Also trades as: CEGS.TO (TSX) · $vol 1M
CEG NASDAQ
Constellation Energy Corporation
1W: -4.1%
1M: -4.1%
3M: -2.8%
YTD: -31.1%
1Y: -30.9%
3Y: +124.2%
$258.98
+6.50 (+2.57%)
Weekly Expected Move ±9.4%
$206
$230
$253
$277
$301
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 57% of companies Debt: 21.6% of company value Bonds: $397.7M held by 486 funds, 74 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $7.87 (down 97%), Constellation Energy Corporation would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $24.70B against a stock market value of $89.46B.
Distance to default 4.49 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $15.14B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 48.7%; Altman Z'' 1.52. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $7.87 (down 97%), Constellation Energy Corporation would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $24.70B against a stock market value of $89.46B.
Distance to default 4.49 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $15.14B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 48.7%; Altman Z'' 1.52. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Supply Chain
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+89.3% YTD avg
Midterm Year
☀️
Sunny
+128.2% YTD avg
2026 Now
⛈️
Stormy
Below typical
20yr Avg YTD
+89.3%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
+128.2%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
-29.3%
Below 20yr avg
Typical Vol
46%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
💨
+12.2%
Midterm
☀️
+12.4%
60% win
75% vol
Feb
20yr
💨
+14.2%
Midterm
☀️
+21.8%
40% win
57% vol
Mar
20yr
🌫️
+24.4%
Midterm
☀️
+51.2%
60% win
45% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
+25.0%
Midterm
☀️
+42.0%
80% win
53% vol
May
20yr
💨
+43.5%
Midterm
☀️
+39.5%
80% win
46% vol
Jun
20yr
⛈️
+38.0%
Midterm
☀️
+31.7%
40% win
42% vol
Jul
20yr
💨
+55.2%
Midterm
☀️
+91.2%
80% win
48% vol
Aug
20yr
💨
+57.8%
Midterm
☀️
+105.2%
80% win
36% vol
Sep
20yr
💨
+77.1%
Midterm
☀️
+104.3%
80% win
51% vol
Oct
20yr
💨
+87.8%
Midterm
☀️
+124.6%
100% win
46% vol
Now:
+1.9%
Nov
20yr
💨
+84.3%
Midterm
☀️
+115.5%
50% win
49% vol
Dec
20yr
🌧️
-7.4%
Midterm
🌧️
-10.3%
0% win
34% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: -29.3%