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Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: 0HK4.L (LSE) · $vol 0M

CAR NASDAQ

Avis Budget Group, Inc.
1W: -0.5% 1M: -5.9% 3M: -38.8% YTD: -20.6% 1Y: -33.5% 3Y: -36.6% 5Y: -32.3%
$102.21
+0.35 (+0.34%)
After Hours: $102.05 (-0.16, -0.16%)
Weekly Expected Move ±6.5%
$88 $95 $101 $108 $115
NASDAQ · Industrials · Rental & Leasing Services · Tech Score Sell · Power 32 · $3.6B mcap · 35M float · 1.40% daily turnover · Short 71% of daily vol
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 95% of companies Debt: 89.0% of company value Bonds: $426.5M held by 304 funds, 333 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the riskiest tenth, about 1 in 20 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $27.68 (down 73%), Avis Budget Group, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $29.12B against a stock market value of $3.60B.
Distance to default 0.73 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $3.64B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 112.2%; Altman Z'' 0.20. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+80.8% YTD avg
Midterm Year
⛈️
Stormy
-6.0% YTD avg
2026 Now
⛈️
Stormy
Below typical
20yr Avg YTD
+80.8%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
-6.0%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
-20.3%
Below 20yr avg
Typical Vol
76%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
💨
+1.5%
Midterm
⛈️
-6.7%
55% win 60% vol
Feb
20yr
🌫️
+2.5%
Midterm
🌧️
-2.9%
50% win 77% vol
Mar
20yr
💨
+9.6%
Midterm
☀️
+9.7%
65% win 116% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
+23.4%
Midterm
☀️
+18.4%
75% win 99% vol
May
20yr
💨
+41.0%
Midterm
⛅
+1.2%
50% win 82% vol
Jun
20yr
⛈️
+47.2%
Midterm
⛈️
-6.9%
45% win 63% vol
Jul
20yr
💨
+64.7%
Midterm
🌧️
-2.6%
55% win 59% vol
Aug
20yr
🌫️
+69.8%
Midterm
⛈️
-6.9%
45% win 57% vol
Sep
20yr
⛈️
+93.0%
Midterm
⛈️
-12.8%
45% win 53% vol
Oct
20yr
💨
+73.8%
Midterm
🌧️
-4.7%
52% win 76% vol
Now: -4.2%
Nov
20yr
💨
+95.9%
Midterm
☁️
+0.6%
65% win 127% vol
Dec
20yr
⛈️
-1.5%
Midterm
⛈️
-3.3%
50% win 61% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: -20.3%

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms