APH NYSE
Amphenol Corporation
1W: -6.2%
1M: -10.5%
3M: +4.8%
YTD: +8.5%
1Y: +12.5%
3Y: +285.5%
5Y: +311.4%
$78.27
+3.00 (+3.98%)
After Hours: $78.58 (+0.31, +0.39%)
Weekly Expected Move ±5.2%
$66
$70
$74
$78
$82
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 63% of companies Debt: 9.2% of company value Bonds: $780.2M held by 367 funds, 48 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the safest four tenths, about 1 in 3,500 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $0.80 (down 99%), Amphenol Corporation would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $18.81B against a stock market value of $185.61B.
Distance to default 6.58 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $10.22B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 46.4%; Altman Z 5.64. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $0.80 (down 99%), Amphenol Corporation would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $18.81B against a stock market value of $185.61B.
Distance to default 6.58 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $10.22B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 46.4%; Altman Z 5.64. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Supply Chain
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+21.1% YTD avg
Midterm Year
☀️
Sunny
+10.6% YTD avg
2026 Now
☀️
Sunny
Below typical
20yr Avg YTD
+21.1%
Day 205 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
+10.6%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
+8.5%
Below 20yr avg
Typical Vol
37%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
💨
+1.8%
Midterm
☁️
-0.0%
60% win
36% vol
Feb
20yr
⛅
+2.6%
Midterm
☁️
-0.0%
60% win
26% vol
Mar
20yr
⛅
+4.7%
Midterm
☁️
-0.3%
65% win
34% vol
Apr
20yr
⛅
+9.6%
Midterm
⛅
+4.9%
70% win
34% vol
May
20yr
⛅
+10.5%
Midterm
⛅
+2.3%
60% win
26% vol
Jun
20yr
☀️
+11.2%
Midterm
☁️
-0.4%
55% win
26% vol
Jul
20yr
⛅
+14.7%
Midterm
☀️
+5.9%
65% win
32% vol
Aug
20yr
⛅
+15.7%
Midterm
☀️
+6.4%
60% win
27% vol
Sep
20yr
⛅
+17.6%
Midterm
☀️
+9.5%
45% win
27% vol
Oct
20yr
💨
+21.7%
Midterm
☀️
+12.6%
76% win
37% vol
Now:
-10.7%
Nov
20yr
⛅
+25.0%
Midterm
☀️
+15.7%
75% win
32% vol
Dec
20yr
⛅
+1.2%
Midterm
🌧️
-3.1%
60% win
26% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: +8.5%