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AOMN NYSE

Angel Oak Mortgage REIT, Inc. 9
1W: +0.1% 1M: -0.9% 3M: +1.3% YTD: +0.2%
$25.15
+0.01 (+0.04%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±0.8%
$25 $25 $25 $25 $26
NYSE · Real Estate · REIT - Mortgage · Tech Score Neutral · Power 44 · $626.6M mcap · 19M float · 0.025% daily turnover · Short 50% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
43.7 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Cost Advantage  ·  ROIC: 14.4%
Cost Advantage ★
64
Intangibles
39
Switching Cost
49
Network Effect
14
Scale
45
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. AOMN shows a Weak competitive edge (43.7/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Cost Advantage. ROIC of 14.4% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
4
ROE
4
ROA
4
D/E
1
P/E
2
P/B
2
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. AOMN receives an overall rating of B. Strongest factors: DCF (4/5), ROE (4/5), ROA (4/5). Areas of concern: D/E (1/5), P/E (2/5), P/B (2/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-01 C+ B
2026-08-14 B- C+
2026-08-10 C+ B-
2026-07-13 B- C+
2026-07-10 C+ B-
2026-07-06 B- C+
2026-05-18 C+ B-
2026-05-07 C C+
2026-05-05 D+ C
2026-05-05 B- D+

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 41 Grade C
Profitability
49
Balance Sheet
17
Earnings Quality
85
Growth
—
Value
38
Momentum
—
Safety
15
Cash Flow
70
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. AOMN scores highest in Earnings Quality (85/100) and lowest in Safety (15/100). A grade of C represents mixed fundamentals — strengths in some areas offset by weaknesses.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
0.02
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
4/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
—
—
Ohlson O-Score
-4.48
Bankruptcy prob: 1.1%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
B+
Score: 30.5/100
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 4.33x
Accruals: -0.8%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. AOMN scores 0.02, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. AOMN scores 4/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. AOMN's implied 1.1% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. AOMN receives an estimated rating of B+ (score: 30.5/100). The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). AOMN's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
31.84x
PEG
-0.64x
P/S
4.14x
P/B
2.57x
P/FCF
19.11x
P/OCF
19.11x
EV/EBITDA
10.64x
EV/Revenue
8.32x
EV/EBIT
10.64x
EV/FCF
31.95x
Earnings Yield
1.21%
FCF Yield
5.23%
Shareholder Yield
6.35%
Graham Number
$8.04
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 31.8x earnings, AOMN commands a growth premium. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $8.04 per share, 213% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.970
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.079
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.783
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.041
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
12.737
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
3.1%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. AOMN's ROE of 3.1% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 12.74x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance. A tax burden ratio of 0.97 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$2.54
Price/Value
9.75x
Margin of Safety
-874.65%
Premium
874.65%
Assessment
Overvalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with AOMN's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. AOMN trades at a 875% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $2.54, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 31.8x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 196 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$25.15
Median 1Y
$6.36
5th Pctile
$0.42
95th Pctile
$96.90
Ann. Volatility
165.8%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
—
Revenue / Employee
—
Rev: $132,792,000
Profit / Employee
—
NI: $44,024,000
SGA / Employee
—
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE 4.2% 1.5% 3.1% 3.10%
ROA 0.4% 0.1% 0.2% 0.24%
ROIC 7.3% 2.2% 14.4% 14.38%
ROCE 1.6% 2.4% 3.7% 3.74%
Gross Margin 89.6% 89.0% 93.8% 93.77%
Operating Margin 98.2% 55.8% 79.3% 79.32%
Net Margin 28.0% -19.4% 7.8% 7.82%
EBITDA Margin 98.2% 55.8% 79.3% 79.32%
FCF Margin 40.1% 29.2% 26.1% 26.05%
OCF Margin 40.1% 29.2% 26.1% 26.05%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 13.41%
Cash ROA snapshot only 1.06%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 4.93%
CROIC snapshot only 4.93%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 75.93%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 6.20%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.35%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio 56.87 153.48 82.84 31.835
P/S Ratio 15.92 7.71 4.98 4.140
P/B Ratio 2.41 2.35 2.57 2.565
P/FCF 39.69 26.38 19.11 19.115
P/OCF 39.69 26.38 19.11 19.115
EV/EBITDA 22.92 48.95 10.64 10.636
EV/Revenue 22.51 38.02 8.32 8.324
EV/EBIT 22.92 48.95 10.64 10.636
EV/FCF 56.11 130.13 31.95 31.949
Earnings Yield 1.8% 0.7% 1.2% 1.21%
FCF Yield 2.5% 3.8% 5.2% 5.23%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 2.571
EV/OCF snapshot only 31.949
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 9.160
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 10.636
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 6.35%
Graham Number snapshot only $8.04
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 0.17 0.21 0.14 0.143
Quick Ratio 0.17 0.21 0.14 0.143
Debt/Equity 1.15 9.41 1.93 1.933
Net Debt/Equity 0.99 9.25 1.73 1.726
Debt/Assets 0.11 0.86 0.15 0.152
Debt/EBITDA 7.76 39.72 4.79 4.785
Net Debt/EBITDA 6.71 39.03 4.27 4.273
Interest Coverage 1.41 1.07 1.09 1.086
Equity Multiplier 10.28 10.94 12.74 12.737
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.107
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 1.086
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.107
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.070
Defensive Interval snapshot only 1553.8 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.01 0.03 0.04 0.041
Inventory Turnover — — — —
Receivables Turnover 3.90 6.96 7.37 7.365
Payables Turnover — — — —
DSO 94 52 50 49.6 days
DIO 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 0 0 0 —
Cash Conversion Cycle 94 52 50 —
Cash Velocity snapshot only 2.494
Capital Intensity snapshot only 24.671
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability — — — —
Earnings Stability — — — —
Margin Stability — — — —
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence — — — —
Earnings Smoothness — — — —
ROE Trend — — — —
Gross Margin Trend — — — —
FCF Margin Trend — — — —
Sustainable Growth Rate 1.2% -4.7% -6.8% -6.84%
Internal Growth Rate 0.1% — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.43 5.82 4.33 4.334
FCF/OCF 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 4.334
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.333
CapEx/Revenue 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Accruals Ratio -0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.008
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.006
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.352
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield 1.2% 2.6% 3.9% 9.44%
Dividend/Share $0.32 $0.64 $0.96 $2.38
Payout Ratio 70.5% 4.1% 3.2% 3.21%
FCF Payout Ratio 49.2% 69.6% 74.0% 73.95%
Total Payout Ratio 70.5% 4.1% 5.3% 5.26%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0
Chowder Number — — — —
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 2.5% 2.48%
Net Buyback Yield -0.0% -0.0% 2.5% 2.48%
Total Shareholder Return 1.2% 2.6% 6.4% 6.35%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.98 0.95 0.97 0.970
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.29 0.07 0.08 0.079
EBIT Margin 0.98 0.78 0.78 0.783
Asset Turnover 0.01 0.03 0.04 0.041
Equity Multiplier 10.28 10.94 12.74 12.737
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $0.45 $0.16 $0.30 $0.30
Book Value/Share $10.61 $10.38 $9.62 $9.80
Tangible Book/Share $10.61 $10.38 $9.62 $9.62
Revenue/Share $1.60 $3.17 $4.97 $6.32
FCF/Share $0.64 $0.93 $1.29 $0.96
OCF/Share $0.64 $0.93 $1.29 $0.96
Cash/Share $1.65 $1.69 $1.99 $2.03
EBITDA/Share $1.57 $2.46 $3.89 $3.89
Debt/Share $12.21 $97.67 $18.60 $18.60
Net Debt/Share $10.56 $95.98 $16.61 $16.61
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — 0.015
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -0.656
Piotroski F-Score 4 4 4 4
Beneish M-Score — — — —
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -4.478
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-110.27
EVA snapshot only $28035176.96
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only B+
Credit Score 30.63 21.53 30.49 30.490
Credit Grade snapshot only 14
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 650.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 62
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 14

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms