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AVTA NASDAQ

Avantax, Inc.
1W: +0.2% 1M: +0.8% 3M: +25.6% 1Y: +6.8% 3Y: +90.3% 5Y: -10.8%
$25.99
Last traded 2023-11-28 — delisted
NASDAQ · Financial Services · Asset Management

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NO EDGE
34.3 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Efficient Scale  ·  ROIC: 0.1%  ·  5Y Avg: -10.4%
Cost Advantage
44
Intangibles
30
Switching Cost
28
Network Effect
28
Scale ★
45
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. AVTA has No discernible competitive edge (34.3/100). The business operates without significant structural advantages. The primary source of advantage is Efficient Scale. ROIC of 0.1% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 2Hold: 7Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$—
Analysts0

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 0 Grade D
Profitability
13
Balance Sheet
50
Earnings Quality
54
Growth
4
Value
43
Momentum
0
Safety
15
Cash Flow
18
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. AVTA scores highest in Earnings Quality (54/100) and lowest in Momentum (0/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
1.00
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
4/9
✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-1.82
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-6.13
Bankruptcy prob: 0.2%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
B
Score: 27.2/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
25/100
OCF/NI: -78.89x
Accruals: 2.1%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. AVTA scores 1.00, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. AVTA scores 4/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. AVTA's score of -1.82 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. AVTA's implied 0.2% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. AVTA receives an estimated rating of B (score: 27.2/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). AVTA's score of 25/100 is low — reported earnings may not be fully supported by cash flows.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
399.85x
PEG
-1.61x
P/S
0.00x
P/B
1.68x
P/FCF
-38.01x
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
23.08x
EV/Revenue
1.55x
EV/EBIT
143.69x
EV/FCF
-45.52x
Earnings Yield
0.03%
FCF Yield
-2.63%
Shareholder Yield
35.76%
Graham Number
$1.26
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 399.8x earnings, AVTA is priced for high growth expectations. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $1.26 per share, 1960% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.028
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.068
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.011
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.788
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.388
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
0.1%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. AVTA's ROE of 0.1% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.788), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 0.03 suggests the company retains less than 60% of pre-tax earnings after taxes.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$0.06
Price/Value
464.90x
Margin of Safety
-46389.75%
Premium
46389.75%
Assessment
Overvalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with AVTA's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. AVTA trades at a 46390% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $0.06, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 399.8x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$25.99
Median 1Y
$26.35
5th Pctile
$12.97
95th Pctile
$53.63
Ann. Volatility
45.3%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
ROE 8.8% 10.6% 9.4% 2.4% 7.7% -66.3% -57.3% -55.3% -71.7% 0.1% -4.6% -5.4% 2.4% 4.2% 5.8% 7.8% 9.3% 3.9% -5.0% 0.1% 0.06%
ROA 5.0% 6.4% 5.6% 1.4% 4.5% -32.2% -29.4% -24.8% -31.1% 0.0% -1.7% -1.8% 0.7% 1.3% 2.0% 2.7% 5.0% 1.6% -2.1% 0.0% 0.03%
ROIC 8.5% 10.4% 8.3% 1.1% 0.0% -39.2% -38.3% -26.8% -28.2% 1.1% -6.5% -31.6% 3.0% 11.1% 8.6% 9.1% 14.0% 5.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.08%
ROCE 7.1% 8.7% 6.4% 1.4% 0.2% -38.8% -42.2% -28.0% -28.6% 0.4% 4.9% 3.3% 5.8% 6.6% 7.2% 8.2% 10.5% 6.0% 0.3% 1.1% 1.07%
Gross Margin 24.9% 67.4% 53.2% 30.4% 31.1% 59.6% 46.1% 43.6% 31.6% 59.0% 53.5% 29.4% 30.3% 58.0% 53.1% 36.4% 40.0% 39.2% 40.7% 38.8% 38.82%
Operating Margin -13.3% 31.1% 14.5% -48.4% -17.4% -91.8% -2.9% 0.6% -15.3% 13.4% 16.4% -11.6% -15.7% 14.6% 19.8% -7.8% 3.5% -0.8% 5.5% 1.3% 1.33%
Net Margin -15.8% 27.5% 16.0% -41.9% 11.6% -1.2% 30.8% -14.9% -32.7% 9.9% 12.4% -16.0% -13.3% 11.3% 15.3% -12.7% -0.9% -0.1% 1.9% -0.8% -0.78%
EBITDA Margin -12.6% 35.1% 19.7% -38.4% -4.3% -88.3% 2.5% 4.0% -1.5% 17.0% 20.6% -5.8% 4.7% 14.6% 21.3% -0.8% 9.6% 6.1% 10.8% 0.8% 0.78%
FCF Margin 17.5% 19.0% 14.3% 13.0% 11.5% 6.9% 0.5% -0.1% 0.7% 1.4% 8.5% 5.9% 0.7% 0.4% -0.4% -0.2% 10.1% 6.1% -8.9% -3.4% -3.41%
OCF Margin 18.8% 20.4% 15.5% 14.4% 12.9% 9.2% 4.2% 4.3% 5.8% 6.6% 12.4% 9.6% 4.2% 3.3% 2.8% 2.7% 11.7% 7.7% -7.7% -2.6% -2.58%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 0.79%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only -14.36%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 0.35%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 0.03%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 0.07%
Cash ROA snapshot only -2.28%
Cash ROIC snapshot only -3.19%
CROIC snapshot only -4.21%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 0.07%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 1.15%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 1.27%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 30.44%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 2.97%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
P/E Ratio 26.28 24.62 23.92 70.95 26.24 -1.75 -1.77 -1.65 -2.23 2122.01 -48.43 -39.45 109.04 66.02 39.86 32.46 24.23 74.67 -43.63 3951.63 399.846
P/S Ratio 2.36 2.85 2.46 1.57 1.76 0.76 0.76 0.60 1.01 1.06 0.99 0.88 0.96 1.06 0.98 1.01 1.35 1.51 1.24 1.29 0.000
P/B Ratio 2.18 2.47 2.15 1.66 1.96 1.77 1.44 1.26 2.45 2.37 2.23 2.11 2.48 2.79 2.31 2.49 1.65 2.51 2.13 2.34 1.678
P/FCF 13.51 14.98 17.23 12.10 15.35 10.99 147.20 -996.76 155.11 74.89 11.65 14.86 129.04 240.55 -272.45 -638.18 13.37 24.71 -13.96 -38.01 -38.006
P/OCF 12.53 13.97 15.79 10.94 13.62 8.30 18.09 14.20 17.36 16.04 7.99 9.13 22.97 31.94 35.63 37.99 11.50 19.50 — — —
EV/EBITDA 15.31 15.54 17.43 28.36 29.46 -3.41 -3.01 -3.92 -5.40 21.79 11.67 13.39 13.31 14.83 13.45 13.04 8.70 15.24 23.08 23.08 23.085
EV/Revenue 2.67 3.06 2.92 2.01 2.21 1.16 1.22 1.19 1.60 1.58 1.41 1.35 1.47 1.55 1.44 1.52 1.10 1.58 1.50 1.55 1.550
EV/EBIT 22.25 20.72 24.52 89.96 677.51 -2.84 -2.56 -3.23 -4.39 287.77 24.12 35.55 23.34 22.30 18.10 17.56 11.61 29.04 465.35 143.69 143.688
EV/FCF 15.30 16.06 20.49 15.49 19.25 16.77 235.75 -1969.35 244.88 111.71 16.57 22.85 198.95 351.44 -400.01 -959.75 10.88 25.81 -16.91 -45.52 -45.517
Earnings Yield 3.8% 4.1% 4.2% 1.4% 3.8% -57.2% -56.6% -60.7% -44.8% 0.0% -2.1% -2.5% 0.9% 1.5% 2.5% 3.1% 4.1% 1.3% -2.3% 0.0% 0.03%
FCF Yield 7.4% 6.7% 5.8% 8.3% 6.5% 9.1% 0.7% -0.1% 0.6% 1.3% 8.6% 6.7% 0.8% 0.4% -0.4% -0.2% 7.5% 4.0% -7.2% -2.6% -2.63%
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 3.909
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 64.173
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 35.76%
Graham Number snapshot only $1.26
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Current Ratio 2.71 2.43 2.05 1.84 1.49 1.36 1.98 2.73 1.98 2.07 2.44 2.10 1.79 1.86 2.60 2.51 2.28 1.44 2.37 2.07 2.075
Quick Ratio 2.55 2.42 2.04 1.82 1.49 1.36 1.82 2.61 1.98 2.07 2.44 2.10 1.68 1.86 2.60 2.51 2.28 1.44 2.37 2.07 2.075
Debt/Equity 0.43 0.40 0.56 0.62 0.62 1.45 1.10 1.65 1.90 1.72 1.55 1.65 1.74 1.70 1.52 1.50 0.05 0.42 0.72 0.73 0.726
Net Debt/Equity 0.29 0.18 0.41 0.47 0.50 0.93 0.87 1.23 1.42 1.17 0.94 1.14 1.34 1.29 1.08 1.25 -0.31 0.11 0.45 0.46 0.462
Debt/Assets 0.26 0.25 0.32 0.34 0.35 0.49 0.48 0.56 0.56 0.53 0.51 0.54 0.55 0.55 0.54 0.54 0.04 0.23 0.36 0.35 0.355
Debt/EBITDA 2.66 2.36 3.84 8.27 7.47 -1.83 -1.44 -2.60 -2.65 10.61 5.69 6.81 6.05 6.19 6.04 5.22 0.31 2.45 6.41 5.98 5.982
Net Debt/EBITDA 1.80 1.05 2.78 6.22 5.97 -1.18 -1.13 -1.94 -1.98 7.18 3.46 4.68 4.68 4.68 4.29 4.37 -1.99 0.65 4.03 3.81 3.810
Interest Coverage 4.27 5.57 4.50 0.83 0.12 -14.90 -16.43 -12.12 -10.89 0.15 1.68 1.09 1.87 2.13 2.42 2.49 3.50 2.26 0.15 0.69 0.689
Equity Multiplier 1.64 1.60 1.75 1.82 1.77 2.98 2.32 2.96 3.41 3.25 3.02 3.07 3.14 3.11 2.82 2.76 1.30 1.81 2.00 2.05 2.045
Cash Ratio snapshot only 1.186
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 4.289
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.363
FCF to Debt snapshot only -0.085
Defensive Interval snapshot only 206.1 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Asset Turnover 0.56 0.56 0.55 0.62 0.67 0.74 0.68 0.68 0.69 0.74 0.85 0.80 0.83 0.83 0.81 0.86 0.89 0.81 0.74 0.79 0.788
Inventory Turnover 63.42 207.92 494.40 429.64 92.58 528.56 71.92 76.26 — — 79.75 101.75 73.05 — — — 70.40 — — — —
Receivables Turnover 23.04 31.56 45.66 58.60 26.49 30.55 39.82 51.68 52.06 30.88 49.76 57.32 52.15 35.75 46.86 41.98 27.53 21.22 31.18 20.12 20.117
Payables Turnover 72.47 32.94 50.29 48.11 50.22 20.02 36.96 42.47 39.32 15.59 36.69 59.98 54.82 21.57 58.06 75.90 31.27 21.16 94.54 116.24 116.240
DSO 16 12 8 6 14 12 9 7 7 12 7 6 7 10 8 9 13 17 12 18 18.1 days
DIO 6 2 1 1 4 1 5 5 0 0 5 4 5 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 5 11 7 8 7 18 10 9 9 23 10 6 7 17 6 5 12 17 4 3 3.1 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 17 2 1 -1 10 -6 4 3 -2 -12 2 4 5 -7 2 4 7 -0 8 15 15.0 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 10.721
Cash Velocity snapshot only 6.855
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.132
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Revenue 10.0% 8.8% 11.7% 20.2% 28.1% 30.2% 17.3% 11.9% 5.2% 1.9% 19.4% 15.1% 17.3% 18.7% 6.2% 6.1% 2.6% -14.8% -22.7% -20.2% -20.21%
Net Income 86.1% 60.7% -13.8% -80.6% -4.3% -5.9% -5.9% -19.5% -8.1% 1.0% 94.3% 93.0% 1.0% 37.3% 2.3% 2.5% 5.5% 6.8% -1.9% -99.2% -99.16%
EPS 81.5% 57.9% -14.5% -80.9% -1.7% -6.1% -6.1% -19.8% -8.2% 1.0% 94.5% 93.1% 1.0% 36.8% 2.3% 2.5% 5.6% 19.0% -2.1% -98.9% -98.91%
FCF 44.4% 52.1% -5.1% -6.0% -15.9% -52.5% -95.8% -1.0% -94.0% -79.2% 18.7% 113.6% 32.9% -62.9% -1.0% -1.0% 13.0% 10.8% -18.1% -16.1% -16.14%
EBITDA 38.9% 45.5% 5.9% -51.3% -45.1% -3.3% -3.8% -5.8% -5.2% 1.2% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 71.3% -5.8% 22.4% 17.1% -15.9% -53.0% -54.1% -54.09%
Op. Income 40.2% 49.0% 12.6% -81.1% -100.0% -4.7% -5.7% -22.7% -29903.2% 1.0% 1.2% 1.1% 1.1% 2.9% -15.3% 56.1% 1.9% 9.6% -96.5% -67.6% -67.64%
OCF Growth snapshot only -1.77%
Asset Growth snapshot only -19.49%
Equity Growth snapshot only 8.64%
Debt Growth snapshot only -47.41%
Shares Change snapshot only -22.84%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Revenue 3Y 13.7% 15.9% 18.2% 21.7% 16.3% 16.9% 13.7% 14.5% 14.0% 13.0% 16.1% 15.7% 16.5% 16.4% 14.2% 10.9% 8.2% 1.0% -0.6% -0.9% -0.88%
Revenue 5Y -0.5% -1.5% -1.0% 0.9% 4.3% 7.0% 6.9% 9.0% 14.6% 15.6% 18.2% 18.3% 14.2% 14.1% 13.3% 12.9% 12.3% 7.9% 5.1% 5.5% 5.55%
EPS 3Y — — — — — — — — — -79.1% — — -46.1% -39.8% -28.6% 25.0% 1.9% — — — —
EPS 5Y 11.5% 17.6% 15.1% -16.8% — — — — — — — — — — — — 13.5% -16.3% — -66.8% -66.78%
Net Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — -79.0% — — -46.4% -39.7% -29.1% 24.3% 1.7% — — — —
Net Income 5Y 15.6% 20.2% 18.5% -13.9% — — — — — — — — — — — — 13.4% -17.7% — -68.4% -68.44%
EBITDA 3Y 39.6% 45.5% 30.1% -2.0% -9.8% — — — — -10.6% 2.2% -3.7% 0.0% -5.7% -1.7% 30.9% 28.7% — — — —
EBITDA 5Y 1.5% 2.5% -0.1% -14.7% 25.2% — — — — 8.6% 17.3% 11.5% 6.0% 3.7% 4.6% 6.5% 10.2% 0.5% -13.9% -12.9% -12.88%
Gross Profit 3Y 9.0% 14.8% 18.2% 23.0% 20.3% 18.3% 12.8% 16.0% 15.8% 14.0% 18.1% 15.3% 15.5% 13.8% 11.4% 9.8% 8.7% -1.4% -5.0% -6.5% -6.52%
Gross Profit 5Y 2.6% 1.5% 1.7% 3.2% 5.9% 6.6% 4.7% 7.6% 12.0% 14.1% 18.3% 18.0% 15.2% 14.6% 13.3% 13.7% 14.2% 6.6% 1.4% 2.1% 2.09%
Op. Income 3Y 99.0% 1.1% 56.1% -17.8% -93.8% — — — — -44.1% -5.1% -19.3% -23.1% -23.2% -13.7% 63.2% 20.4% — — — —
Op. Income 5Y 1.7% 4.1% 2.0% -29.5% — — — — — 1.4% 23.6% 9.1% -3.8% -1.6% -0.7% 2.4% 13.0% -5.8% -52.0% -23.3% -23.29%
FCF 3Y 51.4% 21.7% 7.6% 3.1% 0.3% -10.7% -64.9% — -58.3% -46.8% -7.4% -18.0% -59.4% -66.8% — — 3.7% -3.2% — — —
FCF 5Y 1.6% 5.3% 3.0% 3.0% 10.3% 0.3% -40.5% — -29.5% -29.2% 0.8% -8.4% -39.6% -44.0% — — 6.2% -8.1% — — —
OCF 3Y 51.3% 23.8% 10.3% 6.1% 2.9% -3.8% -30.6% -27.5% -15.4% -13.0% 2.9% -5.7% -29.6% -36.4% -35.9% -36.7% 4.7% -4.6% — — —
OCF 5Y 2.1% 5.7% 3.3% 3.5% 10.7% 3.9% -11.3% -2.1% 7.7% -4.0% 8.4% 0.7% -15.5% -17.2% -22.6% -21.9% 7.9% -4.9% — — —
Assets 3Y -8.4% -5.5% 0.5% 1.2% 3.6% -1.9% -4.6% 1.9% 2.0% 3.5% 4.8% 3.5% 2.4% 0.3% -3.8% -3.9% -5.4% -4.4% -2.4% -8.1% -8.10%
Assets 5Y 0.4% 2.0% 5.8% 4.7% 5.4% 2.1% 0.8% 4.9% -3.9% -2.5% -1.0% -0.2% 0.9% 1.1% 1.6% 0.4% -0.8% -3.5% -4.0% -3.7% -3.68%
Equity 3Y 9.5% 9.5% 11.3% 12.0% 15.6% -13.6% -10.3% -12.1% -16.8% -16.6% -15.6% -16.8% -17.5% -19.5% -18.0% -16.4% 4.9% 12.8% 2.6% 4.0% 3.97%
Book Value 3Y 2.8% 3.3% 5.4% 6.4% 10.1% -15.1% -11.1% -13.7% -16.6% -16.8% -15.6% -17.4% -17.0% -19.6% -17.3% -15.9% 5.1% 15.4% 9.8% 13.5% 13.51%
Dividend 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Revenue Stability 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.23 0.49 0.71 0.84 0.96 0.96 0.98 1.00 0.96 0.95 0.98 0.99 0.97 0.68 0.41 0.45 0.453
Earnings Stability 0.11 0.19 0.25 0.11 0.69 0.15 0.11 0.09 0.17 0.05 0.06 0.04 0.07 0.00 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.001
Margin Stability 0.90 0.93 0.94 0.96 0.96 0.97 0.95 0.96 0.94 0.96 0.96 0.98 0.96 0.97 0.95 0.98 0.96 0.97 0.92 0.93 0.928
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.98 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.97 0.20 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness 0.40 0.53 0.85 0.00 0.96 — — — — — — — — 0.00 — — 0.00 0.93 — 0.00 0.000
ROE Trend 0.14 0.12 0.07 -0.04 0.01 -1.10 -0.92 -0.84 -1.18 0.46 0.32 0.32 0.53 0.55 0.49 0.49 0.61 0.01 -0.05 -0.01 -0.011
Gross Margin Trend 0.03 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.02 -0.01 -0.03 -0.00 -0.00 -0.01 0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 0.00 0.03 -0.03 -0.08 -0.07 -0.071
FCF Margin Trend 0.02 0.04 -0.03 -0.03 -0.04 -0.09 -0.15 -0.15 -0.14 -0.12 0.01 -0.01 -0.05 -0.04 -0.05 -0.03 0.09 0.05 -0.13 -0.06 -0.063
Sustainable Growth Rate 8.8% 10.6% 9.4% 2.4% 7.7% — — — — 0.1% — — 2.4% 4.2% 5.8% 7.8% 9.3% 3.9% — 0.1% 0.06%
Internal Growth Rate 5.3% 6.9% 6.0% 1.4% 4.7% — — — — 0.0% — — 0.7% 1.4% 2.0% 2.8% 5.2% 1.7% — 0.0% 0.03%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
OCF/Net Income 2.10 1.76 1.51 6.48 1.93 -0.21 -0.10 -0.12 -0.13 132.30 -6.06 -4.32 4.75 2.07 1.12 0.85 2.11 3.83 2.70 -78.89 -78.891
FCF/OCF 0.93 0.93 0.92 0.90 0.89 0.76 0.12 -0.01 0.11 0.21 0.69 0.61 0.18 0.13 -0.13 -0.06 0.86 0.79 1.16 1.32 1.318
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -103.975
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only -0.385
CapEx/Revenue 1.4% 1.4% 1.3% 1.4% 1.5% 2.2% 3.7% 4.3% 5.2% 5.2% 3.9% 3.7% 3.4% 2.9% 3.1% 2.8% 1.6% 1.6% 1.2% 0.8% 0.82%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.147
Accruals Ratio -0.06 -0.05 -0.03 -0.08 -0.04 -0.39 -0.32 -0.28 -0.35 -0.05 -0.12 -0.09 -0.03 -0.01 -0.00 0.00 -0.06 -0.05 0.04 0.02 0.021
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.042
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only -3.145
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.250
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — — — — 0.0% — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — 0.0% 0.00%
FCF Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — — 0.0% 0.0% — — —
Total Payout Ratio 16.6% 13.8% 14.7% 1.3% 70.4% — — — — 2.9% — — 21.2% 2.1% 1.6% 1.2% 70.3% 17.9% — 1412.9% 1412.93%
Div. Increase Streak — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 1.9% 2.7% 5.6% 5.4% 3.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 3.2% 3.9% 3.8% 2.9% 24.0% 37.5% 35.8% 35.76%
Net Buyback Yield 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 1.9% 2.7% 5.6% 5.4% 3.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 3.2% 3.9% 3.8% 2.9% 24.0% 37.5% 35.8% 35.76%
Total Shareholder Return 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 1.9% 2.7% 5.6% 5.4% 3.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 3.2% 3.9% 3.8% 2.9% 24.0% 37.5% 35.8% 35.76%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.98 0.96 1.11 -4.80 -2.85 1.00 0.85 0.92 1.14 -0.02 -0.87 -6.96 -5.31 2.30 1.46 1.39 0.81 0.64 1.60 0.03 0.028
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.77 0.82 0.78 -0.21 -7.23 1.07 1.06 1.08 1.09 -5.46 0.40 0.08 -0.03 0.10 0.21 0.26 0.73 0.58 -5.51 1.07 1.068
EBIT Margin 0.12 0.15 0.12 0.02 0.00 -0.41 -0.47 -0.37 -0.36 0.01 0.06 0.04 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.05 0.00 0.01 0.011
Asset Turnover 0.56 0.56 0.55 0.62 0.67 0.74 0.68 0.68 0.69 0.74 0.85 0.80 0.83 0.83 0.81 0.86 0.89 0.81 0.74 0.79 0.788
Equity Multiplier 1.74 1.65 1.67 1.71 1.71 2.05 1.95 2.23 2.30 3.12 2.67 3.02 3.27 3.18 2.92 2.91 1.88 2.36 2.40 2.39 2.388
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $1.01 $1.36 $1.27 $0.31 $1.00 $-6.89 $-6.46 $-5.72 $-7.13 $0.01 $-0.36 $-0.40 $0.16 $0.30 $0.46 $0.60 $1.05 $0.35 $-0.51 $0.01 $0.01
Book Value/Share $12.24 $13.49 $14.16 $13.05 $13.31 $6.82 $7.92 $7.48 $6.49 $7.02 $7.75 $7.37 $7.00 $7.01 $8.00 $7.77 $15.47 $10.48 $10.49 $10.93 $15.49
Tangible Book/Share $-4.75 $-3.37 $-6.51 $-6.78 $-6.39 $-7.26 $-5.95 $-8.77 $-9.66 $-8.67 $-7.72 $-8.21 $-8.51 $-8.10 $-7.33 $-7.77 $3.84 $-1.33 $-2.91 $-3.24 $-3.24
Revenue/Share $11.29 $11.71 $12.37 $13.77 $14.85 $15.80 $15.03 $15.60 $15.69 $15.68 $17.48 $17.70 $18.13 $18.38 $18.83 $19.11 $18.91 $17.45 $18.09 $19.76 $13.89
FCF/Share $1.97 $2.23 $1.76 $1.79 $1.70 $1.10 $0.08 $-0.01 $0.10 $0.22 $1.49 $1.05 $0.13 $0.08 $-0.07 $-0.03 $1.91 $1.07 $-1.60 $-0.67 $1.91
OCF/Share $2.13 $2.39 $1.92 $1.98 $1.92 $1.45 $0.63 $0.66 $0.92 $1.04 $2.17 $1.71 $0.75 $0.61 $0.52 $0.51 $2.22 $1.35 $-1.38 $-0.51 $2.22
Cash/Share $1.70 $3.02 $2.20 $2.00 $1.67 $3.52 $1.87 $3.15 $3.12 $3.91 $4.71 $3.80 $2.76 $2.90 $3.52 $1.90 $5.49 $3.25 $2.80 $2.88 $5.50
EBITDA/Share $1.97 $2.30 $2.07 $0.98 $1.11 $-5.39 $-6.07 $-4.74 $-4.65 $1.14 $2.11 $1.79 $2.01 $1.93 $2.01 $2.23 $2.39 $1.81 $1.17 $1.33 $1.33
Debt/Share $5.24 $5.43 $7.96 $8.08 $8.31 $9.86 $8.74 $12.34 $12.33 $12.09 $12.01 $12.18 $12.14 $11.91 $12.16 $11.65 $0.74 $4.43 $7.53 $7.94 $7.94
Net Debt/Share $3.54 $2.41 $5.76 $6.08 $6.64 $6.34 $6.87 $9.19 $9.21 $8.18 $7.30 $8.38 $9.38 $9.01 $8.64 $9.75 $-4.76 $1.18 $4.73 $5.06 $5.06
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.998
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -0.080
Piotroski F-Score 8 8 4 5 6 4 4 6 6 5 6 5 6 5 7 7 9 6 2 4 4
Beneish M-Score -0.52 -1.99 -0.95 -1.64 -2.94 -4.39 -4.67 -4.27 -4.46 -2.66 -2.68 -2.24 -2.06 -2.46 -2.45 -2.17 -1.91 -1.07 -1.85 -1.82 -1.816
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -6.132
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-6.39
EVA snapshot only $-58534854.20
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only B
Credit Score 56.16 67.15 49.92 28.10 26.36 24.95 25.77 25.74 23.65 19.61 32.27 27.43 26.21 29.05 32.22 34.46 80.89 47.16 25.61 27.21 27.214
Credit Grade snapshot only 15
Credit Trend snapshot only -7.243
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 750.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 16
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 13

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