Also trades as: 9988.HK (HKSE) · $vol 1132M · BABA (NYSE) · $vol 1112M · AHLA.DE (XETRA) · $vol 3M · AHLA.F (FSX) · $vol 2M · 89988.HK (HKSE) · $vol 1M · BABA.SW (SIX) · $vol 0M · 2RR.F (FSX) · $vol 0M
BABAF OTC
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
1W: -7.5%
1M: -8.4%
3M: -14.5%
YTD: -35.7%
1Y: -43.3%
3Y: +30.1%
5Y: -41.1%
$12.50
-0.25 (-1.94%)
Weekly Expected Move ±9.9%
$10
$11
$12
$14
$15
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 64% of companies Debt: 13.8% of company value Bonds: none of note held by US funds details ▾
If the stock fell to about $0.19 (down 99%), Alibaba Group Holding Limited would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $40.06B against a stock market value of $249.37B.
Distance to default 6.68 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $22.33B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 40.2%; Altman Z'' 3.47. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.
Total debt $40.06B against a stock market value of $249.37B.
Distance to default 6.68 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $22.33B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 40.2%; Altman Z'' 3.47. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.
Overview
Chart
Smart Money
Financials
Income Statement
Cash Flow
Balance Sheet
Earnings
Analysis
Technicals
Weather
Peers
ESG
Institutions
Dark Pool
Short Interest
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+16.9% YTD avg
Midterm Year
⛈️
Stormy
-43.7% YTD avg
2026 Now
⛈️
Stormy
Below typical
20yr Avg YTD
+16.9%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
-43.7%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
-35.7%
Below 20yr avg
Typical Vol
58%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
💨
+7.5%
Midterm
☀️
+5.8%
71% win
57% vol
Feb
20yr
⛈️
+6.7%
Midterm
⛈️
-12.3%
43% win
75% vol
Mar
20yr
⛈️
+7.8%
Midterm
⛈️
-7.4%
43% win
83% vol
Apr
20yr
⛈️
+0.5%
Midterm
⛈️
-16.6%
57% win
66% vol
May
20yr
⛈️
-0.7%
Midterm
⛈️
-22.5%
29% win
67% vol
Jun
20yr
💨
+3.3%
Midterm
🌧️
-4.6%
71% win
62% vol
Jul
20yr
💨
+6.7%
Midterm
⛈️
-25.0%
71% win
66% vol
Aug
20yr
💨
+9.6%
Midterm
⛈️
-22.5%
71% win
61% vol
Sep
20yr
💨
+18.9%
Midterm
⛈️
-34.8%
43% win
64% vol
Oct
20yr
⛈️
+17.1%
Midterm
⛈️
-46.0%
29% win
58% vol
Now:
-4.9%
Nov
20yr
⛈️
+8.3%
Midterm
⛈️
-29.3%
14% win
59% vol
Dec
20yr
⛈️
-2.6%
Midterm
💨
+2.5%
43% win
68% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: -35.7%