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Not Investment Advice

AVDL NASDAQ

Avadel Pharmaceuticals plc
1W: +0.1% 1M: +0.6% 3M: +43.7% 1Y: +104.5% 3Y: +208.7% 5Y: +207.4%
$21.64
Last traded 2025-12-31 — delisted
NASDAQ · Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · $2.1B mcap · 92M float · 2.64% daily turnover · Short 42% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
54.6 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Intangible Assets  ·  ROIC: 8.1%
Cost Advantage
53
Intangibles
92
Switching Cost
30
Network Effect
43
Scale
47
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. AVDL shows a Weak competitive edge (54.6/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Intangible Assets. ROIC of 8.1% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$0
Low
$20
Avg Target
$20
High
Based on 5 analyst ratings (12 mo)
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 8Hold: 6Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$20.20
Analysts5
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2025-11-20 Wells Fargo — $16 $22 +6 -2.2% $23.02
2025-10-28 UBS Ashwani Verma Initiated $20 — +7.8% $18.56
2025-10-23 H.C. Wainwright — $21 $20 -1 +8.0% $18.52
2025-10-23 Leerink Partners Market Perform $12 $18 +6 -0.1% $18.52
2025-10-22 Jefferies Andrew Tsai $11 $20 +9 +7.8% $18.55
2025-09-02 Wells Fargo Benjamin Burnett Initiated $16 — +6.8% $14.98
2025-01-10 H.C. Wainwright Oren Livnat $27 $21 -6 +165.8% $7.90
2025-01-09 Needham Ami Fadia $9 $19 +10 +75.0% $10.86
2024-10-31 Oppenheimer Francois Brisebois Initiated $30 — +132.4% $12.91
2024-05-09 H.C. Wainwright Oren Livnat Initiated $27 — +66.2% $16.25
2022-11-30 Jefferies — $8 $11 +3 +24.3% $8.85
2022-08-11 Leerink Partners — Initiated $12 — +68.1% $7.14
2022-08-10 Needham — $6 $9 +3 +23.1% $7.31
2022-08-09 Jefferies Chris Howerton Initiated $8 — +9.4% $7.31
2022-05-31 Needham — Initiated $6 — +140.0% $2.50

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 60 Grade C
Profitability
22
Balance Sheet
78
Earnings Quality
25
Growth
88
Value
27
Momentum
80
Safety
100
Cash Flow
59
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. AVDL scores highest in Safety (100/100) and lowest in Profitability (22/100). A grade of C represents mixed fundamentals — strengths in some areas offset by weaknesses.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
5.64
Safe Zone
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-3.01
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-7.67
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
A-
Score: 66.1/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
—
OCF/NI: -128.05x
Accruals: -20.1%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. AVDL scores 5.64, placing it in the Safe Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Bankruptcy is statistically unlikely within the next two years. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. AVDL scores 5/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. AVDL's score of -3.01 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. AVDL's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. AVDL receives an estimated rating of A- (score: 66.1/100), with a improving trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
215.97x
PEG
0.33x
P/S
14.59x
P/B
21.39x
P/FCF
43.68x
P/OCF
43.44x
EV/EBITDA
147.31x
EV/Revenue
6.00x
EV/EBIT
231.22x
EV/FCF
42.15x
Earnings Yield
-0.02%
FCF Yield
2.29%
Shareholder Yield
0.00%
Graham Number
—
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 216.0x earnings, AVDL is priced for high growth expectations.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.085
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
-0.504
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.026
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
1.390
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.069
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-0.3%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. AVDL's ROE of -0.3% is driven by Asset Turnover (1.390), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 0.09 suggests the company retains less than 60% of pre-tax earnings after taxes.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
—
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$21.55
Median 1Y
$17.02
5th Pctile
$3.50
95th Pctile
$82.46
Ann. Volatility
97.1%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Current
ROE 10.6% -6.6% -37.2% -49.1% -64.3% -94.2% -2.3% -3.1% -4.8% -16.6% -2.0% -3.3% -4.8% -7.8% -99.5% -78.5% -60.4% -34.6% -3.6% -0.3% -0.32%
ROA 3.0% -2.2% -18.0% -22.4% -27.7% -35.1% -60.9% -64.6% -72.3% -78.4% -79.6% -91.1% -1.1% -1.0% -59.3% -40.2% -29.7% -15.7% -1.7% -0.2% -0.16%
ROIC -40.6% -50.1% -85.8% -97.9% -1.0% -1.0% -2.8% -3.9% -5.6% -4.7% -19.4% -8.9% 7.4% 13.4% -72.3% -4.7% -18.9% -1.5% 15.0% 8.1% 8.12%
ROCE 2.7% 0.3% -22.5% -29.0% -36.8% -55.2% -95.0% -93.5% -1.3% -1.6% -87.5% -99.6% -1.2% -1.2% -85.9% -54.1% -33.1% -13.8% 3.3% 4.7% 4.71%
Gross Margin — — — — — — — — — — 97.6% 98.3% 96.4% 94.4% 93.3% 87.7% 90.5% 89.4% 90.7% 1.0% 1.04%
Operating Margin — — — — — — — — — — -33.1% -5.0% -1.3% -95.8% -30.7% -0.7% -6.5% -5.7% 13.0% 2.5% 2.50%
Net Margin — — — — — — — — — — -43.1% -5.2% -1.5% -1.0% -33.3% -5.2% -10.0% -9.4% 14.2% 0.0% 0.03%
EBITDA Margin — — — — — — — — — — -41.1% -4.8% -1.4% -88.7% -26.9% 2.6% -3.2% -3.4% 14.6% 4.6% 4.63%
FCF Margin -2.2% -6.0% — — — — — — — — -57.4% -13.7% -4.6% -2.3% -1.2% -59.9% -27.7% -13.1% 2.4% 14.2% 14.25%
OCF Margin -2.2% -6.0% — — — — — — — — -56.4% -13.6% -4.6% -2.3% -1.2% -59.9% -27.7% -13.1% 2.5% 14.3% 14.32%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only -80.59%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -41.42%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 2.74%
Cash ROA snapshot only 17.85%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 80.86%
CROIC snapshot only 80.42%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 1.44%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -1.31%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 16.05%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 76.59%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 5.49%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Current
P/E Ratio 55.44 -95.16 -7.03 -8.66 -6.13 -4.45 -1.07 -2.28 -3.29 -4.13 -8.91 -5.79 -7.57 -9.87 -12.73 -17.41 -20.75 -28.64 -300.01 -5562.89 215.968
P/S Ratio 17.44 52.36 — — — — — — — — 850.95 108.18 43.39 28.09 14.21 9.14 5.99 3.89 3.97 6.22 14.588
P/B Ratio 2.40 3.87 3.31 5.80 6.05 7.27 -43.23 -24.24 -21.41 -15.33 8.89 8.36 13.83 19.76 19.23 16.92 13.72 10.21 9.67 15.74 21.393
P/FCF -7.98 -8.71 -6.25 -7.76 -6.12 -4.57 -1.57 -3.86 -6.31 -8.62 -14.83 -7.90 -9.44 -12.10 -11.84 -15.26 -21.60 -29.74 166.49 43.68 43.679
P/OCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 160.96 43.44 43.443
EV/EBITDA 31.11 192.50 -5.70 -7.62 -5.60 -4.37 -1.68 -3.46 -4.99 -6.62 -8.82 -5.63 -7.45 -10.04 -13.44 -19.83 -26.46 -52.36 101.49 147.31 147.313
EV/Revenue 13.38 46.28 — — — — — — — — 758.44 96.66 39.73 26.52 13.48 8.68 5.56 3.56 3.61 6.00 6.005
EV/EBIT 37.76 479.48 -5.59 -7.51 -5.55 -4.33 -1.66 -3.42 -4.92 -6.49 -8.68 -5.54 -7.36 -9.92 -13.22 -19.19 -24.60 -42.77 187.00 231.22 231.219
EV/FCF -6.12 -7.70 -5.31 -7.26 -5.97 -4.81 -1.92 -4.27 -6.79 -9.41 -13.22 -7.06 -8.64 -11.43 -11.24 -14.49 -20.06 -27.24 151.53 42.15 42.148
Earnings Yield 1.8% -1.1% -14.2% -11.5% -16.3% -22.5% -93.1% -43.9% -30.4% -24.2% -11.2% -17.3% -13.2% -10.1% -7.9% -5.7% -4.8% -3.5% -0.3% -0.0% -0.02%
FCF Yield -12.5% -11.5% -16.0% -12.9% -16.3% -21.9% -63.8% -25.9% -15.8% -11.6% -6.7% -12.7% -10.6% -8.3% -8.4% -6.6% -4.6% -3.4% 0.6% 2.3% 2.29%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.328
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 19.001
EV/OCF snapshot only 41.921
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 6.357
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 329.933
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.00%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Current
Current Ratio 17.44 26.57 14.17 11.70 9.17 3.65 2.72 2.73 1.81 1.38 3.32 3.19 3.64 2.85 2.82 2.97 2.75 2.73 2.79 2.76 2.756
Quick Ratio 17.44 26.57 14.17 11.70 9.17 3.65 2.72 2.73 1.81 1.38 3.30 3.09 3.36 2.60 2.52 2.60 2.33 2.33 2.38 2.37 2.374
Debt/Equity 0.80 1.05 1.21 1.46 1.85 2.63 -40.97 -11.11 -6.20 -4.07 0.15 0.50 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.04 0.03 0.38 0.381
Net Debt/Equity -0.56 -0.45 -0.50 -0.37 -0.16 0.39 — — — — -0.97 -0.89 -1.17 -1.10 -0.98 -0.86 -0.98 -0.86 -0.87 -0.55 -0.552
Debt/Assets 0.42 0.49 0.51 0.55 0.59 0.66 0.86 0.95 0.99 1.10 0.11 0.27 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.19 0.187
Debt/EBITDA 13.59 59.22 -2.45 -2.04 -1.76 -1.50 -1.30 -1.43 -1.34 -1.61 -0.17 -0.38 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.03 -0.05 -0.22 0.35 3.69 3.690
Net Debt/EBITDA -9.46 -25.27 1.00 0.53 0.15 -0.22 -0.31 -0.33 -0.35 -0.56 1.08 0.67 0.69 0.59 0.73 1.06 2.03 4.81 -10.02 -5.35 -5.350
Interest Coverage 0.61 0.08 -5.74 -7.86 -8.37 -9.75 -9.15 -7.36 -8.03 -7.25 -10.57 -13.76 -15.26 -15.99 -10.06 -5.96 -3.53 -1.55 0.42 0.66 0.665
Equity Multiplier 1.92 2.15 2.38 2.67 3.16 4.00 -47.40 -11.72 -6.28 -3.69 1.40 1.84 1.88 2.14 2.24 2.12 2.22 2.27 2.06 2.03 2.031
Cash Ratio snapshot only 1.466
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 1.043
Cash to Debt snapshot only 2.450
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.947
Defensive Interval snapshot only 212.5 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Current
Asset Turnover 0.10 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.19 0.36 0.53 0.76 1.03 1.16 1.28 1.39 1.390
Inventory Turnover 3.62 2.29 — — — — — — — — 1.42 0.28 0.16 0.40 0.69 1.04 1.00 1.20 1.25 0.69 0.688
Receivables Turnover 0.95 0.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.16 2.03 3.90 4.40 5.41 6.38 7.32 6.05 5.97 6.25 6.248
Payables Turnover 1.43 0.84 0.11 0.05 0.04 0.00 0.04 0.14 0.16 0.15 0.11 0.09 0.09 0.16 0.47 1.05 1.63 1.38 2.30 1.34 1.342
DSO 385 710 — — — — — — — — 2319 180 94 83 67 57 50 60 61 58 58.4 days
DIO 101 160 0 0 0 — 0 0 0 0 257 1305 2239 919 526 350 366 305 293 531 530.8 days
DPO 255 436 3378 7981 8885 — 9187 2634 2303 2377 3408 3888 4168 2234 769 346 224 265 159 272 272.0 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 230 434 — — — — — — — — -833 -2402 -1836 -1232 -176 61 192 101 196 317 317.2 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 82.536
Operating Cycle snapshot only 589.2 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 2.714
Capital Intensity snapshot only 0.803
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Current
Revenue -62.3% -81.7% -1.0% -1.0% -1.0% -1.0% — — — — — — — — 62.6% 15.2% 5.0% 2.5% 1.3% 79.9% 79.88%
Net Income 1.2% 73.7% -4.0% -5.3% -12.0% -15.3% -1.4% -99.6% -77.8% -57.0% -6.4% -20.1% -16.6% -10.6% 25.6% 54.3% 69.5% 83.2% 97.2% 99.6% 99.62%
EPS 1.1% 81.5% -4.6% -5.2% -11.9% -15.2% -1.4% -94.2% -64.8% -44.6% 18.7% 19.1% 14.2% 23.0% 40.2% 57.6% 72.8% 84.0% 97.3% 99.6% 99.64%
FCF -27.3% -1.1% -79.6% -95.3% -58.4% -45.0% -45.8% -5.6% 7.2% 22.8% 6.6% -49.1% -79.1% -88.4% -32.9% 29.0% 63.5% 80.1% 1.0% 1.4% 1.43%
EBITDA 1.4% 1.1% -3.6% -6.7% -9.6% -41.0% -79.2% -36.6% -18.5% 0.3% -22.2% -51.6% -52.8% -50.8% 25.8% 58.6% 76.1% 90.9% 1.1% 1.2% 1.17%
Op. Income -52.0% -1.4% -2.3% -1.6% -1.3% -1.1% -59.5% -24.0% -11.2% 4.5% -13.8% -43.1% -44.8% -42.9% 16.3% 53.0% 69.2% 85.7% 1.0% 1.1% 1.07%
OCF Growth snapshot only 1.43%
Asset Growth snapshot only 26.03%
Equity Growth snapshot only 31.56%
Debt Growth snapshot only 18.26%
Shares Change snapshot only 5.17%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Current
Revenue 3Y -49.4% -59.6% — — — — — — — — -68.4% -36.6% 7.8% 76.1% — — — — — — —
Revenue 5Y -33.6% -43.6% — — — — — — — — -59.4% -40.8% -23.0% -8.6% 4.9% 14.8% 23.4% 28.7% 36.0% 49.5% 49.45%
EPS 3Y -58.7% — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EPS 5Y -33.6% — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 3Y -52.9% — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 5Y -29.6% — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EBITDA 3Y -48.1% -55.7% — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EBITDA 5Y -40.5% -54.7% — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -19.0% -3.8% -3.78%
Gross Profit 3Y -53.4% -64.4% — — — — — — — — -76.4% -31.8% 19.6% 1.1% — — — — — — —
Gross Profit 5Y -37.2% -48.4% — — — — — — — — -66.9% -39.9% -20.6% -6.1% 8.3% 18.2% 26.7% 32.1% 40.5% 57.2% 57.21%
Op. Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
OCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
OCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Assets 3Y 7.3% -5.9% -1.4% -0.6% 9.1% 8.4% -1.6% -2.2% -4.3% -12.2% -16.2% -14.7% -19.2% -16.9% -17.7% -15.7% -12.7% -8.8% 5.8% 11.0% 11.02%
Assets 5Y 7.7% 2.8% 2.6% 1.3% 0.1% -3.1% -9.4% -12.1% -12.0% -16.7% -7.4% -5.5% -2.8% -0.7% -1.0% 0.3% 1.6% -4.2% -11.3% -9.5% -9.45%
Equity 3Y 24.3% 16.2% 14.8% 14.6% 2.0% — — — — — -7.7% -13.7% -18.5% -16.9% -16.1% -9.0% -1.9% 10.3% — — —
Book Value 3Y 9.0% 1.1% -1.6% -1.8% 1.6% — — — — — -10.7% -25.2% -28.4% -28.5% -28.9% -22.9% -16.9% -6.5% — — —
Dividend 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Current
Revenue Stability 0.87 0.93 0.95 0.97 0.99 0.98 0.95 0.92 0.90 0.88 0.84 0.77 0.56 0.19 0.00 0.07 0.20 0.31 0.44 0.57 0.575
Earnings Stability 0.07 0.12 0.29 0.34 0.07 0.20 0.49 0.51 0.45 0.46 0.47 0.44 0.38 0.43 0.27 0.18 0.29 0.19 0.04 0.01 0.009
Margin Stability 0.89 0.84 0.92 0.91 0.90 0.83 0.90 0.89 0.88 0.81 0.55 0.89 0.84 0.77 0.52 0.92 0.90 0.90 0.61 0.89 0.889
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.20 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.97 0.92 0.93 0.96 0.90 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
ROE Trend — — — — — -1.29 — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.22 1.20 1.205
Gross Margin Trend -0.10 -0.21 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.27 0.03 0.028
FCF Margin Trend -1.36 -5.13 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 29.32 7.29 7.291
Sustainable Growth Rate 10.6% — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Internal Growth Rate 3.1% — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Current
OCF/Net Income -6.93 10.90 1.12 1.11 1.00 0.97 0.68 0.59 0.51 0.47 0.59 0.73 0.80 0.82 1.07 1.14 0.96 0.96 -1.86 -128.05 -128.049
FCF/OCF 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.01 1.02 1.02 1.02 1.01 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.97 0.99 0.995
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -127.360
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 3.514
CapEx/Revenue 0.3% 0.9% — — — — — — — — 95.7% 8.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.08%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.052
Accruals Ratio 0.24 0.22 0.02 0.03 -0.00 -0.01 -0.19 -0.27 -0.35 -0.42 -0.33 -0.25 -0.21 -0.19 0.04 0.06 -0.01 -0.01 -0.05 -0.20 -0.201
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.121
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 185.637
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio 0.0% — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF Payout Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Payout Ratio 0.0% — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Div. Increase Streak — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield -46.1% -22.5% -0.5% -0.4% -0.1% -0.1% -0.2% -3.6% -5.6% -6.4% -13.5% -17.5% -12.0% -9.3% -0.7% -0.7% -0.9% -0.1% -0.2% -0.3% -0.28%
Total Shareholder Return -46.1% -22.5% -0.5% -0.4% -0.1% -0.1% -0.2% -3.6% -5.6% -6.4% -13.5% -17.5% -12.0% -9.3% -0.7% -0.7% -0.9% -0.1% -0.2% -0.3% -0.28%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) -1.38 0.52 0.80 0.82 0.83 0.84 1.14 1.20 1.23 1.27 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.50 0.09 0.085
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) -0.64 -11.05 1.17 1.13 1.12 1.10 1.11 1.14 1.12 1.14 1.09 1.07 1.07 1.06 1.10 1.17 1.28 1.65 -1.37 -0.50 -0.504
EBIT Margin 0.35 0.10 — — — — — — — — -87.42 -17.45 -5.40 -2.67 -1.02 -0.45 -0.23 -0.08 0.02 0.03 0.026
Asset Turnover 0.10 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.19 0.36 0.53 0.76 1.03 1.16 1.28 1.39 1.390
Equity Multiplier 3.48 2.97 2.07 2.19 2.32 2.68 3.81 4.74 6.66 21.20 2.57 3.57 4.47 7.67 1.68 1.96 2.04 2.20 2.14 2.07 2.069
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $0.12 $-0.09 $-0.96 $-1.13 $-1.32 $-1.54 $-2.27 $-2.20 $-2.17 $-2.22 $-1.85 $-1.78 $-1.87 $-1.71 $-1.10 $-0.75 $-0.51 $-0.27 $-0.03 $-0.00 $-0.00
Book Value/Share $2.78 $2.34 $2.03 $1.69 $1.33 $0.94 $-0.06 $-0.21 $-0.33 $-0.60 $1.85 $1.23 $1.02 $0.85 $0.73 $0.78 $0.77 $0.77 $0.92 $0.97 $1.01
Tangible Book/Share $2.49 $2.05 $1.74 $1.40 $1.05 $0.65 $-0.34 $-0.49 $-0.60 $-0.86 $1.64 $1.04 $0.83 $0.67 $0.56 $0.60 $0.59 $0.59 $0.75 $0.80 $0.80
Revenue/Share $0.38 $0.17 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.02 $0.10 $0.33 $0.60 $0.99 $1.43 $1.75 $2.01 $2.23 $2.45 $1.50
FCF/Share $-0.84 $-1.04 $-1.08 $-1.26 $-1.32 $-1.50 $-1.56 $-1.30 $-1.13 $-1.06 $-1.11 $-1.30 $-1.50 $-1.40 $-1.19 $-0.86 $-0.49 $-0.26 $0.05 $0.35 $0.37
OCF/Share $-0.84 $-1.04 $-1.08 $-1.26 $-1.32 $-1.50 $-1.56 $-1.29 $-1.11 $-1.04 $-1.09 $-1.30 $-1.50 $-1.40 $-1.19 $-0.86 $-0.49 $-0.26 $0.05 $0.35 $0.37
Cash/Share $3.80 $3.51 $3.47 $3.09 $2.68 $2.10 $1.76 $1.77 $1.53 $1.58 $2.08 $1.71 $1.22 $0.97 $0.74 $0.68 $0.77 $0.69 $0.82 $0.90 $0.94
EBITDA/Share $0.16 $0.04 $-1.00 $-1.20 $-1.41 $-1.65 $-1.78 $-1.60 $-1.54 $-1.51 $-1.66 $-1.63 $-1.74 $-1.59 $-0.99 $-0.63 $-0.37 $-0.14 $0.08 $0.10 $0.10
Debt/Share $2.24 $2.46 $2.46 $2.46 $2.47 $2.47 $2.31 $2.30 $2.07 $2.43 $0.29 $0.62 $0.03 $0.03 $0.02 $0.02 $0.02 $0.03 $0.03 $0.37 $0.37
Net Debt/Share $-1.56 $-1.05 $-1.01 $-0.63 $-0.21 $0.37 $0.55 $0.53 $0.55 $0.85 $-1.79 $-1.10 $-1.19 $-0.94 $-0.72 $-0.66 $-0.75 $-0.66 $-0.80 $-0.54 $-0.54
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 5.638
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 6.963
Piotroski F-Score 4 3 2 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 5 4 4 4 3 3 4 3 4 5 5
Beneish M-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 21.11 3.05 -0.91 -1.66 -2.31 -3.01 -3.011
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -7.670
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 5.72%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $0.70
EVA snapshot only $-829430.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only A-
Credit Score 27.29 25.23 27.34 27.73 26.69 25.55 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 63.49 31.41 38.40 48.44 42.13 47.84 37.69 32.07 50.69 66.08 66.079
Credit Grade snapshot only 7
Credit Trend snapshot only 18.244
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 175.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 54
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 63

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