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Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: BONT (NASDAQ) · $vol 0M

BONTQ OTC

The Bon-Ton Stores, Inc.
1W: +0.0% 1M: +0.0% 3M: +0.0% YTD: +0.0% 1Y: +0.0% 3Y: -0.0% 5Y: -98.9%
$0.00
+0.00 (+0.00%)
 
OTC · Consumer Cyclical · Department Stores · Tech Score Neutral · Power 46 · $1786 mcap · 18M float · 0.357% daily turnover

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 0Hold: 3Sell: 2Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$—
Analysts0

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 8 Grade D
Profitability
10
Balance Sheet
16
Earnings Quality
72
Growth
27
Value
15
Momentum
31
Safety
15
Cash Flow
20
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. BONTQ scores highest in Earnings Quality (72/100) and lowest in Profitability (10/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
1.20
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
1/9
✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-2.05
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-4.28
Bankruptcy prob: 1.4%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
CCC
Score: 10.3/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
—
OCF/NI: 0.23x
Accruals: -4.2%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. BONTQ scores 1.20, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. BONTQ scores 1/9, suggesting weak financial fundamentals — the company fails the majority of these accounting tests. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. BONTQ's score of -2.05 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. BONTQ's implied 1.4% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. BONTQ receives an estimated rating of CCC (score: 10.3/100), with a deteriorating trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-0.00x
PEG
0.00x
P/S
0.00x
P/B
-0.00x
P/FCF
-0.23x
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
15.96x
EV/Revenue
0.47x
EV/EBIT
-62.15x
EV/FCF
-17.27x
Earnings Yield
-590.21%
FCF Yield
-434.88%
Shareholder Yield
0.00%
Graham Number
—
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. BONTQ currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.986
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
4.953
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
-0.008
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
1.483
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
-14.786
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
80.7%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. BONTQ's ROE of 80.7% is driven by Asset Turnover (1.483), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 0.99 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
—
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$0.00
Median 1Y
$0.00
5th Pctile
$0.00
95th Pctile
$0.00
Ann. Volatility
1045.4%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
Kathryn Bufano
President and Chief Executive Officer
$900,000 $251,850 $1,161,419
William X. Tracy,
Chief Operating Officer
$650,000 $37,668 $855,578
Nancy A. Walsh,
Executive Vice President—Chief Financial Officer
$500,000 $37,668 $730,390
Tim Grumbacher, Strategic
Initiatives Officer
$650,000 $— $708,088
Stephen R. Byers,
Executive Vice President—Stores, Visual and Loss Prevention
$485,000 $23,652 $513,809

CEO Pay Ratio

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Current
ROE -17.8% -8.4% 0.6% 21.3% -3.0% -9.3% -13.4% -35.6% -6.5% -12.7% -34.4% -2.3% -93.1% -2.3% 5.2% 1.3% -10.5% 2.1% 1.0% 80.7% 80.75%
ROA -1.3% -0.5% 0.0% 0.5% -0.2% -0.5% -0.5% -1.0% -0.4% -0.6% -0.8% -1.9% -3.6% -3.9% -3.9% -3.2% -4.1% -5.6% -5.4% -5.5% -5.46%
ROIC 5.5% 6.5% 5.9% 8.5% 5.6% 4.9% 4.6% 3.3% 4.5% 4.2% 4.4% 2.2% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.6% 0.2% -1.1% -0.4% -1.4% -1.44%
ROCE 4.7% 5.8% 6.1% 6.2% 5.6% 4.9% 5.0% 3.6% 4.7% 5.3% 4.5% 2.1% 0.3% -0.0% 0.1% 0.5% 0.2% -1.3% -0.6% -3.7% -3.75%
Gross Margin 36.2% 34.8% 37.0% 36.6% 36.3% 35.3% 36.6% 36.3% 35.0% 33.8% 36.8% 33.4% 34.8% 33.9% 36.5% 35.1% 36.2% 32.2% 35.5% 33.1% 33.05%
Operating Margin 9.4% -1.1% -2.8% 2.4% 8.3% -2.6% -3.6% 0.8% 9.3% -3.1% -3.6% -2.9% 7.2% -3.9% -4.4% -2.2% 7.1% -7.2% -3.0% -4.8% -4.78%
Net Margin 7.3% -4.1% -6.7% -0.1% 6.7% -5.2% -6.4% -1.7% 7.6% -5.6% -7.1% -5.5% 5.5% -6.4% -7.1% -5.4% 5.1% -10.7% -6.6% -8.2% -8.23%
EBITDA Margin 11.0% 2.3% 1.6% 5.9% 10.7% 1.1% 0.9% 4.4% 11.7% 0.7% 0.9% 0.9% 9.6% 0.2% 0.4% 1.7% 9.7% -3.0% 1.8% -1.0% -0.97%
FCF Margin -0.0% 1.5% 0.5% 1.5% 1.5% 0.5% -0.4% -1.6% -1.6% -2.0% -1.4% -3.1% -2.5% -0.9% 0.3% 0.7% 0.2% -1.4% -1.7% -2.7% -2.71%
OCF Margin 2.5% 4.0% 2.9% 4.2% 4.3% 3.5% 2.5% 1.3% 1.7% 1.6% 2.3% 0.5% 0.7% 1.8% 2.6% 2.9% 2.3% 0.6% 0.3% -0.8% -0.83%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -3.65%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only -2.89%
ROIC Economic snapshot only -1.44%
Cash ROA snapshot only -1.29%
Cash ROIC snapshot only -2.08%
CROIC snapshot only -6.80%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only -0.58%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -3.73%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 34.01%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Current
P/E Ratio -10.92 -36.63 1125.18 21.83 -57.88 -23.98 -23.72 -9.52 -15.42 -14.40 -6.58 -1.73 -0.62 -0.75 -0.49 -0.47 -0.40 -0.14 -0.15 -0.17 -0.000
P/S Ratio 0.08 0.09 0.12 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.04 0.05 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.000
P/B Ratio 2.13 3.20 6.84 4.25 1.61 2.11 2.90 3.39 1.23 2.52 5.47 -3.49 1.02 -36.26 -0.77 -0.40 -1.11 -0.15 -0.10 -0.10 -0.000
P/FCF -470.55 6.17 24.02 4.67 4.82 13.66 -17.25 -3.74 -2.44 -2.49 -2.29 -0.74 -0.53 -1.83 4.03 1.40 5.81 -0.32 -0.26 -0.23 -0.230
P/OCF 3.21 2.33 4.02 1.71 1.71 2.14 2.49 4.56 2.31 3.08 1.34 4.75 1.99 0.95 0.42 0.35 0.43 0.74 1.69 — —
EV/EBITDA 7.30 7.12 7.33 6.85 6.66 7.22 7.26 8.60 6.67 7.33 7.04 9.43 9.83 10.20 9.85 11.01 10.26 12.87 11.35 15.96 15.956
EV/Revenue 0.38 0.40 0.43 0.42 0.38 0.40 0.39 0.43 0.36 0.39 0.38 0.43 0.38 0.38 0.36 0.43 0.39 0.41 0.40 0.47 0.468
EV/EBIT 21.10 17.97 17.59 15.64 16.28 19.25 19.18 26.48 18.02 20.63 21.60 47.26 275.67 -8541.27 1268.39 203.89 542.43 -71.08 -163.80 -62.15 -62.148
EV/FCF -2257.01 26.86 87.30 26.81 24.88 74.08 -107.17 -26.81 -22.81 -19.67 -28.05 -14.02 -15.31 -41.47 132.14 58.21 232.06 -28.78 -22.90 -17.27 -17.268
Earnings Yield -9.2% -2.7% 0.1% 4.6% -1.7% -4.2% -4.2% -10.5% -6.5% -6.9% -15.2% -57.7% -1.6% -1.3% -2.0% -2.1% -2.5% -7.1% -6.8% -5.9% -5.90%
FCF Yield -0.2% 16.2% 4.2% 21.4% 20.8% 7.3% -5.8% -26.8% -41.0% -40.1% -43.7% -1.4% -1.9% -54.6% 24.8% 71.5% 17.2% -3.1% -3.8% -4.3% -4.35%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.000
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 1.358
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.00%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Current
Current Ratio 1.70 1.75 1.82 1.77 1.92 1.99 1.81 1.77 1.94 1.35 1.56 1.64 2.37 2.37 1.73 1.80 2.25 2.36 2.15 0.88 0.881
Quick Ratio 0.16 0.17 0.18 0.17 0.20 0.20 0.18 0.14 0.24 0.14 0.19 0.16 0.30 0.24 0.18 0.15 0.29 0.24 0.26 0.10 0.100
Debt/Equity 8.15 10.83 18.18 20.31 6.76 9.40 15.27 21.12 10.35 17.55 62.97 -64.01 28.49 -790.83 -24.64 -16.20 -43.43 -13.12 -8.90 -7.35 -7.346
Net Debt/Equity 8.08 10.72 18.01 20.14 6.70 9.31 15.14 20.97 10.25 17.39 61.62 — 28.29 — — — — — — — —
Debt/Assets 0.55 0.57 0.57 0.55 0.55 0.58 0.58 0.56 0.56 0.60 0.61 0.61 0.64 0.66 0.64 0.64 0.66 0.71 0.71 0.72 0.722
Debt/EBITDA 5.83 5.54 5.36 5.70 5.41 5.94 6.15 7.46 6.02 6.46 6.61 9.11 9.56 9.83 9.62 10.81 10.07 12.81 11.30 15.84 15.844
Net Debt/EBITDA 5.78 5.49 5.31 5.66 5.37 5.89 6.10 7.40 5.96 6.40 6.47 8.93 9.49 9.75 9.55 10.74 10.00 12.72 11.22 15.74 15.743
Interest Coverage 0.65 0.81 0.90 1.03 0.95 0.87 0.89 0.72 0.90 0.85 0.79 0.40 0.06 -0.00 0.01 0.09 0.03 -0.21 -0.08 -0.25 -0.253
Equity Multiplier 14.78 18.84 31.96 37.00 12.33 16.31 26.39 37.57 18.35 29.30 103.27 -104.82 44.60 -1201.42 -38.56 -25.27 -66.07 -18.52 -12.50 -10.17 -10.173
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.007
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 0.986
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.006
FCF to Debt snapshot only -0.058
Defensive Interval snapshot only 28.6 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Current
Asset Turnover 1.82 1.83 1.84 1.57 1.73 1.73 1.73 1.50 1.73 1.75 1.73 1.48 1.72 1.74 1.74 1.47 1.70 1.71 1.75 1.48 1.483
Inventory Turnover 2.57 2.59 2.63 1.96 2.41 2.41 2.42 1.85 2.45 2.46 2.43 1.82 2.45 2.43 2.45 1.78 2.34 2.31 2.41 1.80 1.795
Receivables Turnover 76.73 153.63 101.58 78.19 73.28 77.49 91.81 120.04 55.51 82.09 81.44 146.21 45.20 72.55 73.37 70.97 40.39 64.01 62.42 50.92 50.921
Payables Turnover 9.38 9.31 8.13 5.08 8.97 9.34 7.38 4.79 8.66 9.25 7.42 4.83 9.55 9.86 7.70 4.97 9.62 10.30 8.31 5.56 5.563
DSO 5 2 4 5 5 5 4 3 7 4 4 2 8 5 5 5 9 6 6 7 7.2 days
DIO 142 141 139 186 151 151 151 197 149 148 150 201 149 150 149 205 156 158 151 203 203.3 days
DPO 39 39 45 72 41 39 49 76 42 39 49 76 38 37 47 73 38 35 44 66 65.6 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 108 104 98 119 116 117 105 124 113 113 105 128 119 118 106 137 127 128 113 145 144.9 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 4.655
Operating Cycle snapshot only 210.5 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 338.908
Capital Intensity snapshot only 0.644
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Current
Revenue 0.2% 0.3% -1.3% -2.8% -6.4% -7.5% -5.7% -4.9% -0.5% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% -1.4% -2.2% -2.4% -3.0% -4.3% -5.6% -6.6% -7.1% -7.09%
Net Income -77.7% 56.2% 1.0% 1.5% 83.5% -13.8% -25.2% -2.8% -96.1% -13.1% -76.9% -1.1% -7.2% -5.4% -3.6% -60.4% -11.2% -36.4% -29.0% -57.5% -57.55%
EPS -60.9% 57.5% 1.0% 1.5% 83.6% -11.2% -24.8% -2.8% -95.8% -11.5% -74.3% -1.0% -6.9% -5.3% -3.6% -58.4% -8.6% -34.5% -26.9% -53.7% -53.71%
FCF -1.0% 7.0% -4.5% 59.2% 86.5% -66.3% -1.7% -2.0% -2.0% -4.7% -2.7% -90.1% -51.7% 54.8% 1.2% 1.2% 1.1% -44.8% -6.9% -4.4% -4.43%
EBITDA -40.5% -31.4% -27.7% -28.1% 3.4% -8.3% -12.1% -20.7% -5.7% -2.6% -0.1% -9.4% -30.9% -31.5% -33.3% -17.7% -5.6% -20.3% -11.4% -29.7% -29.71%
Op. Income 5.1% 60.8% 86.2% 60.7% -0.9% -25.2% -33.0% -49.1% -18.5% -12.7% -4.2% -32.6% -82.6% -88.7% -96.2% -75.4% -73.8% -3.2% -3.4% -3.4% -3.40%
OCF Growth snapshot only -1.26%
Asset Growth snapshot only -8.52%
Debt Growth snapshot only 3.02%
Shares Change snapshot only 2.49%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -1.00%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Current
Revenue 3Y -0.8% -1.0% -1.6% -1.9% -3.1% -3.5% -3.3% -2.9% -2.3% -2.1% -2.2% -2.6% -2.8% -3.0% -2.6% -2.6% -2.1% -2.3% -2.9% -3.4% -3.35%
Revenue 5Y -3.1% -3.0% -3.1% -3.0% -3.0% -2.9% -2.4% -2.3% -1.9% -2.0% -2.0% -2.1% -2.3% -2.3% -2.3% -2.3% -2.5% -2.9% -3.1% -3.6% -3.57%
EPS 3Y — — -75.5% -19.5% — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EPS 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 3Y — — -74.8% -17.2% — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EBITDA 3Y -8.0% -9.8% -9.6% -8.6% -12.4% -12.6% -12.6% -11.4% -16.6% -15.1% -14.0% -19.7% -12.3% -15.1% -16.3% -16.1% -15.0% -19.0% -16.1% -19.4% -19.38%
EBITDA 5Y -9.4% -7.8% -4.5% -2.5% 7.7% 6.7% 2.9% -2.7% -5.3% -8.1% -8.3% -11.3% -15.2% -15.0% -15.0% -12.3% -17.7% -19.7% -17.8% -21.5% -21.46%
Gross Profit 3Y -2.5% -3.3% -4.0% -4.6% -5.5% -5.4% -5.1% -4.6% -3.8% -3.8% -3.5% -4.3% -4.6% -4.6% -4.2% -3.6% -2.7% -3.3% -4.0% -4.8% -4.82%
Gross Profit 5Y -3.8% -3.8% -3.7% -3.9% -3.4% -3.3% -3.0% -3.1% -3.5% -3.9% -4.0% -4.5% -4.5% -4.4% -4.4% -4.0% -3.6% -3.9% -4.2% -4.8% -4.76%
Op. Income 3Y -6.9% -11.1% -11.4% -10.4% -19.9% -21.8% -22.8% -23.1% -5.3% 1.6% 6.2% -18.0% -48.0% -58.1% -71.1% -56.1% -66.7% — — — —
Op. Income 5Y -11.0% -7.3% 0.3% 4.8% — — 30.9% -0.5% -8.2% -14.4% -14.9% -24.4% -40.8% -45.7% -55.9% -40.4% -47.8% — — — —
FCF 3Y — -38.5% -55.9% -32.9% -23.3% -40.9% — — — — — — — — -19.6% -24.1% -53.3% — — — —
FCF 5Y — -13.7% -28.2% -0.3% 35.4% -18.9% — — — — — — — — -38.3% -17.0% -33.2% — — — —
OCF 3Y -27.7% -19.3% -25.5% -14.3% -5.2% -7.5% -19.9% -31.1% -22.4% -17.4% -12.5% -49.5% -37.6% -25.7% -5.9% -13.9% -21.1% -45.0% -54.1% — —
OCF 5Y -11.6% -11.6% -15.6% -4.0% 5.0% -2.6% -7.3% -24.8% -24.8% -27.4% -20.9% -41.6% -33.9% -16.7% -12.2% -6.9% -10.0% -27.7% -41.0% — —
Assets 3Y -1.8% -2.0% -1.7% -1.9% -1.6% -1.5% -1.0% -0.9% -0.2% -0.6% 0.8% 0.4% -1.6% -1.8% -2.2% -1.4% -1.5% -2.3% -4.1% -4.6% -4.65%
Assets 5Y -4.6% -5.2% -4.8% -4.6% -2.8% -2.9% -2.1% -1.2% -1.4% -1.2% -0.8% -0.5% -1.2% -1.6% -1.7% -1.6% -1.4% -2.1% -2.4% -2.9% -2.93%
Equity 3Y -7.9% -10.3% -17.2% -17.0% -11.3% -12.9% -18.9% -18.6% -12.7% -16.0% -31.5% — -31.9% — — — — — — — —
Book Value 3Y -12.9% -12.1% -19.5% -19.4% -13.6% -15.0% -20.7% -20.5% -15.7% -17.8% -32.9% — -32.8% — — — — — — — —
Dividend 3Y — — 54.6% 22.8% -11.2% -2.0% -10.9% -11.0% 6.4% -2.0% 16.4% 16.6% -0.8% -9.9% -26.8% -42.0% — — — — —
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Current
Revenue Stability 0.80 0.83 0.89 0.92 0.94 0.89 0.91 0.90 0.84 0.82 0.91 0.93 0.91 0.86 0.92 0.95 0.95 0.89 0.90 0.93 0.926
Earnings Stability 0.06 0.08 0.13 0.16 0.33 0.30 0.30 0.31 0.14 0.53 0.32 0.56 0.55 0.55 0.43 0.61 0.56 0.65 0.53 0.79 0.787
Margin Stability 0.98 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.97 0.96 0.96 0.95 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.973
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.94 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.95 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.96 0.85 0.88 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
ROE Trend -0.21 -0.03 0.27 0.44 0.12 0.05 0.18 -0.23 0.03 -0.09 -0.77 — -1.58 — — — — — — — —
Gross Margin Trend -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.004
FCF Margin Trend -0.02 0.00 -0.01 0.00 0.01 -0.00 -0.01 -0.03 -0.02 -0.03 -0.01 -0.03 -0.02 -0.00 0.01 0.03 0.02 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 -0.015
Sustainable Growth Rate — — 0.6% 21.3% — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Internal Growth Rate — — 0.0% 0.5% — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Current
OCF/Net Income -3.40 -15.75 279.80 12.76 -33.76 -11.18 -9.52 -2.09 -6.69 -4.68 -4.90 -0.36 -0.31 -0.79 -1.17 -1.35 -0.93 -0.19 -0.09 0.23 0.226
FCF/OCF -0.01 0.38 0.17 0.37 0.36 0.16 -0.14 -1.22 -0.95 -1.24 -0.59 -6.43 -3.75 -0.52 0.10 0.25 0.07 -2.30 -6.43 3.27 3.266
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.737
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only -0.283
CapEx/Revenue 2.5% 2.5% 2.4% 2.7% 2.8% 2.9% 2.9% 3.0% 3.3% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% 3.1% 2.7% 2.3% 2.2% 2.1% 2.0% 2.0% 1.9% 1.88%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.526
Accruals Ratio -0.06 -0.08 -0.05 -0.06 -0.08 -0.06 -0.05 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.05 -0.03 -0.05 -0.07 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 -0.07 -0.06 -0.04 -0.042
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.408
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only -0.441
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio — — 1.3% 0.0% — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF Payout Ratio — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — — — — — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — — — —
Total Payout Ratio — — 1.3% 0.0% — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 — — — — —
Chowder Number — — 3.02 1.02 -0.24 0.01 -0.24 -0.24 0.34 0.01 0.68 0.68 0.02 -0.23 -0.59 -0.80 — — — — —
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Shareholder Return 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.01 1.02 0.66 0.99 0.98 0.99 0.99 1.01 1.30 1.12 1.03 0.99 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.99 0.986
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) -0.40 -0.11 0.01 0.13 -0.06 -0.15 -0.13 -0.39 -0.10 -0.16 -0.26 -1.45 -15.88 517.83 -80.60 -10.67 -34.99 5.78 13.00 4.95 4.953
EBIT Margin 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.00 -0.01 -0.008
Asset Turnover 1.82 1.83 1.84 1.57 1.73 1.73 1.73 1.50 1.73 1.75 1.73 1.48 1.72 1.74 1.74 1.47 1.70 1.71 1.75 1.48 1.483
Equity Multiplier 13.43 18.25 32.20 40.93 13.46 17.49 28.93 37.29 14.78 21.01 42.28 119.56 25.83 58.43 -134.41 -41.65 252.35 -37.12 -19.21 -14.79 -14.786
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-1.07 $-0.39 $0.02 $0.50 $-0.18 $-0.44 $-0.38 $-0.89 $-0.35 $-0.49 $-0.65 $-1.82 $-2.73 $-3.08 $-3.01 $-2.88 $-2.96 $-4.14 $-3.82 $-4.43 $-4.43
Book Value/Share $5.51 $4.50 $2.59 $2.55 $6.34 $4.98 $3.07 $2.50 $4.34 $2.78 $0.79 $-0.90 $1.67 $-0.06 $-1.93 $-3.43 $-1.06 $-3.93 $-5.48 $-7.61 $-1.14
Tangible Book/Share $0.00 $-1.27 $-2.98 $-2.92 $1.25 $-0.26 $-1.75 $-2.22 $-0.12 $-1.74 $-3.62 $-5.23 $-2.26 $-4.14 $-5.91 $-7.32 $-4.48 $-7.51 $-8.95 $-10.98 $-10.98
Revenue/Share $147.56 $156.68 $151.51 $149.47 $137.29 $141.62 $140.88 $140.13 $136.39 $141.08 $139.55 $138.40 $130.04 $136.52 $134.85 $132.61 $121.55 $127.03 $123.85 $120.20 $130.57
FCF/Share $-0.02 $2.33 $0.74 $2.32 $2.12 $0.77 $-0.52 $-2.27 $-2.18 $-2.82 $-1.88 $-4.26 $-3.20 $-1.26 $0.37 $0.97 $0.20 $-1.80 $-2.14 $-3.26 $0.22
OCF/Share $3.65 $6.19 $4.41 $6.32 $5.95 $4.89 $3.58 $1.86 $2.31 $2.28 $3.21 $0.66 $0.85 $2.43 $3.54 $3.88 $2.76 $0.78 $0.33 $-1.00 $2.96
Cash/Share $0.40 $0.48 $0.42 $0.42 $0.35 $0.43 $0.40 $0.39 $0.43 $0.45 $1.06 $1.10 $0.33 $0.40 $0.35 $0.35 $0.31 $0.35 $0.31 $0.35 $0.34
EBITDA/Share $7.70 $8.79 $8.80 $9.06 $7.92 $7.88 $7.62 $7.09 $7.46 $7.56 $7.50 $6.33 $4.98 $5.13 $4.95 $5.15 $4.59 $4.03 $4.31 $3.53 $3.53
Debt/Share $44.93 $48.72 $47.17 $51.69 $42.85 $46.81 $46.85 $52.84 $44.87 $48.84 $49.59 $57.69 $47.59 $50.39 $47.66 $55.63 $46.24 $51.59 $48.73 $55.91 $55.91
Net Debt/Share $44.53 $48.24 $46.75 $51.27 $42.50 $46.39 $46.45 $52.45 $44.44 $48.39 $48.53 $56.60 $47.26 $49.99 $47.31 $55.28 $45.92 $51.24 $48.42 $55.56 $55.56
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.199
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -1.125
Piotroski F-Score 2 5 6 5 6 4 2 2 3 3 3 2 4 5 4 5 3 2 3 1 1
Beneish M-Score -2.90 -2.87 -2.72 -2.15 -2.74 -2.96 -2.66 -3.58 -2.20 -2.57 -2.57 -2.63 -2.77 -2.81 -2.99 -2.96 -2.81 -2.75 -2.55 -2.05 -2.053
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -4.278
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-38.15
EVA snapshot only $-112447100.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only CCC
Credit Score 22.97 24.46 23.45 26.48 24.07 24.49 22.81 22.39 22.81 21.51 22.39 20.00 22.88 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 10.31 10.313
Credit Grade snapshot only 17
Credit Trend snapshot only -9.687
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 1200.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 0
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 0

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