Also trades as: AZUL54.SA (SAO) · $vol 9306M · AZUL4.SA (SAO) · $vol 275M · AZUL3.SA (SAO) · $vol 0M
AZUL NYSE
Azul S.A.
1W: -47.1%
1M: -50.4%
3M: -59.6%
YTD: -61.0%
1Y: +24.4%
3Y: -64.6%
5Y: -72.4%
$3.46
-0.59 (-14.57%)
Weekly Expected Move ±10.7%
$5
$5
$6
$7
$7
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 99% of companies Debt: 86.2% of company value Bonds: none of note held by US funds details ▾
On these numbers the stock market already values Azul S.A. at less than the debt the model counts.
Total debt $4.00B against a stock market value of $637.6M.
Distance to default -1.59 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $1.53B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 311.1%. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.
Total debt $4.00B against a stock market value of $637.6M.
Distance to default -1.59 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $1.53B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 311.1%. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.
Overview
Chart
Smart Money
Financials
Income Statement
Cash Flow
Balance Sheet
Earnings
Analysis
Technicals
Weather
Peers
ESG
Institutions
ETF Exposure
Dark Pool
Short Interest
Oct Typical
⛈️
Stormy
-13.8% YTD avg
Midterm Year
⛈️
Stormy
-5.5% YTD avg
2026 Now
⛈️
Stormy
Below typical
20yr Avg YTD
-13.8%
Day 89 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
-5.5%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
-61.0%
Below 20yr avg
Typical Vol
77%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
💨
+12.6%
Midterm
☀️
+22.0%
62% win
60% vol
Feb
20yr
⛈️
-5.7%
Midterm
☀️
+17.6%
12% win
57% vol
Mar
20yr
💨
-1.4%
Midterm
☀️
+26.0%
50% win
132% vol
Apr
20yr
⛈️
-14.4%
Midterm
☀️
+8.9%
22% win
84% vol
May
20yr
⛈️
-8.6%
Midterm
⛈️
-11.6%
33% win
85% vol
Jun
20yr
💨
-8.9%
Midterm
⛈️
-40.2%
50% win
2083% vol
Jul
20yr
💨
-5.4%
Midterm
⛈️
-36.3%
60% win
57% vol
Aug
20yr
⛈️
-13.0%
Midterm
⛈️
-30.6%
22% win
63% vol
Sep
20yr
💨
-19.5%
Midterm
⛈️
-32.8%
67% win
78% vol
Oct
20yr
⛈️
-19.6%
Midterm
⛈️
-17.4%
33% win
77% vol
Now:
-56.8%
Nov
20yr
💨
-13.2%
Midterm
⛈️
-18.5%
38% win
71% vol
Dec
20yr
⛈️
-3.2%
Midterm
⛈️
-6.2%
50% win
58% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: -61.0%