— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: CMCL.L (LSE) · $vol 0M

CMCL AMEX

Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc
1W: -5.8% 1M: -6.1% 3M: +20.2% YTD: -16.9% 1Y: -30.7% 3Y: +101.8% 5Y: +98.3%
$21.81
+0.44 (+2.06%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±4.0%
$20 $20 $21 $22 $23
AMEX · Basic Materials · Gold · Tech Score Sell · Power 41 · $421.7M mcap · 14M float · 1.54% daily turnover · Short 45% of daily vol
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 65% of companies Debt: 21.7% of company value Bonds: none of note held by US funds details ▾
If the stock fell to about $0.71 (down 97%), Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $116.9M against a stock market value of $421.7M.
Distance to default 3.81 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $62.0M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 58.7%; Altman Z'' 4.84. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 2Hold: 0Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$—
Analysts0
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2025-05-14 Maxim Group Tate Sullivan Initiated $21 — +49.3% $14.06
2024-04-29 Cantor Fitzgerald Mike Kozak Initiated $14 — +31.7% $10.25

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

A
Oct 27, 2026
DCF
3
ROE
5
ROA
5
D/E
2
P/E
3
P/B
4
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. CMCL receives an overall rating of A. Strongest factors: ROE (5/5), ROA (5/5), P/B (4/5). Areas of concern: D/E (2/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-26 A- A
2026-10-01 A A-
2026-08-31 A- A
2026-08-17 A A-
2026-07-30 A- A
2026-07-01 A A-
2026-04-28 A- A
2026-04-01 A A-
2026-03-24 B+ A
2026-02-18 B B+

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 80 Grade A+
Profitability
90
Balance Sheet
89
Earnings Quality
90
Growth
78
Value
88
Momentum
100
Safety
65
Cash Flow
72
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. CMCL scores highest in Momentum (100/100) and lowest in Safety (65/100). An overall grade of A+ places CMCL among the highest-quality companies in its peer group.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
2.50
Grey Zone
Piotroski F-Score
8/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
Beneish M-Score
29.89
Possible Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-8.48
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
AA
Score: 86.4/100
Trend: Stable
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 1.26x
Accruals: -3.6%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. CMCL scores 2.50, placing it in the Grey Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Financial distress is possible and warrants monitoring. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. CMCL scores 8/9, signaling strong financial health across all three dimensions. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. CMCL's score of 29.89 exceeds the −1.78 red flag threshold — this does not confirm manipulation but indicates the earnings profile resembles past manipulators statistically. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. CMCL's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. CMCL receives an estimated rating of AA (score: 86.4/100), with a stable trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). CMCL's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
6.55x
PEG
0.09x
P/S
1.50x
P/B
1.43x
P/FCF
6.86x
P/OCF
4.47x
EV/EBITDA
2.38x
EV/Revenue
1.12x
EV/EBIT
2.62x
EV/FCF
5.84x
Earnings Yield
17.74%
FCF Yield
14.58%
Shareholder Yield
6.12%
Graham Number
$34.06
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 6.5x earnings, CMCL trades at a deep value multiple. An earnings yield of 17.7% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $34.06 per share, suggesting a potential 56% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.538
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.014
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.427
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.590
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.788
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
24.6%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. CMCL's ROE of 24.6% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.590), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 0.54 suggests the company retains less than 60% of pre-tax earnings after taxes.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
15.00%
Fair P/E
38.50x
Intrinsic Value
$130.47
Price/Value
0.15x
Margin of Safety
85.36%
Premium
-85.36%
Assessment
Undervalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with CMCL's realized 15.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. At an intrinsic value of $130.47, CMCL appears undervalued with a 85% margin of safety. The adjusted fair P/E of 38.5x compares to the current market P/E of 6.5x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$21.87
Median 1Y
$22.70
5th Pctile
$8.81
95th Pctile
$58.21
Ann. Volatility
57.4%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
2,357
+6.9% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$107,824
Rev: $254,142,000
Profit / Employee
$23,428
NI: $55,219,000
SGA / Employee
$9,131
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE 11.8% 13.2% 12.7% 17.7% 18.1% 12.9% 3.4% -2.4% -4.3% -2.4% 1.0% 4.6% 3.6% 8.2% 10.7% 15.2% 19.9% 23.4% 25.3% 24.6% 24.60%
ROA 9.3% 9.5% 9.9% 13.9% 14.1% 8.0% 2.6% -1.8% -3.3% -1.5% 0.7% 3.4% 2.7% 5.1% 7.2% 10.1% 13.5% 14.5% 13.6% 13.8% 13.76%
ROIC 15.5% 19.2% 16.7% 21.2% 21.0% 15.8% 4.8% -1.1% -4.1% -0.3% 2.6% 6.6% 5.5% 10.2% 13.9% 20.3% 23.8% 28.9% 37.2% 34.5% 34.47%
ROCE 20.1% 19.9% 20.7% 25.5% 24.7% 18.7% 9.7% 3.6% 2.6% 5.3% 8.9% 13.0% 12.6% 15.7% 17.9% 22.5% 28.1% 31.3% 24.2% 23.0% 22.96%
Gross Margin 47.0% 43.7% 57.0% 48.7% 53.8% 33.2% 19.9% 29.5% 34.3% 27.3% 48.3% 45.8% 41.2% 44.0% 47.9% 51.8% 51.6% 55.7% 48.3% 54.4% 54.41%
Operating Margin 38.1% 28.4% 37.4% 51.0% 41.8% -15.4% -0.0% 7.0% 24.3% 6.7% 14.6% 32.2% 18.6% 26.5% 33.3% 54.2% 41.3% 46.7% 40.4% 46.2% 46.20%
Net Margin 20.7% 13.1% 17.8% 30.8% 25.3% -23.5% -17.1% -1.4% 10.9% -8.2% 4.1% 16.5% 4.8% 10.7% 15.9% 31.4% 21.2% 15.1% 23.9% 33.1% 33.06%
EBITDA Margin 45.1% 35.6% 42.0% 51.0% 45.3% -7.3% 7.7% 7.0% 24.3% 6.7% 37.8% 32.2% 27.2% 26.6% 40.2% 60.6% 47.2% 42.2% 46.6% 51.9% 51.94%
FCF Margin -1.9% -5.7% -1.7% -2.5% -2.7% -1.1% -5.4% -14.0% -8.2% -10.2% -5.6% 6.7% 2.2% 7.1% 8.5% 9.8% 12.9% 15.8% 18.3% 19.2% 19.16%
OCF Margin 28.5% 25.5% 30.3% 31.7% 32.9% 30.8% 23.5% 9.4% 12.9% 10.1% 13.4% 25.2% 18.5% 22.8% 24.8% 27.2% 28.2% 29.0% 29.9% 29.4% 29.42%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 14.07%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 11.27%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 8.12%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 23.51%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 20.33%
Cash ROA snapshot only 14.69%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 34.57%
CROIC snapshot only 22.51%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 29.33%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 43.36%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 8.25%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.07%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio 7.29 6.90 8.82 4.36 3.83 8.00 33.79 -38.84 -18.12 -50.98 87.22 16.17 31.08 10.47 9.48 10.05 14.04 9.70 7.16 5.64 6.550
P/S Ratio 1.07 1.05 1.35 0.91 0.85 1.03 1.74 1.43 1.16 1.46 1.32 1.08 1.60 0.99 1.16 1.71 2.90 2.03 1.62 1.31 1.501
P/B Ratio 0.83 0.92 1.04 0.71 0.64 1.02 0.98 0.80 0.68 1.04 0.85 0.73 1.12 0.84 1.06 1.55 2.77 2.07 1.64 1.26 1.434
P/FCF -55.69 -18.34 -80.83 -36.65 -31.11 -97.16 -32.16 -10.21 -14.04 -14.34 -23.51 16.12 72.49 13.98 13.72 17.38 22.39 12.81 8.89 6.86 6.858
P/OCF 3.74 4.11 4.46 2.88 2.57 3.36 7.42 15.24 8.99 14.45 9.82 4.29 8.64 4.35 4.69 6.30 10.26 7.01 5.43 4.47 4.466
EV/EBITDA 2.71 2.52 3.31 1.91 1.84 3.26 6.99 11.45 14.15 13.46 7.70 4.52 6.50 3.61 3.93 4.11 6.49 4.23 2.91 2.38 2.380
EV/Revenue 0.96 0.92 1.25 0.84 0.80 1.08 1.77 1.51 1.23 1.61 1.46 1.15 1.71 1.10 1.25 1.67 2.93 2.02 1.43 1.12 1.118
EV/EBIT 3.06 2.90 3.89 2.18 2.10 3.94 9.03 20.21 23.87 15.46 8.87 4.96 7.86 4.21 4.48 4.76 7.29 4.84 3.20 2.62 2.616
EV/FCF -50.10 -16.06 -74.35 -33.55 -29.54 -101.18 -32.68 -10.79 -14.94 -15.74 -26.00 17.26 77.39 15.60 14.84 16.92 22.65 12.73 7.81 5.84 5.837
Earnings Yield 13.7% 14.5% 11.3% 22.9% 26.1% 12.5% 3.0% -2.6% -5.5% -2.0% 1.1% 6.2% 3.2% 9.5% 10.5% 9.9% 7.1% 10.3% 14.0% 17.7% 17.74%
FCF Yield -1.8% -5.5% -1.2% -2.7% -3.2% -1.0% -3.1% -9.8% -7.1% -7.0% -4.3% 6.2% 1.4% 7.2% 7.3% 5.8% 4.5% 7.8% 11.2% 14.6% 14.58%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.091
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 1.255
EV/OCF snapshot only 3.801
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 2.127
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 2.557
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 6.12%
Graham Number snapshot only $34.06
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 3.45 2.99 2.69 2.50 2.36 1.18 1.08 1.21 1.52 1.35 1.24 1.52 1.44 1.35 1.48 1.65 1.78 1.69 4.66 5.73 5.734
Quick Ratio 2.21 1.82 1.60 1.30 1.22 0.62 0.69 0.71 1.00 0.85 0.71 1.03 0.89 0.83 0.96 1.10 1.20 1.25 4.08 5.03 5.027
Debt/Equity 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.09 0.10 0.10 0.09 0.12 0.10 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.13 0.12 0.09 0.13 0.43 0.40 0.398
Net Debt/Equity -0.08 -0.11 -0.08 -0.06 -0.03 0.04 0.02 0.05 0.04 0.10 0.09 0.05 0.08 0.10 0.09 -0.04 0.03 -0.01 -0.20 -0.19 -0.187
Debt/Assets 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.07 0.08 0.07 0.08 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.07 0.08 0.07 0.06 0.08 0.21 0.21 0.208
Debt/EBITDA 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.01 0.04 0.28 0.67 1.33 1.72 1.44 0.80 0.66 0.57 0.45 0.43 0.32 0.22 0.26 0.86 0.89 0.885
Net Debt/EBITDA -0.30 -0.36 -0.29 -0.18 -0.10 0.13 0.11 0.61 0.85 1.19 0.74 0.30 0.41 0.38 0.30 -0.11 0.07 -0.02 -0.40 -0.42 -0.416
Interest Coverage 100.75 102.33 111.30 162.74 163.19 57.57 20.09 4.58 2.70 5.02 8.45 14.25 12.43 15.12 16.98 24.28 30.57 31.33 19.54 17.23 17.225
Equity Multiplier 1.31 1.53 1.31 1.26 1.26 1.67 1.35 1.30 1.32 1.60 1.36 1.38 1.38 1.63 1.65 1.63 1.56 1.59 2.03 1.91 1.914
Cash Ratio snapshot only 4.349
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 18.937
Cash to Debt snapshot only 1.470
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.460
Defensive Interval snapshot only 2636.6 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.63 0.62 0.64 0.66 0.64 0.62 0.50 0.50 0.52 0.52 0.48 0.51 0.52 0.54 0.59 0.59 0.66 0.69 0.60 0.59 0.590
Inventory Turnover 3.88 3.58 3.82 3.83 3.55 3.67 4.18 4.53 5.17 5.43 5.13 5.21 4.90 4.55 4.82 4.60 4.74 5.01 4.92 4.64 4.637
Receivables Turnover 21.58 26.24 17.40 25.14 21.05 16.18 19.62 24.36 38.91 20.06 28.94 36.58 64.89 38.13 32.58 80.79 31.50 33.06 31.25 174.07 174.074
Payables Turnover 11.74 11.35 11.90 19.09 23.89 5.24 10.47 17.57 29.43 8.88 18.21 22.75 24.66 14.11 16.14 17.25 9.40 6.29 6.65 16.18 16.176
DSO 17 14 21 15 17 23 19 15 9 18 13 10 6 10 11 5 12 11 12 2 2.1 days
DIO 94 102 95 95 103 99 87 81 71 67 71 70 75 80 76 79 77 73 74 79 78.7 days
DPO 31 32 31 19 15 70 35 21 12 41 20 16 15 26 23 21 39 58 55 23 22.6 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 80 84 86 91 105 52 71 75 68 44 64 64 65 64 64 63 50 26 31 58 58.2 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 0.955
Operating Cycle snapshot only 80.8 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 1.635
Capital Intensity snapshot only 2.003
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 24.8% 22.9% 27.8% 26.0% 16.3% 14.2% 4.4% -0.9% 3.9% 5.6% 14.0% 23.7% 21.4% 23.8% 30.8% 29.6% 39.6% 45.7% 36.6% 30.1% 30.11%
Net Income -15.1% -11.4% 15.8% 94.4% 75.8% -2.7% -65.0% -1.2% -1.3% -1.2% -66.6% 3.2% 2.0% 5.1% 9.6% 2.3% 4.6% 2.2% 1.5% 78.2% 78.21%
EPS -16.4% -13.1% 7.9% 92.9% 61.5% -3.9% -72.7% -1.1% -1.2% -1.2% -70.5% 3.1% 1.9% 4.9% 9.6% 2.3% 4.5% 2.0% 1.5% 78.3% 78.27%
FCF -1.7% -3.2% 68.5% -9.9% -65.3% 78.7% -2.4% -4.6% -2.1% -9.1% -18.0% 1.6% 1.3% 1.9% 3.0% 90.7% 7.2% 2.3% 2.0% 1.5% 1.53%
EBITDA -10.7% 2.2% 24.0% 60.4% 44.0% 3.5% -29.8% -70.1% -79.3% -61.9% -14.8% 1.4% 2.7% 2.2% 1.2% 1.1% 1.4% 1.3% 1.1% 50.8% 50.81%
Op. Income -16.0% -5.8% 15.6% 54.3% 48.8% 5.0% -34.2% -78.3% -86.6% -62.3% -26.3% 2.0% 3.5% 1.8% 1.7% 1.2% 1.9% 1.7% 1.2% 62.9% 62.86%
OCF Growth snapshot only 40.85%
Asset Growth snapshot only 44.53%
Equity Growth snapshot only 23.28%
Debt Growth snapshot only 3.18%
Shares Change snapshot only -0.03%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 46.27%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 18.5% 21.1% 24.8% 26.9% 25.0% 22.2% 17.3% 14.4% 14.7% 14.0% 15.0% 15.6% 13.7% 14.3% 15.9% 16.7% 20.8% 24.0% 26.7% 27.8% 27.76%
Revenue 5Y 14.9% 14.4% 14.7% 16.0% 15.8% 14.7% 13.5% 13.3% 15.0% 16.4% 18.3% 20.1% 19.8% 19.0% 19.2% 19.1% 20.7% 21.7% 22.1% 21.1% 21.08%
EPS 3Y 11.8% 14.4% -2.5% -13.5% -15.8% -30.8% -51.3% — — — -55.7% -20.3% -30.7% -15.1% -5.2% -4.8% 4.1% 24.6% 97.3% — —
EPS 5Y 15.3% 12.4% 9.1% 28.0% 21.1% 10.3% -15.3% — — — -40.5% -29.8% -34.2% -26.8% -18.4% -0.1% 8.8% 10.1% 17.7% 24.3% 24.30%
Net Income 3Y 15.2% 19.6% 5.3% -8.9% -10.7% -24.8% -44.7% — — — -48.6% -8.8% -19.7% -2.4% 7.4% 8.9% 18.0% 45.6% 1.1% — —
Net Income 5Y 18.9% 16.6% 13.9% 30.9% 26.2% 13.8% -7.4% — — — -32.8% -21.6% -26.9% -16.4% -9.7% 10.0% 19.7% 21.6% 29.5% 34.9% 34.91%
EBITDA 3Y 21.5% 23.5% 31.6% 36.7% 25.2% 9.3% -8.4% -27.8% -35.7% -26.1% -9.5% 4.7% 3.0% 7.8% 9.7% 13.8% 22.0% 40.0% 57.9% 95.1% 95.14%
EBITDA 5Y 18.4% 15.3% 14.9% 22.8% 21.7% 15.4% 7.3% -6.6% -11.8% -5.8% 6.4% 12.8% 8.3% 9.6% 7.6% 13.1% 18.5% 23.8% 28.0% 28.9% 28.93%
Gross Profit 3Y 30.2% 35.8% 47.2% 45.8% 40.2% 28.9% 12.7% 5.5% -1.9% -4.6% 3.8% 7.7% 9.0% 14.4% 12.9% 14.8% 19.6% 27.2% 38.5% 47.0% 47.03%
Gross Profit 5Y 22.1% 18.1% 19.9% 22.4% 22.8% 20.4% 14.8% 11.5% 11.4% 14.0% 22.1% 24.8% 22.9% 21.0% 19.2% 20.6% 21.5% 23.5% 24.5% 23.0% 23.05%
Op. Income 3Y 18.2% 21.4% 15.1% 1.9% -1.0% -12.9% -23.2% -35.8% -44.9% -28.0% -17.5% -0.4% -3.7% 3.7% 9.9% 12.3% 20.7% 42.6% 65.0% 1.2% 1.20%
Op. Income 5Y 19.7% 15.9% 16.0% 26.5% 24.3% 15.0% 4.6% -13.7% -19.9% -6.7% -5.8% -7.5% -10.3% -6.8% -1.8% 11.6% 17.1% 23.5% 27.9% 28.9% 28.92%
FCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — 49.2% — — 49.3% 33.1% 58.9% 68.3% — — —
OCF 3Y 17.7% 20.5% 32.3% 28.6% 34.8% 33.1% 13.1% -18.9% -8.8% -21.8% -3.4% 9.9% -1.5% 10.1% 8.3% 10.8% 14.8% 21.5% 37.4% 87.0% 87.01%
OCF 5Y 13.3% 6.1% 11.2% 16.0% 13.8% 11.7% 1.2% -11.9% -2.3% -3.5% 4.0% 15.7% 11.7% 17.9% 17.8% 19.9% 23.0% 19.8% 29.1% 21.2% 21.21%
Assets 3Y 17.6% 18.8% 19.4% 19.2% 18.6% 17.9% 28.5% 26.7% 23.0% 22.7% 20.7% 21.6% 19.8% 18.2% 18.6% 20.5% 19.8% 20.5% 20.0% 21.5% 21.46%
Assets 5Y 18.3% 18.4% 18.5% 17.7% 16.9% 16.4% 22.2% 21.6% 21.4% 21.2% 20.2% 20.9% 19.9% 19.4% 19.2% 20.3% 18.0% 18.3% 24.8% 24.5% 24.50%
Equity 3Y 30.2% 25.0% 29.1% 20.5% 19.6% 9.1% 26.2% 25.1% 20.5% 13.3% 17.9% 18.9% 17.6% 15.8% 9.6% 10.7% 11.4% 22.5% 4.5% 6.9% 6.88%
Book Value 3Y 26.3% 19.6% 19.5% 14.3% 12.8% 0.3% 11.2% 9.0% 5.3% -1.1% 1.6% 4.0% 1.6% 0.7% -3.3% -3.2% -1.8% 4.9% -0.7% 4.5% 4.55%
Dividend 3Y 16.7% 11.6% 6.2% 7.4% 3.7% -0.2% -4.1% -8.1% -9.6% -5.9% -8.4% -7.8% -7.7% -10.6% -13.5% -3.3% 0.4% 1.2% 15.6% 11.0% 11.02%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.82 0.84 0.82 0.85 0.89 0.90 0.92 0.93 0.97 0.99 0.98 0.96 0.97 0.97 0.93 0.91 0.88 0.84 0.88 0.90 0.896
Earnings Stability 0.22 0.24 0.19 0.22 0.18 0.04 0.02 0.19 0.19 0.28 0.47 0.53 0.54 0.53 0.29 0.01 0.05 0.17 0.35 0.42 0.416
Margin Stability 0.83 0.84 0.81 0.83 0.85 0.90 0.89 0.85 0.78 0.76 0.80 0.81 0.80 0.81 0.87 0.86 0.80 0.79 0.85 0.83 0.835
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.94 0.95 0.94 0.50 0.50 0.99 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness 0.84 0.88 0.85 0.36 0.45 0.97 0.04 — — — 0.00 — — — 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.44 0.438
ROE Trend -0.16 -0.13 -0.11 0.02 0.04 -0.01 -0.09 -0.15 -0.18 -0.15 -0.06 -0.03 -0.03 0.03 0.09 0.14 0.20 0.18 0.17 0.12 0.123
Gross Margin Trend 0.05 -0.00 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.02 -0.08 -0.14 -0.19 -0.18 -0.09 -0.03 0.01 0.06 0.08 0.10 0.14 0.15 0.12 0.10 0.096
FCF Margin Trend -0.03 -0.06 0.00 -0.04 -0.03 0.00 -0.01 -0.11 -0.06 -0.07 -0.02 0.15 0.08 0.13 0.14 0.13 0.16 0.17 0.17 0.11 0.109
Sustainable Growth Rate 7.2% 8.2% 8.0% 12.5% 12.8% 6.5% -1.3% — — — -3.8% -0.1% -1.3% 2.4% 6.0% 8.8% 12.8% 14.9% 17.4% 16.1% 16.11%
Internal Growth Rate 6.0% 6.3% 6.6% 10.9% 11.1% 4.2% — — — — — — — 1.5% 4.2% 6.2% 9.5% 10.2% 10.3% 9.9% 9.91%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.95 1.68 1.97 1.51 1.49 2.38 4.56 -2.55 -2.01 -3.53 8.88 3.77 3.60 2.41 2.02 1.60 1.37 1.38 1.32 1.26 1.262
FCF/OCF -0.07 -0.22 -0.06 -0.08 -0.08 -0.03 -0.23 -1.49 -0.64 -1.01 -0.42 0.27 0.12 0.31 0.34 0.36 0.46 0.55 0.61 0.65 0.651
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.822
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.626
CapEx/Revenue 30.4% 31.2% 32.0% 34.2% 35.6% 31.8% 28.9% 23.4% 21.1% 20.3% 19.0% 18.5% 16.3% 15.7% 16.3% 17.3% 15.3% 13.1% 11.6% 10.3% 10.26%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 2.416
Accruals Ratio -0.09 -0.06 -0.10 -0.07 -0.07 -0.11 -0.09 -0.07 -0.10 -0.07 -0.06 -0.09 -0.07 -0.07 -0.07 -0.06 -0.05 -0.06 -0.04 -0.04 -0.036
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.295
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.607
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield 5.3% 5.5% 4.2% 6.7% 7.7% 6.2% 4.1% 5.1% 6.0% 5.2% 5.7% 6.4% 4.4% 6.7% 4.6% 4.2% 2.6% 3.7% 4.4% 6.1% 2.57%
Dividend/Share $0.55 $0.55 $0.56 $0.64 $0.67 $0.69 $0.56 $0.54 $0.55 $0.60 $0.60 $0.60 $0.64 $0.63 $0.56 $0.80 $0.92 $0.98 $0.98 $1.17 $0.56
Payout Ratio 39.0% 37.8% 37.4% 29.1% 29.5% 49.7% 1.4% — — — 4.9% 1.0% 1.4% 70.6% 43.8% 42.0% 35.9% 36.2% 31.2% 34.5% 34.50%
FCF Payout Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — 1.0% 3.2% 94.3% 63.4% 72.7% 57.2% 47.8% 38.8% 42.0% 41.98%
Total Payout Ratio 39.0% 37.8% 37.4% 29.1% 29.5% 49.7% 1.4% — — — 5.0% 1.0% 1.4% 70.6% 43.8% 42.0% 35.9% 36.2% 31.2% 34.5% 34.50%
Div. Increase Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 1
Chowder Number 0.79 0.64 0.55 0.52 0.41 0.34 0.33 0.23 0.17 0.30 0.25 0.24 0.26 0.15 -0.01 0.39 0.50 0.69 0.85 0.52 0.523
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -4.6% -8.2% -9.6% -7.3% -2.4% 0.0% 0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Shareholder Return 5.3% 5.5% 4.2% 6.7% 7.7% 6.2% -0.5% -3.1% -3.6% -2.1% 3.3% 6.4% 4.4% 6.7% 4.6% 4.2% 2.6% 3.7% 4.4% 6.1% 6.12%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.47 0.48 0.47 0.54 0.55 0.45 0.26 -0.53 -1.96 -0.34 0.13 0.35 0.30 0.43 0.46 0.51 0.53 0.52 0.54 0.54 0.538
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.99 0.99 1.01 1.01 1.04 1.05 1.01 0.93 0.63 0.80 0.70 0.81 0.79 0.83 0.94 0.96 0.97 0.97 0.95 1.01 1.014
EBIT Margin 0.31 0.32 0.32 0.38 0.38 0.27 0.20 0.07 0.05 0.10 0.16 0.23 0.22 0.26 0.28 0.35 0.40 0.42 0.45 0.43 0.427
Asset Turnover 0.63 0.62 0.64 0.66 0.64 0.62 0.50 0.50 0.52 0.52 0.48 0.51 0.52 0.54 0.59 0.59 0.66 0.69 0.60 0.59 0.590
Equity Multiplier 1.28 1.39 1.29 1.27 1.28 1.60 1.33 1.29 1.29 1.63 1.35 1.34 1.35 1.61 1.50 1.50 1.47 1.61 1.86 1.79 1.788
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $1.41 $1.45 $1.50 $2.20 $2.28 $1.40 $0.41 $-0.27 $-0.50 $-0.22 $0.12 $0.58 $0.47 $0.89 $1.28 $1.90 $2.57 $2.70 $3.14 $3.39 $3.39
Book Value/Share $12.42 $10.86 $12.65 $13.59 $13.73 $10.97 $14.02 $13.31 $13.51 $11.02 $12.33 $12.80 $13.02 $11.10 $11.46 $12.34 $13.01 $12.65 $13.72 $15.21 $16.75
Tangible Book/Share $12.42 $10.86 $12.65 $13.59 $13.73 $10.97 $14.02 $13.31 $13.51 $11.02 $12.33 $12.80 $13.02 $11.10 $11.46 $12.34 $13.01 $12.65 $13.72 $15.21 $15.21
Revenue/Share $9.64 $9.57 $9.77 $10.51 $10.30 $10.79 $7.94 $7.45 $7.89 $7.83 $8.00 $8.68 $9.12 $9.40 $10.44 $11.17 $12.44 $12.89 $13.84 $14.54 $14.54
FCF/Share $-0.18 $-0.55 $-0.16 $-0.26 $-0.28 $-0.11 $-0.43 $-1.04 $-0.65 $-0.80 $-0.45 $0.58 $0.20 $0.67 $0.88 $1.10 $1.61 $2.04 $2.53 $2.79 $2.71
OCF/Share $2.75 $2.44 $2.96 $3.33 $3.39 $3.32 $1.86 $0.70 $1.02 $0.79 $1.07 $2.18 $1.69 $2.14 $2.58 $3.04 $3.51 $3.74 $4.14 $4.28 $4.27
Cash/Share $1.09 $1.35 $1.16 $0.84 $0.62 $0.52 $1.12 $0.71 $0.60 $0.23 $0.10 $0.80 $0.38 $0.22 $0.45 $1.96 $0.81 $1.75 $8.58 $8.89 $8.89
EBITDA/Share $3.41 $3.49 $3.67 $4.60 $4.51 $3.57 $2.01 $0.98 $0.69 $0.93 $1.51 $2.22 $2.40 $2.87 $3.33 $4.53 $5.61 $6.14 $6.77 $6.83 $6.83
Debt/Share $0.05 $0.11 $0.10 $0.03 $0.18 $0.99 $1.34 $1.31 $1.18 $1.34 $1.21 $1.46 $1.37 $1.30 $1.45 $1.45 $1.23 $1.59 $5.85 $6.05 $6.05
Net Debt/Share $-1.03 $-1.25 $-1.06 $-0.81 $-0.44 $0.46 $0.22 $0.60 $0.58 $1.11 $1.12 $0.66 $0.99 $1.08 $1.00 $-0.51 $0.42 $-0.15 $-2.73 $-2.84 $-2.84
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2.501
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 5.171
Piotroski F-Score 4 4 6 7 6 4 3 2 2 3 6 7 6 7 6 8 8 7 7 8 8
Beneish M-Score -2.16 1.85 -2.84 -2.60 -2.45 -2.68 -2.40 -3.05 164.55 -2.58 -2.59 -2.58 -2.36 -2.58 -1.75 -2.29 -2.52 131.65 43.51 29.89 29.886
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -8.477
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 24.96%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-0.64
EVA snapshot only $58477040.69
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only AA
Credit Score 91.60 78.55 93.55 91.75 91.75 64.30 74.80 62.80 57.70 57.25 66.65 77.40 82.05 75.50 81.50 87.25 97.75 94.75 86.35 86.35 86.350
Credit Grade snapshot only 3
Credit Trend snapshot only -0.900
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 80.000

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