— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice

BRSI OTC

Ballistic Recovery Systems Inc.
1W: +0.0% 1M: +0.0% 3M: +0.0% YTD: +0.0% 1Y: +0.0% 3Y: -50.0% 5Y: -99.8%
$0.00
+0.00 (+0.00%)
 
OTC · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense · Tech Score Neutral · Power 50 · $1133 mcap · 11M float · 0.0086% daily turnover

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 19 Grade D
Profitability
4
Balance Sheet
0
Earnings Quality
48
Growth
45
Value
23
Momentum
44
Safety
30
Cash Flow
30
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. BRSI scores highest in Earnings Quality (48/100) and lowest in Balance Sheet (0/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
1.25
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
2/9
✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-1.49
Possible Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-3.63
Bankruptcy prob: 2.6%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
B+
Score: 32.1/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
—
OCF/NI: 0.62x
Accruals: -10.8%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. BRSI scores 1.25, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. BRSI scores 2/9, suggesting weak financial fundamentals — the company fails the majority of these accounting tests. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. BRSI's score of -1.49 exceeds the −1.78 red flag threshold — this does not confirm manipulation but indicates the earnings profile resembles past manipulators statistically. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. BRSI's implied 2.6% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. BRSI receives an estimated rating of B+ (score: 32.1/100), with a deteriorating trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-0.00x
PEG
0.00x
P/S
0.00x
P/B
0.00x
P/FCF
-5.05x
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
-4.52x
EV/Revenue
0.90x
EV/EBIT
-4.17x
EV/FCF
-5.68x
Earnings Yield
-26.93%
FCF Yield
-19.81%
Shareholder Yield
0.00%
Graham Number
—
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. BRSI currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.832
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.202
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
-0.215
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
1.333
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.354
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-38.8%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. BRSI's ROE of -38.8% is driven by Asset Turnover (1.333), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
—
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$0.00
Median 1Y
$0.00
5th Pctile
$0.00
95th Pctile
$0.00
Ann. Volatility
768.1%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'03 Q1'04 Q2'04 Q3'04 Q4'04 Q1'05 Q2'05 Q3'05 Q4'05 Q1'06 Q2'06 Q3'06 Q4'06 Q1'07 Q2'07 Q3'07 Q4'07 Q1'08 Q2'08 Q3'08 Current
ROE 25.7% 25.9% 21.1% 15.0% 17.7% 21.0% 14.9% 13.6% -42.6% -51.7% -44.6% -39.7% 1.0% 2.1% 2.9% 2.6% -40.4% -35.5% -40.4% -38.8% -38.82%
ROA 19.3% 20.1% 15.4% 11.8% 13.9% 16.1% 10.2% 10.8% -27.3% -29.6% -25.6% -27.2% 0.5% 1.4% 2.0% 2.0% -28.1% -26.4% -28.1% -28.7% -28.68%
ROIC 38.9% 31.4% 33.4% 24.6% 29.9% 32.4% 24.0% 14.4% -36.9% -35.3% -40.5% -37.1% 1.9% 2.7% 2.9% 2.6% -32.9% -20.2% -27.2% -31.2% -31.23%
ROCE 41.6% 45.9% 33.1% 23.1% 27.2% 31.3% 20.0% 18.4% -50.0% -54.5% -59.8% -51.2% 3.3% 3.7% 4.1% 3.1% -33.8% -29.1% -38.3% -44.9% -44.89%
Gross Margin 47.1% 35.5% 37.9% 33.6% 42.0% 41.2% 40.3% 35.0% 37.3% 39.6% 37.0% 33.4% 29.7% 34.2% 37.9% 37.5% -41.0% 27.7% 28.7% 13.2% 13.18%
Operating Margin 14.3% 8.6% 9.4% 4.9% 19.8% 4.7% 5.4% 2.9% -99.6% -1.3% -2.1% 3.9% 4.8% 2.4% -0.7% 2.9% -77.5% 9.8% -16.3% -4.3% -4.35%
Net Margin 9.1% 3.8% 6.4% 3.2% 11.6% 2.8% 3.6% 2.0% -63.7% -1.8% -1.2% 1.6% 2.1% 0.9% 0.4% 2.0% -70.4% -7.8% -8.2% -4.1% -4.10%
EBITDA Margin 15.9% 10.5% 11.4% 6.7% 21.4% 7.1% 7.9% 5.5% -96.6% 2.2% 0.8% 6.7% 8.6% 4.6% 1.1% 4.5% -75.2% 11.3% -14.9% -3.2% -3.22%
FCF Margin 3.2% 2.6% 0.3% 7.5% 10.9% 15.1% 13.7% 3.5% -12.7% -19.0% -17.6% -15.9% -3.6% -5.2% -9.5% -9.4% -18.4% -23.5% -18.7% -15.8% -15.83%
OCF Margin 5.2% 5.0% 2.3% 9.8% 12.7% 16.2% 14.5% 4.3% -6.6% -12.1% -10.7% -9.4% -1.9% -4.3% -8.0% -7.2% -16.1% -19.8% -15.4% -13.4% -13.43%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only -30.35%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only -13.14%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -17.46%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only -21.64%
ROIC Economic snapshot only -31.23%
Cash ROA snapshot only -17.85%
Cash ROIC snapshot only -24.72%
CROIC snapshot only -29.15%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only -16.96%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -25.86%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 4.73%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 24.99%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.98%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'03 Q1'04 Q2'04 Q3'04 Q4'04 Q1'05 Q2'05 Q3'05 Q4'05 Q1'06 Q2'06 Q3'06 Q4'06 Q1'07 Q2'07 Q3'07 Q4'07 Q1'08 Q2'08 Q3'08 Current
P/E Ratio 11.66 16.40 26.68 42.70 32.64 50.37 64.94 55.67 -15.13 -9.69 -8.53 -10.08 441.96 171.63 165.17 140.16 -10.44 -9.33 -6.03 -3.71 -0.001
P/S Ratio 0.98 1.33 1.90 2.35 2.16 3.13 3.53 2.80 2.09 1.43 1.34 1.52 1.35 1.49 2.12 1.96 1.87 1.83 1.27 0.80 0.000
P/B Ratio 2.82 4.35 5.28 6.02 5.23 9.99 8.00 6.28 6.92 4.84 4.62 4.47 4.03 2.59 3.48 2.54 3.31 3.30 2.59 1.80 0.000
P/FCF 30.49 50.48 628.67 31.60 19.85 20.69 25.81 78.87 -16.42 -7.55 -7.60 -9.52 -37.59 -28.66 -22.30 -20.82 -10.14 -7.79 -6.79 -5.05 -5.047
P/OCF 18.98 26.59 83.27 24.00 17.00 19.26 24.30 65.54 — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBITDA 5.26 8.15 12.83 20.19 15.13 25.01 30.10 25.63 -11.88 -8.26 -7.16 -8.40 31.67 27.62 38.88 37.29 -10.14 -12.64 -7.28 -4.52 -4.519
EV/Revenue 0.86 1.29 1.76 2.20 1.97 3.01 3.32 2.70 2.25 1.65 1.52 1.66 1.49 1.44 2.08 1.78 1.77 1.95 1.38 0.90 0.898
EV/EBIT 5.84 9.08 14.63 24.20 17.52 29.78 37.17 32.73 -10.42 -7.21 -6.27 -7.28 100.61 63.60 78.21 74.22 -9.26 -11.52 -6.78 -4.17 -4.175
EV/FCF 26.81 49.24 583.54 29.52 18.14 19.91 24.26 76.19 -17.69 -8.68 -8.65 -10.45 -41.64 -27.70 -21.89 -18.90 -9.61 -8.31 -7.37 -5.68 -5.675
Earnings Yield 8.6% 6.1% 3.7% 2.3% 3.1% 2.0% 1.5% 1.8% -6.6% -10.3% -11.7% -9.9% 0.2% 0.6% 0.6% 0.7% -9.6% -10.7% -16.6% -26.9% -26.93%
FCF Yield 3.3% 2.0% 0.2% 3.2% 5.0% 4.8% 3.9% 1.3% -6.1% -13.2% -13.2% -10.5% -2.7% -3.5% -4.5% -4.8% -9.9% -12.8% -14.7% -19.8% -19.81%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.000
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 1.891
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 12.128
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.00%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'03 Q1'04 Q2'04 Q3'04 Q4'04 Q1'05 Q2'05 Q3'05 Q4'05 Q1'06 Q2'06 Q3'06 Q4'06 Q1'07 Q2'07 Q3'07 Q4'07 Q1'08 Q2'08 Q3'08 Current
Current Ratio 4.27 4.56 2.85 3.97 4.26 3.36 2.92 3.91 2.16 1.70 1.66 2.43 2.46 5.57 5.41 6.75 3.55 2.21 1.77 1.69 1.690
Quick Ratio 2.34 2.15 1.69 2.36 2.73 1.76 2.07 2.47 0.89 0.50 0.51 0.79 0.66 1.99 2.15 3.78 2.13 1.07 0.66 0.84 0.840
Debt/Equity 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.05 0.03 0.57 0.73 0.68 0.47 0.45 0.06 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.25 0.25 0.247
Net Debt/Equity -0.34 -0.11 -0.38 -0.40 -0.45 -0.38 -0.48 -0.21 0.53 0.72 0.64 0.43 0.43 -0.09 -0.06 -0.23 -0.17 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.224
Debt/Assets 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.30 0.34 0.32 0.27 0.25 0.05 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.15 0.15 0.146
Debt/EBITDA 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.06 0.00 0.18 0.15 -0.91 -1.08 -0.92 -0.81 3.21 0.66 0.65 0.00 -0.00 -0.84 -0.64 -0.55 -0.552
Net Debt/EBITDA -0.72 -0.21 -0.99 -1.42 -1.43 -0.99 -1.93 -0.90 -0.85 -1.08 -0.87 -0.74 3.08 -0.97 -0.73 -3.79 0.56 -0.79 -0.58 -0.50 -0.501
Interest Coverage — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -261.99 -66.88 -66.877
Equity Multiplier 1.28 1.24 1.46 1.29 1.26 1.36 1.46 1.23 1.90 2.11 2.14 1.75 1.80 1.21 1.22 1.13 1.24 1.48 1.69 1.70 1.695
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.038
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only -61.784
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.093
FCF to Debt snapshot only -1.442
Defensive Interval snapshot only 171.9 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'03 Q1'04 Q2'04 Q3'04 Q4'04 Q1'05 Q2'05 Q3'05 Q4'05 Q1'06 Q2'06 Q3'06 Q4'06 Q1'07 Q2'07 Q3'07 Q4'07 Q1'08 Q2'08 Q3'08 Current
Asset Turnover 2.30 2.48 2.16 2.14 2.11 2.60 1.88 2.16 1.98 2.00 1.64 1.81 1.78 1.60 1.52 1.40 1.57 1.35 1.34 1.33 1.333
Inventory Turnover 4.08 3.99 3.72 3.83 3.78 3.90 3.83 4.38 3.86 3.17 3.12 3.38 2.99 2.50 2.44 2.52 3.72 2.98 2.82 3.86 3.861
Receivables Turnover 32.32 20.81 17.37 17.23 18.68 18.71 16.25 14.02 18.88 21.58 20.67 13.36 17.96 20.14 14.87 10.63 10.12 9.57 12.38 8.88 8.875
Payables Turnover 45.51 29.41 25.24 24.11 28.71 23.79 21.48 28.37 20.90 11.96 10.13 17.07 11.75 9.92 9.23 13.29 10.76 11.49 7.37 9.67 9.666
DSO 11 18 21 21 20 20 22 26 19 17 18 27 20 18 25 34 36 38 29 41 41.1 days
DIO 90 92 98 95 97 94 95 83 95 115 117 108 122 146 149 145 98 122 129 95 94.5 days
DPO 8 12 14 15 13 15 17 13 17 31 36 21 31 37 40 27 34 32 50 38 37.8 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 93 97 105 101 103 98 101 96 96 101 99 114 111 127 134 152 100 129 109 98 97.9 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 10.674
Operating Cycle snapshot only 135.7 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 97.824
Capital Intensity snapshot only 0.752
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q4'03 Q1'04 Q2'04 Q3'04 Q4'04 Q1'05 Q2'05 Q3'05 Q4'05 Q1'06 Q2'06 Q3'06 Q4'06 Q1'07 Q2'07 Q3'07 Q4'07 Q1'08 Q2'08 Q3'08 Current
Revenue 29.5% 12.6% -2.9% -8.4% 3.9% 10.2% 25.2% 32.7% 19.3% 13.6% 7.0% 6.7% 10.6% 12.6% 8.3% 5.4% 4.7% 4.4% 10.8% 15.8% 15.81%
Net Income -9.1% -15.7% -31.2% -41.0% -18.1% -15.5% -4.0% 20.8% -3.5% -3.7% -4.1% -4.2% 1.0% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% -62.4% -24.6% -19.1% -18.9% -18.86%
EPS -9.7% -17.3% -35.4% -48.9% -26.8% -25.7% -12.8% 14.3% -3.3% -3.6% -3.9% -4.2% 1.0% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% -45.5% -20.1% -17.2% -17.2% -17.18%
FCF -56.8% -73.1% -97.3% 7.5% 2.5% 5.3% 55.9% -36.9% -2.4% -2.4% -2.4% -5.8% 68.8% 69.2% 41.4% 37.8% -4.4% -3.7% -1.2% -95.1% -95.11%
EBITDA 13.6% 0.2% -27.3% -41.6% -17.1% -16.6% 0.8% 28.3% -2.7% -2.9% -3.1% -3.0% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% -4.9% -4.1% -4.9% -5.8% -5.84%
Op. Income 13.4% -0.2% -29.8% -45.8% -20.5% -22.0% -6.9% 20.4% -3.3% -3.6% -3.9% -4.0% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% -14.7% -9.0% -9.6% -11.4% -11.38%
OCF Growth snapshot only -1.16%
Asset Growth snapshot only 0.46%
Equity Growth snapshot only -33.30%
Shares Change snapshot only 10.37%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q4'03 Q1'04 Q2'04 Q3'04 Q4'04 Q1'05 Q2'05 Q3'05 Q4'05 Q1'06 Q2'06 Q3'06 Q4'06 Q1'07 Q2'07 Q3'07 Q4'07 Q1'08 Q2'08 Q3'08 Current
Revenue 3Y 51.2% 34.3% 26.3% 22.6% 21.8% 24.1% 25.6% 22.1% 17.1% 12.1% 9.2% 9.0% 11.1% 12.1% 13.2% 14.3% 11.4% 10.1% 8.7% 9.2% 9.20%
Revenue 5Y — — — — — — 71.2% 44.7% 33.8% 24.8% 21.9% 21.1% 19.0% 19.6% 18.1% 15.4% 13.2% 10.6% 9.3% 9.6% 9.61%
EPS 3Y 76.4% 56.6% 16.7% -6.1% -13.5% -15.0% -18.6% -25.5% — — — — -65.7% -52.8% -44.5% -35.4% — — — — —
EPS 5Y — — — — — — — 1.4% — — — — -48.6% -38.6% -36.2% -37.2% — — — — —
Net Income 3Y 77.9% 58.0% 18.5% -0.2% -9.1% -10.5% -14.6% -19.9% — — — — -63.2% -46.7% -36.0% -27.7% — — — — —
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — — 1.5% — — — — -46.1% -33.7% -29.8% -30.7% — — — — —
EBITDA 3Y 81.6% 60.4% 29.2% 12.4% 13.6% 10.7% 7.2% -0.8% — — — — -26.6% -22.7% -17.3% -13.3% — — — — —
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — — — 66.5% — — — — -6.9% -5.5% -7.1% -13.1% — — — — —
Gross Profit 3Y 51.3% 35.6% 27.6% 23.8% 21.6% 25.2% 25.8% 21.7% 15.4% 10.2% 7.1% 7.0% 6.5% 6.6% 7.8% 10.8% -16.2% -20.3% -24.2% -37.5% -37.52%
Gross Profit 5Y — — — — — — 75.7% 47.3% 33.1% 24.8% 21.5% 20.8% 17.0% 16.7% 14.6% 12.3% -5.8% -9.4% -11.9% -21.3% -21.26%
Op. Income 3Y 87.9% 67.0% 30.6% 10.7% 13.1% 9.1% 4.1% -5.5% — — — — -48.3% -39.3% -31.5% -26.8% — — — — —
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — — — 75.7% — — — — -24.1% -17.9% -17.2% -22.7% — — — — —
FCF 3Y — — -56.6% -4.5% -2.3% 80.2% 59.4% -10.8% — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
OCF 3Y — — -17.9% 3.1% 1.1% 52.2% 40.0% -14.7% — — — — — — — — — — — — —
OCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Assets 3Y 23.1% 17.1% 28.8% 23.3% 18.6% 14.4% 35.5% 23.9% 18.5% 22.4% 27.3% 25.0% 23.1% 37.3% 27.1% 36.9% 22.7% 37.0% 17.9% 21.4% 21.37%
Assets 5Y — — — — — — 34.6% 28.1% 24.5% 27.1% 27.6% 25.5% 20.5% 25.7% 27.0% 27.6% 18.6% 23.0% 27.1% 24.8% 24.77%
Equity 3Y 41.1% 27.7% 28.7% 27.4% 22.6% 12.4% 28.6% 25.3% 6.8% 5.0% 7.2% 11.7% 9.8% 38.5% 35.0% 43.2% 23.6% 33.2% 12.5% 9.0% 9.04%
Book Value 3Y 39.9% 26.6% 26.7% 19.8% 16.6% 6.7% 22.6% 16.6% 0.6% -1.8% -0.2% 4.4% 2.4% 22.9% 17.0% 27.9% 7.6% 15.0% -3.0% -4.0% -3.96%
Dividend 3Y — — — — — 31.2% 31.8% 5.5% 6.8% -18.8% -19.2% — — — — — — — — — —
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'03 Q1'04 Q2'04 Q3'04 Q4'04 Q1'05 Q2'05 Q3'05 Q4'05 Q1'06 Q2'06 Q3'06 Q4'06 Q1'07 Q2'07 Q3'07 Q4'07 Q1'08 Q2'08 Q3'08 Current
Revenue Stability 0.99 0.97 0.86 0.79 0.94 0.92 0.94 0.93 0.96 0.96 0.93 0.91 0.97 0.99 0.97 0.95 0.98 0.99 0.99 0.96 0.965
Earnings Stability 0.52 0.43 0.51 0.23 0.24 0.17 0.32 0.13 0.27 0.31 0.40 0.47 0.41 0.39 0.39 0.40 0.64 0.62 0.60 0.58 0.583
Margin Stability 0.97 0.97 0.98 0.97 0.97 0.98 0.95 0.96 0.97 0.98 0.97 0.97 0.95 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.70 0.68 0.66 0.57 0.569
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.96 0.94 0.88 0.84 0.93 0.94 0.98 0.92 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.200
Earnings Smoothness 0.90 0.83 0.63 0.48 0.80 0.83 0.96 0.81 — — — — — — — — — — — — —
ROE Trend -0.11 -0.08 -0.18 -0.21 -0.11 -0.08 -0.14 -0.09 -0.66 -0.73 -0.70 -0.57 0.16 0.17 0.23 0.18 -0.09 -0.11 -0.17 -0.27 -0.272
Gross Margin Trend 0.01 0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.02 -0.01 0.00 0.01 -0.00 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.03 -0.05 -0.05 -0.03 -0.21 -0.21 -0.22 -0.28 -0.284
FCF Margin Trend -0.12 -0.05 -0.08 -0.00 0.04 0.08 0.08 -0.03 -0.20 -0.28 -0.25 -0.21 -0.03 -0.03 -0.08 -0.03 -0.10 -0.11 -0.05 -0.03 -0.032
Sustainable Growth Rate 25.7% 7.5% 3.2% -21.2% -14.6% -25.8% -19.9% -26.0% — — — — 1.0% 2.1% 2.9% 2.6% — — — — —
Internal Growth Rate 23.9% 6.1% 2.4% — — — — — — — — — 0.5% 1.4% 2.0% 2.0% — — — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'03 Q1'04 Q2'04 Q3'04 Q4'04 Q1'05 Q2'05 Q3'05 Q4'05 Q1'06 Q2'06 Q3'06 Q4'06 Q1'07 Q2'07 Q3'07 Q4'07 Q1'08 Q2'08 Q3'08 Current
OCF/Net Income 0.61 0.62 0.32 1.78 1.92 2.61 2.67 0.85 0.48 0.82 0.68 0.63 -6.27 -4.91 -6.24 -5.15 0.90 1.01 0.74 0.62 0.624
FCF/OCF 0.62 0.53 0.13 0.76 0.86 0.93 0.94 0.83 1.92 1.57 1.64 1.69 1.88 1.22 1.19 1.31 1.14 1.18 1.21 1.18 1.179
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.736
CapEx/Revenue 1.9% 2.4% 2.0% 2.4% 1.8% 1.1% 0.9% 0.7% 6.1% 6.9% 6.9% 6.5% 1.7% 0.9% 1.5% 2.2% 2.3% 3.6% 3.2% 2.4% 2.40%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 1.884
Accruals Ratio 0.07 0.08 0.10 -0.09 -0.13 -0.26 -0.17 0.02 -0.14 -0.05 -0.08 -0.10 0.04 0.08 0.14 0.12 -0.03 0.00 -0.07 -0.11 -0.108
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.407
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only -5.586
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'03 Q1'04 Q2'04 Q3'04 Q4'04 Q1'05 Q2'05 Q3'05 Q4'05 Q1'06 Q2'06 Q3'06 Q4'06 Q1'07 Q2'07 Q3'07 Q4'07 Q1'08 Q2'08 Q3'08 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 4.3% 3.2% 5.7% 5.6% 4.4% 3.6% 5.2% 7.1% 5.6% 5.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.06 $0.06 $0.11 $0.12 $0.14 $0.14 $0.15 $0.16 $0.08 $0.08 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio 0.0% 71.2% 84.7% 2.4% 1.8% 2.2% 2.3% 2.9% — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — — — — —
FCF Payout Ratio 0.0% 2.2% 20.0% 1.8% 1.1% 91.5% 92.8% 4.1% — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Total Payout Ratio 0.0% 71.2% 84.7% 2.4% 1.8% 2.2% 2.3% 2.9% — — — — 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — — — — —
Div. Increase Streak — 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 — — — — — — — — — —
Chowder Number — — — — — 1.69 1.68 0.51 0.53 -0.29 -0.29 — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.1% -3.5% -4.2% -5.8% -8.0% 0.1% -3.2% -3.4% -20.0% -15.0% -21.7% -22.4% -9.5% -11.9% -0.7% -0.69%
Total Shareholder Return 0.0% 4.3% 3.2% 5.6% 5.6% 4.4% 0.1% 1.1% 1.3% -2.5% 5.9% -3.2% -3.4% -20.0% -15.0% -21.7% -22.4% -9.5% -11.9% -0.7% -0.69%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'03 Q1'04 Q2'04 Q3'04 Q4'04 Q1'05 Q2'05 Q3'05 Q4'05 Q1'06 Q2'06 Q3'06 Q4'06 Q1'07 Q2'07 Q3'07 Q4'07 Q1'08 Q2'08 Q3'08 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.60 0.60 0.62 0.64 0.60 0.62 0.62 0.61 0.64 0.63 0.64 0.64 0.60 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.93 0.93 0.85 0.83 0.832
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.94 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.97 0.99 0.99 1.00 1.01 1.02 1.02 1.04 0.34 0.61 0.77 0.93 1.00 1.24 1.21 1.20 1.202
EBIT Margin 0.15 0.14 0.12 0.09 0.11 0.10 0.09 0.08 -0.22 -0.23 -0.24 -0.23 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.02 -0.19 -0.17 -0.20 -0.22 -0.215
Asset Turnover 2.30 2.48 2.16 2.14 2.11 2.60 1.88 2.16 1.98 2.00 1.64 1.81 1.78 1.60 1.52 1.40 1.57 1.35 1.34 1.33 1.333
Equity Multiplier 1.33 1.29 1.37 1.27 1.27 1.30 1.46 1.25 1.56 1.75 1.74 1.46 1.85 1.49 1.50 1.31 1.44 1.34 1.44 1.35 1.354
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'03 Q1'04 Q2'04 Q3'04 Q4'04 Q1'05 Q2'05 Q3'05 Q4'05 Q1'06 Q2'06 Q3'06 Q4'06 Q1'07 Q2'07 Q3'07 Q4'07 Q1'08 Q2'08 Q3'08 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $0.09 $0.08 $0.07 $0.05 $0.06 $0.06 $0.06 $0.05 $-0.15 $-0.16 $-0.17 $-0.17 $0.00 $0.01 $0.01 $0.01 $-0.16 $-0.17 $-0.19 $-0.20 $-0.20
Book Value/Share $0.36 $0.31 $0.34 $0.33 $0.40 $0.31 $0.47 $0.47 $0.33 $0.31 $0.31 $0.38 $0.38 $0.58 $0.54 $0.69 $0.49 $0.47 $0.43 $0.42 $0.52
Tangible Book/Share $0.35 $0.30 $0.33 $0.32 $0.39 $0.27 $0.44 $0.45 $0.31 $0.28 $0.30 $0.37 $0.37 $0.56 $0.53 $0.68 $0.49 $0.45 $0.41 $0.40 $0.40
Revenue/Share $1.03 $1.02 $0.94 $0.84 $0.96 $0.99 $1.08 $1.06 $1.08 $1.06 $1.09 $1.12 $1.15 $1.00 $0.89 $0.89 $0.87 $0.85 $0.88 $0.94 $0.92
FCF/Share $0.03 $0.03 $0.00 $0.06 $0.10 $0.15 $0.15 $0.04 $-0.14 $-0.20 $-0.19 $-0.18 $-0.04 $-0.05 $-0.08 $-0.08 $-0.16 $-0.20 $-0.16 $-0.15 $-0.17
OCF/Share $0.05 $0.05 $0.02 $0.08 $0.12 $0.16 $0.16 $0.05 $-0.07 $-0.13 $-0.12 $-0.11 $-0.02 $-0.04 $-0.07 $-0.06 $-0.14 $-0.17 $-0.14 $-0.13 $-0.15
Cash/Share $0.14 $0.05 $0.14 $0.14 $0.19 $0.12 $0.25 $0.12 $0.01 $0.00 $0.01 $0.01 $0.01 $0.08 $0.07 $0.16 $0.08 $0.01 $0.01 $0.01 $0.09
EBITDA/Share $0.17 $0.16 $0.13 $0.09 $0.13 $0.12 $0.12 $0.11 $-0.20 $-0.21 $-0.23 $-0.22 $0.05 $0.05 $0.05 $0.04 $-0.15 $-0.13 $-0.17 $-0.19 $-0.19
Debt/Share $0.01 $0.01 $0.01 $0.01 $0.01 $0.00 $0.02 $0.02 $0.19 $0.23 $0.21 $0.18 $0.17 $0.03 $0.03 $0.00 $0.00 $0.11 $0.11 $0.10 $0.10
Net Debt/Share $-0.12 $-0.03 $-0.13 $-0.13 $-0.18 $-0.12 $-0.23 $-0.10 $0.17 $0.23 $0.20 $0.17 $0.17 $-0.05 $-0.03 $-0.16 $-0.08 $0.10 $0.10 $0.09 $0.09
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'03 Q1'04 Q2'04 Q3'04 Q4'04 Q1'05 Q2'05 Q3'05 Q4'05 Q1'06 Q2'06 Q3'06 Q4'06 Q1'07 Q2'07 Q3'07 Q4'07 Q1'08 Q2'08 Q3'08 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.249
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 0.130
Piotroski F-Score 6 5 3 4 4 5 5 4 2 1 2 1 5 4 5 5 3 0 1 2 2
Beneish M-Score 0.88 0.16 1.66 -2.57 -2.75 -3.63 -3.07 0.49 2.16 -0.61 -0.35 -2.90 -2.31 -2.34 -1.62 -1.32 -2.29 0.14 -2.34 -1.49 -1.491
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -3.633
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only -76.41%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $0.14
EVA snapshot only $-2381873.93
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'03 Q1'04 Q2'04 Q3'04 Q4'04 Q1'05 Q2'05 Q3'05 Q4'05 Q1'06 Q2'06 Q3'06 Q4'06 Q1'07 Q2'07 Q3'07 Q4'07 Q1'08 Q2'08 Q3'08 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only B+
Credit Score 95.13 94.96 94.26 95.30 95.24 89.00 95.21 95.09 64.18 45.19 47.46 56.02 74.67 85.87 85.57 89.00 89.00 64.80 36.70 32.10 32.103
Credit Grade snapshot only 14
Credit Trend snapshot only -56.897
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 650.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 16
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 17

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