— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice

AZPN NASDAQ

Aspen Technology, Inc.
1W: -0.2% 1M: -0.4% 3M: +5.1% 1Y: +28.6% 3Y: +82.9% 5Y: +157.0%
$264.33
Last traded 2025-03-12 — delisted
NASDAQ · Technology · Software - Application · $16.7B mcap · 27M float · 2.66% daily turnover

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NO EDGE
39.1 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Network Effects  ·  ROIC: -0.4%  ·  5Y Avg: 12.9%
Cost Advantage
31
Intangibles
41
Switching Cost
34
Network Effect
72
Scale
22
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. AZPN has No discernible competitive edge (39.1/100). The business operates without significant structural advantages. The primary source of advantage is Network Effects. Negative ROIC of -0.4% indicates the company is currently destroying value, though this may reflect a growth investment phase.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 10Hold: 8Sell: 2Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$—
Analysts0
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2024-11-05 Piper Sandler Clarke Jeffries $195 $217 +22 -9.6% $239.99
2024-09-19 Loop Capital Markets Mark Schappel $225 $260 +35 +10.2% $236.00
2024-09-18 Robert W. Baird David Manthey $250 $345 +95 +49.9% $230.09
2024-09-18 Robert W. Baird Rob Oliver $230 $250 +20 +7.0% $233.54
2024-05-16 Berenberg Bank Nay Soe Naing $210 $255 +45 +19.2% $213.88
2024-05-15 Robert W. Baird Rob Oliver Initiated $230 — +10.0% $209.06
2023-04-27 Piper Sandler Clarke Jeffries $240 $195 -45 +11.6% $174.70
2023-01-11 Berenberg Bank — Initiated $210 — +3.9% $202.07
2022-09-19 Piper Sandler Weston Twigg $189 $240 +51 +6.0% $226.37
2022-06-28 Piper Sandler Weston Twigg Initiated $189 — -1.8% $192.54
2022-06-15 Loop Capital Markets — Initiated $225 — +22.1% $184.31
2022-05-17 Morgan Stanley Brian Nowak Initiated $195 — +6.0% $184.00

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 70 Grade A
Profitability
27
Balance Sheet
76
Earnings Quality
70
Growth
54
Value
53
Momentum
85
Safety
100
Cash Flow
91
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. AZPN scores highest in Safety (100/100) and lowest in Profitability (27/100). An overall grade of A places AZPN among the highest-quality companies in its peer group.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
8.33
Safe Zone
Piotroski F-Score
9/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-2.41
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-11.40
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
A+
Score: 77.6/100
Trend: Stable
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 53.03x
Accruals: -2.3%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. AZPN scores 8.33, placing it in the Safe Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Bankruptcy is statistically unlikely within the next two years. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. AZPN scores 9/9, signaling strong financial health across all three dimensions. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. AZPN's score of -2.41 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. AZPN's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. AZPN receives an estimated rating of A+ (score: 77.6/100), with a stable trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). AZPN's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-1762.20x
PEG
-0.31x
P/S
14.84x
P/B
1.31x
P/FCF
49.81x
P/OCF
48.86x
EV/EBITDA
47.45x
EV/Revenue
13.85x
EV/EBIT
-349.64x
EV/FCF
49.54x
Earnings Yield
0.04%
FCF Yield
2.01%
Shareholder Yield
0.86%
Graham Number
$20.86
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. AZPN currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $20.86 per share, 1167% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
-0.412
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.329
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
-0.040
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.081
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.099
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
0.0%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. AZPN's ROE of 0.0% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.081), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of -0.41 suggests the company retains less than 60% of pre-tax earnings after taxes.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$0.82
Price/Value
304.83x
Margin of Safety
-30383.38%
Premium
30383.38%
Assessment
Overvalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with AZPN's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. AZPN trades at a 30383% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $0.82, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of -1762.2x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$264.33
Median 1Y
$294.91
5th Pctile
$159.71
95th Pctile
$542.02
Ann. Volatility
37.5%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Current
ROE 57.2% 50.9% 47.1% 57.9% 57.6% 49.4% 54.4% 38.5% 36.1% 3.3% 1.8% 0.1% -0.6% -0.5% -0.3% -0.0% -0.2% -0.1% -0.3% 0.0% 0.05%
ROA 22.4% 21.1% 18.6% 26.0% 25.7% 23.8% 25.3% 20.0% 19.7% 2.8% 1.6% 0.1% -0.5% -0.5% -0.3% -0.0% -0.2% -0.1% -0.3% 0.0% 0.04%
ROIC 32.2% 30.8% 29.8% 36.6% 40.2% 39.7% 39.5% 29.7% 31.0% 1.6% 0.7% -0.0% -0.6% -0.8% -0.8% -0.6% -0.8% -0.6% -0.8% -0.4% -0.42%
ROCE 31.9% 29.3% 27.0% 32.9% 32.8% 29.9% 29.6% 15.8% 8.1% 0.2% -0.0% -0.5% -1.0% -1.2% -1.3% -1.2% -0.8% -0.6% -0.8% -0.3% -0.33%
Gross Margin 88.1% 92.4% 86.5% 93.9% 90.1% 92.8% 89.1% 91.3% 92.7% 70.3% 61.7% 59.2% 70.2% 70.2% 60.7% 63.1% 44.4% 50.4% 55.8% 68.9% 68.95%
Operating Margin 35.0% 57.0% 29.7% 63.9% 42.3% 53.5% 29.3% 40.0% 43.0% 16.4% -24.5% -34.1% 1.9% 1.9% -24.2% -19.1% -6.9% 11.4% -44.5% 3.0% 2.96%
Net Margin 33.0% 49.0% 28.5% 55.3% 38.4% 48.2% 29.0% 36.1% 40.0% 23.9% -27.3% -25.1% 8.5% 8.5% -13.8% -8.4% 0.6% 13.0% -28.0% 6.7% 6.70%
EBITDA Margin 41.7% 63.1% 38.0% 68.9% 49.2% 59.4% 12.3% 13.7% 10.1% 51.7% 8.7% 27.5% 13.9% 46.5% 26.7% 28.7% 39.0% 52.7% 16.0% 3.0% 2.96%
FCF Margin 38.7% 41.0% 46.0% 37.3% 38.1% 38.6% 37.0% 41.0% 36.9% 20.7% 19.9% 28.5% 27.8% 35.9% 32.9% 23.4% 26.6% 29.6% 28.4% 28.0% 27.97%
OCF Margin 39.0% 41.2% 46.3% 37.5% 38.4% 38.9% 37.3% 41.3% 37.3% 21.1% 20.4% 29.1% 28.5% 36.6% 33.5% 23.9% 27.0% 30.0% 29.0% 28.5% 28.51%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 0.03%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 16.78%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 0.03%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only -0.13%
ROIC Economic snapshot only -0.41%
Cash ROA snapshot only 2.33%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 2.56%
CROIC snapshot only 2.51%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only -4.65%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -1.30%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 17.31%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 54.59%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 4.72%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Current
P/E Ratio 28.00 31.22 40.66 29.33 30.68 29.44 13.62 21.27 23.11 39.54 119.98 1561.90 -376.14 -156.91 -349.22 -10042.31 -499.90 -1290.09 -422.96 2591.09 -1762.200
P/S Ratio 11.07 11.94 15.10 13.07 13.90 13.27 6.09 8.25 9.06 12.58 18.26 14.72 14.33 9.75 11.70 12.19 12.28 11.18 13.81 13.93 14.842
P/B Ratio 16.86 14.27 16.98 13.59 13.48 11.76 6.43 7.97 8.11 0.70 1.17 1.01 1.13 0.83 1.01 1.09 1.06 0.98 1.18 1.24 1.314
P/FCF 28.58 29.14 32.84 35.05 36.47 34.39 16.44 20.13 24.53 60.86 91.79 51.73 51.59 27.14 35.58 52.16 46.21 37.79 48.55 49.81 49.810
P/OCF 28.39 28.97 32.61 34.81 36.23 34.09 16.33 19.99 24.32 59.69 89.48 50.66 50.36 26.63 34.94 51.07 45.47 37.27 47.68 48.86 48.863
EV/EBITDA 23.04 24.23 31.62 23.37 24.11 23.28 12.06 23.63 35.69 50.02 81.52 57.45 57.92 38.42 40.33 41.74 33.88 29.00 37.65 47.45 47.454
EV/Revenue 11.55 12.24 15.36 13.25 13.92 13.20 6.19 8.41 9.10 12.45 18.13 14.48 14.16 9.59 11.65 12.16 12.21 11.06 13.69 13.85 13.854
EV/EBIT 23.78 24.32 31.77 23.46 24.20 23.89 13.43 31.52 64.19 299.47 -2184.43 -196.86 -103.01 -64.22 -74.39 -84.43 -127.15 -164.31 -144.18 -349.64 -349.645
EV/FCF 29.81 29.88 33.39 35.53 36.53 34.20 16.72 20.52 24.65 60.22 91.14 50.89 50.98 26.71 35.43 52.04 45.93 37.37 48.15 49.54 49.540
Earnings Yield 3.6% 3.2% 2.5% 3.4% 3.3% 3.4% 7.3% 4.7% 4.3% 2.5% 0.8% 0.1% -0.3% -0.6% -0.3% -0.0% -0.2% -0.1% -0.2% 0.0% 0.04%
FCF Yield 3.5% 3.4% 3.0% 2.9% 2.7% 2.9% 6.1% 5.0% 4.1% 1.6% 1.1% 1.9% 1.9% 3.7% 2.8% 1.9% 2.2% 2.6% 2.1% 2.0% 2.01%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 34.486
EV/OCF snapshot only 48.598
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 25.237
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.86%
Graham Number snapshot only $20.86
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Current
Current Ratio 2.29 2.96 2.89 4.94 5.42 5.43 3.39 3.40 4.07 3.48 1.73 2.47 2.36 2.36 2.26 1.91 2.32 2.60 3.11 3.33 3.327
Quick Ratio 2.29 2.95 2.89 4.94 5.42 5.33 3.39 3.40 4.07 3.48 1.73 2.45 2.33 2.33 2.21 1.90 2.32 2.60 3.11 3.33 3.327
Debt/Equity 1.22 0.95 0.91 0.52 0.45 0.41 0.47 0.46 0.41 0.03 0.03 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.007
Net Debt/Equity 0.72 0.36 0.28 0.19 0.02 -0.06 0.11 0.16 0.04 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.007
Debt/Assets 0.42 0.38 0.37 0.26 0.24 0.23 0.25 0.24 0.23 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.007
Debt/EBITDA 1.60 1.57 1.67 0.88 0.81 0.82 0.87 1.34 1.78 1.93 1.80 0.31 0.27 0.25 0.20 0.29 0.24 0.23 0.25 0.29 0.287
Net Debt/EBITDA 0.95 0.60 0.52 0.31 0.04 -0.12 0.21 0.45 0.16 -0.53 -0.59 -0.95 -0.68 -0.62 -0.17 -0.10 -0.21 -0.32 -0.31 -0.26 -0.259
Interest Coverage 24.20 25.05 25.19 39.01 50.27 54.11 62.14 52.55 51.04 7.90 -1.94 -18.53 -40.07 — — — — — — — —
Equity Multiplier 2.93 2.50 2.47 1.97 1.87 1.82 1.91 1.88 1.78 1.14 1.13 1.11 1.11 1.11 1.10 1.11 1.10 1.10 1.09 1.09 1.091
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.677
Cash to Debt snapshot only 1.902
FCF to Debt snapshot only 3.336
Defensive Interval snapshot only 455.8 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Current
Asset Turnover 0.57 0.55 0.50 0.58 0.57 0.53 0.57 0.52 0.50 0.09 0.10 0.11 0.13 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.081
Inventory Turnover — 25.75 — — — 7.11 — — — 15.63 — 71.43 61.88 66.18 50.00 72.31 77.59 90.63 67.24 340.54 340.540
Receivables Turnover 10.95 11.34 11.27 13.83 12.82 13.04 16.05 16.29 14.11 2.48 2.57 3.02 3.66 2.16 2.09 2.19 2.14 2.22 2.22 3.67 3.674
Payables Turnover 15.33 12.47 9.14 20.47 16.01 14.40 17.08 15.95 10.75 8.88 24.35 30.78 37.79 18.12 28.33 26.05 41.41 36.46 37.66 37.11 37.114
DSO 33 32 32 26 28 28 23 22 26 147 142 121 100 169 175 167 171 164 165 99 99.4 days
DIO 0 14 0 0 0 51 0 0 0 23 0 5 6 6 7 5 5 4 5 1 1.1 days
DPO 24 29 40 18 23 25 21 23 34 41 15 12 10 20 13 14 9 10 10 10 9.8 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 10 17 -8 9 6 54 1 -0 -8 129 127 114 96 154 169 158 167 158 160 91 90.6 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 10.449
Operating Cycle snapshot only 100.4 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 6.273
Capital Intensity snapshot only 12.221
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Current
Revenue 11.0% -1.4% -7.6% 12.9% 21.2% 20.2% 27.9% -1.8% -2.5% 3.5% 15.1% 34.6% 48.9% 51.8% 33.3% 27.6% 7.1% 1.2% -2.4% -0.6% -0.64%
Net Income 17.8% -14.1% -21.7% 21.2% 38.8% 41.7% 53.9% -14.5% -15.6% -27.0% -60.8% -96.7% -1.1% -1.3% -1.3% -1.2% 31.0% 85.9% 4.8% 5.4% 5.40%
EPS 20.7% -12.3% -20.5% 22.0% 38.6% 40.8% 1.9% 61.2% 52.1% -0.6% -78.0% -98.2% -1.1% -1.2% -1.3% -1.2% 29.9% 85.6% 3.2% 5.4% 5.41%
FCF -1.5% 2.2% 6.8% 7.8% 19.2% 13.2% 3.0% 8.0% -5.5% -44.6% -38.2% -6.5% 12.0% 1.6% 1.2% 4.8% 2.4% -16.6% -15.5% 18.9% 18.92%
EBITDA 17.1% -6.8% -18.1% 21.0% 39.6% 34.9% 35.3% -38.3% -56.9% -54.6% -50.2% -4.7% 42.8% 52.2% 73.1% 47.5% 57.8% 54.6% 22.9% -0.4% -0.43%
Op. Income 10.8% -12.0% -19.6% 26.7% 48.6% 44.0% 54.5% -17.6% -19.4% -36.3% -64.6% -1.1% -1.3% -1.6% -2.0% -4.4% -32.4% 28.9% 1.1% 31.2% 31.21%
OCF Growth snapshot only 18.68%
Asset Growth snapshot only -2.05%
Equity Growth snapshot only -0.56%
Debt Growth snapshot only -2.07%
Shares Change snapshot only -0.10%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -1.00%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Current
Revenue 3Y 7.4% 6.9% 5.5% 11.5% 12.6% 12.4% 14.2% 9.7% 9.5% 7.1% 10.8% 14.3% 20.7% 23.6% 25.2% 19.1% 15.9% 16.7% 14.4% 19.5% 19.51%
Revenue 5Y 6.5% 6.0% 4.7% 7.9% 8.5% 8.5% 9.1% 7.2% 7.9% 8.7% 11.6% 12.9% 15.7% 17.4% 17.9% 17.8% 15.9% 13.5% 12.1% 13.6% 13.61%
EPS 3Y 22.3% 15.2% 12.2% 25.7% 27.4% 31.4% 62.1% 43.2% 36.5% 7.1% -20.3% -66.9% — — — — — — — -76.2% -76.19%
EPS 5Y 21.1% 19.1% 15.7% 22.9% 23.3% 21.5% 38.9% 31.9% 31.0% 16.4% -2.1% -43.3% — — — — — — — -51.6% -51.61%
Net Income 3Y 18.0% 11.6% 9.4% 23.0% 25.0% 29.1% 29.0% 14.4% 11.4% -3.8% -22.1% -67.6% — — — — — — — -71.3% -71.29%
Net Income 5Y 15.2% 13.8% 10.9% 18.0% 18.6% 18.0% 18.8% 13.4% 14.0% 7.6% -4.6% -44.6% — — — — — — — -52.4% -52.37%
EBITDA 3Y 9.7% 10.6% 8.4% 25.1% 28.0% 26.8% 25.7% 2.0% -11.0% -17.0% -17.9% -10.7% -5.0% -2.3% 5.3% -4.6% -1.0% 2.2% 2.0% 11.9% 11.87%
EBITDA 5Y 10.7% 9.9% 7.0% 13.2% 14.0% 13.0% 11.5% 1.7% -4.5% -3.7% -3.0% 2.9% 5.2% 7.1% 11.4% 8.3% 9.7% 6.1% 3.3% 0.9% 0.89%
Gross Profit 3Y 7.2% 6.7% 5.2% 12.0% 13.2% 13.1% 15.1% 10.3% 10.3% 4.7% 5.1% 5.0% 9.0% 11.7% 13.1% 7.2% 0.6% -2.1% -4.8% 1.0% 0.99%
Gross Profit 5Y 6.8% 6.2% 4.8% 8.3% 8.9% 8.9% 9.6% 7.4% 8.3% 7.3% 8.2% 7.3% 8.7% 10.4% 10.9% 11.0% 6.9% 2.4% 0.7% 2.9% 2.93%
Op. Income 3Y 5.1% 5.5% 3.8% 18.0% 20.8% 19.6% 23.5% 11.8% 9.9% -6.9% -23.9% — — — — — — — — — —
Op. Income 5Y 7.7% 6.7% 4.3% 11.4% 11.8% 11.1% 11.6% 6.1% 6.8% 1.5% -9.3% — — — — — — — — — —
FCF 3Y 14.8% 10.5% 16.5% 11.8% 10.7% 9.9% 10.7% 8.4% 3.5% -13.8% -12.1% 2.9% 8.1% 18.3% 11.9% 1.9% 2.7% 6.8% 4.8% 5.2% 5.21%
FCF 5Y 3.8% 5.6% 9.8% 10.8% 11.4% 12.8% 11.4% 10.7% 11.2% -3.3% 0.1% 7.1% 7.5% 14.2% 13.0% 4.5% 4.9% 7.1% 4.8% 6.3% 6.28%
OCF 3Y 14.1% 10.1% 16.2% 11.6% 10.7% 10.1% 10.8% 8.6% 3.6% -13.4% -11.6% 3.3% 8.7% 18.8% 12.4% 2.4% 3.1% 7.0% 5.2% 5.6% 5.64%
OCF 5Y 3.1% 4.8% 9.2% 10.2% 10.9% 12.4% 11.0% 10.4% 10.9% -3.2% 0.4% 7.3% 7.9% 14.5% 13.4% 4.9% 5.1% 7.3% 5.0% 6.5% 6.49%
Assets 3Y 66.7% 70.7% 83.7% 87.4% 77.4% 76.4% 12.0% 11.0% 13.7% 1.5% 1.4% 1.4% 1.3% 1.3% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.1% 1.2% 1.2% 1.20%
Assets 5Y 28.9% 31.3% 36.3% 36.0% 25.6% 28.2% 35.4% 37.3% 41.4% 1.3% 1.4% 1.4% 1.3% 1.2% 72.2% 71.7% 71.9% 73.2% 68.6% 67.9% 67.90%
Equity 3Y — — — — — — 13.5% 17.0% 22.1% 2.2% 2.2% 2.2% 2.2% 2.0% 1.9% 1.7% 1.6% 1.5% 1.6% 1.6% 1.64%
Book Value 3Y — — — — — — 42.6% 46.4% 49.7% 2.6% 2.3% 2.3% 2.3% 2.0% 2.0% 1.8% 1.7% 1.6% 1.2% 1.2% 1.19%
Dividend 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Current
Revenue Stability 0.95 0.87 0.70 0.82 0.80 0.86 0.76 0.89 0.89 0.93 0.85 0.85 0.79 0.79 0.88 0.86 0.88 0.82 0.89 0.88 0.880
Earnings Stability 0.95 0.73 0.64 0.88 0.88 0.80 0.75 0.81 0.84 0.49 0.04 0.06 0.09 0.18 0.28 0.44 0.47 0.61 0.74 0.75 0.751
Margin Stability 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.97 0.93 0.89 0.87 0.88 0.87 0.85 0.81 0.79 0.78 0.79 0.790
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 1.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.93 0.94 0.91 0.92 0.84 0.83 0.50 0.94 0.94 0.89 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.200
Earnings Smoothness 0.84 0.85 0.76 0.81 0.67 0.66 0.58 0.84 0.83 0.69 0.13 0.00 — — — — — — — — —
ROE Trend — — -0.09 -0.06 -0.09 -0.16 -0.08 -0.18 -0.17 -0.41 -0.43 -0.42 -0.40 -0.21 -0.24 -0.19 -0.18 -0.01 -0.01 0.00 0.000
Gross Margin Trend -0.00 -0.01 -0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.01 -0.06 -0.13 -0.21 -0.26 -0.22 -0.19 -0.14 -0.19 -0.21 -0.19 -0.13 -0.133
FCF Margin Trend -0.03 0.01 0.06 -0.03 -0.03 -0.02 -0.06 0.03 -0.01 -0.19 -0.22 -0.11 -0.10 0.06 0.04 -0.11 -0.06 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.021
Sustainable Growth Rate 57.2% 50.0% 46.2% 57.2% 56.9% 49.4% 54.4% 38.5% 36.1% 3.3% 1.8% 0.1% — — — — — — — 0.0% 0.05%
Internal Growth Rate 28.9% 26.2% 22.4% 34.5% 34.1% 31.2% 34.0% 25.0% 24.6% 2.9% 1.6% 0.1% — — — — — — — 0.0% 0.04%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Current
OCF/Net Income 0.99 1.08 1.25 0.84 0.85 0.86 0.83 1.06 0.95 0.66 1.34 30.83 -7.47 -5.89 -10.00 -196.64 -10.99 -34.61 -8.87 53.03 53.027
FCF/OCF 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.97 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.99 0.98 0.98 0.981
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 52.019
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.976
CapEx/Revenue 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.54%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.016
Accruals Ratio 0.00 -0.02 -0.05 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.04 -0.01 0.01 0.01 -0.01 -0.03 -0.04 -0.03 -0.03 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.03 -0.02 -0.023
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.006
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 52.607
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.4% 2.0% 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.60%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.06 $0.06 $0.06 $0.06 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $4.07 $4.10 $4.14 $4.14 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $1.57
Payout Ratio 0.0% 1.8% 1.9% 1.3% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — — — — — — — 0.0% 0.00%
FCF Payout Ratio 0.0% 1.7% 1.5% 1.6% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 66.0% 71.7% 98.4% 89.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Payout Ratio 97.3% 69.3% 49.8% 18.3% 1.8% 14.3% 61.3% 1.1% 1.0% 1.0% 62.3% 0.0% — — — — — — — 22.2% 22.24%
Div. Increase Streak — 0 0 0 0 — — — — — — — — 0 0 0 0 — — — —
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield 3.5% 2.2% 1.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.5% 4.5% 5.1% 4.5% 2.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.9% 1.6% 2.0% 2.5% 2.4% 1.4% 0.9% 0.86%
Net Buyback Yield 3.4% 2.0% 1.1% 0.5% -0.1% 0.4% 4.2% 4.6% 4.2% 2.3% 0.3% -0.2% -0.3% 0.6% 1.4% 1.9% 2.4% 2.2% 1.2% 0.7% 0.68%
Total Shareholder Return 3.4% 2.1% 1.1% 0.5% -0.1% 0.4% 4.2% 4.6% 4.2% 2.3% 0.3% -0.2% -0.3% 3.0% 3.4% 3.8% 4.3% 2.2% 1.2% 0.7% 0.68%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.87 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.82 0.83 0.83 0.84 0.85 0.92 0.67 0.23 1.37 1.30 0.42 0.03 0.37 0.22 0.52 -0.41 -0.412
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.94 0.91 0.93 0.96 0.96 0.98 1.16 1.73 3.27 8.36 -27.57 -0.55 0.20 0.32 0.50 0.27 0.70 0.58 0.66 0.33 0.329
EBIT Margin 0.49 0.50 0.48 0.56 0.58 0.55 0.46 0.27 0.14 0.04 -0.01 -0.07 -0.14 -0.15 -0.16 -0.14 -0.10 -0.07 -0.09 -0.04 -0.040
Asset Turnover 0.57 0.55 0.50 0.58 0.57 0.53 0.57 0.52 0.50 0.09 0.10 0.11 0.13 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.081
Equity Multiplier 2.55 2.41 2.53 2.23 2.24 2.08 2.15 1.93 1.83 1.18 1.17 1.15 1.15 1.12 1.12 1.11 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.099
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $3.39 $3.31 $3.11 $4.43 $4.69 $4.66 $8.99 $7.14 $7.14 $4.63 $1.98 $0.13 $-0.61 $-1.07 $-0.58 $-0.02 $-0.43 $-0.15 $-0.56 $0.10 $0.10
Book Value/Share $5.62 $7.24 $7.44 $9.56 $10.68 $11.67 $19.07 $19.05 $20.35 $261.27 $203.45 $203.02 $201.72 $201.27 $200.98 $201.72 $200.79 $201.40 $201.65 $200.78 $201.11
Tangible Book/Share $3.01 $4.59 $4.76 $6.53 $7.69 $8.67 $13.55 $13.62 $15.19 $-4.17 $-1.30 $0.16 $1.24 $1.24 $0.76 $1.42 $2.74 $4.71 $5.68 $7.24 $7.24
Revenue/Share $8.57 $8.66 $8.36 $9.94 $10.36 $10.34 $20.12 $18.40 $18.20 $14.56 $13.01 $13.92 $15.93 $17.15 $17.42 $18.02 $17.32 $17.72 $17.30 $17.92 $17.70
FCF/Share $3.32 $3.55 $3.85 $3.71 $3.95 $3.99 $7.45 $7.54 $6.72 $3.01 $2.59 $3.96 $4.43 $6.16 $5.73 $4.21 $4.60 $5.24 $4.92 $5.01 $5.26
OCF/Share $3.34 $3.57 $3.87 $3.73 $3.97 $4.02 $7.50 $7.60 $6.78 $3.07 $2.66 $4.04 $4.53 $6.28 $5.83 $4.30 $4.68 $5.32 $5.01 $5.11 $5.33
Cash/Share $2.81 $4.22 $4.65 $3.18 $4.62 $5.54 $6.83 $5.82 $7.49 $8.92 $6.90 $4.44 $3.72 $3.71 $1.87 $2.05 $2.78 $3.72 $3.50 $2.86 $3.72
EBITDA/Share $4.29 $4.37 $4.06 $5.64 $5.98 $5.86 $10.34 $6.55 $4.64 $3.62 $2.89 $3.51 $3.90 $4.28 $5.03 $5.25 $6.24 $6.76 $6.29 $5.23 $5.23
Debt/Share $6.87 $6.86 $6.77 $4.95 $4.85 $4.80 $8.95 $8.79 $8.25 $7.00 $5.21 $1.09 $1.06 $1.05 $1.01 $1.53 $1.49 $1.54 $1.55 $1.50 $1.50
Net Debt/Share $4.07 $2.64 $2.12 $1.77 $0.23 $-0.73 $2.13 $2.97 $0.76 $-1.92 $-1.69 $-3.35 $-2.67 $-2.66 $-0.86 $-0.52 $-1.29 $-2.18 $-1.95 $-1.35 $-1.35
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 8.335
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 14.634
Piotroski F-Score 6 6 5 8 7 7 8 5 5 4 4 4 3 4 6 5 5 6 5 9 9
Beneish M-Score -2.51 -2.50 -2.67 -1.85 -2.20 -2.28 -2.19 -2.54 -2.34 -1.20 -1.02 -1.34 -1.33 -2.62 -2.77 -2.62 -2.23 -2.30 -2.45 -2.41 -2.415
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -11.401
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only -6.16%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-4.19
EVA snapshot only $-1322069560.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only A+
Credit Score 90.83 90.45 89.70 94.40 94.13 94.42 94.24 92.17 93.72 82.19 65.14 69.69 68.75 78.85 78.20 78.46 77.88 78.40 77.49 77.60 77.604
Credit Grade snapshot only 5
Credit Trend snapshot only -0.857
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 125.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 66
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 63

Sign in to InsiderStreet

You'll also get our free weekly newsletter with
smart money signals, market insights, and alpha ideas.
Unsubscribe anytime.

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms