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CERT NASDAQ

Certara, Inc.
1W: +12.3% 1M: +16.5% 3M: +34.1% YTD: +21.4% 1Y: -15.1% 3Y: -22.8% 5Y: -71.0%
$10.95
+0.34 (+3.20%)
After Hours: $10.72 (-0.23, -2.10%)
Weekly Expected Move ±8.1%
$9 $9 $10 $11 $12
NASDAQ · Healthcare · Medical - Healthcare Information Services · Tech Score Strong Buy · Power 70 · $1.6B mcap · 112M float · 3.00% daily turnover · Short 46% of daily vol
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 60% of companies Debt: 15.3% of company value Bonds: none of note held by US funds details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $0.23 (down 98%), Certara, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $291.8M against a stock market value of $1.62B.
Distance to default 4.21 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $147.4M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 61.0%; Altman Z'' 2.93. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
43.9 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Intangible Assets  ·  ROIC: 0.6%  ·  5Y Avg: -1.0%
Cost Advantage
47
Intangibles
52
Switching Cost
42
Network Effect
33
Scale
40
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. CERT shows a Weak competitive edge (43.9/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Intangible Assets. ROIC of 0.6% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$8
Low
$9
Avg Target
$10
High
Based on 2 analysts since Aug 4, 2026 earnings
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 8Hold: 9Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$8.75
Analysts2
Consensus Change History
DateFieldFromTo
2026-10-01 consensus Buy Hold
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-09-30 UBS — $16 $10 -6 +8.0% $9.26
2026-08-05 Barclays — $16 $8 -8 -3.8% $7.80
2026-05-12 Craig-Hallum — $16 $8 -8 +59.0% $5.03
2026-02-26 Leerink Partners Michael Cherny $13 $10 -3 +51.4% $6.61
2026-01-06 Leerink Partners Certara to Outperform Initiated $13 — +43.8% $9.04
2025-11-21 Redburn Partners — Initiated $10 — +24.5% $8.03
2025-09-29 Craig-Hallum — Initiated $16 — +35.6% $11.80
2024-11-05 Robert W. Baird Joe Vruwink Initiated $13 — +26.1% $10.31
2024-09-27 UBS Dan Leonard Initiated $16 — +49.5% $10.70
2024-06-28 Barclays Luke Sergott Initiated $16 — +17.2% $13.65
2024-04-09 KeyBanc Scott Schoenhaus Initiated $23 — +24.3% $18.51
2022-11-14 Credit Suisse — Initiated $20 — +36.5% $14.65
2022-07-01 Piper Sandler Jeff Garro Initiated $28 — +30.5% $21.46

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

C+
Oct 27, 2026
DCF
4
ROE
1
ROA
1
D/E
2
P/E
1
P/B
4
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. CERT receives an overall rating of C+. Strongest factors: DCF (4/5), P/B (4/5). Areas of concern: ROE (1/5), ROA (1/5), D/E (2/5), P/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-08-05 B- C+
2026-08-04 C+ B-
2026-06-15 B- C+
2026-05-22 B B-
2026-05-18 B- B
2026-05-15 B B-
2026-05-14 B- B
2026-04-24 C+ B-
2026-04-01 B- C+
2026-02-26 B B-

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 24 Grade D
Profitability
19
Balance Sheet
64
Earnings Quality
37
Growth
33
Value
49
Momentum
35
Safety
30
Cash Flow
43
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. CERT scores highest in Balance Sheet (64/100) and lowest in Profitability (19/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
1.74
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
6/9
✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-3.02
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-7.90
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BB+
Score: 45.3/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
—
OCF/NI: -1.21x
Accruals: -10.3%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. CERT scores 1.74, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. CERT scores 6/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. CERT's score of -3.02 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. CERT's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. CERT receives an estimated rating of BB+ (score: 45.3/100), with a deteriorating trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-24.53x
PEG
0.05x
P/S
4.06x
P/B
1.74x
P/FCF
14.82x
P/OCF
12.20x
EV/EBITDA
13.43x
EV/Revenue
2.74x
EV/EBIT
35.16x
EV/FCF
16.40x
Earnings Yield
-6.77%
FCF Yield
6.75%
Shareholder Yield
7.42%
Graham Number
—
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. CERT currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
3.907
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
-0.550
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.078
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.278
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.445
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-6.7%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. CERT's ROE of -6.7% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.278), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 3.91 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
—
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1475 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$10.95
Median 1Y
$7.54
5th Pctile
$3.02
95th Pctile
$19.02
Ann. Volatility
56.7%
Analyst Target
$8.75
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical Analyst target

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
William F. Feehery
Former Chief Executive Officer
$795,675 $4,927,502 $6,491,387
John E. Gallagher
III Senior Vice President and CFO
$606,315 $1,799,603 $2,723,851
Robert A. Aspbury
President, Certara Predictive Technologies
$457,666 $1,199,743 $2,025,868
Leif E. Pedersen
President, Chief Commercial Officer
$458,350 $1,199,743 $1,889,825
Adrian K. McKemey
President, Certara Drug Development Solutions
$366,667 $856,958 $1,855,823

CEO Pay Ratio

71:1
CEO-to-Employee Pay Ratio
CEO Total Comp: $6,491,387
Avg Employee Cost (SGA/emp): $91,815
Employees: 1,515

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
1,515
+1.9% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$276,461
Rev: $418,838,000
Profit / Employee
$-1,053
NI: $-1,595,000
SGA / Employee
$91,815
Avg labor cost proxy
R&D / Employee
$27,089
Innovation spend

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE -6.0% -1.4% -1.3% -1.0% -0.4% 1.4% 1.3% 1.8% -3.2% -5.2% -5.7% -7.4% -3.0% -1.1% -0.2% 0.8% 1.0% -0.2% -1.4% -6.7% -6.72%
ROA -4.1% -1.0% -0.9% -0.7% -0.3% 1.0% 0.9% 1.2% -2.2% -3.5% -3.9% -5.1% -2.0% -0.8% -0.2% 0.5% 0.7% -0.1% -1.0% -4.6% -4.65%
ROIC -4.0% 0.9% 0.9% -3.7% -0.6% 2.2% 2.3% 3.1% -1.5% -2.9% -3.5% -5.0% -1.1% -0.1% 0.5% 1.5% 1.9% -0.5% 1.2% 0.6% 0.56%
ROCE -3.3% 0.9% 1.0% 1.2% 2.1% 2.5% 2.5% 3.1% -1.2% -2.2% -2.8% -4.3% -1.4% -0.4% 0.2% 1.5% 2.3% 4.0% 3.3% 2.5% 2.49%
Gross Margin 61.1% 61.1% 59.8% 57.5% 61.3% 63.3% 61.4% 60.0% 58.1% 61.3% 59.4% 57.3% 60.8% 61.9% 60.8% 61.1% 62.0% 62.2% 47.4% 62.3% 62.34%
Operating Margin -1.0% 4.6% 7.5% 5.0% 12.8% 13.1% 8.2% 14.4% -61.7% -9.6% -1.3% -9.7% 2.7% 6.0% 7.2% 9.1% 2.9% 0.8% 3.7% -0.2% -0.21%
Net Margin -2.4% -12.9% 2.7% -0.7% 4.6% 10.6% 1.5% 5.2% -57.2% -14.2% -4.8% -13.5% -1.4% 6.6% 4.5% -1.9% 1.5% -5.7% -8.2% -59.3% -59.26%
EBITDA Margin 14.4% 21.4% 24.4% 23.9% 31.9% 25.8% 23.8% 30.5% -39.2% 9.5% 17.3% 10.6% -6.8% 25.3% 26.4% 28.6% 22.3% 30.8% 15.0% 12.7% 12.74%
FCF Margin 16.9% 19.6% 20.5% 22.4% 22.7% 25.4% 24.1% 22.2% 25.1% 22.2% 20.8% 18.3% 14.0% 19.1% 20.6% 22.1% 25.3% 19.9% 18.3% 16.7% 16.70%
OCF Margin 19.0% 21.1% 21.7% 23.6% 24.0% 27.6% 26.9% 24.9% 26.9% 23.4% 21.4% 18.9% 14.6% 20.9% 23.7% 25.0% 28.1% 23.0% 21.6% 20.3% 20.29%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only -4.62%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only -2.61%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -3.16%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only -1.43%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 0.48%
Cash ROA snapshot only 5.92%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 7.71%
CROIC snapshot only 6.35%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 1.47%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -4.29%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 10.66%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 38.00%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 7.63%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio -85.02 -333.40 -282.36 -341.26 -511.67 173.72 277.47 151.87 -68.62 -50.66 -46.46 -28.25 -60.52 -142.52 -608.52 235.90 180.43 -885.94 -59.55 -14.78 -24.531
P/S Ratio 17.91 15.46 11.36 10.71 6.53 7.62 11.18 8.27 6.56 7.91 7.91 6.11 5.05 4.46 4.05 4.64 4.72 3.37 2.14 2.48 4.062
P/B Ratio 5.08 4.25 3.26 3.20 2.01 2.37 3.55 2.65 2.20 2.68 2.71 2.13 1.79 1.62 1.47 1.76 1.84 1.33 0.88 1.05 1.737
P/FCF 106.00 79.07 55.40 47.78 28.81 30.04 46.33 37.33 26.17 35.70 38.02 33.37 35.94 23.39 19.64 20.96 18.67 16.95 11.72 14.82 14.822
P/OCF 94.42 73.24 52.39 45.44 27.21 27.65 41.54 33.28 24.38 33.89 37.00 32.29 34.56 21.34 17.08 18.54 16.79 14.67 9.92 12.20 12.201
EV/EBITDA -5498.50 77.60 56.90 52.21 26.74 29.56 43.21 30.22 61.98 120.45 153.23 1597.11 68.43 40.54 30.30 26.40 19.63 10.92 10.37 13.43 13.433
EV/Revenue 17.47 15.89 11.77 11.07 6.83 7.84 11.36 8.44 6.64 8.11 8.12 6.34 5.24 4.80 4.37 5.00 5.04 2.95 2.50 2.74 2.739
EV/EBIT -109.07 337.65 237.34 208.16 72.62 72.01 104.37 66.22 -141.77 -89.12 -73.52 -38.06 -99.04 -306.42 575.65 97.81 64.72 21.82 23.73 35.16 35.159
EV/FCF 103.40 81.26 57.41 49.37 30.10 30.88 47.09 38.10 26.52 36.56 39.06 34.62 37.35 25.20 21.19 22.58 19.91 14.82 13.69 16.40 16.401
Earnings Yield -1.2% -0.3% -0.4% -0.3% -0.2% 0.6% 0.4% 0.7% -1.5% -2.0% -2.2% -3.5% -1.7% -0.7% -0.2% 0.4% 0.6% -0.1% -1.7% -6.8% -6.77%
FCF Yield 0.9% 1.3% 1.8% 2.1% 3.5% 3.3% 2.2% 2.7% 3.8% 2.8% 2.6% 3.0% 2.8% 4.3% 5.1% 4.8% 5.4% 5.9% 8.5% 6.7% 6.75%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.050
EV/OCF snapshot only 13.501
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 4.696
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 147.299
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 7.42%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 7.25 2.98 3.37 3.51 3.99 3.32 3.71 3.43 3.51 2.62 3.26 2.61 2.86 2.13 2.78 2.16 2.09 2.05 1.88 2.55 2.551
Quick Ratio 7.25 2.98 3.37 3.51 3.99 3.32 3.71 3.43 3.51 2.62 3.26 2.61 2.86 2.13 2.78 2.16 2.09 2.05 1.88 2.55 2.551
Debt/Equity 0.30 0.30 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.28 0.28 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.30 0.29 0.29 0.28 0.29 0.28 0.01 0.30 0.30 0.302
Net Debt/Equity -0.12 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.09 0.07 0.06 0.05 0.03 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.07 0.13 0.12 0.14 0.12 -0.17 0.15 0.11 0.111
Debt/Assets 0.21 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.19 0.20 0.19 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.01 0.20 0.21 0.208
Debt/EBITDA -337.82 5.26 4.96 4.62 3.69 3.46 3.39 3.10 8.02 12.69 15.82 213.18 10.73 6.83 5.36 4.01 2.84 0.10 2.96 3.50 3.504
Net Debt/EBITDA 138.58 2.09 2.00 1.69 1.15 0.80 0.69 0.61 0.82 2.84 4.06 57.64 2.57 2.91 2.21 1.90 1.22 -1.57 1.49 1.29 1.293
Interest Coverage -2.32 0.80 0.93 1.22 1.95 2.06 1.87 2.06 -0.74 -1.41 -1.72 -2.62 -0.88 -0.28 0.15 1.05 1.65 1.16 0.90 0.81 0.809
Equity Multiplier 1.46 1.45 1.44 1.43 1.43 1.46 1.44 1.43 1.45 1.49 1.46 1.48 1.46 1.49 1.44 1.44 1.44 1.46 1.48 1.45 1.448
Cash Ratio snapshot only 1.504
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 2.118
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.631
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.234
Defensive Interval snapshot only 471.7 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.19 0.21 0.22 0.23 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.24 0.25 0.25 0.26 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.28 0.278
Inventory Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Receivables Turnover 4.38 5.02 4.73 4.81 4.71 5.13 4.44 4.46 4.66 4.56 4.74 4.63 4.78 4.45 5.42 4.76 5.38 4.36 5.36 4.63 4.631
Payables Turnover 10.41 16.12 18.43 23.36 18.24 17.69 25.45 30.04 33.60 22.20 36.09 34.69 38.79 35.63 35.63 30.68 53.85 46.51 40.14 41.51 41.515
DSO 83 73 77 76 77 71 82 82 78 80 77 79 76 82 67 77 68 84 68 79 78.8 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 35 23 20 16 20 21 14 12 11 16 10 11 9 10 10 12 7 8 9 9 8.8 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 48 50 57 60 57 51 68 70 67 64 67 68 67 72 57 65 61 76 59 70 70.0 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 38.442
Cash Velocity snapshot only 2.218
Capital Intensity snapshot only 3.427
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue — 3.4% 1.3% 55.7% 17.8% 17.3% 14.4% 12.3% 8.8% 5.6% 4.7% 3.3% 5.6% 8.7% 9.4% 11.6% 11.5% 8.7% 6.4% 0.7% 0.66%
Net Income — 75.6% 77.3% 82.5% 92.9% 2.1% 2.1% 2.9% -7.1% -4.8% -5.4% -5.1% 7.8% 78.2% 95.7% 1.1% 1.3% 86.8% -4.8% -9.6% -9.57%
EPS — 78.7% 78.3% 83.5% 93.3% 2.1% 2.1% 2.9% -7.2% -4.8% -5.4% -5.1% 8.7% 78.5% 95.8% 1.1% 1.4% 86.7% -4.9% -9.9% -9.93%
FCF — 4.0% 3.2% 1.4% 58.1% 52.3% 34.7% 11.0% 20.2% -7.8% -9.7% -14.6% -40.8% -6.5% 8.4% 34.9% 1.0% 13.5% -5.7% -24.1% -24.08%
EBITDA — 2.4% 3.3% 6.8% 95.6% 51.9% 45.4% 47.9% -54.3% -73.2% -78.9% -98.5% -24.5% 91.4% 2.0% 52.2% 2.7% 1.5% 78.1% 8.4% 8.41%
Op. Income — 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.6% 1.4% 1.4% 2.3% -1.9% -2.3% -2.5% -2.7% 22.6% 95.8% 1.1% 1.4% 2.6% 13.1% 1.4% -70.5% -70.53%
OCF Growth snapshot only -18.40%
Asset Growth snapshot only -9.31%
Equity Growth snapshot only -9.72%
Debt Growth snapshot only -5.20%
Shares Change snapshot only -4.08%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 3Y — — — — — — — — — 76.3% 40.0% 21.7% 10.6% 10.4% 9.4% 9.0% 8.6% 7.7% 6.8% 5.1% 5.07%
Revenue 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 45.3% 26.2% 15.2% 15.18%
EPS 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EPS 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EBITDA 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — -8.0% -3.0% 4.9% 8.8% 8.3% 3.8% -5.4% -5.39%
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Gross Profit 3Y — — — — — — — — — 92.9% 45.1% 23.8% 12.0% 9.7% 9.2% 9.8% 9.5% 8.3% 5.2% 3.3% 3.26%
Gross Profit 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 54.0% 28.2% 16.1% 16.09%
Op. Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -20.1% 25.7% 2.1% -13.5% -20.0% -43.8% -43.77%
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — 91.0% 71.8% 31.7% 4.0% 9.5% 9.6% 8.5% 12.6% -0.7% -2.6% -4.4% -4.37%
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 49.2% 39.0% 18.5% 18.55%
OCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — 86.9% 63.6% 28.8% 1.4% 10.0% 12.7% 11.2% 14.5% 1.3% -0.7% -1.8% -1.80%
OCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 50.0% 38.8% 20.8% 20.78%
Assets 3Y — — — — — — — — — 7.2% 6.9% 6.8% 2.9% 1.4% 1.2% 0.9% 0.6% -0.3% -1.4% -3.8% -3.80%
Assets 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 4.2% 3.5% 2.0% 2.04%
Equity 3Y — — — — — — — — — 8.4% 8.4% 7.7% 2.7% 0.5% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% -0.5% -2.1% -4.1% -4.14%
Book Value 3Y — — — — — — — — — 2.7% 6.7% 4.7% 0.2% -0.7% 0.7% -0.2% 0.1% -0.8% -1.7% -3.0% -3.00%
Dividend 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability — — — — — 0.88 0.90 0.93 0.98 0.79 0.81 0.84 0.96 0.97 0.97 0.96 0.98 0.85 0.87 0.88 0.883
Earnings Stability — — — — — 0.99 0.98 0.98 0.20 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.09 0.05 0.06 0.05 0.42 0.14 0.07 0.02 0.018
Margin Stability — — — — — 0.85 0.93 0.95 0.97 0.87 0.94 0.96 0.98 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.99 0.89 0.95 0.96 0.963
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence — — — — — 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.97 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.200
Earnings Smoothness — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
ROE Trend — — — — — 0.05 0.05 0.06 -0.00 -0.05 -0.06 -0.08 -0.01 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.02 -0.04 -0.037
Gross Margin Trend — — — — — 0.07 0.04 0.04 0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.01 -0.00 -0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.017
FCF Margin Trend — — — — — 0.07 0.08 0.04 0.05 -0.00 -0.02 -0.04 -0.10 -0.05 -0.02 0.02 0.06 -0.01 -0.02 -0.04 -0.035
Sustainable Growth Rate — — — — — 1.4% 1.3% 1.8% — — — — — — — 0.8% 1.0% — — — —
Internal Growth Rate — — — — — 1.0% 0.9% 1.3% — — — — — — — 0.5% 0.7% — — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income -0.90 -4.55 -5.39 -7.51 -18.80 6.28 6.68 4.56 -2.81 -1.49 -1.26 -0.88 -1.75 -6.68 -35.63 12.72 10.75 -60.39 -6.00 -1.21 -1.211
FCF/OCF 0.89 0.93 0.95 0.95 0.94 0.92 0.90 0.89 0.93 0.95 0.97 0.97 0.96 0.91 0.87 0.88 0.90 0.87 0.85 0.82 0.823
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -0.997
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.995
CapEx/Revenue 2.1% 1.6% 1.2% 1.2% 1.3% 2.2% 2.8% 2.7% 1.8% 1.2% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 1.8% 3.1% 2.9% 2.8% 3.1% 3.3% 3.6% 3.59%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.285
Accruals Ratio -0.08 -0.05 -0.06 -0.06 -0.06 -0.05 -0.05 -0.04 -0.08 -0.09 -0.09 -0.09 -0.06 -0.06 -0.06 -0.06 -0.07 -0.06 -0.07 -0.10 -0.103
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.009
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 5.655
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio — — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — — — — — — — 0.0% 0.0% — — — —
FCF Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Payout Ratio — — — — — 15.7% 16.3% 29.5% — — — — — — — 3.1% 3.6% — — — —
Div. Increase Streak — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 1.3% 2.0% 3.0% 9.2% 7.4% 7.42%
Net Buyback Yield -6.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 1.3% 2.0% 3.0% 9.2% 7.4% 7.42%
Total Shareholder Return -6.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 1.3% 2.0% 3.0% 9.2% 7.4% 7.42%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.92 3.93 10.02 -3.29 -0.28 0.79 0.79 0.83 0.86 1.00 0.97 0.94 0.98 0.70 0.36 0.71 0.86 -0.21 3.10 3.91 3.907
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.43 -0.25 -0.08 0.18 0.49 0.51 0.47 0.51 2.36 1.71 1.58 1.38 1.61 2.85 -2.41 0.55 0.39 0.13 -0.11 -0.55 -0.550
EBIT Margin -0.16 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.09 0.11 0.11 0.13 -0.05 -0.09 -0.11 -0.17 -0.05 -0.02 0.01 0.05 0.08 0.14 0.11 0.08 0.078
Asset Turnover 0.19 0.21 0.22 0.23 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.24 0.25 0.25 0.26 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.28 0.278
Equity Multiplier 1.46 1.49 1.48 1.47 1.44 1.45 1.44 1.43 1.44 1.47 1.45 1.45 1.46 1.49 1.45 1.46 1.45 1.48 1.46 1.44 1.445
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-0.39 $-0.09 $-0.08 $-0.06 $-0.03 $0.09 $0.09 $0.12 $-0.21 $-0.35 $-0.38 $-0.49 $-0.19 $-0.07 $-0.02 $0.05 $0.07 $-0.01 $-0.10 $-0.44 $-0.44
Book Value/Share $6.52 $6.69 $6.59 $6.70 $6.61 $6.78 $6.79 $6.86 $6.61 $6.57 $6.61 $6.50 $6.56 $6.56 $6.72 $6.65 $6.63 $6.63 $6.45 $6.26 $6.26
Tangible Book/Share $0.47 $-1.11 $-1.01 $-0.93 $-0.78 $-0.78 $-0.69 $-0.62 $-0.53 $-0.98 $-0.85 $-0.84 $-0.74 $-1.14 $-0.96 $-1.06 $-1.04 $-0.99 $-1.19 $-0.63 $-0.63
Revenue/Share $1.85 $1.84 $1.89 $2.00 $2.03 $2.11 $2.16 $2.20 $2.22 $2.22 $2.26 $2.27 $2.32 $2.39 $2.44 $2.52 $2.59 $2.61 $2.66 $2.65 $2.65
FCF/Share $0.31 $0.36 $0.39 $0.45 $0.46 $0.53 $0.52 $0.49 $0.56 $0.49 $0.47 $0.42 $0.33 $0.46 $0.50 $0.56 $0.65 $0.52 $0.49 $0.44 $0.40
OCF/Share $0.35 $0.39 $0.41 $0.47 $0.49 $0.58 $0.58 $0.55 $0.60 $0.52 $0.48 $0.43 $0.34 $0.50 $0.58 $0.63 $0.73 $0.60 $0.57 $0.54 $0.54
Cash/Share $2.80 $1.19 $1.16 $1.24 $1.32 $1.49 $1.53 $1.53 $1.71 $1.47 $1.41 $1.40 $1.45 $1.11 $1.11 $1.01 $1.08 $1.18 $0.95 $1.19 $1.19
EBITDA/Share $-0.01 $0.38 $0.39 $0.42 $0.52 $0.56 $0.57 $0.61 $0.24 $0.15 $0.12 $0.01 $0.18 $0.28 $0.35 $0.48 $0.66 $0.71 $0.64 $0.54 $0.54
Debt/Share $1.98 $1.98 $1.94 $1.96 $1.91 $1.94 $1.92 $1.91 $1.91 $1.90 $1.90 $1.92 $1.91 $1.93 $1.89 $1.91 $1.88 $0.07 $1.90 $1.89 $1.89
Net Debt/Share $-0.81 $0.79 $0.78 $0.72 $0.59 $0.45 $0.39 $0.37 $0.20 $0.42 $0.49 $0.52 $0.46 $0.82 $0.78 $0.90 $0.81 $-1.11 $0.96 $0.70 $0.70
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.736
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 3.041
Piotroski F-Score 3 6 5 5 6 8 8 7 5 4 4 3 6 5 6 7 8 7 4 6 6
Beneish M-Score — -2.45 -2.22 -2.29 -2.33 -2.60 -2.66 -2.56 -2.91 -2.93 -2.89 -2.95 -2.49 -2.46 -2.59 -2.64 -2.85 -2.91 -2.70 -3.02 -3.017
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -7.902
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-0.78
EVA snapshot only $-101421550.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BB+
Credit Score 66.92 60.70 63.47 68.89 68.02 74.06 73.93 76.72 55.93 55.25 58.14 49.88 48.93 45.56 48.27 55.43 60.82 60.22 44.08 45.30 45.302
Credit Grade snapshot only 11
Credit Trend snapshot only -10.127
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 400.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 40
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 38

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms