BBAI NYSE
BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.
1W: +0.0%
1M: -24.3%
3M: -23.2%
YTD: -63.7%
1Y: -68.7%
3Y: +57.0%
5Y: -78.7%
$2.36
+0.24 (+11.32%)
After Hours: $2.40 (+0.04, +1.48%)
Weekly Expected Move ±8.3%
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Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 52% of companies Debt: 2.2% of company value Bonds: none of note held by US funds details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $0.01 (down 99.4%), BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $22.8M against a stock market value of $1.02B.
Distance to default 4.97 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $19.3M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 76.6%; Altman Z'' 9.50. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $0.01 (down 99.4%), BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $22.8M against a stock market value of $1.02B.
Distance to default 4.97 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $19.3M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 76.6%; Altman Z'' 9.50. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.
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Revenue by Segment (5-Year Trend)
Income Trends
Revenue
$128M
-19.3% ▼
5Y CAGR: +6.9%
Gross Profit
$28M
-37.0% ▼
5Y CAGR: +5.6%
Operating Income
-$83M
+37.5% ▲
Net Income
-$294M
+0.6% ▲
EPS (Diluted)
$-0.82
+35.4% ▲
EBITDA
-$261M
-0.9% ▼
Profit Margins
Year-over-Year Growth
View Full Income Statement
| Line Item | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $146M | $155M | $155M | $158M | $128M |
| YoY Growth | +59.4% | +6.5% | +0.1% | +2.0% | -19.3% |
| Cost of Revenue | $112M | $112M | $115M | $113M | $99M |
| Gross Profit | $34M | $43M | $41M | $45M | $28M |
| Gross Margin | 23.4% | 27.7% | 26.2% | 28.6% | 22.3% |
| R&D Expenses | $6M | $8M | $5M | $11M | $17M |
| SG&A Expenses | $107M | $91M | $66M | $80M | $95M |
| Operating Expenses | $113M | $154M | $80M | $179M | $112M |
| Operating Income | -$78M | -$111M | -$39M | -$133M | -$83M |
| Operating Margin | -53.9% | -71.3% | -25.2% | -84.3% | -65.3% |
| Interest Expense | $8M | $14M | $14M | $26M | $18M |
| Income Before Tax | -$122M | -$109M | -$70M | -$296M | -$316M |
| Tax Expense | $1M | $2M | $222K | -$256K | -$22M |
| Net Income | -$124M | -$111M | -$71M | -$296M | -$294M |
| Net Margin | -84.9% | -71.8% | -45.5% | -186.8% | -230.2% |
| EPS (Diluted) | $-1.15 | $-0.95 | $-0.40 | $-1.27 | $-0.82 |
| EBITDA | -$107M | -$48M | -$22M | -$258M | -$261M |
| Shares Outstanding | 107M | 128M | 149M | 234M | 3.59B |