— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: CCL-B.TO (TSX) · $vol 28M · CCL-A.TO (TSX) · $vol 0M · CCLLF (OTC) · $vol 0M

CCDBF OTC

CCL Industries Inc.
1W: -0.5% 1M: -1.0% 3M: +1.9% YTD: +3.9% 1Y: +18.1% 3Y: +66.4% 5Y: +28.3%
$65.97
-0.47 (-0.71%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±3.3%
$62 $64 $66 $68 $70
OTC · Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers · Tech Score Sell · Power 48 · $11.3B mcap · 145M float · 0.025% daily turnover · Short 42% of daily vol

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 1Hold: 0Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$—
Analysts0
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2024-11-15 BMO Capital Stephen MacLeod $90 $93 +3 +65.9% $56.05
2024-09-12 BMO Capital Stephen MacLeod $83 $90 +7 +50.8% $59.68
2024-05-10 BMO Capital Stephen MacLeod Initiated $83 — +56.0% $53.19

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B+
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
3
ROE
4
ROA
5
D/E
1
P/E
3
P/B
2
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. CCDBF receives an overall rating of B+. Strongest factors: ROE (4/5), ROA (5/5). Areas of concern: D/E (1/5), P/B (2/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-08-14 A- B+
2026-08-04 B+ A-
2026-08-03 A- B+
2026-04-28 B+ A-
2026-04-01 A- B+
2026-03-30 B+ A-
2026-03-27 A- B+
2026-03-02 B+ A-
2026-02-24 A- B+
2026-02-17 None ADDED

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ — Grade A
Profitability
46
Balance Sheet
72
Earnings Quality
73
Growth
45
Value
—
Momentum
75
Safety
—
Cash Flow
54

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
—
—
Piotroski F-Score
6/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-2.46
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-8.44
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
A
Score: 72.0/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 1.40x
Accruals: -3.0%
The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. CCDBF scores 6/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. CCDBF's score of -2.46 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. CCDBF's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. CCDBF receives an estimated rating of A (score: 72.0/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). CCDBF's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
20.06x
PEG
4.28x
P/S
2.05x
P/B
2.84x
P/FCF
—
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
—
EV/Revenue
—
EV/EBIT
—
EV/FCF
—
Earnings Yield
—
FCF Yield
—
Shareholder Yield
—
Graham Number
$59.51
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 20.1x earnings, CCDBF commands a growth premium. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $59.51 per share, 11% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.738
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.923
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.151
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.745
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.920
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
14.7%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. CCDBF's ROE of 14.7% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.745), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
12.53%
Fair P/E
33.55x
Intrinsic Value
$159.28
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with CCDBF's realized 12.5% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. CCDBF trades at a premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $159.28, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 33.6x compares to the current market P/E of 20.1x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$65.97
Median 1Y
$66.88
5th Pctile
$41.89
95th Pctile
$106.58
Ann. Volatility
29.5%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE 17.6% 17.0% 16.9% 16.8% 15.9% 15.5% 15.6% 15.2% 14.4% 11.9% 12.0% 14.3% 14.4% 17.0% 16.7% 15.2% 15.2% 14.7% 14.4% 14.7% 14.69%
ROA 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 7.9% 7.7% 7.6% 7.7% 7.5% 7.2% 6.0% 6.2% 7.5% 7.4% 9.0% 8.8% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 7.8% 7.7% 7.65%
ROIC 13.2% 12.7% 12.3% 11.7% 11.1% 11.5% 11.4% 11.3% 10.7% 11.0% 10.8% 11.2% 11.6% 12.0% 11.8% 12.1% 12.2% 12.2% 12.3% 11.8% 11.81%
ROCE 13.8% 13.6% 13.2% 13.0% 12.5% 12.5% 12.6% 12.6% 12.1% 11.2% 11.2% 12.6% 12.8% 14.3% 14.0% 13.3% 13.3% 15.0% 14.8% 14.3% 14.32%
Gross Margin 27.2% 26.2% 27.1% 27.5% 26.4% 26.5% 28.6% 28.5% 28.9% 29.1% 29.7% 29.9% 29.8% 28.7% 30.3% 30.4% 30.3% 28.8% 30.2% 29.9% 29.92%
Operating Margin 14.4% 12.8% 13.9% 14.2% 13.7% 12.2% 14.4% 13.4% 14.2% 13.9% 15.1% 15.2% 14.7% 13.8% 15.6% 15.5% 15.3% 14.0% 15.3% 15.4% 15.43%
Net Margin 10.3% 9.7% 9.9% 10.1% 9.9% 9.1% 10.1% 9.5% 10.0% 2.3% 11.1% 15.1% 10.4% 9.9% 11.0% 11.0% 10.7% 9.1% 10.6% 10.6% 10.61%
EBITDA Margin 20.3% 19.9% 20.0% 19.9% 19.3% 19.9% 20.5% 19.7% 20.7% 14.2% 21.9% 25.5% 20.8% 21.4% 21.7% 21.8% 21.4% 20.4% 21.4% 20.5% 20.54%
FCF Margin 10.3% 9.0% 7.9% 8.0% 7.4% 8.5% 7.5% 7.5% 8.3% 8.1% 8.2% 8.0% 8.6% 8.3% 8.8% 10.1% 9.8% 10.1% 10.0% 9.3% 9.34%
OCF Margin 15.4% 14.6% 14.1% 14.3% 14.3% 15.6% 14.8% 15.4% 16.0% 15.1% 15.9% 15.3% 15.6% 14.7% 14.1% 15.0% 14.4% 15.4% 15.1% 14.3% 14.35%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 14.17%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 14.53%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 7.41%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 9.50%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 10.63%
Cash ROA snapshot only 10.25%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 15.30%
CROIC snapshot only 9.96%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 11.08%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 13.92%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 14.81%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.38%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 20.062
P/S Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2.049
P/B Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2.838
P/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
P/OCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBITDA — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/Revenue — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBIT — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Earnings Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
PEG Ratio snapshot only 4.280
Graham Number snapshot only $59.51
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 1.77 1.73 1.83 1.86 1.90 1.88 2.04 2.05 1.97 1.90 1.95 1.96 1.94 2.01 2.13 2.24 2.19 1.42 1.39 1.39 1.385
Quick Ratio 1.29 1.25 1.30 1.30 1.35 1.36 1.47 1.47 1.44 1.38 1.43 1.42 1.40 1.47 1.55 1.67 1.66 1.07 1.05 1.01 1.012
Debt/Equity 0.51 0.49 0.55 0.63 0.59 0.55 0.54 0.51 0.55 0.49 0.49 0.48 0.48 0.46 0.47 0.48 0.47 0.43 0.42 0.48 0.480
Net Debt/Equity 0.34 0.34 0.39 0.46 0.42 0.36 0.36 0.35 0.38 0.33 0.33 0.35 0.33 0.31 0.32 0.30 0.27 0.25 0.25 0.31 0.308
Debt/Assets 0.25 0.24 0.27 0.29 0.29 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.28 0.26 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.26 0.25 0.24 0.23 0.25 0.246
Debt/EBITDA 1.57 1.56 1.75 1.96 2.00 1.87 1.83 1.77 1.91 1.83 1.83 1.69 1.66 1.51 1.56 1.62 1.60 1.47 1.45 1.64 1.643
Net Debt/EBITDA 1.05 1.06 1.23 1.44 1.43 1.21 1.22 1.20 1.33 1.22 1.25 1.23 1.14 1.00 1.06 1.02 0.91 0.86 0.84 1.05 1.053
Interest Coverage 10.67 11.27 11.31 11.37 11.00 10.02 9.66 9.09 8.76 8.31 8.63 10.00 10.45 10.75 10.99 10.43 11.31 12.41 12.55 12.68 12.681
Equity Multiplier 2.07 2.04 2.07 2.13 2.04 2.03 1.97 1.93 1.97 1.93 1.91 1.90 1.90 1.87 1.87 1.89 1.88 1.79 1.85 1.95 1.951
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.357
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 17.629
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.359
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.271
Defensive Interval snapshot only 828.3 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.75 0.77 0.79 0.79 0.78 0.78 0.79 0.78 0.74 0.76 0.75 0.76 0.75 0.77 0.76 0.76 0.75 0.77 0.75 0.74 0.745
Inventory Turnover 6.56 6.84 6.67 6.31 6.17 6.38 6.17 6.02 6.02 6.24 6.14 6.25 6.29 6.58 6.38 6.37 6.29 6.61 6.27 5.92 5.918
Receivables Turnover 5.35 6.52 5.61 5.48 5.34 6.64 5.62 5.68 5.46 6.79 5.54 5.68 5.71 7.00 5.52 5.52 5.52 6.97 5.23 5.13 5.129
Payables Turnover 3.35 5.85 3.57 3.54 3.44 5.59 3.68 3.72 3.53 5.61 3.62 3.74 3.60 6.22 3.73 3.76 3.55 6.28 3.47 3.35 3.353
DSO 68 56 65 67 68 55 65 64 67 54 66 64 64 52 66 66 66 52 70 71 71.2 days
DIO 56 53 55 58 59 57 59 61 61 58 59 58 58 55 57 57 58 55 58 62 61.7 days
DPO 109 62 102 103 106 65 99 98 103 65 101 98 101 59 98 97 103 58 105 109 108.9 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 15 47 18 21 21 47 25 27 24 47 25 25 21 49 26 26 21 49 23 24 24.0 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 2.385
Operating Cycle snapshot only 132.8 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 8.092
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.399
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 8.2% 9.4% 11.5% 11.6% 12.3% 11.3% 10.3% 7.0% 4.6% 4.2% 3.4% 6.0% 7.9% 9.0% 9.8% 7.9% 7.1% 5.8% 4.4% 5.5% 5.49%
Net Income 22.9% 13.1% 9.2% 2.0% 3.8% 3.9% 6.2% 3.2% 2.2% -14.9% -13.0% 7.6% 10.3% 59.0% 54.4% 16.6% 15.5% -4.8% -6.8% 2.4% 2.40%
EPS 21.1% 12.4% 8.9% 1.1% 5.3% 5.7% 7.8% -2.2% -3.9% -17.4% -13.6% 13.1% 16.7% 64.2% 56.4% 19.3% 17.8% -2.2% -5.0% 5.6% 5.56%
FCF -1.1% -14.2% -32.8% -26.0% -19.7% 5.9% 4.5% 0.5% 17.0% -0.7% 12.5% 13.8% 11.9% 11.1% 17.5% 35.4% 22.9% 28.8% 19.4% -2.4% -2.41%
EBITDA 9.4% 5.2% 3.9% 2.4% 4.5% 6.5% 8.8% 6.2% 6.9% -1.0% -0.6% 10.5% 10.8% 30.2% 28.4% 11.8% 11.6% 0.8% -0.8% 3.1% 3.06%
Op. Income 11.4% 6.9% 5.1% -1.4% 2.7% 3.8% 6.6% 4.1% 3.7% 7.7% 7.2% 15.1% 17.3% 14.6% 15.1% 10.2% 9.5% 8.7% 5.7% 6.1% 6.11%
OCF Growth snapshot only 0.74%
Asset Growth snapshot only 8.84%
Equity Growth snapshot only 5.29%
Debt Growth snapshot only 4.66%
Shares Change snapshot only -3.00%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 12.83%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 3.4% 3.6% 3.9% 4.5% 5.3% 6.2% 7.2% 8.3% 8.3% 8.2% 8.3% 8.2% 8.2% 8.1% 7.8% 7.0% 6.5% 6.3% 5.8% 6.5% 6.47%
Revenue 5Y 8.5% 7.6% 7.2% 6.5% 6.5% 6.1% 5.8% 5.8% 5.4% 5.2% 5.0% 5.3% 5.7% 6.4% 6.9% 7.7% 8.0% 7.9% 7.8% 7.6% 7.58%
EPS 3Y 4.4% 8.2% 8.0% 8.8% 8.7% 9.5% 10.3% 8.9% 7.0% -0.6% 0.5% 3.8% 5.7% 12.7% 13.4% 9.7% 9.7% 9.8% 8.7% 12.5% 12.53%
EPS 5Y 12.9% 11.1% 11.4% 9.2% 9.5% 5.6% 4.8% 2.8% 2.8% 2.0% 3.2% 7.3% 7.6% 12.2% 12.6% 11.7% 11.0% 9.5% 8.5% 7.1% 7.08%
Net Income 3Y 4.8% 8.7% 8.4% 9.1% 8.5% 9.3% 10.0% 10.9% 9.2% 0.0% 0.3% 4.2% 5.4% 12.1% 12.6% 9.0% 9.2% 8.8% 7.8% 8.7% 8.70%
Net Income 5Y 13.4% 11.6% 11.8% 9.9% 9.1% 5.6% 4.8% 4.1% 4.1% 2.6% 3.3% 7.6% 7.6% 12.1% 12.3% 11.3% 10.7% 8.7% 7.8% 6.2% 6.21%
EBITDA 3Y 5.2% 5.7% 5.1% 5.5% 5.2% 5.5% 6.4% 7.3% 6.9% 3.5% 4.0% 6.3% 7.4% 11.1% 11.6% 9.5% 9.8% 9.1% 8.2% 8.4% 8.39%
EBITDA 5Y 11.1% 9.6% 9.3% 8.2% 7.2% 5.8% 5.3% 5.1% 5.4% 4.5% 4.7% 6.6% 6.6% 8.6% 9.0% 8.8% 8.6% 7.8% 7.5% 6.7% 6.73%
Gross Profit 3Y 1.7% 2.0% 2.4% 2.9% 3.2% 4.3% 5.9% 7.7% 8.0% 8.4% 8.8% 8.4% 9.8% 10.3% 10.7% 10.5% 10.5% 10.2% 9.2% 9.4% 9.37%
Gross Profit 5Y 8.1% 6.4% 5.7% 4.5% 4.1% 3.6% 3.4% 3.7% 4.2% 5.0% 5.3% 6.1% 6.5% 7.2% 8.0% 9.2% 9.2% 8.9% 8.8% 8.0% 8.00%
Op. Income 3Y 4.5% 5.2% 4.9% 5.5% 5.2% 5.4% 6.5% 7.5% 5.9% 6.1% 6.3% 5.7% 7.7% 8.6% 9.5% 9.7% 10.0% 10.3% 9.2% 10.4% 10.41%
Op. Income 5Y 10.2% 8.4% 8.3% 6.9% 6.0% 4.7% 4.3% 3.7% 4.0% 5.4% 5.7% 7.1% 7.2% 7.6% 8.3% 9.5% 8.8% 8.3% 7.9% 6.7% 6.68%
FCF 3Y 12.8% 7.0% 9.0% 9.6% 1.0% 7.9% -1.3% -3.1% -2.4% -3.4% -7.6% -5.4% 1.7% 5.3% 11.4% 15.7% 17.2% 12.4% 16.4% 14.6% 14.56%
FCF 5Y 18.4% 9.3% 7.5% 3.2% 2.7% 5.1% 1.8% 2.2% 6.2% 5.2% 8.8% 8.5% 6.2% 6.8% 4.9% 7.0% 5.0% 5.3% 2.1% 2.3% 2.26%
OCF 3Y 5.8% 2.8% 5.8% 6.2% 3.4% 8.4% 4.1% 6.5% 7.3% 4.4% 4.2% 5.1% 8.7% 8.2% 7.9% 8.8% 7.0% 6.0% 6.5% 4.1% 4.09%
OCF 5Y 11.9% 8.3% 6.7% 4.8% 5.7% 6.9% 5.7% 6.2% 7.6% 5.4% 8.7% 7.8% 6.5% 6.4% 4.1% 6.2% 5.2% 6.0% 4.3% 4.3% 4.31%
Assets 3Y 4.1% 2.8% 3.1% 5.0% 6.7% 7.2% 5.5% 5.6% 7.0% 6.7% 8.6% 9.1% 9.0% 8.9% 9.4% 7.6% 6.9% 5.2% 6.0% 8.6% 8.56%
Assets 5Y 10.1% 10.3% 5.0% 5.7% 7.2% 7.1% 6.3% 5.0% 6.5% 4.9% 5.4% 6.4% 6.6% 7.0% 6.5% 6.7% 7.1% 6.6% 7.6% 8.4% 8.44%
Equity 3Y 14.5% 11.9% 11.2% 11.6% 14.4% 13.8% 12.9% 13.5% 13.5% 12.1% 13.0% 13.2% 12.0% 12.1% 13.3% 12.1% 9.9% 9.7% 8.3% 8.2% 8.19%
Book Value 3Y 14.0% 11.4% 10.7% 11.4% 14.6% 13.9% 13.2% 11.3% 11.2% 11.3% 13.2% 12.7% 12.3% 12.8% 14.1% 12.8% 10.4% 10.8% 9.2% 12.0% 11.99%
Dividend 3Y 4.3% 5.0% 4.7% 4.6% 4.6% 4.3% 4.0% 1.7% 1.4% 2.7% 3.6% 2.9% 3.6% 3.7% 3.8% 3.5% 3.2% 3.7% 3.7% 6.7% 6.68%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.82 0.86 0.87 0.87 0.86 0.88 0.85 0.90 0.87 0.87 0.86 0.90 0.93 0.96 0.98 1.00 0.99 0.99 0.98 1.00 0.998
Earnings Stability 0.80 0.86 0.77 0.72 0.78 0.87 0.79 0.66 0.73 0.49 0.59 0.88 0.92 0.58 0.63 0.89 0.92 0.62 0.63 0.90 0.902
Margin Stability 0.98 0.98 0.97 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.95 0.95 0.96 0.97 0.97 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.97 0.967
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 1.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.91 0.95 0.96 0.99 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.99 0.99 0.94 0.95 0.97 0.96 0.50 0.50 0.93 0.94 0.98 0.97 0.99 0.990
Earnings Smoothness 0.79 0.88 0.91 0.98 0.96 0.96 0.94 0.97 0.98 0.84 0.86 0.93 0.90 0.54 0.57 0.85 0.86 0.95 0.93 0.98 0.976
ROE Trend 0.00 -0.00 0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.03 -0.02 -0.04 -0.04 -0.02 -0.01 0.03 0.03 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.002
Gross Margin Trend -0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.002
FCF Margin Trend 0.00 -0.01 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.02 -0.03 -0.03 -0.01 -0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 -0.00 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.003
Sustainable Growth Rate 13.3% 12.8% 12.5% 12.4% 11.6% 11.3% 11.3% 10.9% 10.3% 7.7% 7.8% 10.1% 10.2% 12.9% 12.6% 11.1% 11.1% 10.6% 10.3% 10.4% 10.43%
Internal Growth Rate 6.5% 6.4% 6.3% 6.2% 6.0% 5.9% 6.0% 5.7% 5.4% 4.0% 4.2% 5.6% 5.6% 7.3% 7.1% 6.2% 6.2% 6.2% 5.9% 5.7% 5.74%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.44 1.40 1.38 1.43 1.44 1.59 1.51 1.59 1.65 1.89 1.92 1.57 1.58 1.26 1.22 1.42 1.35 1.47 1.46 1.40 1.397
FCF/OCF 0.67 0.61 0.56 0.56 0.52 0.55 0.51 0.49 0.52 0.54 0.52 0.52 0.55 0.57 0.62 0.67 0.68 0.66 0.66 0.65 0.651
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.909
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.685
CapEx/Revenue 5.1% 5.6% 6.2% 6.3% 6.9% 7.0% 7.3% 7.9% 7.7% 6.9% 7.7% 7.3% 7.1% 6.4% 5.4% 4.9% 4.6% 5.3% 5.1% 5.0% 5.01%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.852
Accruals Ratio -0.04 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.05 -0.04 -0.04 -0.05 -0.05 -0.06 -0.04 -0.04 -0.02 -0.02 -0.03 -0.03 -0.04 -0.04 -0.03 -0.030
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.119
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.796
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.49%
Dividend/Share $0.80 $0.83 $0.86 $0.90 $0.93 $0.96 $0.98 $0.94 $0.97 $1.02 $1.07 $1.10 $1.13 $1.16 $1.19 $1.22 $1.25 $1.29 $1.32 $1.38 $1.40
Payout Ratio 24.2% 25.2% 26.0% 26.3% 26.6% 27.3% 27.3% 28.3% 28.8% 35.5% 34.7% 29.1% 28.8% 24.5% 24.6% 27.1% 27.0% 27.9% 28.7% 29.0% 29.00%
FCF Payout Ratio 25.1% 29.3% 33.3% 33.0% 35.6% 31.2% 35.6% 36.5% 33.7% 34.7% 34.9% 35.4% 33.2% 34.3% 32.6% 28.4% 29.3% 28.8% 29.7% 31.9% 31.91%
Total Payout Ratio 24.2% 25.2% 42.6% 59.0% 58.7% 59.5% 42.9% 28.3% 28.8% 36.5% 35.6% 35.8% 49.6% 48.3% 59.6% 72.6% 71.4% 65.3% 62.2% 82.2% 82.24%
Div. Increase Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Total Shareholder Return — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.73 0.73 0.75 0.75 0.78 0.78 0.76 0.75 0.74 0.74 0.74 0.738
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.92 0.93 0.93 0.91 0.91 0.90 0.90 0.89 0.89 0.87 0.87 0.89 0.89 0.91 0.91 0.90 0.91 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.923
EBIT Margin 0.15 0.15 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.13 0.13 0.15 0.15 0.16 0.16 0.15 0.16 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.151
Asset Turnover 0.75 0.77 0.79 0.79 0.78 0.78 0.79 0.78 0.74 0.76 0.75 0.76 0.75 0.77 0.76 0.76 0.75 0.77 0.75 0.74 0.745
Equity Multiplier 2.20 2.13 2.11 2.12 2.05 2.03 2.02 2.02 2.01 1.98 1.94 1.91 1.94 1.90 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.83 1.86 1.92 1.920
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $3.32 $3.31 $3.32 $3.41 $3.49 $3.49 $3.58 $3.33 $3.36 $2.88 $3.10 $3.77 $3.92 $4.74 $4.84 $4.50 $4.62 $4.63 $4.60 $4.75 $4.75
Book Value/Share $20.16 $20.68 $20.74 $21.29 $23.59 $23.93 $24.86 $23.60 $24.47 $25.15 $26.93 $27.98 $28.58 $29.66 $30.79 $30.54 $31.76 $32.53 $32.33 $33.15 $33.15
Tangible Book/Share $4.21 $4.31 $4.24 $4.02 $5.72 $5.91 $6.94 $6.72 $6.32 $7.06 $8.30 $8.13 $8.44 $9.08 $9.85 $9.90 $10.77 $11.55 $11.28 $11.19 $11.19
Revenue/Share $30.94 $31.64 $32.63 $34.05 $35.27 $35.81 $36.53 $34.52 $34.69 $36.18 $37.51 $38.46 $39.60 $40.70 $41.72 $42.49 $43.26 $44.23 $44.36 $46.21 $46.19
FCF/Share $3.20 $2.84 $2.59 $2.72 $2.61 $3.06 $2.75 $2.59 $2.87 $2.95 $3.07 $3.10 $3.40 $3.38 $3.66 $4.29 $4.26 $4.47 $4.45 $4.32 $4.83
OCF/Share $4.78 $4.63 $4.60 $4.87 $5.03 $5.57 $5.41 $5.30 $5.54 $5.46 $5.95 $5.90 $6.19 $5.98 $5.90 $6.38 $6.25 $6.82 $6.70 $6.63 $7.35
Cash/Share $3.44 $3.28 $3.41 $3.53 $3.93 $4.67 $4.41 $3.89 $4.08 $4.16 $4.16 $3.69 $4.24 $4.61 $4.63 $5.47 $6.47 $5.76 $5.76 $5.71 $5.71
EBITDA/Share $6.57 $6.54 $6.58 $6.81 $6.97 $7.07 $7.27 $6.85 $7.01 $6.79 $7.18 $7.96 $8.21 $9.13 $9.34 $9.11 $9.35 $9.45 $9.44 $9.68 $9.68
Debt/Share $10.34 $10.22 $11.49 $13.36 $13.92 $13.25 $13.31 $12.13 $13.37 $12.42 $13.13 $13.45 $13.59 $13.75 $14.52 $14.74 $14.94 $13.92 $13.69 $15.90 $15.90
Net Debt/Share $6.90 $6.94 $8.08 $9.83 $9.98 $8.59 $8.89 $8.24 $9.29 $8.26 $8.96 $9.76 $9.35 $9.14 $9.89 $9.28 $8.47 $8.16 $7.94 $10.19 $10.19
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Piotroski F-Score 6 6 7 5 6 7 7 8 7 7 6 8 8 8 9 8 8 7 6 6 6
Beneish M-Score -2.44 -2.42 -2.44 -2.47 -2.50 -2.65 -2.64 -2.74 -2.80 -2.79 -2.68 -2.49 -2.56 -2.41 -2.42 -2.60 -2.52 -2.63 -2.60 -2.46 -2.456
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -8.440
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 27.26%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-9.33
EVA snapshot only $133896988.58
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only A
Credit Score 72.80 73.40 71.90 71.30 70.40 73.40 72.25 72.25 70.90 70.90 70.90 70.90 73.40 74.75 75.65 75.65 75.65 74.00 74.00 72.05 72.050
Credit Grade snapshot only 6
Credit Trend snapshot only -3.600
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 150.000

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