— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: CTC-A.TO (TSX) · $vol 26M · CDNAF (OTC) · $vol 3M · CTC.TO (TSX) · $vol 0M

CDNTF OTC

Canadian Tire Corporation, Limited
1W: +0.0% 1M: +0.0% 3M: -16.8% YTD: -11.4% 1Y: -15.3% 3Y: -26.9% 5Y: -13.1%
$155.70
+0.00 (+0.00%)
 
OTC · Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail · Tech Score Sell · Power 50 · $5.8B mcap · 2M float · 0.0005% daily turnover · Short 84% of daily vol

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 2Hold: 0Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$—
Analysts0

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B+
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
3
ROE
4
ROA
4
D/E
1
P/E
3
P/B
3
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. CDNTF receives an overall rating of B+. Strongest factors: ROE (4/5), ROA (4/5). Areas of concern: D/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-01 B- B+
2026-08-13 B B-
2026-08-11 B- B
2026-07-31 B B-
2026-07-11 B- B
2026-07-10 B B-
2026-07-09 B- B
2026-07-08 B B-
2026-07-01 None ADDED
2026-05-24 EXISTED None

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ — Grade C
Profitability
31
Balance Sheet
45
Earnings Quality
70
Growth
32
Value
—
Momentum
64
Safety
—
Cash Flow
36

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
—
—
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-2.53
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-7.35
Bankruptcy prob: 0.1%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BBB-
Score: 53.5/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 1.77x
Accruals: -2.4%
The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. CDNTF scores 5/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. CDNTF's score of -2.53 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. CDNTF's implied 0.1% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. CDNTF receives an estimated rating of BBB- (score: 53.5/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). CDNTF's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
15.05x
PEG
-2.22x
P/S
0.61x
P/B
1.69x
P/FCF
—
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
—
EV/Revenue
—
EV/EBIT
—
EV/FCF
—
Earnings Yield
—
FCF Yield
—
Shareholder Yield
—
Graham Number
$181.50
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 15.0x earnings, CDNTF trades at a reasonable valuation. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $181.50 per share, suggesting a potential 17% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.664
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.723
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.085
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.750
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
3.735
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
11.5%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. CDNTF's ROE of 11.5% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 3.73x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$109.37
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with CDNTF's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. CDNTF trades at a premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $109.37, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 15.0x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$155.70
Median 1Y
$143.58
5th Pctile
$73.29
95th Pctile
$280.72
Ann. Volatility
40.6%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE 24.3% 23.4% 23.7% 21.8% 19.7% 19.4% 16.6% 15.9% 10.9% 3.8% 5.2% 7.1% 12.0% 15.2% 14.7% 13.2% 12.6% 8.8% 10.1% 11.5% 11.45%
ROA 5.3% 5.3% 5.5% 5.1% 4.7% 4.8% 4.0% 3.8% 2.5% 1.0% 1.3% 1.7% 2.8% 4.0% 3.8% 3.5% 3.3% 2.4% 2.7% 3.1% 3.07%
ROIC 13.0% 13.4% 11.9% 10.9% 11.1% 10.1% 13.1% 10.5% 9.3% 5.6% 5.1% 6.2% 6.6% 7.5% 7.5% 8.4% 7.9% 7.1% 8.1% 8.4% 8.42%
ROCE 11.9% 11.9% 12.0% 11.4% 11.2% 11.6% 11.2% 11.2% 8.2% 5.1% 4.5% 5.3% 6.9% 8.4% 8.3% 8.2% 8.1% 7.4% 8.6% 8.8% 8.78%
Gross Margin 34.7% 37.9% 34.2% 31.4% 30.9% 37.8% 34.6% 34.0% 33.8% 34.6% 32.6% 32.5% 34.1% 33.9% 34.4% 33.8% 33.4% 30.3% 34.0% 32.4% 32.40%
Operating Margin 10.0% 14.4% 8.3% 5.9% 9.1% 14.5% 11.1% 4.7% 9.9% 6.5% 6.0% 9.0% 8.3% 8.2% 6.7% 8.6% 8.8% 9.8% 7.1% 8.8% 8.78%
Net Margin 6.2% 9.9% 4.7% 3.3% 4.4% 10.0% 0.2% 2.3% -1.6% 3.9% 2.2% 4.8% 4.8% 9.1% 1.1% 2.7% 4.1% 4.6% 3.0% 4.5% 4.46%
EBITDA Margin 14.5% 17.9% 12.8% 10.1% 10.7% 18.1% 7.7% 9.3% 14.7% 11.0% 11.6% 12.5% 12.4% 16.7% 7.6% 11.1% 12.8% 9.8% 12.5% 13.2% 13.17%
FCF Margin 5.3% 6.4% 4.5% 1.5% -1.1% -1.5% 0.5% 2.8% 4.9% 4.3% 7.0% 6.5% 8.0% 8.7% 6.1% 6.3% 2.9% 2.0% 4.1% 3.6% 3.63%
OCF Margin 9.0% 11.1% 9.4% 6.0% 3.8% 3.1% 5.0% 7.1% 8.9% 8.4% 11.0% 11.0% 12.6% 12.6% 9.9% 9.9% 6.3% 5.8% 7.8% 7.3% 7.25%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 10.37%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 13.58%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 2.76%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 5.25%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 7.70%
Cash ROA snapshot only 5.30%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 9.29%
CROIC snapshot only 4.66%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 6.57%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 6.16%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 22.87%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 15.046
P/S Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.613
P/B Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.693
P/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
P/OCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBITDA — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/Revenue — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBIT — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Earnings Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Graham Number snapshot only $181.50
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 1.74 1.72 1.82 1.78 1.68 1.61 1.56 1.49 1.74 1.77 1.76 1.79 1.60 1.79 1.76 1.83 1.80 1.83 1.74 1.88 1.878
Quick Ratio 1.31 1.35 1.38 1.28 1.19 1.16 1.12 1.07 1.26 1.35 1.35 1.35 1.19 1.39 1.40 1.42 1.36 1.44 1.33 1.46 1.462
Debt/Equity 1.46 1.38 1.44 1.38 1.21 1.37 1.06 1.56 1.67 1.59 1.63 1.50 1.51 1.28 1.42 1.31 1.33 1.67 1.34 1.42 1.416
Net Debt/Equity 1.03 0.93 1.19 1.25 1.12 1.29 0.97 1.44 1.56 1.50 1.48 1.39 1.42 1.19 1.32 1.10 1.25 1.55 1.25 1.16 1.158
Debt/Assets 0.34 0.33 0.35 0.34 0.29 0.35 0.25 0.37 0.37 0.40 0.40 0.39 0.38 0.36 0.37 0.35 0.36 0.45 0.36 0.37 0.374
Debt/EBITDA 2.92 2.84 2.96 2.97 2.83 3.27 2.60 3.80 3.72 4.91 4.70 4.16 4.45 3.60 4.11 3.80 3.90 5.73 4.14 4.27 4.271
Net Debt/EBITDA 2.06 1.90 2.44 2.67 2.62 3.07 2.37 3.51 3.46 4.64 4.29 3.86 4.18 3.33 3.83 3.21 3.67 5.32 3.88 3.49 3.493
Interest Coverage 19.56 19.85 20.51 19.53 19.50 19.83 11.85 11.07 8.80 5.39 7.01 8.22 10.42 12.81 12.35 11.90 7.82 5.38 4.90 4.31 4.308
Equity Multiplier 4.32 4.26 4.13 4.05 4.11 3.93 4.20 4.25 4.49 3.96 4.04 3.86 3.99 3.61 3.80 3.68 3.71 3.68 3.75 3.78 3.785
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.234
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 6.065
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.182
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.071
Defensive Interval snapshot only 871.7 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.77 0.77 0.79 0.82 0.80 0.81 0.81 0.82 0.78 0.76 0.74 0.75 0.72 0.74 0.72 0.76 0.73 0.75 0.74 0.75 0.750
Inventory Turnover 3.83 4.36 4.09 4.03 3.69 4.14 3.91 3.67 3.34 3.71 3.60 3.66 3.37 4.15 4.02 4.07 3.65 4.41 4.12 4.22 4.219
Receivables Turnover 18.27 23.37 12.87 25.15 15.22 22.81 12.21 21.07 11.69 19.49 11.07 19.63 11.32 19.55 11.99 21.53 12.36 17.34 12.91 24.25 24.250
Payables Turnover 4.20 4.83 4.58 4.36 4.20 4.69 4.35 3.99 3.79 4.55 3.94 3.95 3.51 4.77 3.98 3.88 3.42 4.20 3.82 3.80 3.798
DSO 20 16 28 15 24 16 30 17 31 19 33 19 32 19 30 17 30 21 28 15 15.1 days
DIO 95 84 89 91 99 88 93 99 109 98 101 100 108 88 91 90 100 83 88 87 86.5 days
DPO 87 76 80 84 87 78 84 92 96 80 93 92 104 77 92 94 107 87 96 96 96.1 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 29 24 38 21 36 26 39 25 44 37 42 26 36 30 29 13 23 17 21 5 5.5 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 2.197
Operating Cycle snapshot only 101.6 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 10.718
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.369
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 12.0% 9.6% 9.5% 7.4% 9.8% 9.3% 5.2% 1.4% -0.3% -6.5% -6.8% -6.7% -7.2% -1.8% -1.1% 0.0% -0.1% -0.2% 0.9% 1.1% 1.13%
Net Income 85.5% 50.0% 26.3% -7.0% -7.9% -7.4% -24.9% -23.7% -43.9% -79.6% -67.5% -53.7% 13.3% 3.2% 2.0% 99.5% 12.6% -40.7% -29.7% -11.1% -11.15%
EPS 85.1% 50.8% 28.8% -4.2% -4.2% -3.4% -21.3% -19.5% -40.7% -78.6% -66.6% -53.0% 13.3% 3.2% 2.0% 1.0% 16.3% -38.6% -26.0% -7.3% -7.28%
FCF -62.8% -48.4% -58.1% -80.9% -1.2% -1.3% -87.7% 91.3% 5.2% 3.8% 11.5% 1.2% 51.5% 1.0% -14.4% -3.6% -63.6% -77.6% -31.7% -41.4% -41.41%
EBITDA 40.5% 24.7% 14.5% -5.2% -7.3% -5.5% -15.1% -13.3% -1.5% -23.8% -11.0% -3.1% -14.8% 22.4% 7.1% -1.7% 3.7% -22.6% -8.3% -1.0% -1.01%
Op. Income 71.4% 41.1% 20.5% -8.4% -4.9% -3.1% -0.1% 3.5% 6.0% -24.0% -38.8% -26.9% -32.4% -1.3% 18.2% 1.5% 8.8% 7.7% 7.6% 9.7% 9.73%
OCF Growth snapshot only -26.25%
Asset Growth snapshot only 5.45%
Equity Growth snapshot only 2.62%
Debt Growth snapshot only 11.18%
Shares Change snapshot only -4.17%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 4.41%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 4.9% 5.0% 5.9% 6.4% 7.1% 7.0% 6.9% 7.9% 7.0% 3.9% 2.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.1% -1.0% -1.8% -2.6% -2.9% -2.4% -1.9% -1.91%
Revenue 5Y 5.2% 5.1% 5.5% 6.0% 6.1% 5.8% 5.5% 5.3% 4.8% 3.4% 3.1% 2.7% 2.6% 2.4% 2.4% 3.2% 2.6% 1.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.54%
EPS 3Y 17.9% 19.4% 20.6% 16.6% 15.2% 12.2% 10.0% 21.2% 1.7% -32.2% -30.3% -28.7% -13.6% -4.9% -7.5% -8.5% -7.9% -18.2% -9.4% -4.1% -4.06%
EPS 5Y 15.0% 14.5% 14.5% 12.3% 10.8% 10.3% 6.7% 6.8% -1.4% -18.8% -14.3% -9.7% 0.5% 4.7% 6.0% 11.1% 6.7% -4.4% -5.5% -7.4% -7.39%
Net Income 3Y 15.8% 17.7% 19.2% 15.2% 13.5% 10.3% 7.7% 18.3% -1.4% -34.3% -32.5% -31.0% -16.3% -7.7% -9.9% -11.0% -10.6% -20.4% -11.8% -6.4% -6.36%
Net Income 5Y 11.3% 11.0% 10.9% 8.9% 7.6% 7.3% 3.7% 3.7% -4.3% -21.0% -16.2% -11.6% -1.5% 2.7% 4.1% 8.9% 4.1% -6.9% -8.2% -10.2% -10.23%
EBITDA 3Y 14.8% 15.0% 14.6% 11.2% 8.5% 6.6% 4.8% 8.8% 8.6% -3.5% -4.7% -7.3% -8.0% -4.1% -6.8% -6.2% -4.5% -10.3% -4.4% -1.9% -1.94%
EBITDA 5Y 9.5% 9.8% 9.6% 8.2% 6.9% 6.8% 5.2% 5.5% 6.7% 1.9% 2.6% 3.0% 1.4% 2.5% 1.9% 4.2% 2.5% -3.2% -3.2% -5.0% -4.97%
Gross Profit 3Y 7.0% 7.4% 8.0% 7.8% 7.5% 7.3% 7.6% 9.5% 9.4% 4.0% 1.5% -1.5% -1.6% -2.2% -2.7% -2.4% -2.5% -3.8% -3.5% -4.0% -3.97%
Gross Profit 5Y 6.1% 5.8% 6.0% 6.0% 5.5% 5.4% 5.3% 5.7% 5.7% 3.9% 3.3% 2.7% 2.7% 2.3% 2.7% 3.9% 3.1% 1.1% 0.2% -1.3% -1.31%
Op. Income 3Y 14.3% 14.0% 14.7% 11.4% 11.9% 10.4% 16.2% 24.7% 20.0% 1.3% -9.6% -11.5% -12.0% -10.1% -10.2% -8.4% -8.0% -6.9% -8.0% -6.6% -6.63%
Op. Income 5Y 10.9% 10.2% 10.0% 7.9% 7.7% 7.2% 8.9% 9.1% 8.6% 1.8% -1.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.2% 2.6% 7.6% 4.9% 2.0% -1.3% -5.0% -5.04%
FCF 3Y 70.7% 58.3% 1.2% 2.6% — — -51.6% -33.4% -28.1% -29.1% -13.5% -7.7% 14.9% 11.3% 9.7% 58.4% — — 94.1% 6.8% 6.76%
FCF 5Y 87.7% 38.2% 18.8% -10.9% — — -18.9% 14.8% 37.8% 22.3% 76.8% 34.8% 46.8% 24.7% 4.0% -9.3% -27.2% -30.7% -17.7% -15.0% -14.98%
OCF 3Y 19.7% 31.0% 38.0% 9.0% -5.6% -20.0% -14.2% -17.3% -17.6% -17.1% -6.5% -1.5% 12.8% 4.4% 0.6% 16.0% 15.8% 19.6% 13.3% -1.2% -1.25%
OCF 5Y 11.5% 13.0% 8.6% 1.0% -6.2% -10.6% -1.3% 5.9% 13.2% 11.5% 24.7% 17.4% 21.2% 13.7% 2.8% -5.9% -18.1% -17.2% -10.3% -8.6% -8.63%
Assets 3Y 7.3% 8.0% 3.9% 3.1% 4.2% 4.2% 4.3% 2.9% 4.4% 2.6% 2.3% 1.1% 1.9% 0.7% 1.8% 0.6% -0.4% -0.9% -0.4% 1.2% 1.21%
Assets 5Y 7.2% 7.3% 7.0% 6.3% 6.7% 7.2% 7.5% 7.4% 5.4% 4.9% 3.2% 2.6% 3.1% 2.6% 3.0% 1.4% 1.9% 1.1% 0.9% 1.4% 1.38%
Equity 3Y 5.1% 5.5% 10.2% 10.0% 10.6% 10.3% 9.0% 9.3% 7.1% 7.2% 6.5% 6.3% 4.7% 6.3% 4.7% 3.9% 3.1% 1.4% 3.4% 5.2% 5.20%
Book Value 3Y 6.9% 7.0% 11.5% 11.3% 12.2% 12.2% 11.4% 12.0% 10.4% 10.7% 10.0% 9.8% 8.0% 9.5% 7.4% 6.8% 6.2% 4.2% 6.3% 7.8% 7.78%
Dividend 3Y 3.2% 2.5% 2.7% 3.2% 5.7% 8.2% 10.0% 11.4% 9.3% 6.8% 4.3% 2.7% 2.9% 2.9% 3.1% 3.3% 3.5% 3.0% 2.6% 2.5% 2.48%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.90 0.95 0.94 0.86 0.88 0.91 0.96 0.89 0.88 0.77 0.72 0.58 0.52 0.41 0.33 0.32 0.21 0.14 0.09 0.00 0.002
Earnings Stability 0.33 0.59 0.67 0.41 0.48 0.68 0.48 0.28 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.02 0.01 0.04 0.07 0.05 0.07 0.17 0.31 0.52 0.521
Margin Stability 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.98 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.98 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.97 0.965
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.80 0.89 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.90 0.91 0.82 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.95 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.95 0.84 0.88 0.96 0.955
Earnings Smoothness 0.40 0.60 0.77 0.93 0.92 0.92 0.72 0.73 0.44 0.00 0.00 0.27 0.88 0.00 0.00 0.34 0.88 0.49 0.65 0.88 0.882
ROE Trend 0.06 0.04 0.04 0.02 0.01 -0.01 -0.05 -0.07 -0.09 -0.16 -0.14 -0.12 -0.04 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.01 -0.00 0.01 0.01 0.014
Gross Margin Trend 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.013
FCF Margin Trend -0.03 -0.02 -0.04 -0.09 -0.12 -0.11 -0.08 -0.02 0.03 0.02 0.05 0.04 0.06 0.07 0.02 0.02 -0.04 -0.05 -0.02 -0.03 -0.028
Sustainable Growth Rate 18.4% 17.8% 18.0% 16.1% 13.8% 13.4% 10.0% 8.9% 4.0% -2.6% -1.4% 0.5% 5.4% 9.0% 8.4% 7.0% 6.3% 2.7% 4.0% 5.3% 5.33%
Internal Growth Rate 4.2% 4.2% 4.3% 3.9% 3.4% 3.4% 2.5% 2.2% 0.9% — — 0.1% 1.3% 2.4% 2.2% 1.9% 1.7% 0.8% 1.1% 1.4% 1.45%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.30 1.61 1.36 0.97 0.65 0.53 1.02 1.51 2.72 6.52 6.44 4.71 3.17 2.32 1.90 2.14 1.41 1.81 2.16 1.77 1.773
FCF/OCF 0.60 0.57 0.48 0.25 -0.30 -0.47 0.10 0.40 0.55 0.51 0.64 0.59 0.63 0.69 0.62 0.63 0.46 0.34 0.53 0.50 0.501
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.889
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.605
CapEx/Revenue 3.6% 4.8% 4.9% 4.5% 4.9% 4.6% 4.5% 4.3% 4.0% 4.1% 4.0% 4.5% 4.7% 3.9% 3.8% 3.7% 3.4% 3.9% 3.7% 3.6% 3.62%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.771
Accruals Ratio -0.02 -0.03 -0.02 0.00 0.02 0.02 -0.00 -0.02 -0.04 -0.05 -0.07 -0.06 -0.06 -0.05 -0.03 -0.04 -0.01 -0.02 -0.03 -0.02 -0.024
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.007
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.250
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 3.73%
Dividend/Share $4.38 $4.44 $4.60 $4.73 $5.16 $5.57 $6.03 $6.41 $6.48 $6.47 $6.40 $6.40 $6.41 $6.45 $6.49 $6.59 $6.72 $6.71 $6.81 $6.88 $7.17
Payout Ratio 24.3% 24.0% 23.9% 26.1% 29.8% 31.2% 39.8% 44.0% 63.1% 1.7% 1.3% 93.4% 55.1% 40.5% 42.7% 47.5% 49.7% 68.7% 60.5% 53.4% 53.45%
FCF Payout Ratio 31.4% 26.2% 36.8% 1.1% — — 3.7% 73.4% 42.2% 50.5% 30.7% 33.5% 27.6% 25.2% 36.5% 35.2% 76.8% 1.1% 53.2% 60.1% 60.14%
Total Payout Ratio 25.6% 35.7% 44.7% 57.9% 70.7% 71.9% 95.0% 1.1% 1.5% 3.5% 2.0% 1.1% 59.9% 43.9% 54.7% 83.5% 1.0% 1.6% 1.4% 1.1% 1.07%
Div. Increase Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Total Shareholder Return — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.65 0.66 0.66 0.67 0.66 0.66 0.64 0.64 0.54 0.37 0.45 0.51 0.66 0.71 0.72 0.67 0.67 0.60 0.60 0.66 0.664
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.91 0.91 0.83 0.82 0.83 0.72 0.89 0.90 0.92 0.94 0.92 0.92 0.87 0.77 0.76 0.72 0.723
EBIT Margin 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.09 0.09 0.07 0.05 0.04 0.05 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.07 0.08 0.09 0.085
Asset Turnover 0.77 0.77 0.79 0.82 0.80 0.81 0.81 0.82 0.78 0.76 0.74 0.75 0.72 0.74 0.72 0.76 0.73 0.75 0.74 0.75 0.750
Equity Multiplier 4.56 4.38 4.33 4.26 4.21 4.09 4.16 4.15 4.29 3.95 4.12 4.04 4.22 3.78 3.92 3.77 3.85 3.65 3.77 3.73 3.735
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $18.06 $18.48 $19.24 $18.10 $17.30 $17.85 $15.14 $14.57 $10.27 $3.83 $5.06 $6.85 $11.63 $15.92 $15.22 $13.88 $13.53 $9.77 $11.26 $12.87 $12.87
Book Value/Share $81.32 $83.98 $86.31 $87.18 $91.52 $96.04 $91.99 $90.87 $90.79 $99.50 $99.44 $101.58 $102.58 $110.38 $106.97 $106.25 $109.51 $108.62 $110.34 $113.78 $132.22
Tangible Book/Share $42.62 $45.10 $46.96 $48.65 $53.03 $56.02 $52.15 $51.11 $50.32 $59.06 $59.97 $61.94 $63.12 $71.36 $82.43 $81.16 $84.20 $83.38 $84.78 $88.17 $88.17
Revenue/Share $261.32 $267.05 $279.25 $290.01 $298.52 $304.46 $307.85 $310.04 $314.78 $298.71 $295.42 $293.24 $292.21 $293.36 $292.24 $298.15 $301.58 $302.95 $310.46 $314.66 $314.40
FCF/Share $13.96 $16.97 $12.51 $4.33 $-3.42 $-4.43 $1.62 $8.74 $15.35 $12.81 $20.81 $19.09 $23.27 $25.61 $17.82 $18.70 $8.75 $5.95 $12.81 $11.44 $11.46
OCF/Share $23.41 $29.74 $26.25 $17.48 $11.22 $9.51 $15.43 $22.03 $27.91 $24.95 $32.58 $32.23 $36.92 $37.01 $28.86 $29.65 $19.05 $17.66 $24.36 $22.82 $22.83
Cash/Share $34.70 $38.37 $21.69 $12.15 $8.30 $8.38 $8.52 $10.80 $10.47 $8.76 $14.01 $11.09 $9.25 $10.33 $10.43 $21.68 $8.77 $13.02 $9.36 $29.36 $29.34
EBITDA/Share $40.61 $40.87 $42.14 $40.68 $39.15 $40.30 $37.49 $37.20 $40.78 $32.20 $34.38 $36.58 $34.73 $39.43 $36.85 $36.53 $37.22 $31.58 $35.58 $37.73 $37.73
Debt/Share $118.43 $116.21 $124.63 $120.74 $110.71 $131.96 $97.38 $141.38 $151.74 $158.08 $161.65 $152.31 $154.56 $141.77 $151.65 $138.91 $145.34 $180.97 $147.45 $161.16 $161.16
Net Debt/Share $83.73 $77.84 $102.94 $108.58 $102.40 $123.58 $88.86 $130.58 $141.27 $149.32 $147.64 $141.22 $145.31 $131.44 $141.22 $117.23 $136.58 $167.95 $138.09 $131.80 $131.80
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Piotroski F-Score 7 7 7 5 5 4 7 5 6 5 5 5 6 7 8 9 8 6 6 5 5
Beneish M-Score -2.69 2.76 -2.42 -2.09 -1.69 -2.27 -2.46 -2.59 -2.74 -3.66 -2.80 -2.81 1.22 4.54 1.26 4.64 -2.64 -2.57 -2.58 -2.53 -2.532
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -7.352
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 10.58%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-62.78
EVA snapshot only $-204268295.13
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BBB-
Credit Score 68.05 68.65 69.30 65.65 66.25 62.65 66.50 63.05 62.80 57.90 61.30 61.30 63.80 65.90 63.80 65.30 61.30 54.80 54.15 53.55 53.550
Credit Grade snapshot only 10
Credit Trend snapshot only -11.750
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 350.000

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