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Not Investment Advice

CGIP OTC

Celadon Group, Inc.
1W: +0.0% 1M: +0.0% 3M: +100.0% YTD: +100.0% 1Y: +100.0% 3Y: -98.4% 5Y: -100.0%
$0.00
+0.00 (+0.00%)
 
OTC · Industrials · Trucking · Tech Score Neutral · Power 55 · $5660 mcap · 27M float · 0.0075% daily turnover

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 1Buy: 7Hold: 3Sell: 1Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$—
Analysts0

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 24 Grade C
Profitability
15
Balance Sheet
37
Earnings Quality
82
Growth
22
Value
41
Momentum
57
Safety
30
Cash Flow
35
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. CGIP scores highest in Earnings Quality (82/100) and lowest in Profitability (15/100). A grade of C represents mixed fundamentals — strengths in some areas offset by weaknesses.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
1.60
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
6/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-1.58
Possible Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-5.51
Bankruptcy prob: 0.4%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
B-
Score: 23.4/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 12.22x
Accruals: -2.6%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. CGIP scores 1.60, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. CGIP scores 6/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. CGIP's score of -1.58 exceeds the −1.78 red flag threshold — this does not confirm manipulation but indicates the earnings profile resembles past manipulators statistically. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. CGIP's implied 0.4% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. CGIP receives an estimated rating of B- (score: 23.4/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). CGIP's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
0.00x
PEG
-0.00x
P/S
0.00x
P/B
0.00x
P/FCF
-5.91x
P/OCF
6.47x
EV/EBITDA
6.41x
EV/Revenue
0.54x
EV/EBIT
35.74x
EV/FCF
-17.17x
Earnings Yield
1.27%
FCF Yield
-16.92%
Shareholder Yield
1.12%
Graham Number
$5.19
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 0.0x earnings, CGIP trades at a deep value multiple. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $5.19 per share, suggesting a potential 2596127% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.889
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.175
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.015
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.981
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.917
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
0.7%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. CGIP's ROE of 0.7% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.981), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$0.76
Price/Value
9.30x
Margin of Safety
-829.98%
Premium
829.98%
Assessment
Overvalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with CGIP's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. CGIP trades at a 830% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $0.76, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 0.0x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$0.00
Median 1Y
$0.00
5th Pctile
$0.00
95th Pctile
$0.00
Ann. Volatility
798.1%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
Paul Will,
CEO and Chairman
$544,036 $794,000 $1,353,408
William Meek,
President and COO
$373,403 $555,800 $942,618
Kenneth Buck, Jr.,
Executive Vice President of Business Development
$232,278 $99,250 $460,012
Jonathan Russell, Asset
dent of Asset Light Business Units
$335,000 $119,100 $456,621
Bobby Peavler, President,
Vice President, CFO, and Treasurer
$174,614 $119,100 $299,720

CEO Pay Ratio

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Current
ROE 12.4% 13.8% 14.9% 15.4% 14.2% 13.0% 11.6% 10.3% 9.8% 12.7% 12.9% 14.1% 15.9% 11.9% 12.8% 12.1% 10.8% 6.6% 2.9% 0.7% 0.67%
ROA 5.8% 6.4% 6.7% 7.0% 5.3% 4.7% 4.1% 3.6% 3.5% 4.6% 4.6% 4.4% 4.9% 4.0% 4.0% 3.8% 3.3% 2.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.23%
ROIC 5.8% 6.9% 6.7% 7.5% 6.5% 5.7% 5.1% 4.4% 4.6% 4.6% 4.4% 4.3% 4.8% 4.7% 4.9% 5.2% 4.8% 4.1% 2.4% 1.7% 1.67%
ROCE 11.4% 11.3% 10.9% 11.6% 10.0% 9.0% 8.0% 7.0% 7.4% 10.3% 9.5% 8.5% 9.3% 6.7% 7.1% 7.4% 6.8% 5.5% 3.4% 2.1% 2.08%
Gross Margin 42.3% 48.2% 48.2% 70.2% 70.8% 73.5% 72.5% 71.4% 68.3% 71.3% 73.5% 76.5% 78.7% 80.9% 83.0% 83.7% 84.5% 83.4% 82.9% 47.4% 47.40%
Operating Margin 6.9% 10.1% 9.9% 8.5% 5.4% 7.9% 6.6% 4.6% 3.5% 6.2% 7.0% 7.0% 6.6% 8.5% 8.0% 5.1% 4.4% 2.1% -0.5% -0.7% -0.65%
Net Margin 3.7% 5.7% 5.4% 5.0% 2.9% 4.5% 3.7% 2.6% 1.8% 7.9% 4.2% 3.8% 3.7% 4.8% 4.3% 2.4% 2.0% 0.6% -1.1% -0.6% -0.57%
EBITDA Margin 16.3% 19.5% 19.4% 17.9% 14.9% 17.5% 15.1% 12.9% 10.6% 13.0% 12.7% 13.2% 13.1% 13.3% 11.1% 10.1% 11.2% 9.4% 6.8% 6.4% 6.44%
FCF Margin 0.9% -3.1% -3.6% 0.1% -18.4% -13.5% -6.8% -7.0% -1.9% -1.6% -10.1% -6.8% -3.7% -8.2% -9.7% -6.6% -9.7% -8.7% -4.2% -3.2% -3.15%
OCF Margin 11.1% 13.0% 15.6% 16.1% 14.4% 14.1% 13.0% 11.2% 8.8% 9.3% 8.1% 6.9% 11.7% 4.9% 1.3% 4.4% -2.0% -0.5% 0.8% 2.9% 2.88%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 8.15%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 9.67%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 2.54%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 5.38%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 1.67%
Cash ROA snapshot only 3.09%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 4.09%
CROIC snapshot only -4.48%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 1.17%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 0.27%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 40.36%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.26%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Current
P/E Ratio 15.77 14.47 12.79 13.52 16.51 15.43 16.88 19.35 24.99 16.26 14.20 15.02 15.89 14.10 10.88 7.06 8.27 9.20 22.53 79.05 0.000
P/S Ratio 0.59 0.62 0.60 0.67 0.79 0.69 0.68 0.66 0.77 0.66 0.59 0.66 0.77 0.58 0.45 0.27 0.28 0.21 0.22 0.19 0.000
P/B Ratio 1.85 1.89 1.76 1.91 2.17 1.86 1.84 1.90 2.35 1.93 1.73 2.00 2.37 1.43 1.20 0.74 0.77 0.60 0.64 0.53 0.000
P/FCF 67.60 -20.05 -16.40 481.94 -4.27 -5.08 -9.93 -9.52 -40.34 -39.87 -5.81 -9.70 -20.46 -7.11 -4.69 -4.03 -2.86 -2.46 -5.40 -5.91 -5.911
P/OCF 5.35 4.78 3.84 4.14 5.48 4.85 5.22 5.94 8.83 7.09 7.22 9.59 6.55 11.78 34.16 6.04 — — 27.91 6.47 6.471
EV/EBITDA 6.22 5.49 5.69 5.71 6.88 6.68 7.17 7.76 8.57 7.77 8.03 9.54 10.05 9.03 8.39 6.55 6.84 6.02 6.80 6.41 6.410
EV/Revenue 0.94 0.95 1.03 1.04 1.23 1.16 1.17 1.16 1.18 1.00 0.99 1.18 1.31 1.18 1.06 0.77 0.78 0.63 0.64 0.54 0.541
EV/EBIT 13.26 11.97 12.06 11.73 14.42 14.37 16.02 18.60 20.84 13.66 13.42 14.97 15.33 16.21 14.09 11.10 12.14 12.84 22.68 35.74 35.745
EV/FCF 106.94 -30.77 -28.17 752.67 -6.70 -8.62 -17.09 -16.69 -61.80 -60.56 -9.77 -17.31 -34.95 -14.40 -10.95 -11.76 -8.07 -7.22 -15.28 -17.17 -17.171
Earnings Yield 6.3% 6.9% 7.8% 7.4% 6.1% 6.5% 5.9% 5.2% 4.0% 6.2% 7.0% 6.7% 6.3% 7.1% 9.2% 14.2% 12.1% 10.9% 4.4% 1.3% 1.27%
FCF Yield 1.5% -5.0% -6.1% 0.2% -23.4% -19.7% -10.1% -10.5% -2.5% -2.5% -17.2% -10.3% -4.9% -14.1% -21.3% -24.8% -34.9% -40.6% -18.5% -16.9% -16.92%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 0.657
EV/OCF snapshot only 18.796
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 0.727
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 41.029
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 1.12%
Graham Number snapshot only $5.19
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Current
Current Ratio 0.87 1.23 1.29 1.34 1.26 1.31 1.53 1.24 1.15 1.10 1.15 1.60 1.19 1.59 1.71 1.64 1.81 1.57 1.16 0.92 0.916
Quick Ratio 0.59 1.08 0.76 1.05 1.06 1.14 1.40 1.16 1.09 1.03 1.08 1.34 0.95 1.05 0.93 0.98 1.06 1.56 1.14 0.68 0.679
Debt/Equity 1.08 1.18 1.28 1.11 1.26 1.30 1.34 1.49 1.27 1.06 1.22 1.61 1.74 1.54 1.67 1.44 1.41 1.18 1.19 1.03 1.033
Net Debt/Equity 1.08 1.01 1.27 1.07 1.24 1.30 1.33 1.43 1.25 1.00 1.18 1.57 1.68 1.47 1.60 1.42 1.40 1.16 1.17 1.02 1.017
Debt/Assets 0.42 0.44 0.46 0.43 0.46 0.46 0.47 0.49 0.44 0.40 0.43 0.49 0.49 0.48 0.49 0.45 0.45 0.39 0.41 0.39 0.388
Debt/EBITDA 2.30 2.24 2.41 2.13 2.54 2.76 3.04 3.48 3.02 2.81 3.36 4.29 4.33 4.78 5.00 4.37 4.46 4.05 4.46 4.27 4.272
Net Debt/EBITDA 2.29 1.91 2.38 2.05 2.50 2.74 3.00 3.33 2.97 2.65 3.26 4.19 4.17 4.58 4.80 4.31 4.41 3.97 4.40 4.20 4.204
Interest Coverage 21.43 15.85 11.66 10.01 10.14 10.07 9.93 8.95 8.18 10.93 11.41 11.06 11.02 8.44 7.50 6.22 5.23 3.78 2.14 1.21 1.212
Equity Multiplier 2.61 2.67 2.78 2.57 2.73 2.81 2.84 3.07 2.90 2.67 2.81 3.27 3.52 3.20 3.43 3.17 3.10 3.02 2.93 2.67 2.666
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.029
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 6.759
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.016
FCF to Debt snapshot only -0.087
Defensive Interval snapshot only 65.8 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Current
Asset Turnover 1.54 1.50 1.43 1.41 1.12 1.06 1.03 1.06 1.12 1.15 1.10 1.00 1.02 0.97 0.97 1.00 0.99 0.92 0.90 0.98 0.981
Inventory Turnover 12.68 20.70 9.32 8.75 9.67 14.34 5.71 11.02 16.82 17.67 20.15 10.04 7.49 3.41 2.03 2.21 1.90 3.17 1.88 2.88 2.879
Receivables Turnover 9.01 8.97 9.15 9.99 8.99 8.45 8.48 8.78 8.23 8.27 8.57 7.57 7.20 7.61 8.29 8.03 8.22 8.03 8.00 7.83 7.831
Payables Turnover 51.23 37.98 49.81 32.31 39.98 23.19 26.64 29.97 30.20 20.67 29.64 22.67 18.39 16.26 14.77 11.01 9.58 8.67 8.25 11.81 11.810
DSO 41 41 40 37 41 43 43 42 44 44 43 48 51 48 44 45 44 45 46 47 46.6 days
DIO 29 18 39 42 38 25 64 33 22 21 18 36 49 107 180 165 192 115 195 127 126.8 days
DPO 7 10 7 11 9 16 14 12 12 18 12 16 20 22 25 33 38 42 44 31 30.9 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 62 49 72 67 69 53 93 63 54 47 48 68 80 132 199 178 198 119 196 142 142.5 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 1.727
Operating Cycle snapshot only 173.4 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 171.815
Capital Intensity snapshot only 0.931
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Current
Revenue 6.6% 6.6% 8.5% 8.1% 4.2% 3.4% 4.9% 11.2% 19.1% 23.7% 22.4% 18.4% 16.6% 18.6% 25.2% 27.3% 24.8% 18.3% 9.3% 2.7% 2.74%
Net Income 83.4% 72.7% 80.7% 65.6% 32.0% 7.2% -9.8% -23.0% -22.7% 12.5% 25.8% 52.6% 81.5% 21.3% 26.0% 8.5% -13.4% -33.2% -73.8% -93.6% -93.56%
EPS 81.2% 69.5% 76.7% 61.7% 28.9% 5.0% -11.6% -24.4% -23.6% 11.3% 24.4% 50.6% 78.9% 12.2% 7.9% -6.8% -25.7% -39.0% -73.5% -93.5% -93.49%
FCF 1.5% -17.4% 53.7% 1.0% -22.9% -3.5% -96.7% -56.8% 87.6% 84.9% -80.9% -16.3% -1.3% -4.9% -19.7% -22.7% -2.2% -25.7% 52.9% 50.8% 50.83%
EBITDA 19.6% 33.9% 45.5% 47.1% 23.8% 3.7% -5.3% -8.9% -8.2% -8.7% -7.7% -1.9% 9.7% 20.8% 28.6% 21.3% 9.4% -5.5% -18.9% -26.6% -26.62%
Op. Income 89.1% 87.0% 1.1% 1.0% 38.5% 10.9% -10.1% -23.7% -22.3% -19.0% -8.2% 15.9% 40.8% 66.8% 77.6% 50.0% 20.6% -20.6% -59.6% -80.7% -80.68%
OCF Growth snapshot only -32.67%
Asset Growth snapshot only -16.05%
Equity Growth snapshot only -0.25%
Debt Growth snapshot only -28.27%
Shares Change snapshot only -1.08%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 9.31%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Current
Revenue 3Y 3.4% 6.6% 8.7% 8.5% 6.7% 5.4% 5.8% 7.9% 9.8% 10.9% 11.7% 12.5% 13.1% 14.9% 17.1% 18.8% 20.1% 20.2% 18.8% 15.7% 15.70%
Revenue 5Y 3.2% 3.4% 3.5% 3.1% 2.3% 1.6% 1.9% 4.0% 6.5% 9.1% 10.5% 11.0% 11.0% 11.5% 12.7% 13.6% 14.0% 13.9% 13.8% 13.2% 13.24%
EPS 3Y 66.0% 1.1% 3.3% — 1.4% 76.9% 41.9% 28.9% 21.3% 25.6% 24.8% 22.6% 20.8% 9.5% 5.9% 2.0% 0.5% -8.7% -29.1% -55.0% -54.96%
EPS 5Y -0.7% 3.2% 10.5% 17.5% 23.2% 31.5% 28.5% 26.3% 35.1% 61.7% 1.4% — 78.1% 47.2% 30.8% 24.6% 18.9% 6.3% -11.1% -35.5% -35.49%
Net Income 3Y 69.0% 1.2% 3.3% — 1.4% 79.9% 44.1% 31.0% 23.2% 27.7% 27.1% 24.9% 22.8% 13.5% 12.7% 8.5% 6.7% -3.0% -25.4% -52.6% -52.58%
Net Income 5Y -1.3% 2.7% 9.9% 17.9% 24.9% 33.1% 30.3% 28.0% 37.6% 64.4% 1.5% — 80.6% 51.4% 36.6% 30.1% 24.1% 11.0% -7.5% -32.9% -32.90%
EBITDA 3Y 19.4% 30.3% 37.3% 42.1% 39.0% 35.1% 21.4% 13.1% 10.8% 8.2% 8.3% 9.6% 7.6% 4.6% 4.0% 2.7% 3.3% 1.4% -1.2% -4.4% -4.42%
EBITDA 5Y 13.1% 0.8% 2.4% 3.5% 3.8% 15.5% 14.3% 13.4% 14.1% 15.9% 17.8% 20.7% 22.0% 22.1% 16.3% 11.5% 10.3% 7.7% 5.8% 3.2% 3.20%
Gross Profit 3Y -18.0% -9.2% 2.8% 9.2% 13.2% 16.5% 21.0% 23.7% 23.1% 26.3% 29.7% 33.7% 40.4% 41.3% 42.6% 38.1% 34.5% 30.2% 24.9% 17.0% 16.97%
Gross Profit 5Y -14.1% -11.8% -10.6% -5.8% -1.5% -1.5% 0.2% 2.4% 4.4% 10.2% 17.5% 19.0% 20.7% 22.4% 24.7% 26.5% 25.9% 27.3% 28.6% 26.3% 26.27%
Op. Income 3Y 35.2% 59.2% 96.0% 1.2% 78.0% 53.9% 34.1% 24.4% 26.7% 18.9% 19.4% 20.9% 14.8% 14.4% 13.6% 9.9% 9.7% 2.4% -12.9% -30.5% -30.48%
Op. Income 5Y -1.7% 1.8% 7.8% 13.9% 17.6% 21.0% 17.9% 16.5% 21.6% 29.4% 44.1% 56.3% 43.9% 37.6% 31.5% 27.3% 28.1% 17.3% 4.1% -12.5% -12.50%
FCF 3Y -19.2% — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF 5Y — — — -45.7% — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
OCF 3Y 2.1% 13.5% 30.6% 47.8% 40.2% 24.8% 23.0% 16.2% 13.7% 19.3% 21.6% 7.7% 15.0% -16.7% -48.5% -23.0% — — -53.0% -26.3% -26.33%
OCF 5Y 4.3% 7.5% 12.0% 12.2% 15.8% 18.3% 12.4% 4.9% 0.8% 5.9% 8.3% 12.8% 25.5% -0.0% -21.9% -1.4% — — -24.6% -7.4% -7.42%
Assets 3Y 20.6% 24.3% 27.4% 27.2% 30.0% 31.8% 34.0% 39.7% 36.3% 36.4% 39.4% 40.5% 25.5% 31.1% 30.3% 28.5% 25.1% 21.9% 18.1% 10.4% 10.37%
Assets 5Y 12.5% 11.2% 13.8% 13.7% 14.0% 14.0% 16.5% 19.3% 20.0% 20.6% 21.9% 26.8% 28.6% 33.5% 35.5% 34.3% 33.9% 33.4% 31.9% 25.5% 25.48%
Equity 3Y 9.8% 10.7% 12.2% 13.1% 13.6% 14.0% 13.6% 13.3% 12.5% 14.5% 15.0% 14.2% 13.5% 23.4% 21.4% 19.9% 20.0% 19.1% 16.8% 15.7% 15.67%
Book Value 3Y 7.9% 8.8% 10.5% 11.4% 12.0% 12.1% 11.8% 11.5% 10.8% 12.6% 12.9% 12.1% 11.6% 19.0% 14.1% 12.8% 13.0% 12.2% 11.0% 9.9% 9.86%
Dividend 3Y — — — — 56.9% 24.4% 8.9% -0.9% -0.9% -1.1% -1.2% -1.3% -1.2% -2.9% -4.2% -2.8% -1.6% -0.6% -1.2% -2.5% -2.52%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Current
Revenue Stability 0.68 0.74 0.62 0.55 0.52 0.41 0.38 0.64 0.78 0.86 0.91 0.94 0.90 0.85 0.83 0.85 0.88 0.91 0.92 0.93 0.934
Earnings Stability 0.00 0.06 0.23 0.44 0.67 0.82 0.80 0.75 0.79 0.94 0.92 0.87 0.86 0.94 0.92 0.85 0.74 0.41 0.01 0.03 0.028
Margin Stability 0.61 0.65 0.64 0.72 0.78 0.74 0.72 0.74 0.74 0.78 0.76 0.77 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.78 0.81 0.80 0.79 0.78 0.785
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.87 0.97 0.96 0.91 0.91 0.95 0.90 0.50 0.50 0.91 0.90 0.97 0.95 0.87 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness 0.41 0.47 0.43 0.51 0.72 0.93 0.90 0.74 0.74 0.88 0.77 0.58 0.42 0.81 0.77 0.92 0.86 0.60 0.00 0.00 0.000
ROE Trend 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.04 0.01 -0.00 -0.02 -0.03 -0.01 -0.00 0.01 0.04 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.03 -0.04 -0.09 -0.11 -0.112
Gross Margin Trend -0.11 -0.07 -0.02 0.07 0.14 0.21 0.27 0.24 0.22 0.17 0.13 0.10 0.10 0.09 0.08 0.09 0.10 0.09 0.08 -0.03 -0.027
FCF Margin Trend 0.03 -0.01 0.02 0.07 -0.18 -0.11 -0.01 -0.01 0.07 0.07 -0.05 -0.03 0.06 -0.01 -0.01 0.00 -0.07 -0.04 0.06 0.04 0.036
Sustainable Growth Rate 12.1% 13.4% 14.2% 14.5% 13.4% 12.1% 10.8% 9.5% 9.0% 11.9% 12.2% 13.3% 15.2% 11.3% 12.2% 11.5% 10.1% 6.1% 2.3% 0.1% 0.08%
Internal Growth Rate 6.0% 6.6% 6.8% 7.0% 5.3% 4.6% 4.0% 3.5% 3.3% 4.5% 4.5% 4.4% 4.9% 3.9% 4.0% 3.7% 3.2% 2.0% 0.7% 0.0% 0.03%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Current
OCF/Net Income 2.95 3.03 3.33 3.26 3.01 3.18 3.24 3.26 2.83 2.29 1.97 1.57 2.43 1.20 0.32 1.17 -0.59 -0.21 0.81 12.22 12.216
FCF/OCF 0.08 -0.24 -0.23 0.01 -1.28 -0.95 -0.53 -0.62 -0.22 -0.18 -1.24 -0.99 -0.32 -1.66 -7.29 -1.50 4.87 17.81 -5.17 -1.09 -1.095
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -13.373
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.341
CapEx/Revenue 10.2% 16.1% 19.2% 16.0% 32.8% 27.6% 19.9% 18.1% 10.7% 10.9% 18.2% 13.7% 15.4% 13.1% 11.0% 11.0% 7.7% 8.2% 5.0% 6.0% 6.03%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.847
Accruals Ratio -0.11 -0.13 -0.16 -0.16 -0.11 -0.10 -0.09 -0.08 -0.06 -0.06 -0.04 -0.03 -0.07 -0.01 0.03 -0.01 0.05 0.03 0.00 -0.03 -0.026
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.211
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 0.461
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Current
Dividend Yield 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 1.0% 0.9% 1.1% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.02 $0.04 $0.06 $0.08 $0.08 $0.08 $0.08 $0.08 $0.08 $0.08 $0.08 $0.08 $0.08 $0.07 $0.07 $0.07 $0.08 $0.08 $0.08 $0.08 $0.00
Payout Ratio 2.0% 3.5% 4.7% 5.9% 6.2% 6.6% 7.1% 7.8% 8.2% 6.0% 5.7% 5.2% 4.6% 5.0% 4.8% 5.3% 6.0% 8.9% 20.7% 88.8% 88.78%
FCF Payout Ratio 8.7% — — 2.1% — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Total Payout Ratio 2.0% 3.5% 4.7% 5.9% 6.2% 6.6% 7.1% 7.8% 8.2% 6.0% 5.7% 5.2% 4.6% 5.0% 4.8% 5.3% 6.0% 8.9% 20.7% 88.8% 88.78%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Chowder Number — — — — 3.04 1.03 0.36 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.07 0.11 0.15 0.18 0.13 0.09 0.093
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield -0.1% -0.1% -0.2% -0.2% -0.4% -0.4% -0.7% -0.7% -0.3% -0.6% -0.6% -0.5% -1.1% -16.3% -19.2% -31.0% -27.4% -0.0% -0.0% -0.1% -0.06%
Total Shareholder Return 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% -0.1% -0.0% -0.3% -0.3% 0.0% -0.2% -0.2% -0.2% -0.8% -15.9% -18.7% -30.3% -26.7% 0.9% 0.9% 1.1% 1.06%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.60 0.61 0.62 0.62 0.62 0.61 0.61 0.62 0.62 0.61 0.62 0.61 0.62 0.64 0.64 0.64 0.64 0.65 0.67 0.89 0.889
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.88 0.88 0.89 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.89 0.88 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.88 0.87 0.84 0.81 0.74 0.53 0.18 0.175
EBIT Margin 0.07 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.09 0.07 0.08 0.07 0.06 0.05 0.03 0.02 0.015
Asset Turnover 1.54 1.50 1.43 1.41 1.12 1.06 1.03 1.06 1.12 1.15 1.10 1.00 1.02 0.97 0.97 1.00 0.99 0.92 0.90 0.98 0.981
Equity Multiplier 2.15 2.16 2.23 2.20 2.67 2.75 2.81 2.83 2.82 2.74 2.83 3.18 3.23 2.98 3.17 3.21 3.28 3.11 3.18 2.92 2.917
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $0.96 $1.10 $1.22 $1.30 $1.23 $1.15 $1.08 $0.98 $0.94 $1.29 $1.34 $1.48 $1.68 $1.44 $1.45 $1.38 $1.25 $0.88 $0.38 $0.09 $0.09
Book Value/Share $8.13 $8.42 $8.86 $9.21 $9.36 $9.56 $9.90 $10.05 $10.04 $10.85 $11.04 $11.15 $11.31 $14.20 $13.16 $13.21 $13.49 $13.49 $13.52 $13.32 $13.85
Tangible Book/Share $7.41 $7.70 $8.14 $8.49 $8.61 $8.79 $9.01 $9.03 $9.02 $9.87 $10.07 $9.51 $8.71 $11.79 $10.87 $10.85 $11.07 $11.28 $11.02 $10.82 $10.82
Revenue/Share $25.42 $25.66 $26.12 $26.33 $25.87 $25.98 $26.86 $28.76 $30.44 $31.80 $32.49 $33.61 $34.98 $34.90 $34.81 $36.74 $37.43 $37.72 $38.54 $38.16 $38.73
FCF/Share $0.22 $-0.79 $-0.95 $0.04 $-4.77 $-3.51 $-1.84 $-2.00 $-0.58 $-0.52 $-3.28 $-2.30 $-1.31 $-2.86 $-3.37 $-2.42 $-3.62 $-3.29 $-1.61 $-1.20 $-3.37
OCF/Share $2.82 $3.33 $4.07 $4.25 $3.71 $3.67 $3.50 $3.21 $2.67 $2.95 $2.64 $2.32 $4.09 $1.73 $0.46 $1.61 $-0.74 $-0.18 $0.31 $1.10 $-0.19
Cash/Share $0.04 $1.45 $0.14 $0.35 $0.19 $0.06 $0.15 $0.64 $0.19 $0.65 $0.42 $0.42 $0.73 $0.96 $0.89 $0.28 $0.19 $0.32 $0.22 $0.22 $0.33
EBITDA/Share $3.84 $4.45 $4.72 $4.81 $4.64 $4.52 $4.38 $4.31 $4.21 $4.08 $3.99 $4.17 $4.55 $4.56 $4.40 $4.34 $4.27 $3.94 $3.61 $3.22 $3.22
Debt/Share $8.81 $9.96 $11.36 $10.24 $11.79 $12.47 $13.29 $15.00 $12.72 $11.49 $13.43 $17.90 $19.69 $21.84 $21.98 $18.98 $19.01 $15.96 $16.10 $13.77 $13.77
Net Debt/Share $8.78 $8.51 $11.22 $9.89 $11.60 $12.41 $13.13 $14.36 $12.52 $10.84 $13.01 $17.48 $18.95 $20.88 $21.10 $18.71 $18.82 $15.64 $15.88 $13.54 $13.54
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.601
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 1.032
Piotroski F-Score 4 5 5 5 6 5 5 4 5 6 7 7 6 5 4 7 5 4 5 6 6
Beneish M-Score -2.60 -3.05 -3.15 -3.42 -3.18 -2.84 -2.85 -2.33 -2.15 -2.45 -2.51 -2.27 -2.43 -2.03 -1.82 -2.27 -2.15 -2.23 -2.23 -1.58 -1.584
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -5.509
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 2.69%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-15.16
EVA snapshot only $-61884271.53
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only B-
Credit Score 53.25 58.44 54.65 63.22 58.43 57.16 54.23 52.25 52.17 55.26 54.30 52.86 49.16 40.85 39.78 39.05 40.29 37.23 31.89 23.41 23.414
Credit Grade snapshot only 16
Credit Trend snapshot only -15.636
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 900.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 6
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 10

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