Also trades as: 0HQU.L (LSE) · $vol 0M
CF NYSE
CF Industries Holdings, Inc.
1W: +2.2%
1M: +4.3%
3M: -5.4%
YTD: +51.2%
1Y: +40.2%
3Y: +53.3%
5Y: +117.8%
$120.54
-0.30 (-0.25%)
Pre-Market: $121.22 (+0.68, +0.56%)
Weekly Expected Move ±3.1%
$113
$117
$121
$124
$128
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 61% of companies Debt: 16.5% of company value Bonds: $46.7M held by 157 funds, 96 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the safest four tenths, about 1 in 3,500 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $1.85 (down 98%), CF Industries Holdings, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $3.61B against a stock market value of $18.24B.
Distance to default 6.31 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $1.61B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 42.6%; Altman Z'' 4.77. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $1.85 (down 98%), CF Industries Holdings, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $3.61B against a stock market value of $18.24B.
Distance to default 6.31 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $1.61B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 42.6%; Altman Z'' 4.77. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Income Statement
Cash Flow
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Analysis
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Weather
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Institutions
ETF Exposure
Dark Pool
Short Interest
Supply Chain
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+20.9% YTD avg
Midterm Year
☀️
Sunny
+25.6% YTD avg
2026 Now
☀️
Sunny
Above typical
20yr Avg YTD
+20.9%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
+25.6%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
+51.2%
Above 20yr avg
Typical Vol
54%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
💨
+3.6%
Midterm
⛅
+3.5%
50% win
44% vol
Feb
20yr
💨
+7.5%
Midterm
☀️
+11.6%
70% win
42% vol
Mar
20yr
⛈️
+4.4%
Midterm
☀️
+11.7%
30% win
52% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
+6.1%
Midterm
☀️
+8.3%
60% win
39% vol
May
20yr
💨
+7.0%
Midterm
⛅
+4.3%
65% win
41% vol
Jun
20yr
💨
+9.6%
Midterm
☁️
-0.7%
45% win
41% vol
Jul
20yr
💨
+14.0%
Midterm
☀️
+9.2%
85% win
39% vol
Aug
20yr
💨
+17.5%
Midterm
☀️
+17.6%
60% win
44% vol
Sep
20yr
🌫️
+19.5%
Midterm
☀️
+20.9%
65% win
46% vol
Oct
20yr
💨
+21.9%
Midterm
☀️
+27.2%
43% win
54% vol
Now:
+4.6%
Nov
20yr
💨
+24.1%
Midterm
☀️
+30.8%
60% win
54% vol
Dec
20yr
💨
+3.4%
Midterm
⛅
+1.6%
70% win
40% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: +51.2%