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BRCD NASDAQ

Brocade Communications Systems, Inc.
1W: +1.8% 1M: +7.8% 3M: +3.7% 1Y: +2.7% 3Y: +12.8% 5Y: +138.4%
$12.73
Last traded 2017-11-16 — delisted
NASDAQ · Technology · Communication Equipment

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NO EDGE
34.3 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Efficient Scale  ·  ROIC: 15.8%  ·  5Y Avg: 15.4%
Cost Advantage
30
Intangibles
14
Switching Cost
12
Network Effect
50
Scale ★
95
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. BRCD has No discernible competitive edge (34.3/100). The business operates without significant structural advantages. The primary source of advantage is Efficient Scale. ROIC of 15.8% confirms the company is generating returns well above its cost of capital — a hallmark of durable competitive advantages.

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 39 Grade B
Profitability
21
Balance Sheet
69
Earnings Quality
80
Growth
24
Value
44
Momentum
58
Safety
50
Cash Flow
43
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. BRCD scores highest in Earnings Quality (80/100) and lowest in Profitability (21/100). A grade of B indicates above-average fundamentals with room for improvement in select areas.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
2.46
Grey Zone
Piotroski F-Score
8/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-2.62
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-7.63
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BB
Score: 43.3/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 6.63x
Accruals: -3.6%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. BRCD scores 2.46, placing it in the Grey Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Financial distress is possible and warrants monitoring. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. BRCD scores 8/9, signaling strong financial health across all three dimensions. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. BRCD's score of -2.62 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. BRCD's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. BRCD receives an estimated rating of BB (score: 43.3/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). BRCD's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
24.48x
PEG
-0.28x
P/S
0.00x
P/B
2.05x
P/FCF
32.98x
P/OCF
25.48x
EV/EBITDA
21.95x
EV/Revenue
2.35x
EV/EBIT
81.47x
EV/FCF
35.26x
Earnings Yield
0.59%
FCF Yield
3.03%
Shareholder Yield
16.38%
Graham Number
$3.22
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 24.5x earnings, BRCD commands a growth premium. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $3.22 per share, 296% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
7.469
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.060
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.029
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.486
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.934
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
1.2%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. BRCD's ROE of 1.2% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.486), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 7.47 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$0.63
Price/Value
19.86x
Margin of Safety
-1886.43%
Premium
1886.43%
Assessment
Overvalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with BRCD's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. BRCD trades at a 1886% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $0.63, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 24.5x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$12.73
Median 1Y
$13.21
5th Pctile
$7.32
95th Pctile
$23.86
Ann. Volatility
36.3%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'11 Q4'11 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Current
ROE 1.8% 2.8% 4.3% 8.8% 9.2% 5.3% 5.6% 8.8% 9.1% 13.7% 10.9% 9.4% 9.6% 10.1% 12.4% 9.4% 8.5% 4.5% 2.4% 1.2% 1.22%
ROA 1.4% 2.3% 2.6% 5.3% 5.5% 3.2% 3.5% 5.7% 5.8% 8.5% 7.0% 6.1% 6.1% 6.5% 7.9% 5.3% 4.8% 2.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.63%
ROIC 6.9% 6.3% 6.8% 13.6% 11.4% 6.1% 7.4% 8.9% 9.9% 14.4% 12.3% 13.5% 13.5% 14.0% 17.1% 8.8% 8.8% 5.4% 4.7% 15.8% 15.83%
ROCE 6.1% 6.9% 7.0% 12.5% 9.3% 10.3% 10.4% 12.9% 12.6% 13.4% 12.2% 11.2% 11.1% 11.1% 12.8% 8.2% 7.3% 4.6% 2.5% 1.6% 1.62%
Gross Margin 59.8% 61.5% 62.0% 61.3% 62.4% 63.5% 62.0% 63.0% 64.9% 66.0% 66.0% 66.3% 68.1% 67.7% 66.9% 60.4% 63.9% 63.1% 62.0% 63.9% 63.93%
Operating Margin 8.3% 12.4% 9.5% 12.6% 14.9% 15.8% 10.6% 13.9% 15.0% 21.5% 3.8% 21.6% 20.9% 21.1% 15.8% 3.5% 12.6% 0.7% -1.1% -3.6% -3.62%
Net Margin 2.4% 10.4% 7.2% 7.8% 9.3% -3.6% 8.7% 22.1% 11.5% 14.3% -2.5% 16.0% 14.1% 16.3% 8.2% 1.8% 10.1% -1.0% -2.0% -3.6% -3.55%
EBITDA Margin 18.5% 21.4% 18.4% 21.4% 23.9% 24.3% 18.8% 36.7% 23.2% 28.2% 7.8% 26.4% 25.5% 25.9% 21.2% 10.5% 20.2% 8.9% 7.7% 4.3% 4.28%
FCF Margin 16.4% 17.0% 18.6% 17.8% 23.2% 19.8% 19.3% 19.3% 17.9% 20.7% 22.8% 22.8% 24.0% 23.5% 21.0% 16.9% 14.2% 9.7% 9.9% 6.7% 6.66%
OCF Margin 20.9% 21.2% 22.5% 21.8% 26.4% 23.1% 22.2% 21.9% 20.3% 22.8% 25.0% 25.1% 26.7% 26.7% 24.3% 20.3% 17.5% 12.5% 12.2% 8.6% 8.62%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 6.56%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 7.41%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 3.77%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 69.85%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 11.36%
Cash ROA snapshot only 4.24%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 7.00%
CROIC snapshot only 5.41%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 19.47%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 0.17%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 20.33%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 5.32%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'11 Q4'11 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Current
P/E Ratio 44.29 32.12 27.90 12.22 12.83 22.60 22.08 14.97 17.40 13.72 16.01 18.60 21.94 13.56 13.15 17.39 16.95 44.15 84.61 168.85 24.481
P/S Ratio 1.04 1.22 1.21 0.62 1.12 1.15 1.20 1.32 1.63 1.94 1.82 1.84 2.32 1.50 1.81 1.75 1.55 2.15 2.15 2.20 0.000
P/B Ratio 1.11 1.24 1.20 1.07 1.12 1.18 1.21 1.29 1.55 1.82 1.71 1.74 2.06 1.32 1.57 1.59 1.43 1.96 1.99 2.04 2.048
P/FCF 6.36 7.18 6.53 3.46 4.83 5.80 6.22 6.86 9.11 9.39 7.99 8.11 9.65 6.39 8.63 10.34 10.89 22.03 21.66 32.98 32.982
P/OCF 4.99 5.75 5.40 2.83 4.24 4.98 5.40 6.04 8.05 8.51 7.29 7.35 8.68 5.63 7.43 8.58 8.84 17.14 17.60 25.48 25.482
EV/EBITDA 4.71 6.89 6.64 3.25 5.01 5.64 5.09 4.79 5.68 6.58 6.57 7.42 9.30 5.74 6.13 9.41 8.68 15.06 18.57 21.95 21.950
EV/Revenue 0.87 1.33 1.27 0.63 1.07 1.25 1.13 1.24 1.46 1.76 1.58 1.59 2.05 1.23 1.52 1.94 1.68 2.29 2.25 2.35 2.347
EV/EBIT 10.55 14.15 13.28 6.51 8.64 9.35 8.29 7.15 8.41 9.37 9.23 10.12 11.91 7.16 7.52 12.68 12.67 27.70 50.17 81.47 81.466
EV/FCF 5.31 7.82 6.85 3.54 4.62 6.28 5.84 6.42 8.13 8.51 6.91 7.01 8.55 5.24 7.27 11.50 11.85 23.49 22.72 35.26 35.260
Earnings Yield 2.3% 3.1% 3.6% 8.2% 7.8% 4.4% 4.5% 6.7% 5.7% 7.3% 6.2% 5.4% 4.6% 7.4% 7.6% 5.7% 5.9% 2.3% 1.2% 0.6% 0.59%
FCF Yield 15.7% 13.9% 15.3% 28.9% 20.7% 17.3% 16.1% 14.6% 11.0% 10.7% 12.5% 12.3% 10.4% 15.7% 11.6% 9.7% 9.2% 4.5% 4.6% 3.0% 3.03%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 46.698
EV/OCF snapshot only 27.242
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 3.709
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 89.555
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 16.38%
Graham Number snapshot only $3.22
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'11 Q4'11 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Current
Current Ratio 1.49 1.68 1.73 1.79 1.89 1.68 2.12 2.44 2.54 2.89 2.94 3.06 3.22 3.43 3.28 2.28 2.41 2.60 2.48 2.78 2.782
Quick Ratio 1.36 1.53 1.59 1.65 1.78 1.61 2.02 2.34 2.46 2.80 2.86 2.98 3.14 3.34 3.21 2.17 2.31 2.48 2.37 2.66 2.663
Debt/Equity 0.02 0.34 0.31 0.29 0.27 0.41 0.27 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.65 0.62 0.61 0.60 0.61 0.608
Net Debt/Equity -0.18 0.11 0.06 0.02 -0.05 0.10 -0.07 -0.08 -0.17 -0.17 -0.23 -0.24 -0.24 -0.24 -0.25 0.18 0.13 0.13 0.10 0.14 0.141
Debt/Assets 0.01 0.21 0.19 0.18 0.17 0.24 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.33 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.322
Debt/EBITDA 0.11 1.73 1.62 0.86 1.26 1.80 1.19 1.03 1.05 1.02 1.13 1.26 1.63 1.68 1.48 3.45 3.47 4.37 5.36 6.13 6.130
Net Debt/EBITDA -0.94 0.56 0.30 0.07 -0.23 0.43 -0.33 -0.33 -0.68 -0.68 -1.02 -1.16 -1.19 -1.25 -1.15 0.95 0.71 0.93 0.86 1.42 1.418
Interest Coverage 1.81 2.27 2.54 2.71 5.28 4.59 4.84 6.40 6.98 10.83 10.18 9.44 9.91 9.78 11.21 7.81 6.31 3.54 1.75 1.06 1.064
Equity Multiplier 1.72 1.64 1.61 1.60 1.60 1.71 1.56 1.53 1.54 1.53 1.55 1.54 1.60 1.56 1.58 1.98 1.94 1.90 1.91 1.89 1.886
Cash Ratio snapshot only 1.982
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 3.950
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.769
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.102
Defensive Interval snapshot only 378.2 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'11 Q4'11 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Current
Asset Turnover 0.60 0.60 0.60 1.05 0.63 0.62 0.64 0.64 0.62 0.60 0.62 0.62 0.58 0.59 0.58 0.53 0.53 0.54 0.53 0.49 0.486
Inventory Turnover 47.27 43.07 19.81 17.94 12.01 12.12 12.67 13.39 14.34 15.34 16.42 16.55 16.90 16.92 17.85 12.59 14.98 14.06 15.17 11.33 11.331
Receivables Turnover 17.24 19.71 8.28 14.26 9.28 10.39 9.89 9.97 9.21 10.11 10.14 10.75 10.09 11.21 10.98 9.51 9.99 10.76 10.24 8.21 8.211
Payables Turnover 32.03 35.17 14.35 11.77 7.54 8.49 8.35 7.87 7.92 8.77 8.49 8.37 8.13 9.51 8.08 7.47 7.52 10.79 8.55 7.88 7.879
DSO 21 19 44 26 39 35 37 37 40 36 36 34 36 33 33 38 37 34 36 44 44.5 days
DIO 8 8 18 20 30 30 29 27 25 24 22 22 22 22 20 29 24 26 24 32 32.2 days
DPO 11 10 25 31 48 43 44 46 46 42 43 44 45 38 45 49 49 34 43 46 46.3 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 17 17 37 15 21 22 22 17 19 18 15 12 13 16 8 18 12 26 17 30 30.3 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 5.624
Operating Cycle snapshot only 76.7 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 1.985
Capital Intensity snapshot only 2.034
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'11 Q4'11 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Current
Revenue 2.9% 97.2% 30.9% 5.9% 4.2% 4.8% 4.9% -41.1% -0.7% -3.0% -2.8% -1.6% -1.3% 0.2% -0.3% 1.3% 6.9% 6.8% 8.8% 4.7% 4.74%
Net Income 1.2% 62.1% 19.8% 7.2% 2.9% 40.6% 31.3% 3.4% 6.9% 1.7% 1.0% 10.3% 11.0% -21.4% 20.4% 2.5% -7.7% -53.1% -79.9% -86.4% -86.43%
EPS 1.1% 69.9% 25.8% 7.1% 3.1% 44.9% 33.0% 5.0% 8.9% 1.7% 1.1% 14.3% 18.0% -14.1% 32.1% 9.6% -3.4% -52.0% -79.7% -86.1% -86.07%
FCF 4.8% 1.4% 65.2% 10.1% 47.0% 22.5% 9.1% -36.0% -23.0% 1.0% 14.9% 15.9% 32.2% 14.2% -8.5% -24.8% -36.8% -55.8% -48.5% -58.7% -58.71%
EBITDA 1.5% 61.9% 14.3% 3.7% 20.2% 20.2% 21.6% -21.1% 19.7% 17.4% 5.1% -18.2% -15.2% -19.3% 3.1% -2.7% -6.2% -24.5% -46.8% -45.8% -45.77%
Op. Income 53.6% 29.1% 1.1% 2.2% 56.4% 47.6% 47.4% -15.7% 11.1% 11.6% -2.4% 10.3% 21.2% 10.9% 45.4% -1.4% -17.8% -49.0% -76.6% -81.9% -81.87%
OCF Growth snapshot only -55.66%
Asset Growth snapshot only -2.30%
Equity Growth snapshot only 2.69%
Debt Growth snapshot only -3.71%
Shares Change snapshot only -2.60%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'11 Q4'11 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Current
Revenue 3Y — — — — — — — — 59.3% 26.1% 10.1% 58.8% 0.7% 0.6% 0.5% -16.3% 1.6% 1.3% 1.8% 1.4% 1.44%
Revenue 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 33.6% 16.5% 7.7% 33.6% 33.58%
EPS 3Y — — — — — — — — 1.1% 88.1% 52.0% 1.1% 73.4% 49.8% 54.5% 9.6% 7.5% 3.7% -17.4% -44.1% -44.11%
EPS 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 60.3% 22.4% -1.2% 8.3% 8.34%
Net Income 3Y — — — — — — — — 1.1% 83.1% 47.3% 1.1% 66.0% 43.9% 47.6% 5.4% 3.1% -0.2% -21.1% -46.5% -46.47%
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 55.6% 17.7% -5.0% 5.4% 5.38%
EBITDA 3Y — — — — — — — — 53.8% 31.7% 13.5% 44.6% 6.9% 4.4% 9.6% -14.4% -1.6% -10.6% -16.8% -24.4% -24.43%
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 23.7% 6.8% -4.4% 9.8% 9.80%
Gross Profit 3Y — — — — — — — — 49.4% 23.7% 10.0% — 54.7% 52.3% 51.4% -14.0% 3.1% 1.9% 1.8% 1.7% 1.73%
Gross Profit 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 29.1% 15.0% 6.7% — —
Op. Income 3Y — — — — — — — — 38.7% 28.6% 13.3% 43.7% 28.2% 22.3% 27.9% -2.8% 3.4% -14.2% -30.8% -41.8% -41.80%
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 21.6% 3.8% -13.1% -11.9% -11.90%
FCF 3Y — — — — — — — — 87.2% 42.9% 27.5% 1.0% 14.3% 12.2% 4.7% -17.7% -13.7% -20.1% -18.5% -28.9% -28.87%
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 40.5% 8.1% -0.5% 20.7% 20.72%
OCF 3Y — — — — — — — — 61.8% 30.6% 17.6% 73.3% 9.2% 8.7% 3.2% -18.2% -11.5% -17.4% -16.7% -25.7% -25.70%
OCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 31.0% 5.6% -3.0% 13.6% 13.64%
Assets 3Y — — — — — — — — -0.3% -0.9% -1.1% -1.2% 4.3% 4.0% 4.4% 11.7% 11.3% 9.0% 11.9% 10.6% 10.58%
Assets 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 6.2% 5.9% 5.7% 5.0% 5.00%
Equity 3Y — — — — — — — — -13.7% -13.9% 2.3% 2.3% 6.9% 5.6% 5.0% 3.9% 4.4% 5.2% 4.6% 3.0% 3.04%
Book Value 3Y — — — — — — — — -12.6% -11.6% 5.5% 3.8% 11.7% 10.0% 10.0% 8.1% 8.8% 9.4% 9.5% 7.6% 7.58%
Dividend 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'11 Q4'11 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Current
Revenue Stability — — — — 0.79 0.82 0.87 0.27 0.64 0.62 0.64 0.11 0.16 0.03 0.01 0.60 0.70 0.71 0.75 0.70 0.705
Earnings Stability — — — — 0.87 1.00 0.97 0.78 0.89 0.81 0.81 0.71 0.87 0.76 0.91 0.65 0.77 0.28 0.12 0.01 0.007
Margin Stability — — — — 0.42 0.47 0.48 0.00 0.54 0.57 0.58 0.00 0.56 0.57 0.58 0.96 0.91 0.96 0.97 0.00 0.000
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.50 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence — — — — 0.50 0.84 0.87 0.99 0.97 0.50 0.50 0.96 0.96 0.91 0.92 0.99 0.97 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness 0.27 0.53 0.82 0.00 0.00 0.66 0.73 0.97 0.93 0.08 0.32 0.90 0.90 0.76 0.81 0.98 0.92 0.28 0.00 0.00 0.000
ROE Trend — — — — 0.07 0.03 0.02 0.04 0.03 0.09 0.06 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.04 0.00 -0.01 -0.07 -0.09 -0.08 -0.080
Gross Margin Trend — — — — 0.14 0.19 0.20 0.75 0.23 0.23 0.24 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.01 -0.00 -0.02 -0.04 -0.02 -0.025
FCF Margin Trend — — — — 0.09 0.04 0.03 0.05 -0.02 0.02 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.03 -0.00 -0.04 -0.07 -0.12 -0.12 -0.13 -0.132
Sustainable Growth Rate 1.8% 2.8% 4.3% 8.8% 9.2% 5.3% 5.6% 8.8% 9.1% 13.7% 10.9% 9.4% 9.6% 10.1% 12.4% 9.4% 8.5% 4.5% 2.4% 1.2% 1.22%
Internal Growth Rate 1.4% 2.3% 2.7% 5.6% 5.9% 3.3% 3.6% 6.0% 6.1% 9.2% 7.6% 6.5% 6.5% 7.0% 8.6% 5.6% 5.1% 2.7% 1.4% 0.6% 0.64%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'11 Q4'11 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Current
OCF/Net Income 8.88 5.58 5.17 4.33 3.03 4.54 4.09 2.48 2.16 1.61 2.20 2.53 2.53 2.41 1.77 2.03 1.92 2.58 4.81 6.63 6.626
FCF/OCF 0.78 0.80 0.83 0.82 0.88 0.86 0.87 0.88 0.88 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.90 0.88 0.86 0.83 0.81 0.78 0.81 0.77 0.773
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 5.119
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.806
CapEx/Revenue 4.5% 4.2% 3.9% 4.0% 3.3% 3.3% 2.9% 2.6% 2.4% 2.1% 2.2% 2.3% 2.7% 3.2% 3.4% 3.5% 3.3% 2.8% 2.3% 2.0% 1.96%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.251
Accruals Ratio -0.11 -0.11 -0.11 -0.18 -0.11 -0.11 -0.11 -0.08 -0.07 -0.05 -0.08 -0.09 -0.09 -0.09 -0.06 -0.05 -0.04 -0.04 -0.05 -0.04 -0.036
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.004
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 4.398
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'11 Q4'11 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
FCF Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Payout Ratio 4.2% 3.4% 2.4% 1.5% 66.7% 2.7% 1.6% 1.2% 1.2% 1.1% 1.4% 1.6% 1.6% 1.6% 1.2% 4.1% 3.9% 6.1% 10.9% 27.7% 27.65%
Div. Increase Streak — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield 9.4% 10.7% 8.7% 12.0% 5.2% 11.8% 7.0% 8.3% 6.6% 7.8% 8.6% 8.7% 7.5% 11.7% 9.4% 23.6% 23.2% 13.8% 12.9% 16.4% 16.38%
Net Buyback Yield 9.4% 10.7% 8.7% 12.0% 5.2% 11.8% 7.0% 8.3% 6.6% 7.8% 8.6% 8.7% -4.3% -6.5% -5.8% 8.2% 23.2% 13.8% 12.9% 15.4% 15.41%
Total Shareholder Return 9.4% 10.7% 8.7% 12.0% 5.2% 11.8% 7.0% 8.3% 6.6% 7.8% 8.6% 8.7% -4.3% -6.5% -5.8% 8.2% 23.2% 13.8% 12.9% 15.4% 15.41%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'11 Q4'11 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.64 0.72 0.75 0.83 0.87 0.49 0.50 0.61 0.63 0.83 0.74 0.70 0.68 0.72 0.75 0.75 0.82 0.82 1.32 7.47 7.469
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.45 0.56 0.61 0.63 0.81 0.78 0.79 0.84 0.86 0.91 0.90 0.89 0.90 0.90 0.91 0.87 0.84 0.72 0.43 0.06 0.060
EBIT Margin 0.08 0.09 0.10 0.10 0.12 0.13 0.14 0.17 0.17 0.19 0.17 0.16 0.17 0.17 0.20 0.15 0.13 0.08 0.04 0.03 0.029
Asset Turnover 0.60 0.60 0.60 1.05 0.63 0.62 0.64 0.64 0.62 0.60 0.62 0.62 0.58 0.59 0.58 0.53 0.53 0.54 0.53 0.49 0.486
Equity Multiplier 1.26 1.23 1.66 1.65 1.66 1.67 1.59 1.56 1.57 1.61 1.55 1.53 1.57 1.55 1.57 1.77 1.77 1.73 1.75 1.93 1.934
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'11 Q4'11 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $0.10 $0.17 $0.20 $0.41 $0.41 $0.25 $0.26 $0.43 $0.45 $0.69 $0.55 $0.49 $0.53 $0.59 $0.73 $0.53 $0.51 $0.28 $0.15 $0.07 $0.07
Book Value/Share $4.05 $4.53 $4.60 $4.65 $4.73 $4.86 $4.81 $4.96 $5.06 $5.17 $5.17 $5.21 $5.64 $6.03 $6.12 $5.86 $6.10 $6.35 $6.32 $6.18 $6.22
Tangible Book/Share $0.34 $0.66 $0.82 $0.91 $1.06 $0.99 $1.10 $1.29 $1.43 $1.50 $1.67 $1.69 $1.74 $1.96 $2.01 $-0.72 $0.11 $0.23 $0.24 $0.27 $0.27
Revenue/Share $4.32 $4.61 $4.56 $8.07 $4.74 $4.98 $4.85 $4.82 $4.79 $4.85 $4.86 $4.92 $5.03 $5.31 $5.32 $5.33 $5.62 $5.81 $5.86 $5.73 $5.73
FCF/Share $0.71 $0.78 $0.85 $1.43 $1.10 $0.99 $0.94 $0.93 $0.86 $1.00 $1.11 $1.12 $1.21 $1.25 $1.11 $0.90 $0.80 $0.57 $0.58 $0.38 $0.81
OCF/Share $0.90 $0.98 $1.02 $1.76 $1.25 $1.15 $1.08 $1.06 $0.97 $1.10 $1.22 $1.23 $1.34 $1.42 $1.29 $1.08 $0.98 $0.73 $0.71 $0.49 $1.00
Cash/Share $0.83 $1.03 $1.15 $1.23 $1.51 $1.50 $1.64 $1.70 $2.13 $2.20 $2.52 $2.56 $3.13 $3.35 $3.47 $2.75 $3.01 $3.04 $3.19 $2.89 $3.07
EBITDA/Share $0.80 $0.89 $0.87 $1.56 $1.01 $1.10 $1.07 $1.25 $1.23 $1.29 $1.17 $1.06 $1.11 $1.14 $1.32 $1.10 $1.09 $0.88 $0.71 $0.61 $0.61
Debt/Share $0.09 $1.54 $1.42 $1.33 $1.27 $1.98 $1.28 $1.29 $1.29 $1.32 $1.32 $1.33 $1.81 $1.92 $1.95 $3.80 $3.79 $3.86 $3.81 $3.76 $3.76
Net Debt/Share $-0.75 $0.50 $0.26 $0.10 $-0.24 $0.47 $-0.35 $-0.41 $-0.84 $-0.88 $-1.19 $-1.23 $-1.33 $-1.43 $-1.52 $1.05 $0.77 $0.82 $0.61 $0.87 $0.87
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'11 Q4'11 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2.464
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 4.619
Piotroski F-Score 5 7 8 6 8 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 7 6 7 4 4 4 4 8 8
Beneish M-Score -0.43 -3.14 -3.31 — -1.43 -3.05 -2.94 -2.98 -2.77 -2.79 -3.14 -3.13 -3.21 -3.09 -2.69 -2.13 -2.07 -2.08 -2.31 -2.62 -2.621
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -7.631
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 4.57%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-1.42
EVA snapshot only $167799899.51
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'11 Q4'11 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BB
Credit Score 58.64 58.47 58.25 64.65 67.04 59.39 68.20 71.79 76.49 86.16 83.52 80.52 83.99 80.36 83.40 64.04 60.15 54.44 46.29 43.31 43.312
Credit Grade snapshot only 12
Credit Trend snapshot only -20.727
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 475.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 28
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 22

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