— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: BHP.AX (ASX) · $vol 309M · BBL (NYSE) · $vol 228M · BHP.L (LSE) · $vol 37M · BHPLF (OTC) · $vol 4M · BIL.DE (XETRA) · $vol 3M · BHP.SW (SIX) · $vol 0M · BLT.SW (SIX)

BHP NYSE

BHP Group Limited
1W: -4.9% 1M: -6.9% 3M: -5.6% YTD: +28.1% 1Y: +43.1% 3Y: +53.6% 5Y: +98.3%
$82.60
+3.47 (+4.39%)
After Hours: $82.09 (-0.51, -0.62%)
Weekly Expected Move ±3.2%
$73 $75 $78 $80 $83
NYSE · Basic Materials · Industrial Materials · Tech Score Sell · Power 39 · $201.1B mcap · 2.48B float · 0.108% daily turnover · Short 43% of daily vol
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 75% of companies Debt: 11.9% of company value Bonds: $335.1M held by 210 funds, 59 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
If the stock fell to about $0.78 (down 99.0%), BHP Group Limited would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $27.12B against a stock market value of $201.11B.
Distance to default 8.59 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $13.62B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 34.0%; Altman Z'' 4.23. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+8.8% YTD avg
Midterm Year
☀️
Sunny
+7.7% YTD avg
2026 Now
☀️
Sunny
Above typical
20yr Avg YTD
+8.8%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
+7.7%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
+33.8%
Above 20yr avg
Typical Vol
42%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
💨
+0.4%
Midterm
⛅
+2.3%
55% win 36% vol
Feb
20yr
💨
+2.0%
Midterm
☀️
+5.1%
55% win 37% vol
Mar
20yr
💨
+2.4%
Midterm
☀️
+10.6%
50% win 47% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
+5.4%
Midterm
☀️
+9.8%
60% win 35% vol
May
20yr
🌫️
+5.3%
Midterm
☀️
+8.0%
50% win 34% vol
Jun
20yr
🌫️
+5.7%
Midterm
⛅
+4.3%
50% win 34% vol
Jul
20yr
⛅
+8.0%
Midterm
☀️
+7.9%
70% win 31% vol
Aug
20yr
🌧️
+5.7%
Midterm
⛅
+4.8%
30% win 35% vol
Sep
20yr
💨
+7.3%
Midterm
☀️
+5.4%
60% win 39% vol
Oct
20yr
🌫️
+8.1%
Midterm
☀️
+6.1%
62% win 42% vol
Now: -2.6%
Nov
20yr
💨
+9.2%
Midterm
☀️
+10.7%
50% win 47% vol
Dec
20yr
⛅
+3.0%
Midterm
☀️
+1.6%
55% win 31% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: +33.8%

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms