— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice

BCOV NASDAQ

Brightcove Inc.
1W: +0.5% 1M: +2.1% 3M: +115.0% 1Y: +96.9% 3Y: -52.8% 5Y: -48.6%
$4.45
Last traded 2025-02-05 — delisted
NASDAQ · Technology · Software - Application · $202.1M mcap · 33M float · 1.91% daily turnover

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NO EDGE
29.9 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Cost Advantage  ·  ROIC: -12.2%  ·  5Y Avg: -11.9%
Cost Advantage ★
50
Intangibles
33
Switching Cost
16
Network Effect
29
Scale
22
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. BCOV has No discernible competitive edge (29.9/100). The business operates without significant structural advantages. The primary source of advantage is Cost Advantage. Negative ROIC of -12.2% indicates the company is currently destroying value, though this may reflect a growth investment phase.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 6Hold: 8Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$—
Analysts0
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2024-11-05 Loop Capital Markets Eric Martinuzzi Initiated $4 — +31.3% $2.67

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 34 Grade D
Profitability
19
Balance Sheet
75
Earnings Quality
47
Growth
67
Value
32
Momentum
65
Safety
0
Cash Flow
42
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. BCOV scores highest in Balance Sheet (75/100) and lowest in Safety (0/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
-0.47
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
6/9
✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-3.10
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-5.64
Bankruptcy prob: 0.4%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BB-
Score: 38.9/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
—
OCF/NI: -1.49x
Accruals: -10.7%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. BCOV scores -0.47, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. BCOV scores 6/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. BCOV's score of -3.10 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. BCOV's implied 0.4% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. BCOV receives an estimated rating of BB- (score: 38.9/100), with a improving trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-8.40x
PEG
-0.10x
P/S
1.00x
P/B
2.04x
P/FCF
10.11x
P/OCF
7.12x
EV/EBITDA
13.18x
EV/Revenue
0.46x
EV/EBIT
-7.46x
EV/FCF
9.67x
Earnings Yield
-9.41%
FCF Yield
9.89%
Shareholder Yield
0.00%
Graham Number
—
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. BCOV currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
1.138
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.646
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
-0.062
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.941
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.262
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-9.7%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. BCOV's ROE of -9.7% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.941), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 1.14 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
—
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$4.45
Median 1Y
$3.69
5th Pctile
$1.59
95th Pctile
$8.56
Ann. Volatility
49.9%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Current
ROE -30.3% -36.3% -26.6% -19.4% -7.6% 9.2% 11.6% 8.4% 6.1% -1.5% -2.6% -3.3% -9.1% -19.6% -25.8% -26.3% -23.3% -10.0% -9.2% -9.7% -9.74%
ROA -14.3% -14.9% -10.9% -8.2% -3.2% 3.9% 5.1% 3.7% 2.7% -0.7% -1.2% -1.5% -4.1% -8.4% -11.2% -11.6% -10.3% -4.3% -4.0% -4.3% -4.31%
ROIC -24.0% -29.6% -22.5% -17.7% -8.1% 12.0% 16.2% 14.1% 8.7% 0.5% 0.6% 0.2% -5.7% -12.5% -19.5% -20.2% -17.5% -12.3% -11.4% -12.2% -12.21%
ROCE -11.1% -17.2% -13.9% -12.0% -6.3% 8.6% 10.2% 8.6% 5.2% -1.0% -1.0% -1.5% -7.3% -15.9% -22.8% -24.1% -19.2% -11.6% -10.5% -10.9% -10.90%
Gross Margin 60.5% 60.0% 58.5% 63.1% 63.8% 65.0% 66.5% 64.2% 65.8% 64.4% 65.6% 62.8% 60.7% 58.7% 63.7% 62.2% 61.5% 59.3% 58.8% 63.2% 63.21%
Operating Margin -14.4% -15.1% -2.4% 2.6% 3.0% 11.2% 1.1% -0.4% 2.1% -1.4% 1.3% -1.5% -12.1% -21.6% -12.4% -4.5% -4.5% -7.9% -10.2% -5.6% -5.61%
Net Margin -14.1% -16.8% -2.7% 2.7% 3.8% 9.4% 1.7% -2.0% 0.8% -3.1% -0.6% -3.1% -11.0% -23.9% -12.2% -4.7% -5.0% 3.1% -10.7% -5.9% -5.92%
EBITDA Margin -2.6% -11.0% 2.2% 6.9% 7.1% 15.1% 5.8% 3.5% 2.8% 1.3% 5.6% 3.9% -8.5% -12.7% -4.4% 4.0% 3.9% 5.0% 0.3% 4.9% 4.90%
FCF Margin -2.5% -2.1% 1.2% 0.7% 6.4% 5.2% 7.6% 9.1% 4.1% 2.6% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% -5.4% -3.2% -6.6% -5.5% 2.7% 0.0% 4.8% 4.81%
OCF Margin 1.5% 2.6% 6.3% 5.8% 10.8% 8.9% 11.2% 12.8% 9.3% 9.3% 10.1% 11.5% 12.0% 6.5% 7.1% 3.0% 2.2% 9.5% 6.2% 6.8% 6.83%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only -13.53%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only -10.53%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -5.92%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only -12.70%
ROIC Economic snapshot only -9.75%
Cash ROA snapshot only 6.48%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 14.98%
CROIC snapshot only 10.54%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only -5.57%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -4.02%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 17.43%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 51.23%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 5.74%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Current
P/E Ratio -15.43 -10.97 -16.44 -28.61 -131.82 119.20 64.88 67.47 78.93 -235.91 -103.77 -82.61 -24.47 -9.91 -6.90 -5.53 -4.93 -8.91 -12.32 -10.63 -8.396
P/S Ratio 1.83 1.44 1.63 2.18 3.88 4.16 2.90 2.23 2.02 1.54 1.24 1.23 1.05 0.92 0.85 0.71 0.56 0.42 0.53 0.49 1.005
P/B Ratio 4.56 3.96 4.45 5.62 9.63 9.73 6.65 5.10 4.43 3.23 2.57 2.56 2.16 2.01 1.89 1.54 1.20 0.88 1.12 1.02 2.044
P/FCF -73.94 -69.74 131.92 316.51 60.87 79.77 38.06 24.35 48.85 59.95 124.62 154.72 253.88 -16.91 -26.56 -10.85 -10.13 15.85 1060.12 10.11 10.112
P/OCF 124.80 55.61 26.04 37.83 35.96 46.79 25.90 17.41 21.78 16.59 12.30 10.76 8.68 14.04 12.04 23.85 25.05 4.46 8.57 7.12 7.115
EV/EBITDA -278.96 -42.85 -103.89 -213.34 232.94 49.97 30.98 25.65 27.94 46.35 37.09 35.51 131.01 -37.75 -16.73 -14.02 -25.87 19.49 15.78 13.18 13.175
EV/Revenue 1.81 1.40 1.59 2.11 3.74 4.03 2.74 2.04 1.92 1.53 1.22 1.20 1.01 0.97 0.87 0.74 0.58 0.41 0.52 0.46 0.465
EV/EBIT -34.64 -17.34 -25.64 -37.86 -133.72 102.01 58.07 51.54 65.44 -249.70 -203.33 -135.24 -23.54 -10.97 -6.95 -5.55 -5.42 -6.33 -8.79 -7.46 -7.463
EV/FCF -72.87 -68.13 128.32 306.95 58.68 77.26 35.95 22.32 46.52 59.61 122.61 151.07 245.58 -17.94 -27.23 -11.32 -10.42 15.50 1050.86 9.67 9.667
Earnings Yield -6.5% -9.1% -6.1% -3.5% -0.8% 0.8% 1.5% 1.5% 1.3% -0.4% -1.0% -1.2% -4.1% -10.1% -14.5% -18.1% -20.3% -11.2% -8.1% -9.4% -9.41%
FCF Yield -1.4% -1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 1.6% 1.3% 2.6% 4.1% 2.0% 1.7% 0.8% 0.6% 0.4% -5.9% -3.8% -9.2% -9.9% 6.3% 0.1% 9.9% 9.89%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 5.720
EV/OCF snapshot only 6.802
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 0.766
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.00%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Current
Current Ratio 0.76 0.82 0.78 0.84 0.86 0.93 0.96 0.98 0.98 0.79 0.80 0.78 0.74 0.67 0.65 0.64 0.67 0.74 0.73 0.75 0.752
Quick Ratio 0.70 0.74 0.68 0.77 0.81 0.84 0.86 0.88 0.89 0.69 0.80 0.69 0.66 0.58 0.56 0.57 0.67 0.74 0.73 0.75 0.752
Debt/Equity 0.24 0.38 0.28 0.24 0.12 0.09 0.08 0.06 0.26 0.25 0.23 0.24 0.24 0.25 0.26 0.24 0.23 0.22 0.24 0.24 0.238
Net Debt/Equity -0.07 -0.09 -0.12 -0.17 -0.35 -0.31 -0.37 -0.43 -0.21 -0.02 -0.04 -0.06 -0.07 0.12 0.05 0.07 0.03 -0.02 -0.01 -0.04 -0.045
Debt/Assets 0.10 0.14 0.11 0.10 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.12 0.11 0.10 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.10 0.10 0.11 0.11 0.108
Debt/EBITDA -14.97 -4.17 -6.66 -9.39 3.10 0.50 0.38 0.35 1.75 3.59 3.37 3.45 15.15 -4.51 -2.22 -2.13 -4.87 4.88 3.49 3.22 3.219
Net Debt/EBITDA 4.09 1.01 2.91 6.64 -8.71 -1.62 -1.81 -2.33 -1.40 -0.26 -0.61 -0.86 -4.43 -2.16 -0.41 -0.58 -0.72 -0.44 -0.14 -0.61 -0.607
Interest Coverage — — — — — — — — — -1.31 -1.30 -1.16 -5.50 -15.11 -21.02 -49.37 -39.45 — — — —
Equity Multiplier 2.33 2.62 2.54 2.49 2.35 2.15 2.12 2.09 2.25 2.27 2.21 2.24 2.23 2.39 2.41 2.32 2.30 2.27 2.24 2.21 2.206
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.280
Cash to Debt snapshot only 1.189
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.423
Defensive Interval snapshot only 147.6 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Current
Asset Turnover 1.20 1.14 1.10 1.07 1.10 1.12 1.13 1.12 1.05 1.01 1.01 1.01 0.95 0.91 0.91 0.90 0.91 0.91 0.93 0.94 0.941
Inventory Turnover 15.04 11.52 9.81 12.02 13.92 9.42 7.97 9.41 10.78 7.50 15.54 8.44 9.35 7.64 15.94 9.37 17.78 15.86 16.20 20.84 20.839
Receivables Turnover 6.78 7.21 6.28 6.00 6.53 7.10 7.18 7.03 7.14 6.49 6.64 7.14 7.55 5.54 6.51 6.44 6.77 5.34 6.92 6.89 6.887
Payables Turnover 8.56 7.63 8.25 7.33 7.47 6.39 6.64 7.30 6.79 5.69 6.47 6.29 6.89 5.80 5.64 5.75 6.01 6.36 7.14 7.34 7.342
DSO 54 51 58 61 56 51 51 52 51 56 55 51 48 66 56 57 54 68 53 53 53.0 days
DIO 24 32 37 30 26 39 46 39 34 49 23 43 39 48 23 39 21 23 23 18 17.5 days
DPO 43 48 44 50 49 57 55 50 54 64 56 58 53 63 65 64 61 57 51 50 49.7 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 36 35 51 41 33 33 42 41 31 41 22 36 34 51 14 32 14 34 24 21 20.8 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 3.687
Operating Cycle snapshot only 70.5 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 7.411
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.054
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Current
Revenue 11.9% 14.4% 10.6% 7.6% 7.0% 8.6% 10.3% 10.9% 7.0% 2.0% 1.7% 1.1% -0.0% -1.4% -4.4% -6.6% -4.7% -2.0% -1.2% -0.2% -0.22%
Net Income -56.1% -47.9% -2.7% 18.3% 73.5% 1.3% 1.5% 1.5% 1.9% -1.2% -1.3% -1.5% -2.7% -12.9% -8.8% -7.1% -1.5% 49.7% 65.6% 64.5% 64.52%
EPS -46.7% -39.1% 0.8% 22.5% 75.2% 1.3% 1.5% 1.5% 1.9% -1.2% -1.3% -1.4% -2.7% -12.6% -8.5% -6.8% -1.5% 51.5% 66.9% 65.8% 65.82%
FCF -1.3% -69.1% 1.4% 1.6% 3.8% 3.8% 5.8% 13.8% -30.7% -49.7% -86.7% -91.2% -90.0% -3.1% -4.1% -8.7% -13.8% 1.5% 1.0% 1.7% 1.73%
EBITDA 80.7% -11.9% 36.3% -1.5% 3.7% 3.7% 7.4% 9.9% 3.6% -58.1% -62.1% -56.9% -88.8% -1.8% -2.5% -2.5% -3.8% 1.8% 1.6% 1.7% 1.66%
Op. Income -60.8% -51.4% 0.4% 17.4% 74.7% 1.3% 1.6% 1.6% 2.4% -91.3% -91.7% -97.4% -1.9% -25.4% -30.8% -122.7% -2.1% 10.7% 42.7% 44.0% 44.05%
OCF Growth snapshot only 1.28%
Asset Growth snapshot only -1.68%
Equity Growth snapshot only 3.40%
Debt Growth snapshot only 0.63%
Shares Change snapshot only 3.78%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Current
Revenue 3Y 7.1% 7.7% 7.3% 7.4% 8.2% 8.8% 8.8% 8.9% 8.6% 8.2% 7.4% 6.5% 4.6% 3.0% 2.3% 1.5% 0.6% -0.5% -1.3% -2.0% -1.97%
Revenue 5Y 8.1% 8.3% 8.1% 7.9% 7.9% 8.3% 8.0% 7.6% 7.0% 6.7% 6.8% 6.8% 6.2% 5.3% 4.6% 4.1% 4.1% 4.1% 3.2% 2.4% 2.37%
EPS 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EPS 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EBITDA 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -36.2% -28.8% -25.3% -25.26%
EBITDA 5Y — — — — 5.4% 40.6% 39.6% 44.0% — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Gross Profit 3Y 4.9% 6.1% 7.2% 8.5% 9.9% 11.5% 12.2% 12.1% 12.0% 11.3% 11.3% 9.9% 7.1% 4.7% 3.2% 2.0% 0.7% -1.0% -3.5% -4.1% -4.12%
Gross Profit 5Y 6.0% 6.2% 6.4% 6.4% 6.6% 7.5% 7.9% 7.8% 7.9% 7.9% 8.4% 8.8% 8.0% 6.7% 5.5% 4.7% 4.7% 4.7% 3.9% 3.0% 3.01%
Op. Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF 3Y — — — — — — — 4.8% — — — — — — — — — -20.4% -81.5% -20.9% -20.89%
FCF 5Y — — 15.2% -13.8% 13.5% 4.5% 7.6% 16.3% 9.3% — — — — — — — — — — — —
OCF 3Y -37.5% 48.7% — — — 1.6% 2.5% 76.0% 97.2% 1.2% — 93.1% 1.1% 40.2% 6.5% -18.4% -40.4% 1.6% -19.1% -20.5% -20.47%
OCF 5Y 12.8% -5.4% 14.2% 8.3% 18.6% 8.7% 11.4% 16.8% 12.0% 67.3% — — — 65.4% 93.6% 3.7% 12.1% 59.1% — 32.0% 31.95%
Assets 3Y 8.2% 11.0% 10.9% 13.8% 13.5% 11.1% 12.3% 13.5% 17.5% 14.0% 10.2% 10.3% 9.6% 7.9% 7.8% 5.1% 5.0% 5.3% 3.3% 2.8% 2.79%
Assets 5Y 6.3% 7.6% 7.4% 8.0% 7.9% 7.7% 8.4% 7.2% 9.7% 11.6% 11.8% 13.1% 12.3% 10.4% 10.2% 10.1% 10.1% 7.5% 4.7% 4.1% 4.11%
Equity 3Y -1.8% -3.0% 0.1% 3.9% 6.0% 6.5% 8.1% 9.1% 10.9% 13.9% 12.5% 11.0% 11.4% 11.2% 9.6% 7.6% 5.7% 3.4% 1.4% 1.0% 1.02%
Book Value 3Y -6.2% -7.3% -4.4% -1.6% -0.2% -0.2% 2.1% 4.8% 6.1% 9.3% 9.0% 7.9% 8.4% 8.0% 6.3% 5.3% 4.1% 2.2% -0.6% -2.1% -2.10%
Dividend 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Current
Revenue Stability 0.97 0.96 0.99 1.00 0.98 0.96 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.95 0.97 0.97 0.96 0.86 0.77 0.67 0.66 0.58 0.42 0.25 0.246
Earnings Stability 0.27 0.57 0.36 0.15 0.03 0.03 0.10 0.17 0.35 0.32 0.49 0.63 0.46 0.08 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01 0.00 0.000
Margin Stability 0.95 0.95 0.96 0.96 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.96 0.96 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.97 0.96 0.96 0.958
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.81 0.99 0.93 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.80 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
ROE Trend -0.05 -0.12 -0.04 0.01 0.17 0.39 0.36 0.29 0.24 0.13 0.06 0.03 -0.08 -0.24 -0.31 -0.30 -0.23 0.01 0.06 0.06 0.059
Gross Margin Trend 0.00 -0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.00 -0.02 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.02 -0.03 -0.02 -0.023
FCF Margin Trend 0.02 -0.00 0.04 0.01 0.08 0.07 0.09 0.09 0.02 0.01 -0.03 -0.04 -0.05 -0.09 -0.08 -0.12 -0.08 0.04 0.01 0.08 0.077
Sustainable Growth Rate — — — — — 9.2% 11.6% 8.4% 6.1% — — — — — — — — — — — —
Internal Growth Rate — — — — — 4.0% 5.3% 3.8% 2.8% — — — — — — — — — — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Current
OCF/Net Income -0.12 -0.20 -0.63 -0.76 -3.67 2.55 2.51 3.88 3.62 -14.22 -8.44 -7.67 -2.82 -0.71 -0.57 -0.23 -0.20 -2.00 -1.44 -1.49 -1.493
FCF/OCF -1.69 -0.80 0.20 0.12 0.59 0.59 0.68 0.71 0.45 0.28 0.10 0.07 0.03 -0.83 -0.45 -2.20 -2.47 0.28 0.01 0.70 0.704
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -1.051
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 1.937
CapEx/Revenue 3.9% 4.6% 5.0% 5.1% 4.4% 3.7% 3.6% 3.6% 5.1% 6.7% 9.1% 10.7% 11.6% 11.9% 10.3% 9.5% 7.8% 6.8% 6.1% 2.0% 2.02%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.208
Accruals Ratio -0.16 -0.18 -0.18 -0.14 -0.15 -0.06 -0.08 -0.11 -0.07 -0.10 -0.11 -0.13 -0.16 -0.14 -0.18 -0.14 -0.12 -0.13 -0.10 -0.11 -0.107
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.032
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 3.374
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio — — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF Payout Ratio — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Payout Ratio — — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — — — — — — — — — — — —
Div. Increase Streak — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield -1.0% -1.3% -1.1% -0.8% -0.1% -0.2% -0.5% -0.7% -1.2% -1.3% -1.2% -1.1% -0.1% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Shareholder Return -1.0% -1.3% -1.1% -0.8% -0.1% -0.2% -0.5% -0.7% -1.2% -1.3% -1.2% -1.1% -0.1% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.03 1.03 1.04 1.05 1.12 0.93 0.97 0.92 0.87 0.89 1.08 0.97 0.99 1.06 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.13 1.14 1.14 1.138
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 2.22 1.57 1.55 1.30 0.94 0.95 0.97 0.90 1.00 1.19 1.85 1.73 1.00 0.98 0.94 0.91 1.01 0.64 0.63 0.65 0.646
EBIT Margin -0.05 -0.08 -0.06 -0.06 -0.03 0.04 0.05 0.04 0.03 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.04 -0.09 -0.13 -0.13 -0.11 -0.07 -0.06 -0.06 -0.062
Asset Turnover 1.20 1.14 1.10 1.07 1.10 1.12 1.13 1.12 1.05 1.01 1.01 1.01 0.95 0.91 0.91 0.90 0.91 0.91 0.93 0.94 0.941
Equity Multiplier 2.12 2.44 2.44 2.38 2.34 2.36 2.30 2.27 2.29 2.21 2.17 2.17 2.24 2.33 2.30 2.28 2.26 2.33 2.33 2.26 2.262
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-0.56 $-0.64 $-0.48 $-0.36 $-0.14 $0.17 $0.22 $0.17 $0.13 $-0.03 $-0.06 $-0.08 $-0.21 $-0.45 $-0.58 $-0.59 $-0.53 $-0.22 $-0.19 $-0.20 $-0.20
Book Value/Share $1.91 $1.76 $1.77 $1.82 $1.91 $2.07 $2.16 $2.26 $2.31 $2.42 $2.46 $2.46 $2.43 $2.22 $2.13 $2.13 $2.16 $2.21 $2.12 $2.12 $2.18
Tangible Book/Share $-0.02 $-0.13 $-0.09 $0.05 $0.20 $0.41 $0.50 $0.57 $0.63 $0.30 $0.38 $0.41 $0.41 $0.24 $0.20 $0.23 $0.29 $0.38 $0.35 $0.38 $0.38
Revenue/Share $4.74 $4.86 $4.83 $4.71 $4.74 $4.84 $4.95 $5.18 $5.06 $5.06 $5.10 $5.11 $5.00 $4.86 $4.72 $4.62 $4.62 $4.59 $4.49 $4.44 $4.66
FCF/Share $-0.12 $-0.10 $0.06 $0.03 $0.30 $0.25 $0.38 $0.47 $0.21 $0.13 $0.05 $0.04 $0.02 $-0.26 $-0.15 $-0.30 $-0.26 $0.12 $0.00 $0.21 $-0.26
OCF/Share $0.07 $0.13 $0.30 $0.27 $0.51 $0.43 $0.55 $0.66 $0.47 $0.47 $0.51 $0.59 $0.60 $0.32 $0.33 $0.14 $0.10 $0.43 $0.28 $0.30 $0.10
Cash/Share $0.59 $0.82 $0.71 $0.75 $0.90 $0.83 $0.96 $1.11 $1.10 $0.64 $0.67 $0.75 $0.76 $0.29 $0.44 $0.38 $0.43 $0.52 $0.54 $0.60 $0.43
EBITDA/Share $-0.03 $-0.16 $-0.07 $-0.05 $0.08 $0.39 $0.44 $0.41 $0.35 $0.17 $0.17 $0.17 $0.04 $-0.13 $-0.25 $-0.24 $-0.10 $0.10 $0.15 $0.16 $0.16
Debt/Share $0.46 $0.66 $0.49 $0.44 $0.24 $0.19 $0.16 $0.14 $0.61 $0.60 $0.56 $0.60 $0.59 $0.56 $0.54 $0.52 $0.50 $0.48 $0.52 $0.50 $0.50
Net Debt/Share $-0.13 $-0.16 $-0.22 $-0.31 $-0.66 $-0.63 $-0.79 $-0.96 $-0.49 $-0.04 $-0.10 $-0.15 $-0.17 $0.27 $0.10 $0.14 $0.07 $-0.04 $-0.02 $-0.10 $-0.10
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -0.469
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -3.964
Piotroski F-Score 3 4 4 6 7 8 8 8 6 3 3 2 3 3 2 3 4 6 5 6 6
Beneish M-Score -2.80 -3.07 -3.47 -3.14 -3.23 -2.68 -2.78 -3.11 -2.80 -2.76 -2.87 -2.85 -3.21 -2.95 -3.41 -3.23 -2.82 -3.21 -2.96 -3.10 -3.097
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -5.638
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only -41.03%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-0.95
EVA snapshot only $-20249970.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BB-
Credit Score 33.96 35.82 38.19 42.47 69.94 91.76 83.78 79.25 69.99 24.56 25.96 23.89 18.92 21.64 22.42 21.47 20.65 29.60 27.89 38.94 38.943
Credit Grade snapshot only 13
Credit Trend snapshot only 17.477
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 550.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 29
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 22

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