CAKE NASDAQ
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated
1W: -5.2%
1M: +5.4%
3M: +24.1%
YTD: +111.1%
1Y: +100.5%
3Y: +280.7%
5Y: +187.5%
$108.47
-1.66 (-1.51%)
After Hours: $108.83 (+0.36, +0.33%)
Weekly Expected Move ±4.1%
$99
$104
$108
$113
$117
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 72% of companies Debt: 27.5% of company value Bonds: $101.1M held by 39 funds → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the safest four tenths, about 1 in 3,500 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $0.94 (down 99.1%), The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $2.08B against a stock market value of $5.48B.
Distance to default 8.01 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $281.4M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 39.2%; Altman Z'' 1.51. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $0.94 (down 99.1%), The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $2.08B against a stock market value of $5.48B.
Distance to default 8.01 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $281.4M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 39.2%; Altman Z'' 1.51. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Cash Flow
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Earnings
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Analysis
Technicals
Weather
Peers
ESG
Institutions
ETF Exposure
Dark Pool
Short Interest
Supply Chain
Oct Typical
⛅
Partly Cloudy
+3.4% YTD avg
Midterm Year
🌧️
Rainy
-2.6% YTD avg
2026 Now
☀️
Sunny
Above typical
20yr Avg YTD
+3.4%
Day 205 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
-2.6%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
+111.1%
Above 20yr avg
Typical Vol
39%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
💨
+2.9%
Midterm
🌧️
-1.9%
60% win
39% vol
Feb
20yr
💨
+4.8%
Midterm
⛅
+2.1%
55% win
36% vol
Mar
20yr
💨
+6.4%
Midterm
☀️
+5.4%
65% win
59% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
+10.2%
Midterm
⛅
+3.9%
70% win
45% vol
May
20yr
⛈️
+7.4%
Midterm
🌧️
-4.0%
50% win
40% vol
Jun
20yr
⛈️
+5.6%
Midterm
⛈️
-8.2%
55% win
42% vol
Jul
20yr
💨
+5.1%
Midterm
⛈️
-10.0%
65% win
40% vol
Aug
20yr
🌫️
+3.8%
Midterm
⛈️
-9.6%
40% win
36% vol
Sep
20yr
🌫️
+3.9%
Midterm
🌧️
-4.4%
50% win
35% vol
Oct
20yr
🌫️
+3.7%
Midterm
☁️
-0.3%
62% win
39% vol
Now:
+4.7%
Nov
20yr
💨
+7.5%
Midterm
⛅
+3.7%
65% win
41% vol
Dec
20yr
💨
+1.2%
Midterm
🌧️
-5.7%
45% win
36% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: +111.1%