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AVID NASDAQ

Avid Technology, Inc.
1W: +0.1% 1M: +0.6% 3M: +1.9% 1Y: +10.4% 3Y: +183.4% 5Y: +388.1%
$27.05
Last traded 2023-11-07 — delisted
NASDAQ · Technology · Electronic Gaming & Multimedia · $1.2B mcap · 34M float · 2.02% daily turnover

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
43.1 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Cost Advantage  ·  ROIC: 138.4%
Cost Advantage ★
63
Intangibles
38
Switching Cost
34
Network Effect
38
Scale
45
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. AVID shows a Weak competitive edge (43.1/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Cost Advantage. ROIC of 138.4% confirms the company is generating returns well above its cost of capital — a hallmark of durable competitive advantages.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 6Hold: 9Sell: 1Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$—
Analysts0
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2023-08-15 Truist Financial Terry Tillman Initiated $27 — +1.7% $26.59

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 1 Grade D
Profitability
24
Balance Sheet
24
Earnings Quality
28
Growth
31
Value
23
Momentum
1
Safety
0
Cash Flow
8
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. AVID scores highest in Growth (31/100) and lowest in Safety (0/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
-1.97
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
3/9
✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-1.80
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-1.99
Bankruptcy prob: 12.1%
Moderate
Credit Rating
CCC
Score: 14.6/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
25/100
OCF/NI: -0.41x
Accruals: 7.2%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. AVID scores -1.97, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. AVID scores 3/9, suggesting weak financial fundamentals — the company fails the majority of these accounting tests. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. AVID's score of -1.80 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. AVID's implied 12.1% bankruptcy probability is elevated and warrants attention to the balance sheet. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. AVID receives an estimated rating of CCC (score: 14.6/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). AVID's score of 25/100 is low — reported earnings may not be fully supported by cash flows.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
21.81x
PEG
-0.31x
P/S
2.85x
P/B
-10.14x
P/FCF
-50.89x
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
52.55x
EV/Revenue
3.39x
EV/EBIT
75.24x
EV/FCF
-60.13x
Earnings Yield
1.09%
FCF Yield
-1.96%
Shareholder Yield
1.77%
Graham Number
—
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 21.8x earnings, AVID commands a growth premium.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
5.228
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.133
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.045
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
1.617
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
-1.932
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-9.8%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. AVID's ROE of -9.8% is driven by Asset Turnover (1.617), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 5.23 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$2.49
Price/Value
10.79x
Margin of Safety
-979.25%
Premium
979.25%
Assessment
Overvalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with AVID's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. AVID trades at a 979% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $2.49, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 21.8x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$27.04
Median 1Y
$26.97
5th Pctile
$10.91
95th Pctile
$67.60
Ann. Volatility
59.7%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
ROE 4.9% 1.1% 2.4% 1.1% -4.7% -1.2% -8.7% -12.2% -7.7% -14.4% -18.5% -24.6% -32.2% -36.0% -36.0% -33.8% -45.5% -35.6% -25.3% -9.8% -9.79%
ROA -4.3% -0.7% -1.6% -0.7% 2.7% 0.6% 5.3% 7.3% 3.6% 7.5% 10.1% 13.0% 14.3% 18.7% 19.0% 18.6% 19.7% 17.1% 11.9% 5.1% 5.07%
ROIC -14.1% 57.1% 63.8% 68.1% 2.9% 55.7% 99.3% 1.0% 1.2% 1.8% 1.6% 1.9% 3.5% 2.2% 1.7% 1.6% 1.5% 1.1% 78.2% 1.4% 1.38%
ROCE -3.0% -2.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 11.3% 33.7% 57.4% 80.7% 72.5% 72.9% 56.5% 46.6% 26.7% 14.6% 14.58%
Gross Margin 59.0% 59.3% 57.4% 61.9% 63.0% 61.5% 65.0% 64.4% 62.7% 65.1% 63.4% 64.8% 65.8% 66.3% 64.9% 67.8% 64.2% 63.6% 61.1% 63.6% 63.63%
Operating Margin 10.7% 5.2% 2.6% 9.0% 13.5% -0.5% 10.2% 14.5% 10.4% 11.2% 9.5% 9.4% 14.4% 13.2% 10.2% 13.7% 20.1% 3.6% -0.5% -2.0% -2.04%
Net Margin 5.2% -0.2% -10.9% 3.4% 13.2% -6.8% 2.3% 8.8% 6.8% 4.7% 7.4% 14.5% 12.8% 10.5% 7.5% 11.7% 21.8% -0.4% -4.2% -8.1% -8.06%
EBITDA Margin 13.0% 5.2% 2.6% 11.4% 13.8% 2.1% 13.1% 14.5% 15.6% 14.6% 11.8% 19.0% 16.4% 14.8% 12.7% 15.9% 15.2% 6.2% 1.9% 1.0% 1.00%
FCF Margin 1.4% 1.7% 2.7% 3.2% 3.0% 0.2% 0.0% 5.4% 9.4% 14.1% 16.4% 15.5% 13.6% 11.8% 11.2% 9.4% 7.9% 5.2% -0.3% -5.6% -5.65%
OCF Margin 3.8% 4.0% 4.8% 5.2% 4.8% 1.9% 1.8% 7.3% 11.0% 15.6% 17.6% 16.7% 15.2% 14.0% 14.0% 12.5% 11.5% 9.1% 3.9% -1.3% -1.30%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 12.37%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 3.03%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 1.22%
Cash ROA snapshot only -1.96%
Cash ROIC snapshot only -5.80%
CROIC snapshot only -25.24%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 30.96%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 0.60%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 18.44%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 39.24%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 5.19%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
P/E Ratio -18.88 -161.63 -93.42 -144.72 49.38 148.90 22.12 19.81 65.33 45.77 68.85 40.37 36.02 33.28 24.41 23.01 21.17 31.65 34.81 91.74 21.810
P/S Ratio 0.49 0.75 0.93 0.66 0.91 0.74 0.86 1.03 2.01 2.65 4.75 3.40 3.64 3.80 2.79 2.47 2.80 3.38 2.64 2.87 2.854
P/B Ratio -1.21 -1.87 -2.21 -1.56 -2.42 -1.80 -2.05 -2.66 -5.44 -7.25 -14.05 -10.62 -12.02 -12.18 -8.58 -7.35 -9.85 -11.80 -9.45 -9.64 -10.139
P/FCF 34.24 43.48 34.16 20.55 30.13 381.52 7137.52 18.97 21.34 18.75 29.02 21.90 26.78 32.13 24.95 26.33 35.70 64.84 -879.22 -50.89 -50.893
P/OCF 12.74 18.61 19.42 12.76 19.11 38.00 46.78 14.00 18.27 16.97 26.97 20.30 23.86 27.26 19.90 19.76 24.36 37.32 67.66 — —
EV/EBITDA 12.96 16.79 20.18 14.32 16.23 15.71 13.46 13.79 21.14 21.16 36.42 24.61 25.52 26.71 20.16 19.17 21.77 30.06 31.37 52.55 52.554
EV/Revenue 0.89 1.22 1.43 1.17 1.37 1.24 1.40 1.53 2.44 3.07 5.15 3.77 3.97 4.17 3.18 2.89 3.20 3.82 3.11 3.39 3.395
EV/EBIT -156.22 -217.41 — — — — — — — — 219.77 56.39 37.01 30.35 22.92 22.10 24.46 35.04 38.28 75.24 75.237
EV/FCF 62.43 70.97 52.59 36.20 45.27 641.95 11661.90 28.30 25.96 21.75 31.48 24.29 29.23 35.20 28.44 30.71 40.82 73.20 -1035.21 -60.13 -60.132
Earnings Yield -5.3% -0.6% -1.1% -0.7% 2.0% 0.7% 4.5% 5.0% 1.5% 2.2% 1.5% 2.5% 2.8% 3.0% 4.1% 4.3% 4.7% 3.2% 2.9% 1.1% 1.09%
FCF Yield 2.9% 2.3% 2.9% 4.9% 3.3% 0.3% 0.0% 5.3% 4.7% 5.3% 3.4% 4.6% 3.7% 3.1% 4.0% 3.8% 2.8% 1.5% -0.1% -2.0% -1.96%
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 5.378
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 57.316
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 1.77%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Current Ratio 1.05 1.01 0.90 0.91 0.98 1.06 1.16 1.08 1.14 0.99 0.96 0.96 0.92 0.88 0.91 0.86 0.94 0.88 1.06 1.07 1.074
Quick Ratio 0.87 0.83 0.74 0.74 0.85 0.90 0.96 0.89 1.00 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.82 0.78 0.80 0.73 0.83 0.73 0.89 0.88 0.877
Debt/Equity -1.33 -1.52 -1.48 -1.49 -1.66 -1.73 -1.66 -1.65 -1.78 -1.57 -1.61 -1.56 -1.56 -1.48 -1.52 -1.45 -1.71 -1.70 -1.96 -1.92 -1.921
Net Debt/Equity — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Debt/Assets 0.84 0.85 0.92 0.97 0.85 0.91 0.98 0.91 0.77 0.80 0.81 0.79 0.71 0.79 0.84 0.86 0.71 0.74 0.79 0.86 0.864
Debt/EBITDA 7.83 8.32 8.79 7.76 7.42 8.98 6.65 5.74 5.68 3.96 3.84 3.26 3.03 2.96 3.14 3.23 3.31 3.83 5.52 8.86 8.860
Net Debt/EBITDA 5.85 6.50 7.07 6.19 5.43 6.37 5.22 4.55 3.76 2.92 2.86 2.42 2.14 2.33 2.47 2.74 2.73 3.43 4.73 8.07 8.075
Interest Coverage -0.10 -0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.57 2.05 4.16 8.98 8.72 7.06 5.85 3.90 2.50 1.15 1.153
Equity Multiplier -1.60 -1.79 -1.60 -1.54 -1.96 -1.91 -1.70 -1.81 -2.30 -1.95 -1.98 -1.97 -2.21 -1.89 -1.81 -1.68 -2.42 -2.31 -2.47 -2.22 -2.222
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.144
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 1.651
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.089
FCF to Debt snapshot only -0.099
Defensive Interval snapshot only 174.5 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Asset Turnover 1.65 1.52 1.56 1.59 1.44 1.30 1.37 1.41 1.18 1.29 1.47 1.55 1.42 1.64 1.66 1.73 1.49 1.60 1.57 1.62 1.617
Inventory Turnover 4.88 5.18 5.27 5.16 5.24 4.60 4.38 4.50 4.74 4.38 5.15 5.63 6.20 6.39 6.65 6.43 6.99 6.55 6.46 6.03 6.029
Receivables Turnover 6.64 5.80 5.97 5.99 4.64 4.87 5.07 5.21 3.79 4.52 5.06 5.08 4.25 5.08 5.39 5.47 4.07 4.66 4.95 4.98 4.980
Payables Turnover 5.02 5.23 4.78 4.80 4.11 4.19 4.91 5.56 4.28 4.86 7.01 7.94 5.92 7.15 5.29 4.96 3.93 4.05 3.60 4.10 4.097
DSO 55 63 61 61 79 75 72 70 96 81 72 72 86 72 68 67 90 78 74 73 73.3 days
DIO 75 71 69 71 70 79 83 81 77 83 71 65 59 57 55 57 52 56 57 61 60.5 days
DPO 73 70 76 76 89 87 74 66 85 75 52 46 62 51 69 74 93 90 101 89 89.1 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 57 64 54 56 60 67 81 86 88 89 91 91 83 78 54 50 49 44 29 45 44.8 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 8.235
Operating Cycle snapshot only 133.8 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 19.723
Capital Intensity snapshot only 0.662
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Revenue -1.4% 1.4% 2.4% 0.1% -0.4% -5.7% -10.3% -8.7% -12.5% -6.7% 2.3% 6.1% 13.7% 13.0% 9.1% 6.4% 1.8% -0.4% 1.5% -1.6% -1.65%
Net Income 21.3% 90.6% 77.3% 89.3% 1.7% 2.0% 4.5% 11.4% 45.6% 9.9% 82.3% 71.9% 2.7% 1.2% 81.1% 35.9% 33.5% -7.0% -32.6% -71.3% -71.35%
EPS 23.5% 90.7% 77.8% 89.7% 1.7% 2.0% 4.4% 11.1% 39.8% 9.2% 73.0% 65.7% 2.7% 1.3% 86.9% 41.1% 38.9% -3.6% -31.1% -71.0% -71.03%
FCF 4.6% 1.8% 2.6% 2.2% 1.1% -89.4% -99.6% 53.5% 1.7% 67.2% 1394.8% 2.0% 64.4% -5.2% -25.3% -35.6% -41.1% -56.2% -1.0% -1.6% -1.59%
EBITDA 20.4% 79.7% 98.7% 1.2% 22.6% 2.4% 31.7% 24.6% 19.6% 71.5% 39.2% 46.0% 53.4% 21.5% 21.9% 4.6% -3.7% -19.0% -36.2% -57.8% -57.79%
Op. Income 1.6% 20.1% 7.8% 3.5% 1.3% 17.0% 17.2% 28.1% -1.7% 62.2% 37.1% 9.6% 46.6% 15.1% 14.8% 36.5% 31.2% 3.9% -19.1% -55.1% -55.06%
OCF Growth snapshot only -1.10%
Asset Growth snapshot only 15.24%
Debt Growth snapshot only 15.73%
Shares Change snapshot only -1.11%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Revenue 3Y -6.5% -7.5% -8.9% -8.7% -7.0% -5.8% -5.2% -4.5% -4.9% -3.7% -2.1% -1.0% -0.3% -0.2% 0.0% 1.0% 0.5% 1.6% 4.2% 3.5% 3.54%
Revenue 5Y -6.0% -5.7% -5.2% -5.8% -4.9% -5.2% -5.6% -5.5% -6.5% -7.0% -7.1% -5.9% -4.3% -2.5% -1.0% -0.3% -0.1% 0.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.27%
EPS 3Y — — — — -47.2% -58.3% 1.0% — — — — — — — — — 93.3% 1.8% 30.6% -12.2% -12.16%
EPS 5Y — — — — -14.0% -20.7% 21.5% 57.1% 31.0% -5.0% -11.1% -5.6% -5.2% 11.0% 93.8% — — — — — —
Net Income 3Y — — — — -46.0% -57.4% 1.1% — — — — — — — — — 93.7% 1.8% 30.5% -12.5% -12.52%
Net Income 5Y — — — — -12.4% -19.2% 24.2% 60.9% 34.9% -2.0% -8.2% -2.9% -3.0% 13.4% 97.6% — — — — — —
EBITDA 3Y -0.4% -15.0% -25.9% -22.9% -24.6% -21.7% -9.0% 2.8% 20.9% 46.7% 53.9% 58.0% 31.0% 28.7% 30.7% 23.9% 20.9% 19.1% 2.7% -13.6% -13.62%
EBITDA 5Y -12.0% -10.4% -2.1% -4.8% 1.1% 6.1% 13.1% 13.6% 7.7% 1.5% -5.7% -3.5% -4.7% -0.0% 5.1% 10.6% 21.2% 25.4% 23.1% 11.7% 11.71%
Gross Profit 3Y -8.1% -10.0% -11.8% -11.1% -9.2% -6.7% -4.2% -2.3% -1.9% 0.3% 2.0% 3.0% 3.6% 3.5% 3.8% 4.7% 3.3% 3.9% 5.0% 3.4% 3.37%
Gross Profit 5Y -6.8% -6.4% -5.7% -6.3% -5.2% -5.1% -5.1% -4.9% -5.8% -6.8% -7.3% -6.0% -4.4% -1.8% 0.5% 1.9% 2.5% 2.9% 3.4% 2.5% 2.46%
Op. Income 3Y 25.2% -10.8% -22.7% -18.6% -20.6% -14.1% 25.1% 47.2% 81.9% — 1.4% 84.2% 50.1% 29.7% 22.6% 24.2% 23.7% 24.7% 8.4% -12.4% -12.42%
Op. Income 5Y -11.2% -2.4% 15.9% 3.4% 10.3% 18.7% 43.1% 51.0% 35.3% 6.1% -5.8% -5.4% -6.3% 3.4% 25.2% 36.7% 63.2% — 67.5% 30.8% 30.82%
FCF 3Y — — — — — — — — 2.2% 1.7% — — 1.1% 89.8% 60.4% 44.3% 38.0% 2.0% — — —
FCF 5Y — — — — — -33.8% — — — — — — — — — — 98.7% 53.4% — — —
OCF 3Y — — — — — — 53.6% 67.4% 64.2% 74.7% 2.1% — 58.1% 51.1% 43.3% 35.4% 34.7% 69.9% 34.3% — —
OCF 5Y — — — — — -16.4% — — — — — — — — 98.8% 55.3% 40.0% 28.4% 47.7% — —
Assets 3Y 2.4% -1.3% 1.0% 0.4% 6.8% 7.2% 5.7% 5.1% 9.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.2% 1.0% -6.5% -4.3% -3.7% -1.9% -3.9% 3.5% 1.5% 1.55%
Assets 5Y 2.5% 7.6% 8.0% 6.2% 9.7% 11.1% -0.8% -0.2% 4.2% -3.3% -1.3% -1.1% 1.9% -0.4% 1.9% 1.1% 4.1% 1.8% 3.0% 2.1% 2.07%
Equity 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Book Value 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Dividend 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Revenue Stability 0.88 0.91 0.75 0.82 0.82 0.92 0.93 0.93 0.89 0.88 0.80 0.75 0.67 0.56 0.29 0.08 0.01 0.01 0.17 0.13 0.134
Earnings Stability 0.21 0.33 0.23 0.32 0.11 0.19 0.08 0.01 0.03 0.03 0.00 0.03 0.01 0.29 0.76 0.89 0.94 0.94 0.85 0.52 0.517
Margin Stability 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.95 0.94 0.94 0.95 0.96 0.96 0.95 0.95 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.943
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.86 0.87 0.97 0.87 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness — — — — — — — — 0.63 0.00 0.42 0.47 0.00 0.24 0.42 0.70 0.71 0.93 0.61 0.00 0.000
ROE Trend — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Gross Margin Trend -0.04 -0.01 -0.00 0.01 0.03 0.03 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 -0.020
FCF Margin Trend 0.07 0.06 0.04 0.05 0.02 -0.01 -0.00 0.05 0.07 0.13 0.15 0.11 0.07 0.05 0.03 -0.01 -0.04 -0.08 -0.14 -0.18 -0.181
Sustainable Growth Rate — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Internal Growth Rate — — — — 2.7% 0.6% 5.6% 7.9% 3.8% 8.1% 11.3% 15.0% 16.7% 23.0% 23.5% 22.8% 24.5% 20.6% 13.6% 5.3% 5.34%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
OCF/Net Income -1.48 -8.68 -4.81 -11.34 2.58 3.92 0.47 1.41 3.58 2.70 2.55 1.99 1.51 1.22 1.23 1.16 0.87 0.85 0.51 -0.41 -0.414
FCF/OCF 0.37 0.43 0.57 0.62 0.63 0.10 0.01 0.74 0.86 0.90 0.93 0.93 0.89 0.85 0.80 0.75 0.68 0.58 -0.08 4.36 4.355
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -1.803
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only -0.201
CapEx/Revenue 2.4% 2.3% 2.1% 2.0% 1.7% 1.7% 1.8% 1.9% 1.6% 1.5% 1.2% 1.2% 1.7% 2.1% 2.8% 3.1% 3.7% 3.8% 4.2% 4.3% 4.35%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 10.424
Accruals Ratio -0.11 -0.07 -0.09 -0.09 -0.04 -0.02 0.03 -0.03 -0.09 -0.13 -0.16 -0.13 -0.07 -0.04 -0.04 -0.03 0.03 0.03 0.06 0.07 0.072
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.123
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only -0.298
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.250
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
FCF Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — — —
Total Payout Ratio — — — — 47.2% 1.9% 27.9% 14.2% 21.4% 38.7% 53.1% 82.4% 1.1% 1.2% 1.4% 1.5% 1.2% 1.2% 1.1% 1.6% 1.62%
Div. Increase Streak — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 1.3% 1.0% 1.3% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.8% 0.8% 2.0% 3.0% 3.5% 5.7% 6.7% 5.6% 3.7% 3.3% 1.8% 1.77%
Net Buyback Yield 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 1.1% 0.9% 1.3% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.8% 0.7% 2.0% 2.9% 3.5% 5.6% 6.6% 5.5% 3.6% 3.2% 1.7% 1.69%
Total Shareholder Return 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 1.1% 0.9% 1.3% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.8% 0.7% 2.0% 2.9% 3.5% 5.6% 6.6% 5.5% 3.6% 3.2% 1.7% 1.69%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.14 4.00 1.46 1.48 3.01 -0.57 1.47 1.24 0.89 0.92 0.95 0.95 0.94 0.94 0.93 0.96 1.22 1.32 1.56 5.23 5.228
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 4.00 0.21 — — — — — — — — 3.09 1.32 1.00 0.89 0.89 0.86 0.83 0.74 0.60 0.13 0.133
EBIT Margin -0.01 -0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.07 0.11 0.14 0.14 0.13 0.13 0.11 0.08 0.05 0.045
Asset Turnover 1.65 1.52 1.56 1.59 1.44 1.30 1.37 1.41 1.18 1.29 1.47 1.55 1.42 1.64 1.66 1.73 1.49 1.60 1.57 1.62 1.617
Equity Multiplier -1.15 -1.63 -1.52 -1.48 -1.77 -1.85 -1.65 -1.66 -2.12 -1.93 -1.82 -1.89 -2.25 -1.92 -1.89 -1.82 -2.31 -2.09 -2.12 -1.93 -1.932
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-0.25 $-0.05 $-0.10 $-0.04 $0.17 $0.05 $0.33 $0.43 $0.24 $0.46 $0.57 $0.72 $0.90 $1.05 $1.06 $1.01 $1.26 $1.01 $0.73 $0.29 $0.29
Book Value/Share $-3.93 $-3.97 $-4.13 $-3.96 $-3.55 $-3.73 $-3.54 $-3.22 $-2.92 $-2.91 $-2.79 $-2.72 $-2.71 $-2.86 $-3.02 $-3.16 $-2.70 $-2.71 $-2.70 $-2.79 $-2.67
Tangible Book/Share $-4.80 $-4.80 $-4.90 $-4.71 $-4.29 $-4.49 $-4.28 $-3.95 $-3.64 $-3.62 $-3.49 $-3.43 $-3.42 $-3.58 $-3.75 $-3.89 $-3.44 $-3.46 $-3.44 $-3.52 $-3.52
Revenue/Share $9.74 $9.96 $9.84 $9.35 $9.42 $9.13 $8.50 $8.32 $7.92 $7.97 $8.25 $8.51 $8.96 $9.17 $9.29 $9.40 $9.49 $9.46 $9.65 $9.35 $9.37
FCF/Share $0.14 $0.17 $0.27 $0.30 $0.28 $0.02 $0.00 $0.45 $0.74 $1.13 $1.35 $1.32 $1.22 $1.09 $1.04 $0.88 $0.74 $0.49 $-0.03 $-0.53 $0.74
OCF/Share $0.37 $0.40 $0.47 $0.49 $0.45 $0.18 $0.16 $0.61 $0.87 $1.24 $1.45 $1.42 $1.37 $1.28 $1.30 $1.18 $1.09 $0.86 $0.38 $-0.12 $1.08
Cash/Share $1.32 $1.32 $1.20 $1.20 $1.58 $1.88 $1.26 $1.10 $1.75 $1.20 $1.15 $1.09 $1.24 $0.91 $0.98 $0.70 $0.80 $0.48 $0.76 $0.47 $0.79
EBITDA/Share $0.67 $0.72 $0.70 $0.76 $0.79 $0.72 $0.88 $0.93 $0.91 $1.16 $1.17 $1.30 $1.39 $1.43 $1.47 $1.42 $1.40 $1.20 $0.96 $0.60 $0.60
Debt/Share $5.23 $6.03 $6.12 $5.91 $5.89 $6.47 $5.87 $5.31 $5.19 $4.58 $4.48 $4.24 $4.22 $4.24 $4.61 $4.57 $4.62 $4.60 $5.28 $5.35 $5.35
Net Debt/Share $3.91 $4.71 $4.92 $4.72 $4.31 $4.59 $4.61 $4.21 $3.43 $3.38 $3.33 $3.16 $2.98 $3.33 $3.63 $3.87 $3.82 $4.12 $4.52 $4.88 $4.88
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -1.966
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -9.052
Piotroski F-Score 6 5 4 4 5 6 5 7 6 7 6 7 7 8 7 7 5 5 5 3 3
Beneish M-Score -2.09 -2.65 -2.75 -3.00 -2.64 -2.55 -2.41 -2.49 -2.86 -3.13 -3.08 -3.05 -2.81 -2.60 -2.68 -2.62 -2.12 -2.10 -1.85 -1.80 -1.803
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -1.988
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-5.44
EVA snapshot only $118768690.07
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only CCC
Credit Score 11.71 10.85 9.20 10.57 10.88 10.84 11.58 14.03 15.37 17.51 20.00 20.00 20.00 32.33 33.81 31.91 30.65 24.50 20.00 14.55 14.551
Credit Grade snapshot only 17
Credit Trend snapshot only -17.359
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 1200.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 4
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 4

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