— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: AETUF (OTC) · $vol 3M

ARX.TO TSX

ARC Resources Ltd.
1W: -0.8% 1M: +3.0% 3M: +7.0% YTD: +44.2% 1Y: +25.8% 3Y: +86.0% 5Y: +300.8%
C$33.91
Last traded 2026-09-09 — delisted
TSX · Energy · Oil & Gas Exploration & Production · Tech Score Buy · Power 64 · C$19.2B mcap · 564M float · 0.762% daily turnover

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 1Hold: 0Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$—
Analysts0

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 64 Grade A
Profitability
59
Balance Sheet
68
Earnings Quality
63
Growth
55
Value
73
Momentum
81
Safety
65
Cash Flow
68
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. ARX.TO scores highest in Momentum (81/100) and lowest in Growth (55/100). An overall grade of A places ARX.TO among the highest-quality companies in its peer group.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
2.56
Grey Zone
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-1.80
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-9.15
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
AA-
Score: 82.2/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 2.34x
Accruals: -12.6%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. ARX.TO scores 2.56, placing it in the Grey Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Financial distress is possible and warrants monitoring. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. ARX.TO scores 5/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. ARX.TO's score of -1.80 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. ARX.TO's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. ARX.TO receives an estimated rating of AA- (score: 82.2/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). ARX.TO's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
13.73x
PEG
-4.38x
P/S
2.62x
P/B
2.17x
P/FCF
11.81x
P/OCF
5.11x
EV/EBITDA
5.45x
EV/Revenue
2.77x
EV/EBIT
9.88x
EV/FCF
14.19x
Earnings Yield
8.36%
FCF Yield
8.47%
Shareholder Yield
5.35%
Graham Number
$29.59
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 13.7x earnings, ARX.TO trades at a reasonable valuation. An earnings yield of 8.4% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $29.59 per share, 15% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.754
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.912
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.280
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.486
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.755
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
16.5%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. ARX.TO's ROE of 16.5% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.486), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$21.18
Price/Value
1.41x
Margin of Safety
-40.71%
Premium
40.71%
Assessment
Neutral
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with ARX.TO's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. ARX.TO trades at a 41% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $21.18, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 13.7x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$33.91
Median 1Y
$39.42
5th Pctile
$19.70
95th Pctile
$79.08
Ann. Volatility
42.7%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE 5.6% 18.0% 12.6% 24.5% 38.1% 36.6% 46.7% 37.7% 27.4% 22.7% 16.7% 15.8% 16.9% 14.6% 17.2% 18.8% 17.4% 15.7% 17.4% 16.5% 16.46%
ROA 2.8% 9.6% 6.2% 12.7% 19.7% 20.0% 25.7% 21.4% 15.6% 13.3% 10.1% 9.7% 10.2% 8.8% 10.6% 11.2% 9.9% 8.8% 10.1% 9.4% 9.38%
ROIC 23.8% 28.7% 38.3% 44.6% 49.1% 49.3% 45.2% 36.8% 30.3% 25.1% 22.8% 21.1% 19.3% 19.3% 21.6% 23.2% 18.3% 14.6% 13.8% 12.3% 12.31%
ROCE 3.8% 9.9% 8.2% 19.5% 29.0% 30.4% 36.5% 29.9% 22.3% 18.0% 13.9% 12.9% 13.3% 12.1% 15.3% 15.5% 13.9% 12.4% 14.0% 14.1% 14.09%
Gross Margin 62.8% 65.5% 57.2% 65.9% 68.5% 64.8% 59.9% 55.9% 59.1% 60.3% 57.9% 48.3% 52.0% 62.0% 60.5% 54.1% 26.7% 30.6% 52.6% 30.2% 30.18%
Operating Margin 60.3% 62.9% 53.6% 64.4% 66.2% 62.2% 57.8% 51.1% 54.3% 56.5% 51.7% 43.5% 48.3% 57.4% 57.0% 50.8% 25.0% 27.8% 31.4% 24.6% 24.61%
Net Margin 3.4% 38.5% -3.5% 32.2% 40.7% 34.5% 34.8% 23.1% 16.8% 36.4% 14.2% 20.8% 27.1% 26.0% 24.8% 28.0% 15.5% 15.8% 27.6% 16.2% 16.22%
EBITDA Margin 25.9% 67.6% 11.2% 54.8% 64.9% 62.7% 63.9% 59.7% 47.3% 68.5% 44.0% 54.2% 58.2% 58.3% 53.4% 59.9% 52.5% 51.0% 58.0% 42.7% 42.69%
FCF Margin 21.5% 18.7% 18.6% 23.3% 26.5% 27.9% 24.6% 20.1% 14.1% 10.0% 12.2% 9.9% 7.5% 10.3% 17.5% 20.2% 22.4% 20.2% 18.6% 19.5% 19.53%
OCF Margin 41.9% 39.3% 37.8% 40.5% 43.7% 44.4% 43.6% 43.0% 40.1% 42.3% 46.9% 47.3% 47.3% 46.1% 50.2% 50.7% 52.5% 50.9% 47.7% 45.2% 45.15%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 16.45%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 21.59%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 9.57%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 10.28%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 12.31%
Cash ROA snapshot only 20.76%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 26.98%
CROIC snapshot only 11.67%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 20.60%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 25.59%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 3.34%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio 33.06 8.98 19.17 6.96 4.42 4.58 2.98 4.10 6.80 7.06 11.47 12.06 10.52 13.39 12.52 11.12 10.65 11.59 11.33 11.96 13.729
P/S Ratio 2.05 1.38 1.57 1.29 1.20 1.22 1.06 1.42 1.94 1.99 2.61 2.68 2.62 2.95 3.10 2.93 2.52 2.43 2.51 2.31 2.625
P/B Ratio 1.37 1.19 1.84 1.67 1.59 1.59 1.26 1.42 1.74 1.52 1.85 1.85 1.72 1.89 2.08 2.01 1.80 1.79 1.91 1.91 2.168
P/FCF 9.51 7.40 8.45 5.51 4.52 4.38 4.31 7.05 13.72 19.86 21.35 26.98 34.87 28.57 17.69 14.49 11.24 12.04 13.51 11.81 11.810
P/OCF 4.88 3.52 4.16 3.18 2.74 2.75 2.43 3.29 4.84 4.71 5.56 5.67 5.53 6.41 6.17 5.79 4.80 4.78 5.26 5.11 5.108
EV/EBITDA 9.65 4.86 6.54 3.84 2.87 2.89 2.11 2.68 3.86 3.97 5.50 5.85 5.50 6.37 6.22 5.73 5.68 5.97 5.56 5.45 5.452
EV/Revenue 2.78 1.89 1.94 1.55 1.42 1.42 1.29 1.69 2.28 2.38 3.02 3.14 3.11 3.42 3.48 3.28 3.18 3.23 3.08 2.77 2.771
EV/EBIT 28.71 9.86 16.72 6.61 4.25 4.08 2.80 3.76 6.00 6.56 10.14 10.83 9.82 11.78 10.68 9.54 9.88 11.10 9.95 9.88 9.879
EV/FCF 12.91 10.10 10.42 6.66 5.37 5.09 5.25 8.43 16.13 23.75 24.72 31.57 41.36 33.10 19.84 16.22 14.17 15.97 16.59 14.19 14.187
Earnings Yield 3.0% 11.1% 5.2% 14.4% 22.6% 21.8% 33.5% 24.4% 14.7% 14.2% 8.7% 8.3% 9.5% 7.5% 8.0% 9.0% 9.4% 8.6% 8.8% 8.4% 8.36%
FCF Yield 10.5% 13.5% 11.8% 18.1% 22.1% 22.8% 23.2% 14.2% 7.3% 5.0% 4.7% 3.7% 2.9% 3.5% 5.7% 6.9% 8.9% 8.3% 7.4% 8.5% 8.47%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 1.963
EV/OCF snapshot only 6.137
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 7.672
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 10.135
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 5.35%
Graham Number snapshot only $29.59
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 0.37 0.48 0.40 0.44 0.46 0.57 0.63 0.73 0.75 0.91 0.79 0.88 0.93 1.14 0.60 1.21 0.54 0.70 0.87 0.88 0.879
Quick Ratio 0.37 0.47 0.40 0.44 0.45 0.57 0.62 0.71 0.73 0.88 0.77 0.88 0.92 1.12 0.59 1.20 0.53 0.69 0.85 0.86 0.861
Debt/Equity 0.49 0.43 0.43 0.35 0.31 0.27 0.28 0.28 0.31 0.30 0.29 0.31 0.32 0.30 0.25 0.35 0.47 0.58 0.44 0.39 0.392
Net Debt/Equity 0.49 0.43 0.43 0.35 0.30 0.26 0.28 0.28 0.31 0.30 0.29 0.31 0.32 0.30 0.25 0.24 0.47 0.58 0.44 0.38 0.384
Debt/Assets 0.24 0.23 0.21 0.18 0.17 0.15 0.17 0.17 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.19 0.19 0.18 0.16 0.21 0.25 0.31 0.24 0.22 0.218
Debt/EBITDA 2.56 1.30 1.24 0.66 0.47 0.42 0.38 0.44 0.58 0.65 0.75 0.85 0.86 0.87 0.68 0.90 1.17 1.47 1.03 0.93 0.932
Net Debt/EBITDA 2.54 1.30 1.24 0.66 0.45 0.41 0.38 0.44 0.58 0.65 0.75 0.85 0.86 0.87 0.68 0.61 1.17 1.47 1.03 0.91 0.913
Interest Coverage 3.47 8.38 5.93 15.01 32.35 34.96 45.55 37.99 28.11 22.28 15.47 14.02 13.93 12.37 15.11 17.43 15.17 13.06 12.86 11.72 11.716
Equity Multiplier 2.03 1.92 2.03 1.93 1.85 1.75 1.65 1.62 1.67 1.67 1.64 1.65 1.67 1.65 1.61 1.71 1.85 1.91 1.84 1.80 1.799
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.050
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 21.230
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.019
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.412
Defensive Interval snapshot only 519.6 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.46 0.63 0.76 0.68 0.73 0.75 0.72 0.62 0.55 0.47 0.45 0.43 0.41 0.40 0.43 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.45 0.49 0.486
Inventory Turnover 1702.62 155.45 606.02 705.68 360.71 212.92 309.72 221.31 184.36 129.73 146.30 216.37 181.06 109.43 158.21 428.09 147.53 227.56 197.76 271.80 271.797
Receivables Turnover 11.15 12.50 13.60 11.33 12.80 11.26 12.31 11.06 9.72 7.82 10.26 11.77 9.40 8.00 9.90 11.52 10.86 8.88 9.00 10.71 10.711
Payables Turnover 3.52 4.19 4.81 3.35 3.13 3.16 3.58 3.03 2.60 2.39 3.15 3.85 3.36 3.27 3.21 3.38 3.93 5.23 4.27 5.24 5.242
DSO 33 29 27 32 29 32 30 33 38 47 36 31 39 46 37 32 34 41 41 34 34.1 days
DIO 0 2 1 1 1 2 1 2 2 3 2 2 2 3 2 1 2 2 2 1 1.3 days
DPO 104 87 76 109 117 115 102 120 140 153 116 95 109 112 114 108 93 70 85 70 69.6 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -71 -56 -48 -76 -87 -81 -71 -86 -101 -103 -78 -62 -68 -63 -75 -75 -57 -27 -43 -34 -34.2 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 0.530
Operating Cycle snapshot only 35.4 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 108.413
Capital Intensity snapshot only 2.175
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 2.4% 3.5% 3.7% 2.2% 1.2% 69.1% 26.1% -7.4% -22.4% -34.6% -36.0% -26.4% -21.0% -9.8% 2.2% 8.3% 15.6% 19.2% 20.9% 28.7% 28.67%
Net Income 1.3% 2.4% 1.8% 12.0% 8.8% 1.9% 4.5% 72.8% -18.2% -30.7% -59.0% -52.6% -31.2% -29.6% 11.3% 28.5% 10.0% 13.4% 8.3% -5.9% -5.91%
EPS 1.2% 1.7% 46.6% 12.9% 9.8% 2.2% 5.1% 91.3% -12.0% -27.5% -57.6% -51.5% -29.7% -28.0% 13.0% 31.3% 12.8% 16.5% 12.1% -2.8% -2.82%
FCF 2.6% 2.0% 1.7% 2.1% 1.7% 1.5% 66.7% -20.4% -58.6% -76.4% -68.2% -63.6% -58.1% -7.2% 46.6% 1.2% 2.5% 1.3% 28.3% 24.2% 24.22%
EBITDA 1.9% 2.5% 2.3% 3.5% 2.8% 1.1% 1.6% 44.4% -7.5% -20.1% -42.7% -37.5% -24.5% -19.4% 4.1% 15.7% 14.6% 20.0% 20.0% 14.2% 14.20%
Op. Income 3.0% 4.2% 3.7% 2.4% 1.3% 73.0% 37.8% -7.2% -28.2% -41.6% -45.7% -37.0% -30.6% -17.3% -0.2% 12.1% 10.4% -4.9% -22.9% -34.5% -34.48%
OCF Growth snapshot only 14.67%
Asset Growth snapshot only 12.28%
Equity Growth snapshot only 6.66%
Debt Growth snapshot only 17.74%
Shares Change snapshot only -3.18%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 11.41%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 37.9% 54.1% 68.2% 79.5% 89.4% 91.9% 92.6% 87.4% 80.1% 70.8% 56.3% 29.6% 11.0% -0.1% -6.2% -9.6% -10.8% -11.1% -7.5% 0.8% 0.82%
Revenue 5Y 31.8% 39.3% 43.8% 46.1% 47.4% 48.2% 46.2% 40.9% 35.3% 32.3% 30.8% 31.6% 33.1% 33.1% 36.1% 39.3% 39.8% 39.9% 36.4% 24.8% 24.84%
EPS 3Y -4.3% 23.6% 38.4% 45.0% 1.0% — — — — — 55.7% 1.3% 88.1% 18.6% 42.8% 6.8% -11.3% -15.3% -18.7% -14.8% -14.79%
EPS 5Y — 15.1% -0.2% 10.0% 20.2% 27.1% 41.1% 61.0% 52.8% 34.4% 46.9% 23.1% 39.3% — — — — — 36.8% 75.0% 75.02%
Net Income 3Y 21.5% 54.4% 72.9% 79.9% 1.5% — — — — — 85.5% 1.2% 76.4% 12.6% 35.6% 1.7% -14.8% -17.9% -21.0% -16.9% -16.94%
Net Income 5Y — 31.3% 14.0% 25.3% 36.0% 42.7% 57.8% 79.7% 70.3% 49.5% 63.2% 36.7% 54.7% — — — — — 50.4% 66.7% 66.68%
EBITDA 3Y 14.2% 31.9% 37.6% 56.4% 75.1% 1.2% 1.0% 1.2% 1.2% 81.3% 69.8% 59.4% 38.9% 11.3% 15.8% 1.4% -7.2% -8.2% -10.5% -6.2% -6.20%
EBITDA 5Y 12.9% 34.3% 26.0% 31.6% 39.2% 35.5% 45.1% 44.9% 39.5% 31.5% 31.2% 28.1% 30.3% 45.7% 38.7% 48.7% 54.7% 42.0% 43.6% 39.9% 39.85%
Gross Profit 3Y 39.8% 57.4% 68.7% 82.7% 96.1% 97.1% 1.0% 93.7% 81.6% 69.3% 49.9% 25.3% 5.9% -4.6% -8.6% -12.3% -17.3% -22.1% -20.1% -16.4% -16.37%
Gross Profit 5Y 33.4% 40.7% 43.5% 47.0% 49.4% 50.6% 48.9% 42.2% 35.3% 31.9% 30.0% 30.2% 31.6% 31.3% 35.3% 39.4% 35.9% 30.8% 24.5% 11.8% 11.75%
Op. Income 3Y 41.7% 60.3% 71.9% 86.6% 1.0% 1.0% 1.1% 1.0% 88.5% 74.4% 51.9% 25.6% 5.1% -5.8% -9.2% -13.1% -18.1% -22.8% -25.2% -22.6% -22.64%
Op. Income 5Y 36.9% 44.4% 45.7% 49.1% 51.2% 52.5% 51.3% 43.9% 36.6% 33.0% 30.6% 30.6% 31.9% 32.1% 36.5% 41.7% 38.7% 33.1% 21.9% 7.8% 7.80%
FCF 3Y 1.8% 73.5% 1.2% 1.7% 3.7% — 2.3% 1.5% 59.7% 21.0% 12.1% -3.0% -21.9% -18.0% -8.1% -13.9% -15.7% -20.1% -15.8% -0.1% -0.10%
FCF 5Y 81.1% 2.4% — — — — — — 88.5% 25.5% 41.7% 41.6% 78.5% — 76.7% 66.5% 42.6% 30.8% 21.5% 20.1% 20.07%
OCF 3Y 23.0% 32.5% 46.5% 59.0% 73.0% 81.7% 73.4% 72.6% 60.6% 54.0% 49.1% 30.7% 15.6% 5.4% 3.1% -2.6% -5.2% -6.9% -4.7% 2.4% 2.45%
OCF 5Y 19.1% 26.0% 30.0% 37.0% 41.5% 41.6% 39.6% 32.5% 25.3% 22.6% 25.8% 26.2% 28.0% 29.7% 31.5% 37.0% 37.7% 36.4% 33.1% 24.3% 24.32%
Assets 3Y 24.2% 23.7% 24.3% 25.0% 25.6% 26.2% 30.6% 31.1% 33.8% 35.7% 27.0% 4.5% 4.8% 4.8% 4.5% 7.3% 9.6% 10.7% 11.2% 11.2% 11.21%
Assets 5Y 13.4% 13.7% 13.1% 13.1% 13.5% 13.3% 13.0% 13.8% 15.3% 15.5% 15.7% 16.5% 17.3% 17.8% 20.3% 22.5% 25.0% 26.0% 21.4% 7.6% 7.58%
Equity 3Y 15.7% 17.3% 16.3% 18.0% 21.1% 24.6% 35.0% 36.9% 38.5% 38.6% 36.5% 10.2% 11.9% 10.3% 12.9% 11.8% 9.7% 7.5% 7.2% 7.5% 7.49%
Book Value 3Y -8.8% -6.1% -6.9% -4.9% -1.4% 2.7% 12.0% 14.0% 15.5% 16.1% 14.6% 17.4% 19.3% 16.1% 19.0% 17.4% 14.1% 10.9% 10.2% 10.3% 10.27%
Dividend 3Y -26.9% -12.7% 9.5% 12.0% 10.0% 7.4% 0.1% -4.7% -7.1% -7.8% -9.3% 13.2% 10.6% 6.5% 6.7% 6.3% 6.3% 6.3% 5.7% 5.2% 5.21%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.46 0.44 0.45 0.52 0.61 0.66 0.69 0.71 0.69 0.61 0.56 0.54 0.47 0.36 0.32 0.30 0.27 0.26 0.34 0.57 0.573
Earnings Stability 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.21 0.35 0.46 0.57 0.55 0.58 0.51 0.54 0.52 0.49 0.44 0.52 0.41 0.28 0.15 0.15 0.149
Margin Stability 0.97 0.97 0.95 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.94 0.96 0.97 0.96 0.95 0.95 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.95 0.91 0.86 0.83 0.80 0.799
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.93 0.88 0.50 0.50 0.88 0.88 0.95 0.89 0.96 0.95 0.97 0.98 0.976
Earnings Smoothness — — 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.47 0.80 0.64 0.16 0.29 0.63 0.65 0.89 0.75 0.91 0.87 0.92 0.94 0.939
ROE Trend 0.15 0.23 0.16 0.35 0.47 0.38 0.34 0.22 0.06 -0.02 -0.10 -0.14 -0.15 -0.14 -0.13 -0.07 -0.04 -0.02 0.01 -0.01 -0.007
Gross Margin Trend 0.05 0.04 -0.01 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.00 -0.03 -0.05 -0.05 -0.06 -0.08 -0.06 -0.05 -0.03 -0.06 -0.14 -0.15 -0.21 -0.210
FCF Margin Trend 0.10 0.06 -0.00 0.07 0.06 0.04 -0.01 -0.03 -0.10 -0.13 -0.09 -0.12 -0.13 -0.09 -0.01 0.05 0.12 0.10 0.04 0.04 0.044
Sustainable Growth Rate 3.0% 15.0% 8.4% 20.6% 33.6% 31.9% 41.7% 32.5% 21.9% 17.1% 11.1% 10.3% 11.5% 9.3% 11.9% 13.5% 11.9% 10.3% 12.0% 11.1% 11.10%
Internal Growth Rate 1.5% 8.7% 4.3% 11.9% 21.0% 21.1% 29.7% 22.6% 14.3% 11.2% 7.3% 6.7% 7.4% 6.0% 7.9% 8.7% 7.3% 6.1% 7.5% 6.8% 6.75%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 6.77 2.55 4.61 2.19 1.61 1.66 1.23 1.25 1.41 1.50 2.06 2.13 1.90 2.09 2.03 1.92 2.22 2.43 2.15 2.34 2.341
FCF/OCF 0.51 0.48 0.49 0.58 0.61 0.63 0.56 0.47 0.35 0.24 0.26 0.21 0.16 0.22 0.35 0.40 0.43 0.40 0.39 0.43 0.433
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 1.013
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.888
CapEx/Revenue 20.4% 20.6% 19.2% 17.1% 17.2% 16.5% 19.0% 23.0% 26.0% 32.3% 34.7% 37.3% 39.8% 35.7% 32.7% 30.4% 30.1% 30.7% 29.1% 25.6% 25.62%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 1.125
Accruals Ratio -0.16 -0.15 -0.22 -0.15 -0.12 -0.13 -0.06 -0.05 -0.06 -0.07 -0.11 -0.11 -0.09 -0.10 -0.11 -0.10 -0.12 -0.13 -0.12 -0.13 -0.126
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.143
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.415
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield 1.4% 1.9% 1.8% 2.3% 2.7% 2.8% 3.6% 3.4% 2.9% 3.5% 2.9% 2.9% 3.1% 2.7% 2.5% 2.6% 2.9% 3.0% 2.7% 2.7% 2.42%
Dividend/Share $0.15 $0.19 $0.26 $0.34 $0.40 $0.47 $0.51 $0.56 $0.60 $0.65 $0.67 $0.69 $0.68 $0.69 $0.71 $0.73 $0.75 $0.77 $0.79 $0.81 $0.82
Payout Ratio 46.8% 16.9% 33.6% 16.0% 11.8% 12.8% 10.8% 13.9% 20.0% 24.6% 33.2% 35.1% 32.4% 36.1% 31.0% 28.4% 31.4% 34.8% 31.1% 32.6% 32.55%
FCF Payout Ratio 13.5% 14.0% 14.8% 12.7% 12.1% 12.2% 15.6% 23.9% 40.3% 69.0% 61.7% 78.5% 1.1% 77.0% 43.8% 37.0% 33.2% 36.2% 37.0% 32.1% 32.14%
Total Payout Ratio 95.3% 60.2% 1.3% 75.5% 65.6% 68.9% 53.1% 54.1% 53.0% 53.9% 60.8% 60.4% 58.7% 54.1% 54.7% 53.6% 62.4% 75.1% 66.9% 64.0% 64.02%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Chowder Number -0.19 0.31 1.57 1.71 1.49 1.24 0.79 0.53 0.41 0.37 0.29 0.23 0.15 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.10 0.12 0.11 0.11 0.106
Buyback Yield 1.5% 4.8% 5.2% 8.5% 12.2% 12.2% 14.2% 9.8% 4.9% 4.2% 2.4% 2.1% 2.5% 1.3% 1.9% 2.3% 2.9% 3.5% 3.2% 2.6% 2.63%
Net Buyback Yield 1.2% 4.6% 5.1% 8.5% 12.2% 12.2% 14.2% 9.8% 4.9% 4.2% 2.4% 2.1% 2.5% 1.3% 1.9% 2.3% -3.9% -3.3% -2.9% -3.2% -3.24%
Total Shareholder Return 2.6% 6.5% 6.9% 10.8% 14.9% 15.0% 17.8% 13.2% 7.8% 7.6% 5.3% 5.0% 5.6% 4.0% 4.4% 4.8% -0.9% -0.3% -0.1% -0.5% -0.51%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.89 0.79 0.81 0.77 0.78 0.77 0.77 0.78 0.77 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.75 0.754
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.72 1.02 0.87 1.03 1.05 0.99 1.00 0.99 0.97 1.00 0.98 0.99 1.02 0.98 0.99 0.98 0.94 0.92 0.92 0.91 0.912
EBIT Margin 0.10 0.19 0.12 0.24 0.33 0.35 0.46 0.45 0.38 0.36 0.30 0.29 0.32 0.29 0.33 0.34 0.32 0.29 0.31 0.28 0.280
Asset Turnover 0.46 0.63 0.76 0.68 0.73 0.75 0.72 0.62 0.55 0.47 0.45 0.43 0.41 0.40 0.43 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.45 0.49 0.486
Equity Multiplier 1.97 1.87 2.03 1.93 1.93 1.83 1.82 1.76 1.75 1.70 1.64 1.64 1.67 1.66 1.63 1.68 1.76 1.78 1.73 1.76 1.755
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $0.32 $1.14 $0.78 $2.11 $3.42 $3.65 $4.76 $4.03 $3.01 $2.65 $2.02 $1.95 $2.11 $1.91 $2.28 $2.56 $2.38 $2.22 $2.55 $2.49 $2.49
Book Value/Share $7.64 $8.61 $8.16 $8.76 $9.49 $10.56 $11.30 $11.65 $11.74 $12.32 $12.53 $12.75 $12.96 $13.48 $13.73 $14.18 $14.11 $14.39 $15.12 $15.62 $15.64
Tangible Book/Share $7.29 $8.25 $7.80 $8.40 $9.11 $10.16 $10.90 $11.24 $11.33 $11.91 $12.12 $12.34 $12.54 $13.06 $13.31 $13.76 $13.68 $13.96 $14.69 $15.18 $15.18
Revenue/Share $5.12 $7.42 $9.56 $11.39 $12.60 $13.71 $13.40 $11.68 $10.53 $9.38 $8.87 $8.78 $8.49 $8.65 $9.20 $9.72 $10.07 $10.58 $11.52 $12.92 $12.94
FCF/Share $1.10 $1.38 $1.78 $2.66 $3.34 $3.83 $3.30 $2.34 $1.49 $0.94 $1.08 $0.87 $0.64 $0.89 $1.61 $1.97 $2.26 $2.14 $2.14 $2.52 $2.53
OCF/Share $2.15 $2.91 $3.61 $4.61 $5.51 $6.08 $5.84 $5.03 $4.23 $3.97 $4.16 $4.15 $4.02 $3.98 $4.62 $4.93 $5.29 $5.39 $5.50 $5.83 $5.84
Cash/Share $0.04 $0.00 $0.01 $0.02 $0.12 $0.09 $0.01 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.01 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $1.62 $0.01 $0.01 $0.01 $0.12 $0.12
EBITDA/Share $1.47 $2.88 $2.83 $4.61 $6.25 $6.74 $8.21 $7.37 $6.22 $5.63 $4.87 $4.71 $4.79 $4.64 $5.14 $5.57 $5.63 $5.72 $6.39 $6.57 $6.57
Debt/Share $3.78 $3.74 $3.52 $3.06 $2.95 $2.83 $3.11 $3.24 $3.59 $3.66 $3.65 $4.02 $4.14 $4.05 $3.48 $5.03 $6.62 $8.42 $6.60 $6.12 $6.12
Net Debt/Share $3.74 $3.74 $3.51 $3.04 $2.83 $2.74 $3.11 $3.24 $3.58 $3.66 $3.65 $4.01 $4.14 $4.05 $3.47 $3.41 $6.61 $8.41 $6.59 $6.00 $6.00
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2.558
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 3.894
Piotroski F-Score 6 6 6 9 9 8 9 7 5 5 5 5 5 6 7 8 6 6 6 5 5
Beneish M-Score 0.74 0.57 -0.37 -2.39 -2.69 -2.81 -2.97 -3.34 -3.00 -3.02 -3.34 -2.76 -2.75 -2.69 -2.62 -2.76 -1.95 -2.07 -2.41 -1.80 -1.802
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -9.151
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 15.04%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-10.38
EVA snapshot only $283193074.70
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only AA-
Credit Score 42.72 66.33 66.51 80.16 80.22 86.34 90.67 87.11 84.21 73.14 74.55 74.59 69.27 77.65 87.13 83.37 77.64 66.71 75.24 82.19 82.192
Credit Grade snapshot only 4
Credit Trend snapshot only -1.178
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 100.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 87
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 82

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms