.1% -6.9% -22.8% -4.7% -45.4% -45.42%
FCF -97.6% -85.2% -77.1% 8.4% 9.6% -6.3% -85.6% -99.4% -1.1% -1.6% -1.7% -3.3% 3.5% 2.2% 5.3% -5.3% -3.3% -2.4% -3.0% -2.7% -2.70%
EBITDA 77.6% 1.2% 1.3% 3.0% 3.4% 4.0% 1.1% 20.2% -50.3% -60.9% -66.7% -51.7% 54.9% 1.3% 1.8% 1.2% -14.9% -19.2% 19.7% 42.6% 42.55%
Op. Income 55.8% 1.1% 1.4% 1.5% 1.9% 12.1% 1.0% 32.3% -60.7% -80.6% -1.0% -97.8% 5.5% 1.4% 17.1% 13.9% -1.7% -2.4% -2.5% -3.4% -3.40%
OCF Growth snapshot only -42.87%
Asset Growth snapshot only 54.04%
Equity Growth snapshot only 20.57%
Debt Growth snapshot only 63.37%
Shares Change snapshot only 21.90%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Current
Revenue 3Y -0.5% 4.9% 6.6% 16.6% 16.6% 15.6% 14.1% 6.7% 7.0% 10.0% 13.5% 16.9% 20.7% 21.1% 22.4% 15.0% 18.2% 23.1% 27.1% 38.7% 38.66%
Revenue 5Y 1.4% -4.8% -4.7% -0.2% -0.8% 5.9% 5.9% 2.7% 4.2% 7.1% 9.3% 11.0% 13.5% 15.2% 15.7% 16.8% 19.2% 22.4% 25.2% 27.7% 27.69%
EPS 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EPS 5Y — -34.4% -7.6% -3.5% -7.4% -2.1% -1.8% 3.5% -11.6% — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 5Y — -35.2% -7.7% -3.5% -7.4% -1.4% -1.8% 5.0% -11.4% — — — — — — — — — — — —
EBITDA 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — 65.1% 25.5% 8.7% -13.2% -9.9% 4.2% 15.0% 15.02%
EBITDA 5Y — -25.5% -13.0% -5.6% -0.2% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% -5.5% — — — — — — — — — — — —
Gross Profit 3Y -10.6% 0.5% 6.5% 32.6% 38.5% 43.5% 41.2% 20.6% 18.5% 19.8% 24.7% 24.5% 26.5% 22.1% 18.2% -1.5% -1.2% -0.3% 4.3% 24.9% 24.92%
Gross Profit 5Y — — — — — 10.0% 9.4% 1.0% 0.7% 3.2% 6.0% 6.3% 13.3% 18.7% 18.8% 22.9% 26.0% 27.7% 31.3% 31.1% 31.06%
Op. Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — 82.3% -15.3% -23.7% — — — — —
Op. Income 5Y — -36.5% -9.3% -4.8% -4.5% 2.6% 2.7% 10.3% 7.6% — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF 3Y -0.4% 3.3% 1.5% 1.0% — 37.4% 9.3% -88.1% — — — — 55.3% -12.6% -25.4% — — — — — —
FCF 5Y -25.8% -3.6% 11.0% 13.7% 8.2% 56.9% -19.6% -38.7% — — — — — 13.0% 30.5% — — — — — —
OCF 3Y -43.4% -34.6% 29.4% 35.4% 1.1% — — -58.3% -64.0% -78.2% -57.7% 1.0% 68.3% 53.7% 25.6% -2.5% -46.6% -9.0% -24.9% 15.1% 15.15%
OCF 5Y -24.9% -19.2% -0.9% 12.7% 13.9% 5.9% -16.8% -19.9% -27.6% -45.4% 5.5% 3.0% 51.2% — — -28.0% -48.8% -32.1% -46.2% 55.7% 55.73%
Assets 3Y -14.0% -11.8% -10.9% -9.6% -8.3% 11.1% 15.4% 18.7% 21.7% 25.5% 29.4% 31.1% 48.2% 50.9% 47.4% 43.5% 65.5% 39.5% 32.4% 33.7% 33.67%
Assets 5Y -8.1% -8.0% -7.2% -6.8% -6.7% 3.1% 5.1% 5.7% 6.1% 7.2% 9.1% 10.3% 17.9% 21.6% 20.6% 21.0% 33.6% 35.7% 34.6% 36.0% 35.96%
Equity 3Y -15.0% -13.1% -12.1% -11.8% -9.8% 0.3% 0.9% 0.9% 1.3% 5.4% 5.6% 6.7% 12.2% 11.7% 10.3% 7.7% 16.2% 6.8% 5.5% 7.8% 7.77%
Book Value 3Y -13.6% -12.2% -12.7% -11.3% -10.2% -1.5% -2.3% -1.5% -0.1% 3.9% 2.7% 3.6% 8.5% 8.0% 6.7% 4.2% 10.4% -2.5% -3.6% -1.4% -1.44%
Dividend 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Current
Revenue Stability 0.32 0.37 0.33 0.02 0.03 0.32 0.34 0.29 0.43 0.72 0.83 0.72 0.72 0.79 0.82 0.73 0.76 0.80 0.82 0.83 0.827
Earnings Stability 0.62 0.22 0.14 0.10 0.07 0.02 0.03 0.07 0.10 0.41 0.35 0.37 0.51 0.55 0.39 0.13 0.01 0.14 0.20 0.29 0.290
Margin Stability 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.06 0.14 0.65 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.69 0.69 0.71 0.70 0.72 0.70 0.67 0.65 0.66 0.83 0.827
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness — — — — — 0.00 0.72 0.96 0.00 — — — — — — — — — — — —
ROE Trend 0.06 0.22 0.27 0.28 0.26 0.15 0.12 0.11 0.03 -0.06 -0.10 -0.11 -0.07 -0.04 -0.05 -0.14 -0.15 -0.22 -0.20 -0.10 -0.104
Gross Margin Trend -0.00 0.05 0.08 0.23 0.23 0.21 0.19 -0.01 -0.07 -0.10 -0.11 -0.13 -0.09 -0.08 -0.08 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.03 -0.031
FCF Margin Trend -0.43 -0.34 -0.28 -0.27 -0.32 -0.41 -0.52 -0.07 -0.12 -0.15 -0.11 -0.09 -0.02 0.03 0.04 -0.01 -0.09 -0.04 -0.07 -0.02 -0.019
Sustainable Growth Rate — 0.9% 5.8% 7.8% 7.9% 8.5% 6.9% 6.7% 1.3% — — — — — — — — — — — —
Internal Growth Rate — 0.7% 4.9% 6.4% 6.7% 5.8% 4.4% 4.1% 0.8% — — — — — — — — — — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Current
OCF/Net Income -0.31 5.70 1.94 2.32 2.51 1.84 1.24 0.83 2.74 -0.58 -1.59 -1.68 -6.14 -17.22 -4.63 -1.03 -0.12 -0.38 -0.12 -0.33 -0.333
FCF/OCF 0.62 2.42 1.76 1.41 1.20 0.70 0.30 0.02 -0.84 -8.02 -0.28 -0.04 0.48 0.44 0.37 -0.13 -6.28 -0.93 -4.13 -0.86 -0.855
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.285
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.336
CapEx/Revenue 1.4% 6.8% 7.8% 5.2% 2.7% 3.5% 4.6% 5.0% 6.0% 6.2% 6.1% 5.7% 5.2% 5.5% 6.9% 8.6% 9.2% 9.0% 7.0% 5.4% 5.43%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.482
Accruals Ratio -0.12 -0.03 -0.04 -0.08 -0.09 -0.05 -0.01 0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.04 -0.05 -0.06 -0.06 -0.08 -0.10 -0.06 -0.09 -0.08 -0.08 -0.078
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.409
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 0.539
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — — — — — —
Total Payout Ratio — 0.0% 67.4% 82.0% 0.9% 0.9% 3.0% 3.2% 17.8% — — — — — — — — — — — —
Div. Increase Streak — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield 2.4% 0.0% 2.5% 3.6% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.23%
Net Buyback Yield 1.8% -0.3% 2.5% 3.4% -0.4% -0.1% -0.1% -0.0% -0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% -0.0% -0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.14%
Total Shareholder Return 1.8% -0.3% 2.5% 3.4% -0.4% -0.1% -0.1% -0.0% -0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% -0.0% -0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.14%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.88 0.61 0.77 0.74 0.62 0.65 0.66 0.84 7.22 0.60 0.77 1.06 1.83 0.66 0.70 1.39 1.11 1.17 1.20 0.88 0.881
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.98 -2.30 11.48 — 4.44 2.24 1.19 0.73 0.04 -1.00 49.43 -5.85 -0.27 -0.22 -1.60 -8.00 3.41 2.99 4.35 4.09 4.090
EBIT Margin -0.14 -0.01 0.01 0.00 0.02 0.04 0.07 0.10 0.04 0.02 -0.00 0.01 0.03 0.04 0.02 0.01 -0.03 -0.04 -0.02 -0.02 -0.024
Asset Turnover 0.75 0.88 0.89 1.11 1.16 0.88 0.80 0.64 0.63 0.57 0.56 0.57 0.54 0.58 0.61 0.65 0.49 0.55 0.63 0.66 0.665
Equity Multiplier 1.24 1.25 1.25 1.30 1.26 1.54 1.63 1.71 1.76 1.98 2.17 2.24 2.53 2.62 2.66 2.75 3.32 3.54 3.42 3.53 3.533
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-0.83 $0.06 $0.39 $0.51 $0.52 $0.59 $0.50 $0.48 $0.10 $-0.10 $-0.27 $-0.32 $-0.18 $-0.07 $-0.29 $-0.97 $-1.43 $-1.65 $-1.67 $-1.41 $-1.41
Book Value/Share $6.91 $6.88 $6.79 $6.67 $6.80 $7.59 $7.81 $7.80 $7.79 $7.67 $7.37 $7.54 $8.83 $8.66 $8.24 $7.55 $9.14 $7.04 $6.99 $7.47 $7.04
Tangible Book/Share $6.81 $6.78 $6.69 $6.57 $6.70 $7.50 $7.71 $6.81 $4.69 $4.68 $3.32 $3.49 $1.72 $-0.07 $-0.19 $-0.71 $-2.24 $-2.30 $-2.31 $-2.12 $-2.12
Revenue/Share $6.97 $7.57 $7.38 $9.54 $9.65 $9.46 $9.45 $7.86 $8.17 $8.77 $9.11 $9.70 $11.09 $12.13 $12.24 $13.13 $13.67 $13.44 $14.81 $16.04 $13.44
FCF/Share $0.16 $0.88 $1.33 $1.68 $1.58 $0.76 $0.19 $0.01 $-0.22 $-0.48 $-0.12 $-0.02 $0.54 $0.53 $0.50 $-0.13 $-1.08 $-0.58 $-0.83 $-0.40 $-0.58
OCF/Share $0.26 $0.36 $0.75 $1.19 $1.31 $1.09 $0.62 $0.40 $0.27 $0.06 $0.44 $0.53 $1.12 $1.19 $1.35 $1.00 $0.17 $0.63 $0.20 $0.47 $0.63
Cash/Share $0.56 $0.81 $0.94 $1.23 $1.28 $5.44 $5.15 $4.02 $0.59 $1.49 $0.87 $1.29 $2.43 $1.49 $1.27 $0.88 $1.21 $1.22 $0.83 $0.99 $1.22
EBITDA/Share $-0.66 $0.34 $0.70 $1.03 $1.48 $1.55 $1.43 $1.20 $0.74 $0.62 $0.47 $0.57 $1.11 $1.37 $1.26 $1.19 $0.83 $0.86 $1.24 $1.39 $1.39
Debt/Share $0.27 $0.27 $0.25 $0.24 $0.23 $3.84 $3.87 $3.77 $3.94 $5.09 $6.12 $6.12 $10.99 $11.74 $11.13 $11.02 $16.79 $14.57 $14.62 $14.77 $14.77
Net Debt/Share $-0.29 $-0.54 $-0.68 $-0.99 $-1.05 $-1.60 $-1.27 $-0.24 $3.35 $3.60 $5.25 $4.83 $8.56 $10.25 $9.86 $10.14 $15.58 $13.34 $13.79 $13.78 $13.78
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.903
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -0.077
Piotroski F-Score 7 8 7 8 8 6 4 3 4 3 2 3 5 5 4 4 3 3 4 3 3
Beneish M-Score -4.39 -1.10 -3.68 -2.53 -1.77 0.32 4.43 1.25 2.47 -0.95 -1.96 -2.03 -2.41 -2.04 -2.35 -2.60 -2.10 -2.30 -2.31 -2.15 -2.148
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -4.518
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-12.28
EVA snapshot only $-106425450.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only CCC
Credit Score 54.69 86.80 90.28 95.46 95.56 77.32 74.88 61.03 41.58 38.02 35.61 36.82 31.90 30.64 31.22 28.10 19.58 18.36 18.53 9.76 9.763
Credit Grade snapshot only 17
Credit Trend snapshot only -18.341
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 1200.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 0
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 0

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