— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: ALA.TO (TSX) · $vol 36M · ALA-PK.TO (TSX) · $vol 0M · ALTGF (OTC) · $vol 0M · AGEEF (OTC) · $vol 0M

ATGFF OTC

AltaGas Ltd.
1W: +1.4% 1M: -1.7% 3M: +1.4% YTD: +22.3% 1Y: +21.8% 3Y: +109.2% 5Y: +121.0%
$37.44
+0.42 (+1.13%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±3.0%
$35 $36 $37 $39 $40
OTC · Utilities · Regulated Gas · Tech Score Sell · Power 38 · $11.7B mcap · 309M float · 0.023% daily turnover · Short 25% of daily vol

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 1Hold: 0Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$—
Analysts0

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
4
ROE
2
ROA
4
D/E
2
P/E
2
P/B
2
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. ATGFF receives an overall rating of B. Strongest factors: DCF (4/5), ROA (4/5). Areas of concern: ROE (2/5), D/E (2/5), P/E (2/5), P/B (2/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-09-04 B- B
2026-08-20 B B-
2026-07-31 B- B
2026-07-01 B B-
2026-06-23 None ADDED
2026-06-22 EXISTED None
2026-05-12 None ADDED
2026-05-12 EXISTED None
2026-05-01 B+ B
2026-03-16 A- B+

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ — Grade C
Profitability
24
Balance Sheet
33
Earnings Quality
84
Growth
30
Value
—
Momentum
62
Safety
—
Cash Flow
25

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
—
—
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-2.15
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-7.33
Bankruptcy prob: 0.1%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BB-
Score: 39.5/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 2.07x
Accruals: -2.6%
The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. ATGFF scores 5/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. ATGFF's score of -2.15 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. ATGFF's implied 0.1% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. ATGFF receives an estimated rating of BB- (score: 39.5/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). ATGFF's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
27.11x
PEG
-1.11x
P/S
1.21x
P/B
1.74x
P/FCF
—
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
—
EV/Revenue
—
EV/EBIT
—
EV/FCF
—
Earnings Yield
—
FCF Yield
—
Shareholder Yield
—
Graham Number
$37.34
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 27.1x earnings, ATGFF commands a growth premium. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $37.34 per share, 0% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.718
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.718
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.089
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.521
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.920
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
7.0%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. ATGFF's ROE of 7.0% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.521), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$17.23
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with ATGFF's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. ATGFF trades at a premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $17.23, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 27.1x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$37.44
Median 1Y
$41.80
5th Pctile
$22.41
95th Pctile
$78.48
Ann. Volatility
35.2%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
—
Revenue / Employee
—
Rev: $14,087,000,000
Profit / Employee
—
NI: $399,000,000
SGA / Employee
—
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE 6.6% 4.0% 4.5% 4.5% 4.3% 7.2% 8.1% 9.3% 7.9% 8.9% 7.9% 5.7% 6.5% 7.2% 6.7% 9.5% 9.3% 8.7% 5.7% 7.0% 6.97%
ROA 2.4% 1.3% 1.5% 1.5% 1.4% 2.3% 2.7% 3.2% 2.7% 2.8% 2.8% 2.0% 2.2% 2.4% 2.3% 3.2% 3.0% 2.9% 1.9% 2.4% 2.39%
ROIC 3.8% 3.5% 3.7% 4.0% 3.5% 5.1% 5.8% 6.5% 5.9% 6.0% 4.9% 4.1% 4.9% 5.3% 5.8% 6.9% 6.2% 5.2% 5.0% 4.5% 4.51%
ROCE 5.0% 3.8% 4.0% 4.3% 3.9% 5.1% 6.2% 6.9% 6.4% 6.5% 5.8% 4.9% 5.1% 5.3% 5.1% 6.4% 6.1% 5.9% 5.7% 5.0% 4.97%
Gross Margin 25.9% 21.3% 27.3% 18.3% 19.5% 17.8% 21.8% 28.2% 16.1% 22.3% 26.7% 16.7% 20.8% 28.0% 30.4% 30.3% 20.2% 25.7% 25.7% 19.8% 19.82%
Operating Margin 6.8% -3.2% 14.9% 4.9% 4.2% 6.5% 18.0% 10.5% 1.4% 10.3% 14.0% 2.7% 8.7% 13.5% 14.9% 10.7% 4.0% 9.8% 14.2% 5.9% 5.92%
Net Margin 1.6% -4.6% 9.8% 1.4% 1.2% 1.6% 11.1% 5.3% -1.4% 3.7% 11.6% -1.4% 0.5% 6.4% 10.0% 6.3% -0.6% 6.3% 3.5% 8.2% 8.20%
EBITDA Margin 11.5% 0.3% 17.7% 8.4% 7.9% 7.4% 20.7% 14.8% 5.1% 13.6% 17.3% 6.6% 9.0% 14.8% 19.0% 16.4% 7.9% 14.0% 17.3% 9.8% 9.84%
FCF Margin 1.0% -0.7% 0.1% 3.0% -1.5% -3.0% -3.8% -5.3% -2.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.6% -0.6% 1.2% 1.1% 0.0% 0.1% -2.8% -3.7% -3.0% -3.02%
OCF Margin 9.9% 7.0% 7.2% 10.0% 5.0% 3.8% 3.1% 2.1% 5.0% 8.6% 8.6% 9.2% 9.5% 12.5% 12.6% 11.9% 12.1% 9.7% 9.0% 9.5% 9.49%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 7.14%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 6.98%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 2.45%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 3.23%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 4.51%
Cash ROA snapshot only 4.72%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 6.49%
CROIC snapshot only -2.06%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 6.60%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 6.38%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 14.07%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 27.109
P/S Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.207
P/B Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.743
P/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
P/OCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBITDA — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/Revenue — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBIT — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Earnings Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Graham Number snapshot only $37.34
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 1.14 0.99 1.11 1.07 1.09 1.36 0.99 1.00 0.82 0.89 1.01 0.85 1.03 0.81 0.95 0.96 0.88 0.82 0.88 0.86 0.861
Quick Ratio 0.78 0.69 0.89 0.82 0.75 1.02 0.74 0.68 0.56 0.64 0.81 0.60 0.79 0.61 0.78 0.74 0.63 0.64 0.73 0.65 0.653
Debt/Equity 1.15 1.25 1.26 1.16 1.27 1.36 1.13 1.13 1.17 1.28 1.20 1.18 1.35 1.21 1.14 1.19 1.26 1.18 1.16 1.13 1.130
Net Debt/Equity 1.13 1.24 1.24 1.13 1.25 1.36 1.12 1.12 1.16 1.27 1.19 1.18 1.26 1.20 1.12 1.16 1.25 1.17 1.14 1.12 1.116
Debt/Assets 0.39 0.40 0.39 0.37 0.41 0.42 0.40 0.41 0.41 0.42 0.41 0.41 0.44 0.40 0.40 0.41 0.41 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.389
Debt/EBITDA 5.98 7.61 7.22 6.65 7.95 6.84 5.37 4.92 5.41 5.36 6.12 6.93 7.21 6.92 6.23 5.27 5.64 5.57 5.64 6.09 6.094
Net Debt/EBITDA 5.87 7.56 7.11 6.47 7.84 6.80 5.32 4.88 5.39 5.31 6.06 6.90 6.70 6.87 6.11 5.10 5.57 5.52 5.55 6.02 6.020
Interest Coverage 3.49 2.63 2.71 2.80 2.57 3.14 3.27 3.43 3.11 3.31 3.10 2.46 2.57 2.63 2.55 3.12 2.98 2.95 2.89 2.60 2.596
Equity Multiplier 2.95 3.11 3.19 3.14 3.10 3.21 2.81 2.78 2.87 3.04 2.89 2.89 3.08 2.98 2.88 2.93 3.05 3.00 2.99 2.91 2.908
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.043
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 3.742
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.012
FCF to Debt snapshot only -0.039
Defensive Interval snapshot only 314.7 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.44 0.49 0.53 0.59 0.59 0.62 0.65 0.63 0.60 0.55 0.55 0.56 0.53 0.50 0.51 0.52 0.50 0.48 0.49 0.52 0.521
Inventory Turnover 9.71 10.87 15.26 13.26 10.20 11.55 17.07 13.07 10.21 10.26 15.01 13.78 12.34 12.39 17.64 14.19 13.09 14.19 18.74 17.61 17.609
Receivables Turnover 9.19 7.51 7.31 9.02 9.85 8.24 8.13 9.37 9.06 7.25 7.25 9.72 8.71 7.72 7.09 9.29 9.44 7.62 6.94 9.55 9.545
Payables Turnover 5.27 4.96 5.51 7.20 7.95 6.46 6.80 7.69 7.52 5.43 6.08 8.02 6.12 4.78 5.34 6.13 5.24 4.27 4.49 5.34 5.344
DSO 40 49 50 40 37 44 45 39 40 50 50 38 42 47 51 39 39 48 53 38 38.2 days
DIO 38 34 24 28 36 32 21 28 36 36 24 26 30 29 21 26 28 26 19 21 20.7 days
DPO 69 74 66 51 46 56 54 47 49 67 60 45 60 76 68 60 70 86 81 68 68.3 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 8 9 8 17 27 19 13 19 27 19 15 19 12 0 4 6 -3 -12 -9 -9 -9.3 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 0.812
Operating Cycle snapshot only 59.0 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 105.268
Capital Intensity snapshot only 2.010
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 68.0% 89.2% 67.3% 62.7% 46.1% 33.2% 25.1% 8.1% 2.1% -7.1% -11.7% -6.7% -8.5% -5.8% 1.4% 0.8% 2.1% 3.2% 2.6% 7.5% 7.52%
Net Income 23.1% -49.0% -26.1% -24.0% -35.1% 85.1% 90.1% 1.1% 91.5% 28.9% 6.9% -33.7% -15.8% -11.4% -8.4% 75.2% 49.7% 28.8% -10.3% -20.9% -20.86%
EPS 21.8% -49.4% -26.7% -24.4% -34.8% 84.1% 89.9% 1.2% 91.2% 29.0% 1.9% -36.7% -20.6% -16.1% -9.0% 73.6% 49.5% 23.7% -13.9% -24.1% -24.08%
FCF 1.5% -7.0% -81.7% 4.6% -3.1% -4.6% -49.7% -2.9% -69.7% 1.4% 1.1% 1.1% 78.2% -16.3% 1.1% -91.8% 1.1% -3.4% -4.4% -70.4% -70.40%
EBITDA 20.6% -17.5% -3.8% -1.1% -12.8% 30.1% 37.8% 42.2% 38.4% 23.9% -1.2% -19.6% -10.0% -17.2% 3.1% 38.3% 27.1% 23.8% 12.9% -9.5% -9.47%
Op. Income 0.1% -4.6% 22.8% 32.2% 4.1% 57.4% 70.9% 74.9% 70.3% 24.3% -8.5% -30.7% -10.6% -9.9% 16.4% 64.6% 24.5% 5.6% -0.4% -20.9% -20.91%
OCF Growth snapshot only -13.97%
Asset Growth snapshot only 9.69%
Equity Growth snapshot only 10.64%
Debt Growth snapshot only 4.77%
Shares Change snapshot only 4.24%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 2.95%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 40.5% 35.4% 29.2% 29.3% 32.8% 36.9% 37.6% 36.6% 35.8% 32.8% 22.7% 18.0% 10.9% 5.3% 3.9% 0.6% -1.6% -3.3% -2.8% 0.4% 0.40%
Revenue 5Y 34.2% 36.9% 36.9% 38.3% 39.4% 40.0% 39.2% 37.5% 32.8% 25.2% 19.0% 16.9% 17.0% 17.5% 18.5% 19.1% 18.5% 17.9% 14.0% 12.2% 12.22%
EPS 3Y — — -2.3% -5.2% -34.4% -15.1% 6.2% 13.2% 14.9% 6.3% 12.3% 1.0% -0.4% 25.8% 20.7% 33.2% 31.4% 10.2% -7.2% -5.9% -5.86%
EPS 5Y 21.0% -5.0% 0.4% 3.5% 7.4% 28.0% 27.1% 29.1% — — 12.6% 3.0% -15.6% -7.9% 2.1% 9.8% 12.5% 4.5% 2.1% 6.3% 6.29%
Net Income 3Y — — -1.4% -4.5% -34.2% -14.5% 6.6% 13.7% 15.2% 6.8% 14.5% 2.7% 1.5% 28.3% 23.0% 35.7% 34.2% 13.7% -4.2% -2.8% -2.77%
Net Income 5Y 34.8% 6.7% 11.4% 14.6% 18.5% 41.6% 39.7% 41.4% — — 14.2% 4.4% -14.4% -6.5% 3.5% 11.3% 14.0% 6.8% 4.3% 8.5% 8.48%
EBITDA 3Y — — 8.0% 6.5% -14.4% -2.3% 10.1% 12.9% 13.3% 10.0% 9.4% 4.1% 2.8% 10.1% 12.0% 16.5% 16.6% 8.3% 4.8% 0.2% 0.21%
EBITDA 5Y 20.2% 11.5% 12.1% 13.3% 13.5% 23.4% 25.1% 26.4% — — 11.4% 6.7% -4.8% -0.9% 6.3% 9.8% 10.7% 6.4% 8.8% 7.2% 7.18%
Gross Profit 3Y 25.8% 16.7% 8.8% 7.0% 7.9% 9.1% 4.7% 6.1% 5.5% 6.0% 4.4% 0.5% -1.5% 0.3% 3.4% 6.7% 6.4% 5.3% 6.6% 3.1% 3.05%
Gross Profit 5Y 19.4% 19.3% 18.8% 19.1% 18.9% 18.5% 17.0% 18.3% 14.4% 9.7% 5.7% 2.1% 3.3% 5.0% 5.5% 7.8% 8.0% 7.4% 5.4% 4.1% 4.10%
Op. Income 3Y — — 12.6% 11.8% -20.1% -1.1% 16.3% 19.7% 21.1% 23.1% 24.3% 17.0% 16.6% 20.8% 22.1% 25.9% 23.8% 5.7% 2.0% -3.4% -3.37%
Op. Income 5Y 18.6% 12.2% 12.6% 14.0% 13.1% 30.4% 32.4% 36.0% — — 17.4% 11.1% -4.9% 1.6% 10.9% 14.4% 14.6% 12.2% 17.4% 15.8% 15.84%
FCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — 4.8% — — — 1.4% -75.0% — — — — —
FCF 5Y — — -27.3% 28.0% — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
OCF 3Y 89.7% — 72.3% 80.3% 7.4% -4.4% -12.4% -28.4% -4.5% 13.2% 6.4% 21.8% 9.5% 27.7% 25.4% 6.4% 31.9% 32.0% 38.4% 64.9% 64.87%
OCF 5Y 17.0% 10.1% 9.4% 19.5% 4.8% -0.3% -3.5% -12.7% 38.7% — 46.8% 40.2% 17.0% 20.1% 19.4% 13.8% 14.5% 9.9% 5.6% 15.2% 15.16%
Assets 3Y -2.5% -2.8% 0.3% 1.9% 4.3% 6.6% 1.3% 2.2% 3.9% 2.9% 4.3% 5.6% 5.1% 6.5% 6.3% 4.4% 3.4% 3.7% 7.7% 9.1% 9.12%
Assets 5Y 16.4% 16.2% 16.7% 17.1% 18.8% 19.0% 16.8% 14.4% -0.7% -0.0% 2.1% 2.6% 3.7% 5.7% 4.4% 4.8% 5.6% 4.4% 5.4% 6.4% 6.42%
Equity 3Y 3.5% -0.3% -3.7% -1.9% 0.2% 1.1% -1.9% -1.1% 0.4% 3.1% 4.8% 5.6% 3.6% 8.0% 10.1% 6.8% 4.0% 6.1% 5.5% 7.5% 7.53%
Book Value 3Y 0.8% -1.5% -4.5% -2.6% -0.2% 0.4% -2.3% -1.5% 0.2% 2.7% 2.7% 3.8% 1.6% 5.9% 8.0% 4.9% 1.8% 2.8% 2.1% 4.1% 4.11%
Dividend 3Y -2.8% 0.9% 1.5% 1.8% 2.2% -2.4% -2.6% -2.5% -2.3% 0.2% -0.5% 0.1% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 0.9% 0.3% -0.8% -0.7% -0.9% -0.87%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.86 0.82 0.86 0.84 0.87 0.88 0.93 0.94 0.93 0.86 0.82 0.82 0.79 0.70 0.68 0.65 0.56 0.50 0.52 0.66 0.664
Earnings Stability 0.17 0.14 0.43 0.47 0.11 0.24 0.54 0.58 0.13 0.26 0.48 0.18 0.23 0.03 0.36 0.40 0.55 0.49 0.35 0.44 0.440
Margin Stability 0.80 0.77 0.76 0.73 0.71 0.68 0.66 0.66 0.65 0.65 0.67 0.68 0.68 0.69 0.65 0.63 0.64 0.66 0.74 0.79 0.788
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.91 0.80 0.90 0.90 0.86 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.88 0.97 0.87 0.94 0.95 0.97 0.50 0.80 0.88 0.96 0.92 0.917
Earnings Smoothness 0.79 0.35 0.70 0.73 0.57 0.40 0.38 0.27 0.37 0.75 0.93 0.59 0.83 0.88 0.91 0.45 0.60 0.75 0.89 0.77 0.767
ROE Trend -0.03 -0.06 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.02 0.03 0.02 -0.01 0.00 -0.01 -0.01 0.02 0.02 0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.008
Gross Margin Trend -0.11 -0.15 -0.16 -0.16 -0.16 -0.14 -0.12 -0.07 -0.06 -0.02 0.01 -0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.07 0.06 0.04 0.02 -0.01 -0.011
FCF Margin Trend 0.11 0.06 0.05 0.07 -0.00 -0.02 -0.04 -0.06 -0.02 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.02 -0.04 -0.05 -0.03 -0.033
Sustainable Growth Rate 2.1% -1.0% -0.7% -0.6% -0.6% 2.6% 3.5% 4.8% 3.5% 4.4% 3.5% 1.3% 1.9% 2.7% 2.3% 4.9% 4.6% 4.2% 1.2% 2.4% 2.40%
Internal Growth Rate 0.8% — — — — 0.8% 1.2% 1.6% 1.2% 1.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.6% 0.9% 0.8% 1.7% 1.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.8% 0.83%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.84 2.62 2.61 3.94 2.10 1.03 0.75 0.42 1.11 1.67 1.71 2.56 2.31 2.58 2.77 1.90 2.00 1.61 2.27 2.07 2.069
FCF/OCF 0.11 -0.10 0.01 0.30 -0.29 -0.79 -1.20 -2.49 -0.49 0.16 0.06 0.06 -0.06 0.10 0.09 0.00 0.01 -0.28 -0.41 -0.32 -0.318
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -0.658
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.740
CapEx/Revenue 8.9% 7.7% 7.1% 7.0% 6.5% 6.8% 6.9% 7.5% 7.4% 7.2% 8.1% 8.6% 10.1% 11.3% 11.5% 11.8% 12.0% 12.5% 12.8% 12.5% 12.50%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 3.186
Accruals Ratio -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.04 -0.02 -0.00 0.01 0.02 -0.00 -0.02 -0.02 -0.03 -0.03 -0.04 -0.04 -0.03 -0.03 -0.02 -0.02 -0.03 -0.026
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.033
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 0.612
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2.47%
Dividend/Share $1.18 $1.26 $1.27 $1.27 $1.28 $1.19 $1.18 $1.19 $1.20 $1.21 $1.18 $1.20 $1.22 $1.24 $1.26 $1.29 $1.31 $1.28 $1.31 $1.33 $1.32
Payout Ratio 68.0% 1.3% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 64.6% 56.5% 49.0% 55.7% 51.0% 55.2% 78.1% 71.0% 62.2% 65.1% 48.3% 50.9% 51.8% 78.1% 65.5% 65.51%
FCF Payout Ratio 3.5% — 32.5% 93.5% — — — — — 1.9% 5.1% 4.9% — 2.5% 2.6% 64.3% 48.9% — — — —
Total Payout Ratio 68.0% 1.3% 2.1% 2.1% 2.9% 1.7% 1.0% 89.4% 56.5% 81.4% 87.2% 1.2% 1.1% 62.2% 65.1% 48.3% 77.0% 77.9% 1.2% 97.1% 97.14%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Total Shareholder Return — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.72 0.63 0.65 0.62 0.67 0.73 0.71 0.74 0.74 0.76 0.80 0.81 0.81 0.82 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.75 0.72 0.72 0.718
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.71 0.62 0.63 0.65 0.61 0.68 0.69 0.71 0.68 0.68 0.64 0.55 0.57 0.60 0.61 0.68 0.67 0.75 0.53 0.72 0.718
EBIT Margin 0.11 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.10 0.09 0.10 0.10 0.08 0.09 0.10 0.09 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.10 0.09 0.089
Asset Turnover 0.44 0.49 0.53 0.59 0.59 0.62 0.65 0.63 0.60 0.55 0.55 0.56 0.53 0.50 0.51 0.52 0.50 0.48 0.49 0.52 0.521
Equity Multiplier 2.77 3.08 3.06 3.02 3.03 3.16 2.99 2.95 2.98 3.13 2.85 2.84 2.98 3.01 2.88 2.91 3.07 2.99 2.93 2.92 2.920
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $1.74 $1.00 $1.10 $1.13 $1.13 $1.84 $2.09 $2.43 $2.16 $2.38 $2.13 $1.54 $1.72 $1.99 $1.94 $2.67 $2.57 $2.47 $1.67 $2.03 $2.03
Book Value/Share $25.58 $24.67 $24.12 $24.95 $26.99 $26.33 $27.61 $27.09 $27.47 $27.25 $27.84 $27.90 $26.85 $29.29 $30.39 $28.80 $28.49 $28.63 $29.41 $30.57 $32.98
Tangible Book/Share $6.97 $5.71 $5.53 $6.68 $7.54 $7.23 $8.58 $8.46 $8.40 $8.11 $9.24 $9.09 $8.41 $9.78 $10.97 $10.24 $9.66 $10.78 $11.27 $12.12 $12.12
Revenue/Share $32.31 $37.53 $40.24 $44.52 $47.40 $49.74 $50.31 $48.15 $48.30 $46.26 $42.35 $42.92 $41.68 $41.27 $42.65 $42.88 $42.48 $40.91 $42.00 $44.23 $44.22
FCF/Share $0.34 $-0.27 $0.04 $1.36 $-0.69 $-1.49 $-1.89 $-2.56 $-1.18 $0.63 $0.23 $0.25 $-0.24 $0.50 $0.48 $0.02 $0.03 $-1.13 $-1.56 $-1.34 $-1.33
OCF/Share $3.20 $2.62 $2.88 $4.45 $2.38 $1.90 $1.58 $1.03 $2.41 $3.96 $3.66 $3.93 $3.96 $5.15 $5.37 $5.08 $5.13 $3.97 $3.80 $4.20 $4.19
Cash/Share $0.58 $0.22 $0.48 $0.81 $0.47 $0.19 $0.30 $0.23 $0.15 $0.34 $0.35 $0.16 $2.58 $0.28 $0.66 $1.07 $0.40 $0.32 $0.52 $0.42 $0.42
EBITDA/Share $4.91 $4.06 $4.20 $4.36 $4.30 $5.25 $5.79 $6.21 $5.94 $6.52 $5.45 $4.76 $5.04 $5.11 $5.58 $6.53 $6.39 $6.07 $6.05 $5.67 $5.67
Debt/Share $29.37 $30.91 $30.36 $29.02 $34.15 $35.92 $31.12 $30.53 $32.12 $34.91 $33.36 $32.99 $36.32 $35.36 $34.75 $34.37 $36.03 $33.85 $34.11 $34.54 $34.54
Net Debt/Share $28.80 $30.69 $29.89 $28.21 $33.68 $35.73 $30.82 $30.30 $31.97 $34.57 $33.01 $32.84 $33.73 $35.08 $34.09 $33.30 $35.63 $33.53 $33.58 $34.12 $34.12
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Piotroski F-Score 6 5 4 6 5 6 4 6 6 7 6 3 5 5 5 7 5 7 5 5 5
Beneish M-Score -1.34 -1.76 -2.05 -1.89 -2.12 -1.94 -2.40 -2.91 -2.39 -2.92 -2.59 -2.07 -2.63 -2.53 -2.54 -2.72 -2.60 -2.48 -2.40 -2.15 -2.153
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -7.334
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 7.40%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-47.55
EVA snapshot only $-1107550964.93
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BB-
Credit Score 46.55 38.95 42.40 43.60 40.30 47.80 43.70 44.70 43.70 45.20 46.75 40.45 40.90 40.45 41.05 45.20 41.45 40.55 40.55 39.55 39.550
Credit Grade snapshot only 13
Credit Trend snapshot only -5.650
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 550.000

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