BLMN NASDAQ
Bloomin' Brands, Inc.
1W: -12.2%
1M: +14.8%
3M: +3.1%
YTD: +42.3%
1Y: +13.8%
3Y: -56.6%
5Y: -53.2%
$9.08
-0.06 (-0.66%)
Weekly Expected Move ±9.0%
$8
$8
$9
$10
$11
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 86% of companies Debt: 71.1% of company value Bonds: $42.2M held by 36 funds, 278 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the second-riskiest tenth, about 1 in 87 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $0.92 (down 90%), Bloomin' Brands, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $1.91B against a stock market value of $777.4M.
Distance to default 2.03 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-28, debt counted $351.4M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 74.3%; Altman Z'' -1.88. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $0.92 (down 90%), Bloomin' Brands, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $1.91B against a stock market value of $777.4M.
Distance to default 2.03 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-28, debt counted $351.4M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 74.3%; Altman Z'' -1.88. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Financials
Income Statement
Cash Flow
Balance Sheet
Earnings
Dividends
Analysis
Technicals
Weather
Peers
ESG
Institutions
ETF Exposure
Dark Pool
Short Interest
Supply Chain
Oct Typical
⛈️
Stormy
-5.3% YTD avg
Midterm Year
⛈️
Stormy
-9.8% YTD avg
2026 Now
☀️
Sunny
Above typical
20yr Avg YTD
-5.3%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
-9.8%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
+42.3%
Above 20yr avg
Typical Vol
38%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
💨
+4.2%
Midterm
🌧️
-2.7%
50% win
38% vol
Feb
20yr
💨
+7.9%
Midterm
☀️
+8.5%
71% win
48% vol
Mar
20yr
⛈️
+3.4%
Midterm
☀️
+5.7%
36% win
72% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
+8.2%
Midterm
⛅
+4.3%
57% win
58% vol
May
20yr
⛈️
+2.6%
Midterm
🌧️
-4.8%
21% win
64% vol
Jun
20yr
⛈️
+2.5%
Midterm
⛈️
-11.1%
43% win
49% vol
Jul
20yr
⛈️
-1.0%
Midterm
⛈️
-10.6%
43% win
43% vol
Aug
20yr
💨
-2.6%
Midterm
⛈️
-14.9%
53% win
60% vol
Sep
20yr
⛈️
-4.6%
Midterm
⛈️
-14.8%
47% win
37% vol
Oct
20yr
💨
-4.0%
Midterm
⛈️
-6.2%
60% win
38% vol
Now:
+17.2%
Nov
20yr
💨
+1.0%
Midterm
☁️
-0.1%
71% win
49% vol
Dec
20yr
🌧️
-0.7%
Midterm
🌧️
-3.5%
29% win
32% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: +42.3%