— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: BVHBB (OTC) · $vol 0M

BVH NYSE

Bluegreen Vacations Holding Corporation
1W: +0.1% 1M: +1.0% 3M: +123.2% 1Y: +175.5% 3Y: +492.9% 5Y: +1227.4%
$75.00
Last traded 2024-01-16 — delisted
NYSE · Consumer Cyclical · Gambling, Resorts & Casinos · $1.0B mcap · 9M float · 2.67% daily turnover

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
43.0 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Intangible Assets  ·  ROIC: 6.6%  ·  5Y Avg: 2.6%
Cost Advantage
41
Intangibles
58
Switching Cost
35
Network Effect
44
Scale
33
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. BVH shows a Weak competitive edge (43.0/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Intangible Assets. ROIC of 6.6% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 1Hold: 1Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$—
Analysts0
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2022-11-15 Truist Financial — Initiated $45 — +321.0% $10.69

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 10 Grade D
Profitability
55
Balance Sheet
22
Earnings Quality
10
Growth
47
Value
84
Momentum
0
Safety
30
Cash Flow
8
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. BVH scores highest in Value (84/100) and lowest in Momentum (0/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
1.80
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
3/9
✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-1.56
Possible Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-6.07
Bankruptcy prob: 0.2%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
B-
Score: 24.2/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
25/100
OCF/NI: -2.01x
Accruals: 15.1%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. BVH scores 1.80, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. BVH scores 3/9, suggesting weak financial fundamentals — the company fails the majority of these accounting tests. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. BVH's score of -1.56 exceeds the −1.78 red flag threshold — this does not confirm manipulation but indicates the earnings profile resembles past manipulators statistically. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. BVH's implied 0.2% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. BVH receives an estimated rating of B- (score: 24.2/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). BVH's score of 25/100 is low — reported earnings may not be fully supported by cash flows.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
23.01x
PEG
0.93x
P/S
1.23x
P/B
8.62x
P/FCF
-3.74x
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
202.91x
EV/Revenue
1.64x
EV/EBIT
-25.44x
EV/FCF
-8.74x
Earnings Yield
11.70%
FCF Yield
-26.73%
Shareholder Yield
11.22%
Graham Number
$35.87
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 23.0x earnings, BVH commands a growth premium. An earnings yield of 11.7% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $35.87 per share, 109% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.669
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
-1.905
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
-0.064
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.610
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
6.098
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
30.5%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. BVH's ROE of 30.5% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 6.10x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
15.00%
Fair P/E
38.50x
Intrinsic Value
$164.79
Price/Value
0.22x
Margin of Safety
77.80%
Premium
-77.80%
Assessment
Undervalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with BVH's realized 15.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. At an intrinsic value of $164.79, BVH appears undervalued with a 78% margin of safety. The adjusted fair P/E of 38.5x compares to the current market P/E of 23.0x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$75.00
Median 1Y
$85.31
5th Pctile
$23.41
95th Pctile
$316.17
Ann. Volatility
78.1%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
ROE 6.3% 4.4% 1.3% 4.2% 3.2% -2.3% -7.1% -22.9% -21.8% -13.8% 1.7% 26.4% 27.2% 32.2% 29.3% 29.2% 33.4% 31.5% 32.7% 30.5% 30.52%
ROA 2.1% 1.5% 0.4% 1.3% 1.0% -0.7% -2.1% -5.5% -5.3% -3.3% 0.4% 4.3% 4.8% 5.7% 5.5% 5.5% 5.3% 5.2% 5.2% 5.0% 5.01%
ROIC 3.2% 2.9% 0.3% -0.4% -0.7% 9.4% -4.1% -10.2% -9.9% -7.0% -0.6% 5.5% 7.3% 9.7% 11.8% 13.8% 12.2% 12.2% 9.5% 6.6% 6.61%
ROCE 6.6% 5.5% 3.6% 4.9% 3.3% 0.4% -2.8% -12.3% -12.7% -9.6% -1.5% 6.6% 11.7% 11.2% 8.8% 6.9% 1.1% 0.6% -1.4% -4.0% -4.03%
Gross Margin 62.5% 59.0% 65.8% 65.8% 68.3% 56.0% 26.1% 67.9% 69.0% 69.4% 78.0% 80.4% 76.5% 78.1% 77.4% 77.4% 74.6% 73.0% 73.4% 75.1% 75.10%
Operating Margin 2.5% 3.5% -11.1% 2.9% -0.4% -11.4% -51.1% -29.0% 1.0% 5.4% 11.8% 12.0% 17.2% 17.0% 18.1% 20.9% 12.7% 19.1% 6.1% 5.5% 5.45%
Net Margin 5.4% 0.8% -5.1% 9.6% 2.8% -15.5% -47.8% -20.3% 6.8% 2.3% 11.2% 11.9% 7.3% 8.2% 8.4% 10.2% 6.0% 8.1% 9.7% 8.8% 8.79%
EBITDA Margin 16.3% 12.2% 0.0% 25.9% -2.9% -0.0% -61.9% -35.2% -11.2% 17.0% 24.2% 23.1% 21.1% 11.0% 8.3% 9.5% 7.8% 8.5% -4.6% -6.4% -6.38%
FCF Margin 4.8% 4.0% 3.7% 7.4% 5.0% 2.7% 5.0% 0.3% 3.4% 13.5% 15.5% 15.8% 9.4% 10.8% 10.2% 5.9% -3.3% -9.6% -17.4% -18.7% -18.74%
OCF Margin 10.1% 9.4% 8.7% 11.9% 9.1% 6.5% 8.7% 3.6% 5.7% 15.5% 17.7% 17.9% 11.4% 12.7% 11.9% 7.3% -1.5% -7.9% -15.5% -16.5% -16.51%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 27.99%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 8.17%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 4.76%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 5.96%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 5.93%
Cash ROA snapshot only -9.22%
Cash ROIC snapshot only -13.83%
CROIC snapshot only -15.70%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 7.89%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 12.27%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 68.52%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.65%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
P/E Ratio 2.92 4.06 11.52 3.49 4.74 -12.87 -4.73 -2.20 -3.12 -6.99 59.77 9.89 11.98 8.31 7.03 4.42 6.59 6.38 7.92 8.55 23.006
P/S Ratio 0.12 0.12 0.10 0.09 0.10 0.18 0.25 0.32 0.49 0.75 0.65 0.86 1.04 0.80 0.63 0.38 0.54 0.53 0.68 0.70 1.228
P/B Ratio 0.19 0.19 0.16 0.15 0.15 0.30 0.35 1.04 1.34 1.80 1.55 2.28 2.89 2.33 2.01 1.28 2.66 2.42 2.87 2.74 8.616
P/FCF 2.50 2.99 2.59 1.27 1.97 6.97 4.98 106.54 14.53 5.58 4.18 5.46 11.10 7.45 6.20 6.43 -16.30 -5.47 -3.91 -3.74 -3.741
P/OCF 1.18 1.26 1.11 0.79 1.07 2.84 2.86 8.81 8.64 4.85 3.68 4.81 9.14 6.31 5.31 5.18 — — — — —
EV/EBITDA 3.76 5.09 6.77 4.81 7.58 12.83 83.64 -7.80 -7.73 -10.82 186.17 11.35 8.52 7.68 8.28 8.68 15.35 16.55 31.46 202.91 202.908
EV/Revenue 0.62 0.78 0.74 0.66 0.70 0.83 1.02 1.29 1.58 1.97 1.60 1.69 1.85 1.51 1.29 1.05 1.40 1.41 1.60 1.64 1.638
EV/EBIT 4.88 7.10 10.11 6.60 10.29 91.26 -15.50 -5.04 -5.21 -8.48 -54.35 14.44 9.87 8.87 9.95 10.96 85.25 142.09 -72.01 -25.44 -25.439
EV/FCF 12.96 19.52 19.72 8.82 14.06 31.41 20.43 431.47 46.94 14.62 10.34 10.75 19.66 14.01 12.69 17.75 -41.97 -14.71 -9.22 -8.74 -8.744
Earnings Yield 34.2% 24.6% 8.7% 28.6% 21.1% -7.8% -21.2% -45.4% -32.0% -14.3% 1.7% 10.1% 8.3% 12.0% 14.2% 22.6% 15.2% 15.7% 12.6% 11.7% 11.70%
FCF Yield 40.1% 33.5% 38.6% 79.0% 50.8% 14.3% 20.1% 0.9% 6.9% 17.9% 23.9% 18.3% 9.0% 13.4% 16.1% 15.5% -6.1% -18.3% -25.6% -26.7% -26.73%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.926
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 3.795
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 2.212
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 15.738
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 11.22%
Graham Number snapshot only $35.87
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Current Ratio 27.32 28.26 27.43 26.02 29.20 29.87 32.04 31.06 38.53 7.74 6.84 6.49 7.80 7.74 7.57 7.20 8.11 10.15 8.22 7.98 7.982
Quick Ratio 18.68 18.57 18.26 17.43 19.44 19.98 32.04 20.26 25.34 7.74 6.84 6.49 5.20 7.74 5.37 7.20 8.11 10.15 8.22 5.29 5.290
Debt/Equity 1.45 1.58 1.65 1.54 1.59 1.81 1.80 4.37 4.16 3.97 3.20 3.12 2.80 2.76 3.01 2.92 5.21 5.01 4.78 4.28 4.275
Net Debt/Equity 0.78 1.04 1.03 0.88 0.94 1.05 1.09 3.18 2.98 2.93 2.28 2.21 2.23 2.06 2.11 2.25 4.19 4.09 3.89 3.66 3.662
Debt/Assets 0.47 0.49 0.49 0.47 0.49 0.53 0.53 0.63 0.63 0.61 0.59 0.58 0.56 0.56 0.57 0.55 0.64 0.65 0.63 0.61 0.611
Debt/EBITDA 5.62 6.55 9.38 7.21 11.02 17.25 104.64 -8.07 -7.44 -9.08 155.80 7.90 4.67 4.83 6.06 7.19 11.68 12.74 22.26 135.52 135.523
Net Debt/EBITDA 3.03 4.31 5.88 4.12 6.52 9.99 63.25 -5.88 -5.34 -6.69 110.80 5.58 3.71 3.60 4.23 5.53 9.39 10.40 18.12 116.10 116.099
Interest Coverage 2.60 2.17 1.41 1.89 1.27 0.17 -1.07 -3.87 -4.28 -2.93 -0.46 2.02 3.57 3.79 2.91 2.10 0.32 0.16 -0.32 -0.82 -0.818
Equity Multiplier 3.10 3.20 3.34 3.26 3.26 3.40 3.42 6.99 6.65 6.48 5.46 5.43 4.97 4.93 5.29 5.28 8.15 7.73 7.58 7.00 6.996
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.807
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 0.103
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.143
FCF to Debt snapshot only -0.171
Defensive Interval snapshot only 502.4 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Asset Turnover 0.52 0.52 0.50 0.50 0.49 0.48 0.40 0.38 0.34 0.30 0.38 0.50 0.55 0.59 0.61 0.63 0.64 0.63 0.60 0.61 0.610
Inventory Turnover 0.79 0.82 0.79 0.78 0.73 0.72 1.35 0.61 0.56 0.82 — 0.89 0.46 — 1.08 — 1.16 — 1.36 0.99 0.992
Receivables Turnover 1.93 2.01 2.01 1.97 1.94 1.95 1.63 1.36 1.20 1.10 1.36 1.48 1.58 1.74 1.74 1.69 1.68 1.63 1.54 1.43 1.435
Payables Turnover 9.82 11.63 11.66 11.42 10.92 11.46 10.86 10.14 11.86 8.43 7.63 9.40 12.50 11.01 9.58 11.24 10.81 13.09 9.80 10.34 10.344
DSO 189 181 182 185 188 187 224 269 305 331 268 247 231 210 210 215 217 225 236 254 254.4 days
DIO 463 448 460 466 499 504 271 594 654 445 0 410 791 0 338 0 314 0 268 368 368.0 days
DPO 37 31 31 32 33 32 34 36 31 43 48 39 29 33 38 32 34 28 37 35 35.3 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 615 598 610 619 654 659 461 827 928 732 220 618 993 177 509 183 497 197 467 587 587.1 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 7.898
Operating Cycle snapshot only 622.4 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 6.376
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.791
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Revenue 17.6% 12.2% 7.3% 3.7% 0.3% -2.5% -21.1% -33.5% -40.2% -45.6% -19.1% 7.9% 31.2% 61.9% 40.2% 29.8% 24.6% 12.5% 8.8% 5.9% 5.86%
Net Income -57.3% -66.3% -89.5% -65.3% -49.6% -1.5% -5.9% -4.6% -5.6% -3.1% 1.2% 1.6% 1.7% 2.5% 10.6% 28.2% 18.0% -4.2% 4.0% 1.0% 0.96%
EPS -54.7% -63.4% -89.0% -64.4% -46.8% -1.5% -6.0% -4.6% -5.4% -2.8% 1.1% 1.6% 1.7% 2.3% 10.9% 44.8% 31.8% 23.6% 30.0% 17.8% 17.82%
FCF -5.7% -11.2% -9.5% 1.2% 3.8% -35.3% 5.7% -97.3% -59.4% 1.8% 1.5% 55.8% 2.7% 29.6% -8.2% -51.3% -1.4% -2.0% -2.9% -4.4% -4.35%
EBITDA 6.1% -4.3% -31.3% -14.3% -44.2% -58.7% -91.1% -1.8% -2.3% -2.5% -42.9% 2.0% 2.4% 2.8% 24.3% 5.1% -47.7% -51.2% -64.5% -92.9% -92.93%
Op. Income 29.1% 24.3% -88.1% -1.1% -1.3% -1.8% -11.0% -14.1% -6.5% -64.2% 85.7% 1.5% 1.9% 2.6% 17.5% 1.9% 78.2% 37.6% -1.5% -40.1% -40.14%
OCF Growth snapshot only -3.38%
Asset Growth snapshot only 20.46%
Equity Growth snapshot only -9.07%
Debt Growth snapshot only 33.19%
Shares Change snapshot only -14.31%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 4.25%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Revenue 3Y 10.5% 10.0% 10.2% 9.6% 8.3% 7.3% -0.2% -6.5% -11.0% -15.9% -11.9% -9.4% -7.7% -5.0% -3.6% -2.4% -0.8% -0.3% 7.3% 14.0% 14.01%
Revenue 5Y 13.7% 12.3% 10.7% 9.2% 8.2% 7.7% 2.7% -1.2% -4.2% -6.7% -3.1% -1.1% -0.1% 1.7% 2.5% 2.7% 2.9% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.43%
EPS 3Y -36.7% -42.9% -45.6% -20.7% -24.9% — — — — — -56.7% -10.6% 16.3% 36.4% 1.1% 42.7% 57.3% — — — —
EPS 5Y 0.9% -8.1% -32.0% -11.9% 2.9% — — — — — -34.7% -0.0% 4.5% 5.0% 1.3% 5.5% -1.2% 2.8% 4.6% 4.0% 4.05%
Net Income 3Y -34.1% -41.3% -44.1% -18.5% -26.3% — — — — — -55.7% -7.0% 18.7% 41.2% 1.1% 43.7% 57.6% — — — —
Net Income 5Y 3.8% -6.0% -30.7% -10.0% 5.0% — — — — — -32.1% 4.6% 5.8% 4.8% 0.4% 3.4% -3.4% -1.9% 0.8% 0.8% 0.79%
EBITDA 3Y 8.1% 5.5% -0.0% 1.9% -13.1% -24.1% -61.7% — — — -67.4% -12.4% 1.1% 3.3% 8.6% -6.2% -1.1% 9.2% 72.6% — —
EBITDA 5Y -0.6% -2.8% -10.6% -5.9% -7.1% -12.8% -39.7% — — — -45.0% -3.7% 3.9% 3.1% -4.0% -5.8% -10.5% -12.4% -20.8% -45.1% -45.09%
Gross Profit 3Y 4.5% 3.1% 3.4% 3.0% 2.9% 1.9% -8.1% -13.8% -18.3% -20.3% -11.1% -6.1% -2.6% 1.8% 3.4% 4.3% 5.0% 5.3% 15.6% 23.0% 23.05%
Gross Profit 5Y 9.3% 7.8% 6.3% 5.3% 4.9% 4.3% -2.1% -6.2% -9.5% -10.8% -4.4% -1.5% 0.2% 2.5% 2.9% 3.3% 3.4% 2.5% 2.2% 2.3% 2.33%
Op. Income 3Y 5.1% 6.5% -21.5% — — — — — — — — 3.6% 17.7% 27.1% 1.9% — — — — — —
Op. Income 5Y -4.6% -5.8% -42.6% — — — — — — — — 17.1% 18.7% 36.1% 19.5% 36.3% 30.3% 28.6% 22.5% 14.0% 14.00%
FCF 3Y — 78.0% 38.5% 11.2% -18.5% -27.5% -5.3% -67.6% -26.5% 16.6% 33.9% 49.0% 15.5% 32.3% 34.6% -9.5% — — — — —
FCF 5Y -9.5% -11.9% -17.2% -6.8% -13.7% -23.6% -13.5% -35.4% — 58.7% 47.8% 15.9% -4.3% 6.4% 14.4% -1.2% — — — — —
OCF 3Y — 62.2% 42.2% 19.3% -5.2% -9.0% 2.5% -32.7% -23.8% 2.9% 12.1% 16.4% -3.9% 4.9% 6.7% -16.8% — — — — —
OCF 5Y 3.1% 1.8% -4.7% -0.5% -6.3% -11.8% -6.4% -5.7% — 29.9% 30.0% 12.9% -3.5% 5.4% 10.7% -2.8% — — — — —
Assets 3Y 8.1% 8.5% 9.2% 9.0% 7.6% 7.9% 3.3% -6.7% -8.0% -7.9% -8.5% -8.5% -10.8% -10.6% -10.4% -11.1% -7.9% -7.6% -3.0% 7.5% 7.50%
Assets 5Y 3.4% 33.4% 35.2% 5.4% 4.9% 4.6% 4.3% -1.7% -1.5% -2.2% -1.7% -1.8% -3.4% -2.3% -3.1% -3.5% -2.7% -2.4% -1.7% -1.7% -1.70%
Equity 3Y 13.4% 12.7% 11.9% 11.6% 6.5% 3.0% 0.1% -28.9% -31.1% -31.7% -24.7% -24.7% -23.8% -22.6% -23.2% -24.2% -32.2% -29.7% -25.6% 7.5% 7.48%
Book Value 3Y 8.9% 9.6% 9.0% 8.5% 8.6% 8.1% 5.2% -25.9% -29.4% -30.3% -26.4% -27.6% -25.4% -25.2% -25.4% -24.8% -32.3% -26.9% -22.7% 12.2% 12.17%
Dividend 3Y 4.8% 4.4% 3.1% 2.6% 8.7% 12.1% 1.4% -12.6% -35.7% — — — — — — — — — — 72.3% 72.28%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Revenue Stability 0.97 0.99 0.98 0.96 0.95 0.93 0.34 0.04 0.00 0.04 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.04 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.029
Earnings Stability 0.04 0.01 0.17 0.11 0.07 0.19 0.69 0.67 0.79 0.93 0.51 0.16 0.17 0.13 0.07 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.08 0.07 0.066
Margin Stability 0.93 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.89 0.89 0.88 0.90 0.90 0.89 0.88 0.89 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.90 0.90 0.89 0.894
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.80 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.98 1.00 0.996
Earnings Smoothness 0.20 0.01 0.00 0.03 0.34 — — — — — — — — — 0.00 0.75 0.83 0.96 0.96 0.99 0.990
ROE Trend -0.06 -0.08 -0.12 -0.08 -0.07 -0.11 -0.14 -0.56 -0.48 -0.27 0.06 0.45 0.44 0.42 0.31 0.41 0.50 0.37 0.21 0.06 0.061
Gross Margin Trend -0.10 -0.10 -0.10 -0.08 -0.05 -0.04 -0.07 -0.07 -0.07 -0.02 0.10 0.14 0.15 0.15 0.12 0.10 0.10 0.06 -0.00 -0.02 -0.022
FCF Margin Trend -0.04 -0.03 -0.01 0.02 -0.00 -0.02 0.01 -0.05 -0.02 0.10 0.11 0.12 0.05 0.03 -0.00 -0.02 -0.10 -0.22 -0.30 -0.30 -0.296
Sustainable Growth Rate 5.6% 3.7% 0.6% 3.5% 2.4% — — — — — 1.7% 26.4% 27.2% 32.2% 29.3% 28.0% 30.5% 27.2% 27.0% 24.8% 24.82%
Internal Growth Rate 1.9% 1.3% 0.2% 1.1% 0.8% — — — — — 0.4% 4.5% 5.0% 6.1% 5.8% 5.5% 5.1% 4.7% 4.5% 4.2% 4.24%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
OCF/Net Income 2.47 3.21 10.41 4.39 4.42 -4.52 -1.65 -0.25 -0.36 -1.44 16.24 2.05 1.31 1.32 1.32 0.85 -0.19 -0.96 -1.81 -2.01 -2.013
FCF/OCF 0.47 0.42 0.43 0.63 0.55 0.41 0.57 0.08 0.59 0.87 0.88 0.88 0.82 0.85 0.86 0.81 2.17 1.21 1.12 1.13 1.135
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -2.284
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only -20.447
CapEx/Revenue 5.3% 5.4% 5.0% 4.4% 4.1% 3.8% 3.7% 3.3% 2.3% 2.0% 2.1% 2.1% 2.0% 1.9% 1.7% 1.4% 1.8% 1.7% 1.9% 2.2% 2.23%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.934
Accruals Ratio -0.03 -0.03 -0.04 -0.05 -0.03 -0.04 -0.06 -0.07 -0.07 -0.08 -0.06 -0.05 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 0.01 0.06 0.10 0.15 0.15 0.151
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.159
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only -4.391
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.250
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Dividend Yield 3.7% 3.8% 4.8% 5.2% 5.5% 3.1% 2.1% 1.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.9% 1.3% 2.1% 2.2% 2.2% 1.07%
Dividend/Share $0.19 $0.21 $0.22 $0.23 $0.25 $0.26 $0.20 $0.13 $0.06 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.15 $0.32 $0.57 $0.78 $0.80 $0.80
Payout Ratio 10.9% 15.6% 55.6% 18.0% 26.1% — — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 4.2% 8.5% 13.5% 17.4% 18.7% 18.69%
FCF Payout Ratio 9.3% 11.5% 12.5% 6.5% 10.8% 21.6% 10.6% 1.4% 6.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 6.1% — — — — —
Total Payout Ratio 2.4% 3.3% 3.4% 1.4% 1.9% — — — — — 1.9% 38.3% 46.4% 44.6% 83.0% 91.3% 8.5% 20.4% 59.8% 95.9% 95.87%
Div. Increase Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 — — — — — — 0 0 0 0 1 0
Chowder Number 0.34 0.27 0.23 0.22 0.27 0.25 -0.08 -0.40 -0.75 — — — — — — — — — — 3.52 3.521
Buyback Yield 79.1% 78.5% 24.9% 34.1% 34.5% 26.1% 23.8% 24.6% 9.3% 3.4% 3.2% 3.9% 3.9% 5.4% 11.8% 19.7% 0.0% 1.1% 5.3% 9.0% 9.03%
Net Buyback Yield -98.3% -97.5% -1.9% -1.8% -1.3% -1.4% -1.2% -94.1% -38.0% 3.4% 3.2% 3.9% 3.9% 5.4% 11.8% 19.7% 0.0% 1.1% 5.3% 9.0% 9.03%
Total Shareholder Return -94.6% -93.7% -1.9% -1.7% -1.2% -1.3% -1.2% -92.8% -37.5% 3.4% 3.2% 3.9% 3.9% 5.4% 11.8% 20.6% 1.3% 3.2% 7.5% 11.2% 11.22%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.40 0.36 0.18 0.37 0.39 -4.63 1.87 0.98 0.93 1.14 0.41 0.77 0.65 0.68 0.66 0.63 0.66 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.669
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.80 0.75 0.65 0.74 0.78 0.34 0.43 0.58 0.56 0.41 -0.90 0.97 0.71 0.83 1.05 1.43 7.56 12.27 -5.74 -1.90 -1.905
EBIT Margin 0.13 0.11 0.07 0.10 0.07 0.01 -0.07 -0.26 -0.30 -0.23 -0.03 0.12 0.19 0.17 0.13 0.10 0.02 0.01 -0.02 -0.06 -0.064
Asset Turnover 0.52 0.52 0.50 0.50 0.49 0.48 0.40 0.38 0.34 0.30 0.38 0.50 0.55 0.59 0.61 0.63 0.64 0.63 0.60 0.61 0.610
Equity Multiplier 2.95 2.91 3.19 3.15 3.18 3.30 3.38 4.16 4.12 4.23 4.08 6.10 5.70 5.59 5.37 5.36 6.29 6.09 6.32 6.10 6.098
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $1.79 $1.35 $0.39 $1.25 $0.95 $-0.66 $-1.98 $-4.48 $-4.17 $-2.55 $0.29 $2.51 $2.82 $3.42 $3.43 $3.63 $3.71 $4.23 $4.47 $4.28 $4.28
Book Value/Share $28.08 $29.15 $28.94 $29.59 $29.68 $28.52 $26.70 $9.47 $9.73 $9.88 $11.17 $10.88 $11.68 $12.18 $12.01 $12.59 $9.20 $11.15 $12.34 $13.36 $12.37
Tangible Book/Share $22.62 $23.52 $23.24 $23.98 $23.99 $23.99 $22.18 $6.18 $6.55 $6.70 $8.23 $8.05 $8.74 $9.26 $9.00 $9.40 $5.92 $7.38 $8.58 $9.64 $9.64
Revenue/Share $43.84 $45.80 $46.82 $46.40 $46.45 $46.11 $37.64 $30.98 $26.62 $23.74 $26.65 $28.81 $32.37 $35.41 $38.32 $42.24 $45.05 $51.41 $52.10 $52.19 $41.46
FCF/Share $2.10 $1.83 $1.75 $3.45 $2.30 $1.22 $1.88 $0.09 $0.90 $3.20 $4.14 $4.54 $3.04 $3.82 $3.89 $2.50 $-1.50 $-4.94 $-9.05 $-9.78 $-1.42
OCF/Share $4.43 $4.33 $4.09 $5.50 $4.22 $3.00 $3.28 $1.12 $1.51 $3.68 $4.70 $5.15 $3.69 $4.51 $4.54 $3.10 $-0.69 $-4.07 $-8.07 $-8.62 $-0.65
Cash/Share $18.72 $15.68 $17.86 $19.61 $19.25 $21.72 $19.02 $11.27 $11.45 $10.31 $10.33 $9.97 $6.73 $8.55 $10.89 $8.46 $9.42 $10.26 $10.96 $8.19 $8.91
EBITDA/Share $7.24 $7.01 $5.10 $6.34 $4.27 $2.99 $0.46 $-5.13 $-5.44 $-4.32 $0.23 $4.30 $7.02 $6.96 $5.97 $5.11 $4.10 $4.39 $2.65 $0.42 $0.42
Debt/Share $40.68 $45.94 $47.80 $45.68 $47.08 $51.60 $48.09 $41.40 $40.47 $39.22 $35.78 $33.98 $32.75 $33.61 $36.17 $36.74 $47.92 $55.93 $59.00 $57.11 $57.11
Net Debt/Share $21.97 $30.26 $29.95 $26.08 $27.83 $29.87 $29.07 $30.13 $29.02 $28.91 $25.45 $24.02 $26.02 $25.06 $25.28 $28.28 $38.51 $45.67 $48.04 $48.92 $48.92
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.795
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 5.599
Piotroski F-Score 6 6 5 5 6 4 4 5 4 3 5 7 7 8 8 7 5 4 3 3 3
Beneish M-Score -2.49 -2.50 -2.62 -2.70 -2.74 -2.74 -0.98 -3.04 -3.15 -3.31 -2.75 -2.59 -2.56 -2.37 -2.47 -2.27 -1.97 -1.79 -1.56 -1.56 -1.558
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -6.072
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only -4.34%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $6.06
EVA snapshot only $-34811221.20
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only B-
Credit Score 48.11 40.99 33.59 40.02 34.03 33.66 32.28 35.47 34.34 35.81 30.29 48.75 54.73 57.83 51.40 49.23 37.84 34.42 31.80 24.23 24.231
Credit Grade snapshot only 16
Credit Trend snapshot only -25.003
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 900.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 16
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 12

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms