— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice

CDP NYSE

COPT Defense Properties
1W: +2.1% 1M: +1.9% 3M: -0.4% YTD: +17.6% 1Y: +20.2% 3Y: +58.9% 5Y: +44.7%
$32.13
-0.18 (-0.56%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±2.7%
$30 $31 $32 $33 $33
NYSE · Real Estate · REIT - Office · Alpha Radar Buy · Power 62 · $3.6B mcap · 112M float · 0.867% daily turnover · Short 50% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
48.8 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Cost Advantage  ·  ROIC: 5.7%  ·  5Y Avg: 3.1%
Cost Advantage ★
77
Intangibles
29
Switching Cost
50
Network Effect
35
Scale
56
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. CDP shows a Weak competitive edge (48.8/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Cost Advantage. ROIC of 5.7% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$38
Low
$38
Avg Target
$38
High
Based on 1 analyst since Apr 27, 2026 earnings
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 13Hold: 7Sell: 1Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$35.50
Analysts2
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-04-28 Evercore ISI Steve Sakwa $34 $38 +4 +17.5% $32.35
2026-03-03 Truist Financial Michael Lewis $31 $33 +2 +2.8% $32.10
2026-02-09 Cantor Fitzgerald $33 $37 +4 +15.7% $31.98
2026-01-05 Cantor Fitzgerald $35 $33 -2 +20.0% $27.49
2025-12-15 Evercore ISI Steve Sakwa $35 $34 -1 +14.8% $29.61
2025-10-13 New Street Initiated $33 +19.3% $27.66
2025-10-01 Cantor Fitzgerald Richard Anderson Initiated $35 +20.4% $29.06
2025-09-29 Evercore ISI $36 $35 -1 +19.5% $29.29
2025-09-15 Evercore ISI Steve Sakwa $33 $36 +3 +17.4% $30.66
2024-10-29 BTIG Tom Catherwood Initiated $33 +1.4% $32.56
2024-08-30 Wells Fargo Blaine Heck Initiated $33 +10.6% $29.83
2024-08-29 Truist Financial Michael Lewis Initiated $31 +4.8% $29.59
2024-08-05 Bank of America Securities Camille Bonnel Initiated $32 +13.4% $28.22
2024-07-30 Evercore ISI Steve Sakwa $28 $33 +5 +13.5% $29.08
2024-02-20 Jefferies Peter Abramowitz Initiated $28 +15.7% $24.20
2024-02-11 Evercore ISI Steve Sakwa Initiated $28 +14.2% $24.52

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B
May 22, 2026
DCF
4
ROE
4
ROA
4
D/E
1
P/E
2
P/B
1
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. CDP receives an overall rating of B. Strongest factors: DCF (4/5), ROE (4/5), ROA (4/5). Areas of concern: D/E (1/5), P/E (2/5), P/B (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-05-04 B+ B
2026-04-01 B B+
2026-02-23 B- B
2026-02-20 B B-
2026-02-19 A- B
2026-02-10 B A-

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

52 Grade A
Profitability
62
Balance Sheet
38
Earnings Quality
66
Growth
49
Value
63
Momentum
79
Safety
15
Cash Flow
76
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. CDP scores highest in Momentum (79/100) and lowest in Safety (15/100). An overall grade of A places CDP among the highest-quality companies in its peer group.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
1.12
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
7/9
Beneish M-Score
-3.40
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-6.82
Bankruptcy prob: 0.1%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BB+
Score: 48.4/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 2.30x
Accruals: -4.5%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. CDP scores 1.12, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. CDP scores 7/9, signaling strong financial health across all three dimensions. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. CDP's score of -3.40 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. CDP's implied 0.1% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. CDP receives an estimated rating of BB+ (score: 48.4/100), with a improving trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). CDP's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
23.20x
PEG
2.23x
P/S
4.69x
P/B
2.39x
P/FCF
11.88x
P/OCF
9.67x
EV/EBITDA
14.57x
EV/Revenue
7.74x
EV/EBIT
24.28x
EV/FCF
20.55x
Earnings Yield
4.49%
FCF Yield
8.42%
Shareholder Yield
2.97%
Graham Number
$20.31
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 23.2x earnings, CDP commands a growth premium. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $20.31 per share, 58% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.933
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.676
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.319
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.173
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.978
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
10.4%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. CDP's ROE of 10.4% is driven by a balanced combination of operating margin, asset efficiency, and leverage. A tax burden ratio of 0.93 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate
10.14%
Fair P/E
28.78x
Intrinsic Value
$39.56
Price/Value
0.77x
Margin of Safety
22.66%
Premium
-22.66%
Assessment
Undervalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with CDP's realized 10.1% 3-year EPS CAGR — what the company actually delivered, not what analysts hope for. At an intrinsic value of $39.56, CDP appears undervalued with a 23% margin of safety. The adjusted fair P/E of 28.8x compares to the current market P/E of 23.2x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$32.12
Median 1Y
$32.82
5th Pctile
$20.59
95th Pctile
$52.43
Ann. Volatility
29.1%
Analyst Target
$35.50
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical Analyst target

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
430
+0.7% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$1,776,565
Rev: $763,923,000
Profit / Employee
$354,221
NI: $152,315,000
SGA / Employee
$76,223
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE 5.1% 8.7% 4.7% 8.7% 8.1% 8.3% 10.5% 11.6% 11.5% -3.4% -4.6% -7.6% -7.3% 8.7% 9.3% 9.5% 9.7% 10.1% 10.1% 10.4% 10.38%
ROA 2.2% 3.6% 1.8% 3.4% 3.2% 3.3% 4.1% 4.5% 4.5% -1.3% -1.7% -2.8% -2.7% 3.2% 3.3% 3.3% 3.4% 3.5% 3.4% 3.5% 3.49%
ROIC 4.3% 4.5% 4.3% 5.2% 6.2% 7.2% 8.2% 8.3% 7.4% 4.2% 3.7% 3.1% 3.2% 5.5% 5.5% 5.6% 5.7% 5.8% 5.7% 5.7% 5.74%
ROCE 3.9% 5.4% 3.5% 4.4% 4.1% 4.1% 4.8% 4.8% 4.8% -1.7% -1.6% -1.4% -1.2% 5.3% 5.4% 5.5% 5.7% 5.9% 5.3% 5.4% 5.37%
Gross Margin 33.4% 31.9% 31.1% 44.6% 48.7% 50.1% 53.3% 55.4% 33.4% 34.2% 34.1% 32.2% 35.3% 34.8% 36.1% 35.5% 37.7% 15.5% 14.1% 59.4% 59.41%
Operating Margin 27.1% 25.9% 24.9% 40.0% 43.9% 44.9% 47.0% 49.2% 27.2% 0.0% 27.8% 26.1% 28.9% 28.8% 29.6% 29.1% 31.4% 30.6% 29.6% 29.1% 29.07%
Net Margin 27.0% 16.2% 8.4% 30.2% 17.4% 16.9% 28.8% 47.0% 17.9% -1.3% 18.7% 16.9% 18.7% 19.1% 19.1% 18.5% 20.2% 22.1% 19.0% 19.2% 19.22%
EBITDA Margin 62.2% 48.7% 37.8% 40.3% 44.2% 45.3% 47.3% 49.5% 49.5% -97.9% 48.2% 45.9% 49.6% 49.0% 51.2% 50.0% 52.2% 56.3% 53.9% 50.3% 50.34%
FCF Margin 33.4% 39.9% 33.2% 31.7% 27.2% 24.7% 29.5% 32.8% 35.3% 39.3% 37.3% 35.2% 32.7% 29.6% 33.8% 36.5% 38.5% 41.6% 36.7% 37.7% 37.68%
OCF Margin 39.5% 44.9% 38.9% 38.2% 35.1% 32.5% 35.9% 38.2% 38.6% 42.4% 40.3% 40.6% 41.2% 39.6% 43.9% 44.4% 43.5% 46.9% 43.8% 46.3% 46.26%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 3.90%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 6.38%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 1.27%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 2.00%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 5.40%
Cash ROA snapshot only 7.64%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 8.86%
CROIC snapshot only 7.22%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 29.97%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 21.55%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 5.00%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only -0.14%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio 30.53 17.61 34.80 19.26 19.24 16.77 14.91 12.40 12.72 -43.24 -36.39 -21.37 -23.34 23.90 24.52 21.39 21.41 21.94 20.73 22.26 23.199
P/S Ratio 4.14 3.96 4.15 4.01 3.57 3.13 3.48 3.35 3.49 3.60 3.90 3.60 3.68 4.38 4.52 4.03 4.12 4.39 4.13 4.47 4.690
P/B Ratio 1.57 1.53 1.64 1.69 1.57 1.41 1.53 1.42 1.44 1.46 1.80 1.72 1.81 2.21 2.28 2.02 2.07 2.20 2.08 2.29 2.391
P/FCF 12.42 9.94 12.50 12.67 13.14 12.68 11.80 10.22 9.88 9.16 10.45 10.23 11.23 14.79 13.36 11.06 10.70 10.55 11.26 11.88 11.876
P/OCF 10.48 8.81 10.67 10.49 10.18 9.65 9.71 8.78 9.04 8.49 9.68 8.86 8.93 11.08 10.29 9.09 9.47 9.36 9.43 9.67 9.674
EV/EBITDA 15.55 12.81 17.11 15.72 15.88 14.95 14.76 14.01 14.05 55.52 56.16 51.44 48.05 15.42 15.77 14.51 14.46 14.47 14.04 14.57 14.567
EV/Revenue 7.49 7.24 7.71 7.36 6.78 6.27 6.52 6.51 6.72 6.90 7.24 6.81 6.81 7.43 7.71 7.25 7.32 7.59 7.46 7.74 7.743
EV/EBIT 30.64 21.91 35.67 29.18 30.20 28.07 26.31 25.12 25.41 -70.79 -80.02 -85.12 -101.67 26.65 27.20 24.89 24.60 24.29 23.35 24.28 24.280
EV/FCF 22.44 18.17 23.23 23.23 24.94 25.38 22.08 19.83 19.05 17.57 19.38 19.37 20.79 25.07 22.79 19.87 19.02 18.26 20.32 20.55 20.548
Earnings Yield 3.3% 5.7% 2.9% 5.2% 5.2% 6.0% 6.7% 8.1% 7.9% -2.3% -2.7% -4.7% -4.3% 4.2% 4.1% 4.7% 4.7% 4.6% 4.8% 4.5% 4.49%
FCF Yield 8.1% 10.1% 8.0% 7.9% 7.6% 7.9% 8.5% 9.8% 10.1% 10.9% 9.6% 9.8% 8.9% 6.8% 7.5% 9.0% 9.3% 9.5% 8.9% 8.4% 8.42%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 2.231
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 2.325
EV/OCF snapshot only 16.739
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 24.265
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 25.682
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 2.97%
Graham Number snapshot only $20.31
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 2.86 2.86 1.39 1.39 1.39 1.39 1.19 1.19 1.19 1.19 1.73 1.73 1.73 1.73 1.26 1.26 1.26 1.26 5.51 5.51 5.512
Quick Ratio 2.86 2.86 1.39 1.39 1.39 1.39 1.19 1.19 1.19 1.19 1.74 1.74 1.74 1.74 1.26 1.26 1.26 1.26 5.51 5.51 5.512
Debt/Equity 1.28 1.28 1.42 1.42 1.42 1.42 1.34 1.34 1.34 1.34 1.65 1.65 1.65 1.65 1.63 1.63 1.63 1.63 1.86 1.86 1.857
Net Debt/Equity 1.27 1.27 1.41 1.41 1.41 1.41 1.34 1.34 1.34 1.34 1.54 1.54 1.54 1.54 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.68 1.68 1.676
Debt/Assets 0.52 0.52 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.60 0.60 0.598
Debt/EBITDA 7.01 5.86 7.95 7.19 7.56 7.52 6.91 6.83 6.80 26.72 27.77 26.04 23.73 6.79 6.63 6.53 6.43 6.21 6.93 6.81 6.814
Net Debt/EBITDA 6.95 5.81 7.91 7.15 7.51 7.48 6.87 6.80 6.76 26.57 25.86 24.26 22.10 6.32 6.52 6.43 6.32 6.11 6.26 6.15 6.148
Interest Coverage 2.36 3.33 2.22 2.91 2.79 2.87 3.04 2.96 2.83 -0.98 -0.85 -0.74 -0.60 2.50 2.55 2.61 2.66 2.78 2.82 2.75 2.747
Equity Multiplier 2.45 2.45 2.63 2.63 2.63 2.63 2.53 2.53 2.53 2.53 2.86 2.86 2.86 2.86 2.85 2.85 2.85 2.85 3.10 3.10 3.104
Cash Ratio snapshot only 2.966
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 4.579
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.098
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.104
Defensive Interval snapshot only 13640.6 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.16 0.16 0.15 0.16 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.17 0.17 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.17 0.17 0.173
Inventory Turnover
Receivables Turnover 3.55 3.62 3.84 4.10 4.27 4.36 4.72 4.54 4.43 4.34 3.76 3.91 4.01 4.12 3.75 3.72 3.73 3.73 3.47 3.53 3.532
Payables Turnover 2.93 2.98 2.64 2.67 2.62 2.48 2.19 1.99 2.09 2.21 2.86 3.25 3.31 3.39 3.80 3.72 3.70 3.98 4.16 3.87 3.871
DSO 103 101 95 89 86 84 77 80 82 84 97 93 91 89 97 98 98 98 105 103 103.3 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 125 122 138 136 139 147 166 183 174 165 128 112 110 108 96 98 99 92 88 94 94.3 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -22 -22 -43 -47 -54 -63 -89 -103 -92 -81 -32 -20 -20 -20 0 -1 -2 5 17 9 9.0 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 0.213
Cash Velocity snapshot only 2.825
Capital Intensity snapshot only 6.054
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3.6% 6.5% 5.4% 10.7% 13.1% 13.5% 15.4% 4.0% -2.5% -6.6% -7.5% -0.2% 4.9% 10.1% 10.0% 5.2% 3.0% 0.1% 1.4% 3.9% 3.86%
Net Income -23.2% 1.5% -21.4% 1.1% 54.8% -5.7% 1.3% 35.1% 43.8% -1.4% -1.4% -1.6% -1.6% 3.4% 2.9% 2.2% 2.3% 9.1% 9.6% 10.7% 10.68%
EPS -23.4% 1.5% -21.5% 1.1% 54.5% -5.8% 1.3% 35.0% 43.8% -1.4% -1.4% -1.6% -1.6% 3.4% 2.9% 2.2% 2.3% 8.9% 9.8% 10.1% 10.14%
FCF -15.1% 20.9% -1.2% 11.8% -7.8% -29.6% 2.6% 7.9% 26.4% 48.3% 17.0% 6.9% -2.7% -16.9% -0.3% 9.2% 21.0% 40.3% 10.0% 7.3% 7.30%
EBITDA 2.0% 48.1% -6.2% 13.6% 0.3% -15.8% 13.0% 3.4% 9.1% -72.3% -73.0% -71.6% -68.9% 3.3% 3.2% 3.0% 2.7% 8.9% 10.2% 10.5% 10.52%
Op. Income -14.4% -11.8% 5.0% 27.1% 48.8% 67.6% 92.5% 60.1% 20.0% -25.5% -45.1% -55.4% -47.3% -0.9% 19.6% 48.6% 44.4% 8.3% 8.0% 7.7% 7.66%
OCF Growth snapshot only 8.20%
Asset Growth snapshot only 10.52%
Equity Growth snapshot only 1.45%
Debt Growth snapshot only 15.25%
Shares Change snapshot only 0.49%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -22.33%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 0.3% 2.0% 3.4% 6.0% 5.8% 5.3% 4.8% 3.6% 4.5% 4.1% 4.0% 4.8% 5.0% 5.3% 5.5% 3.0% 1.7% 1.0% 1.0% 2.9% 2.95%
Revenue 5Y 1.5% 2.2% 2.2% 3.7% 4.3% 4.2% 3.8% 2.5% 2.1% 2.4% 3.4% 4.4% 3.9% 3.7% 3.2% 3.2% 4.3% 4.4% 4.6% 4.7% 4.68%
EPS 3Y 5.1% 27.5% 0.9% 22.7% -6.5% -6.4% -3.4% -0.5% 19.4% -1.8% 21.5% -0.5% 2.7% 3.1% -4.4% -7.0% -7.00%
EPS 5Y -7.9% 21.4% 41.4% 37.2% 7.7% 10.2% 21.0% 25.7% 20.9% -3.8% -6.5% -6.4% 5.1% 20.4% 9.1% 18.2% 18.20%
Net Income 3Y 8.6% 30.6% 2.1% 23.5% -6.6% -6.2% -3.3% -0.3% 19.6% -1.7% 22.0% -0.3% 2.9% 3.2% -4.2% -6.7% -6.74%
Net Income 5Y -4.7% 25.7% 46.3% 40.9% 10.4% 13.1% 24.0% 28.5% 23.3% -3.6% -6.2% -6.2% 5.3% 20.7% 9.4% 18.6% 18.56%
EBITDA 3Y 3.3% 9.9% 0.6% 3.6% 1.4% 1.4% 3.3% 3.5% 3.8% -29.9% -34.1% -30.6% -30.2% -0.2% 8.4% 5.3% 7.6% 8.7% 7.4% 7.7% 7.66%
EBITDA 5Y 1.2% 12.4% 5.4% 7.3% 1.1% 1.1% 3.6% 3.8% 3.8% -20.9% -20.9% -20.0% -18.8% 4.2% 4.4% 4.6% 5.0% 9.9% 5.6% 7.9% 7.94%
Gross Profit 3Y -14.3% -13.4% -13.6% -9.2% -5.3% -1.4% 2.8% 7.0% 8.2% 9.3% 10.3% 5.8% 6.7% 7.0% 7.9% 2.7% -1.5% -10.0% -18.7% -12.4% -12.40%
Gross Profit 5Y -9.8% -9.2% -9.0% -5.8% -2.7% -0.2% 2.3% 2.7% 0.7% -1.3% -3.6% -6.2% -5.7% -5.2% -4.9% -2.5% 0.5% 0.3% -0.4% 4.3% 4.34%
Op. Income 3Y 5.7% 7.1% 4.1% 10.5% 16.4% 22.1% 19.5% 19.4% 15.2% 3.2% 3.5% -3.2% -2.0% 7.4% 8.1% 2.0% -3.0% -7.2% -10.8% -10.7% -10.67%
Op. Income 5Y 20.9% 37.0% 25.1% 27.7% 14.1% 13.0% 18.6% 18.8% 16.1% 8.9% 3.6% -0.8% -0.0% 6.1% 2.3% 2.4% 3.1% 3.4% 7.5% 7.7% 7.73%
FCF 3Y 2.9% 12.0% 5.7% 1.2% -2.9% -5.8% -1.5% 0.4% -0.4% 8.1% 5.8% 8.8% 4.3% -4.6% 6.1% 8.0% 14.2% 20.0% 8.6% 7.8% 7.78%
FCF 5Y 0.5% 2.5% -1.7% -2.4% -3.0% -4.9% -1.0% 3.6% 4.9% 8.0% 7.2% 3.6% 2.4% 0.6% 2.2% 3.4% 3.1% 8.0% 5.4% 8.6% 8.60%
OCF 3Y 8.9% 16.5% 11.4% 7.8% 5.8% 3.1% 5.2% 4.8% 1.9% 7.7% 3.7% 8.4% 6.4% 0.9% 9.9% 8.3% 9.2% 14.1% 8.0% 9.7% 9.74%
OCF 5Y 3.9% 5.0% 1.4% 1.3% 2.1% 0.4% 2.9% 6.7% 6.8% 9.6% 8.9% 6.7% 7.2% 6.6% 7.7% 7.1% 5.2% 8.8% 6.2% 9.7% 9.69%
Assets 3Y 4.3% 4.3% 5.2% 5.2% 5.2% 5.2% 3.4% 3.4% 3.4% 3.4% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% -0.1% -0.1% -0.1% -0.1% 3.4% 3.4% 3.37%
Assets 5Y 0.8% 0.8% 2.4% 2.4% 2.4% 2.4% 3.4% 3.4% 3.4% 3.4% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.9% 2.9% 2.89%
Equity 3Y 5.8% 5.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% -3.7% -3.7% -3.7% -3.7% -2.7% -2.7% -2.7% -2.7% -3.4% -3.4% -3.43%
Book Value 3Y 2.4% 3.3% -0.4% 0.1% 0.9% 0.6% -0.1% -0.1% -0.1% -0.1% -3.8% -3.9% -3.8% -3.8% -3.1% -2.9% -2.9% -2.9% -3.7% -3.7% -3.70%
Dividend 3Y -3.2% -2.3% -1.1% -0.7% 0.2% -0.2% -0.1% -0.2% 0.2% 0.5% 0.9% 1.0% 1.1% 1.1% 0.8% 1.1% 1.0% 1.0% 0.9% -8.3% -8.33%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.51 0.74 0.63 0.75 0.76 0.66 0.50 0.59 0.58 0.62 0.71 0.92 0.85 0.71 0.60 0.96 0.86 0.74 0.73 0.95 0.950
Earnings Stability 0.01 0.34 0.25 0.39 0.15 0.26 0.22 0.41 0.33 0.16 0.21 0.17 0.29 0.10 0.14 0.12 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.00 0.004
Margin Stability 0.78 0.76 0.73 0.75 0.77 0.78 0.76 0.79 0.82 0.82 0.76 0.73 0.77 0.79 0.79 0.80 0.86 0.85 0.76 0.77 0.774
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.91 0.50 0.91 0.50 0.50 0.98 0.50 0.86 0.82 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness 0.74 0.15 0.76 0.27 0.57 0.94 0.23 0.70 0.64 0.91 0.91 0.90 0.899
ROE Trend -0.03 0.02 -0.04 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.05 0.05 0.05 -0.12 -0.12 -0.18 -0.17 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.07 0.08 0.10 0.096
Gross Margin Trend -0.17 -0.13 -0.10 -0.04 0.02 0.09 0.17 0.18 0.12 0.06 -0.02 -0.10 -0.10 -0.10 -0.10 -0.07 -0.05 -0.08 -0.11 -0.03 -0.025
FCF Margin Trend -0.05 0.05 -0.02 -0.02 -0.10 -0.13 -0.05 0.01 0.05 0.07 0.06 0.03 0.02 -0.02 0.00 0.02 0.04 0.07 0.01 0.02 0.019
Sustainable Growth Rate -2.3% 1.3% -2.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.8% 3.0% 4.2% 4.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.7% 1.0% 1.0% 3.5% 3.51%
Internal Growth Rate 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.3% 1.2% 1.6% 1.6% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 1.2% 1.19%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 2.91 2.00 3.26 1.84 1.89 1.74 1.54 1.41 1.41 -5.09 -3.76 -2.41 -2.61 2.16 2.38 2.35 2.26 2.34 2.20 2.30 2.301
FCF/OCF 0.84 0.89 0.85 0.83 0.77 0.76 0.82 0.86 0.91 0.93 0.93 0.87 0.80 0.75 0.77 0.82 0.89 0.89 0.84 0.81 0.815
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 1.874
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.870
CapEx/Revenue 6.2% 5.1% 5.7% 6.6% 7.9% 7.8% 6.4% 5.4% 3.3% 3.1% 3.0% 5.4% 8.4% 9.9% 10.1% 7.9% 5.0% 5.3% 7.1% 8.6% 8.58%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.403
Accruals Ratio -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.03 -0.03 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.08 -0.08 -0.10 -0.10 -0.04 -0.05 -0.04 -0.04 -0.05 -0.04 -0.05 -0.045
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.039
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 2.114
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 4.7% 4.9% 4.6% 4.5% 4.9% 5.4% 4.8% 5.2% 5.2% 5.1% 4.8% 5.0% 4.8% 4.0% 3.9% 4.4% 4.3% 4.1% 4.3% 3.0% 3.84%
Dividend/Share $1.10 $1.10 $1.10 $1.10 $1.10 $1.10 $1.10 $1.10 $1.11 $1.12 $1.13 $1.14 $1.15 $1.16 $1.16 $1.18 $1.19 $1.20 $1.20 $0.91 $1.24
Payout Ratio 1.4% 85.5% 1.6% 86.7% 93.3% 90.7% 71.5% 64.3% 65.5% 95.1% 94.9% 94.3% 93.0% 90.3% 89.7% 66.2% 66.17%
FCF Payout Ratio 58.7% 48.2% 57.9% 57.0% 63.7% 68.6% 56.5% 52.9% 50.9% 47.1% 49.7% 51.4% 54.3% 58.8% 51.7% 48.8% 46.5% 43.5% 48.7% 35.3% 35.30%
Total Payout Ratio 1.5% 90.4% 1.6% 88.4% 95.2% 92.5% 71.5% 64.3% 65.5% 95.1% 94.9% 94.3% 93.0% 90.3% 89.7% 66.2% 66.17%
Div. Increase Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0
Chowder Number 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 -0.19 -0.194
Buyback Yield 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Shareholder Return 5.0% 5.1% 4.7% 4.6% 4.9% 5.5% 4.8% 5.2% 5.2% 5.1% 4.8% 5.0% 4.8% 4.0% 3.9% 4.4% 4.3% 4.1% 4.3% 3.0% 2.97%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.96 0.97 1.00 1.24 1.26 1.25 1.16 0.97 0.97 1.00 1.00 0.99 0.99 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.95 0.93 0.93 0.933
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.58 0.70 0.55 0.66 0.66 0.67 0.82 1.08 1.07 0.85 1.19 2.12 2.37 0.68 0.68 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.68 0.676
EBIT Margin 0.24 0.33 0.22 0.25 0.22 0.22 0.25 0.26 0.26 -0.10 -0.09 -0.08 -0.07 0.28 0.28 0.29 0.30 0.31 0.32 0.32 0.319
Asset Turnover 0.16 0.16 0.15 0.16 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.17 0.17 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.17 0.17 0.173
Equity Multiplier 2.37 2.37 2.54 2.54 2.54 2.54 2.58 2.58 2.58 2.58 2.69 2.69 2.69 2.69 2.86 2.86 2.86 2.86 2.98 2.98 2.978
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $0.76 $1.28 $0.68 $1.27 $1.18 $1.21 $1.54 $1.71 $1.69 $-0.50 $-0.65 $-1.06 $-1.02 $1.22 $1.22 $1.25 $1.28 $1.32 $1.34 $1.37 $1.37
Book Value/Share $14.78 $14.77 $14.42 $14.41 $14.41 $14.41 $14.93 $14.93 $14.93 $14.99 $13.17 $13.16 $13.16 $13.13 $13.13 $13.21 $13.19 $13.19 $13.34 $13.34 $14.12
Tangible Book/Share $14.61 $14.59 $14.29 $14.28 $14.28 $14.28 $14.84 $14.84 $14.84 $14.90 $13.11 $13.10 $13.10 $13.07 $13.04 $13.12 $13.10 $13.10 $13.16 $13.16 $13.16
Revenue/Share $5.61 $5.71 $5.71 $6.08 $6.33 $6.47 $6.58 $6.32 $6.17 $6.07 $6.08 $6.30 $6.46 $6.63 $6.62 $6.62 $6.63 $6.63 $6.73 $6.84 $6.89
FCF/Share $1.87 $2.28 $1.90 $1.92 $1.72 $1.60 $1.94 $2.08 $2.18 $2.38 $2.27 $2.22 $2.12 $1.96 $2.24 $2.41 $2.55 $2.75 $2.47 $2.58 $2.60
OCF/Share $2.22 $2.57 $2.22 $2.32 $2.22 $2.10 $2.36 $2.41 $2.38 $2.57 $2.45 $2.56 $2.66 $2.62 $2.91 $2.94 $2.88 $3.11 $2.95 $3.16 $3.19
Cash/Share $0.16 $0.16 $0.12 $0.12 $0.12 $0.12 $0.11 $0.11 $0.11 $0.11 $1.49 $1.49 $1.49 $1.49 $0.34 $0.34 $0.34 $0.34 $2.42 $2.42 $0.25
EBITDA/Share $2.70 $3.23 $2.57 $2.84 $2.70 $2.72 $2.90 $2.94 $2.95 $0.75 $0.78 $0.83 $0.92 $3.20 $3.24 $3.30 $3.36 $3.48 $3.57 $3.63 $3.63
Debt/Share $18.92 $18.91 $20.46 $20.44 $20.43 $20.44 $20.07 $20.07 $20.06 $20.15 $21.75 $21.73 $21.72 $21.68 $21.46 $21.60 $21.57 $21.57 $24.77 $24.77 $24.77
Net Debt/Share $18.76 $18.75 $20.34 $20.33 $20.32 $20.32 $19.96 $19.96 $19.95 $20.04 $20.26 $20.24 $20.24 $20.20 $21.13 $21.26 $21.23 $21.23 $22.35 $22.35 $22.35
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman Z-Score 1.115
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 2.110
Piotroski F-Score 6 8 5 7 7 6 6 6 4 3 4 3 5 7 7 7 7 5 7 7 7
Beneish M-Score -2.66 -2.67 8.77 8.71 8.68 8.65 -2.73 -2.60 -2.27 -2.56 -2.47 -2.45 -2.88 -2.57 -2.73 -2.76 -2.61 -2.00 -2.21 -3.40 -3.399
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -6.820
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 6.09%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-22.92
EVA snapshot only $-172489874.61
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BB+
Credit Score 42.04 52.72 33.06 34.88 33.07 35.57 40.19 37.37 35.99 21.98 26.49 28.42 26.02 43.48 40.78 41.01 40.22 41.99 45.11 48.36 48.355
Credit Grade snapshot only 11
Credit Trend snapshot only 7.345
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 400.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 69
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 55

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