CENX NASDAQ
Century Aluminum Company
1W: -7.5%
1M: -17.2%
3M: -27.7%
YTD: -22.3%
1Y: +6.2%
3Y: +418.8%
5Y: +82.7%
$33.36
+1.56 (+4.91%)
After Hours: $33.68 (+0.32, +0.96%)
Weekly Expected Move ±6.1%
$28
$30
$31
$33
$35
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 59% of companies Debt: 13.2% of company value Bonds: $52.4M held by 76 funds, 203 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $0.60 (down 98%), Century Aluminum Company would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $480.0M against a stock market value of $3.15B.
Distance to default 4.30 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $240.0M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 62.7%; Altman Z 2.92. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $0.60 (down 98%), Century Aluminum Company would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $480.0M against a stock market value of $3.15B.
Distance to default 4.30 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $240.0M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 62.7%; Altman Z 2.92. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Weather
Peers
ESG
Institutions
ETF Exposure
Dark Pool
Short Interest
Supply Chain
Oct Typical
⛅
Partly Cloudy
+4.6% YTD avg
Midterm Year
☀️
Sunny
+13.0% YTD avg
2026 Now
⛈️
Stormy
Below typical
20yr Avg YTD
+4.6%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
+13.0%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
-18.5%
Below 20yr avg
Typical Vol
84%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
💨
+2.8%
Midterm
⛅
+2.4%
50% win
80% vol
Feb
20yr
💨
+13.0%
Midterm
☀️
+17.4%
55% win
76% vol
Mar
20yr
💨
+9.6%
Midterm
☀️
+21.1%
50% win
87% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
+11.5%
Midterm
☀️
+14.4%
65% win
75% vol
May
20yr
⛈️
+5.1%
Midterm
☁️
-0.0%
45% win
74% vol
Jun
20yr
⛈️
+2.6%
Midterm
⛈️
-9.8%
40% win
65% vol
Jul
20yr
💨
+3.1%
Midterm
⛈️
-7.1%
55% win
63% vol
Aug
20yr
⛈️
+4.4%
Midterm
☀️
+6.2%
35% win
78% vol
Sep
20yr
⛈️
+3.3%
Midterm
☀️
+7.1%
50% win
68% vol
Oct
20yr
⛈️
+3.1%
Midterm
☀️
+11.2%
43% win
84% vol
Now:
-7.3%
Nov
20yr
💨
+11.6%
Midterm
☀️
+18.8%
75% win
87% vol
Dec
20yr
💨
+12.1%
Midterm
⛈️
-4.6%
65% win
66% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: -18.5%