— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice

CMRX NASDAQ

Chimerix, Inc.
1W: +0.2% 1M: +0.8% 3M: +140.6% 1Y: +844.7% 3Y: +82.1% 5Y: +454.6%
$8.54
Last traded 2025-04-21 — delisted
NASDAQ · Healthcare · Biotechnology · $801.1M mcap · 80M float · 5.30% daily turnover · Short 39% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NO EDGE
28.0 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Intangible Assets  ·  ROIC: -83.8%  ·  5Y Avg: -124.3%
Cost Advantage
21
Intangibles
59
Switching Cost
12
Network Effect
18
Scale
22
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. CMRX has No discernible competitive edge (28.0/100). The business operates without significant structural advantages. The primary source of advantage is Intangible Assets. Negative ROIC of -83.8% indicates the company is currently destroying value, though this may reflect a growth investment phase.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 14Hold: 9Sell: 2Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$—
Analysts0
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2025-03-05 Wedbush — Initiated $9 — +1.1% $8.46

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 15 Grade D
Profitability
20
Balance Sheet
88
Earnings Quality
43
Growth
22
Value
30
Momentum
28
Safety
0
Cash Flow
30
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. CMRX scores highest in Balance Sheet (88/100) and lowest in Safety (0/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
-1.99
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
3/9
✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-2798.84
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-1.65
Bankruptcy prob: 16.2%
Moderate
Credit Rating
BB
Score: 44.1/100
Trend: Stable
Earnings Quality
—
OCF/NI: 0.85x
Accruals: -7.4%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. CMRX scores -1.99, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. CMRX scores 3/9, suggesting weak financial fundamentals — the company fails the majority of these accounting tests. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. CMRX's score of -2798.84 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. CMRX's implied 16.2% bankruptcy probability is elevated and warrants attention to the balance sheet. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. CMRX receives an estimated rating of BB (score: 44.1/100), with a stable trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-8.63x
PEG
0.81x
P/S
3778.70x
P/B
6.30x
P/FCF
-4.16x
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
-2.94x
EV/Revenue
1337.35x
EV/EBIT
-2.94x
EV/FCF
-3.76x
Earnings Yield
-28.14%
FCF Yield
-24.03%
Shareholder Yield
0.00%
Graham Number
—
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. CMRX currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
1.000
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.915
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
-455.505
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.001
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.140
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-56.2%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. CMRX's ROE of -56.2% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.001), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 1.00 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
—
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$8.54
Median 1Y
$6.06
5th Pctile
$1.22
95th Pctile
$30.24
Ann. Volatility
92.1%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
ROE -79.4% -80.6% -36.2% -47.5% -1.1% -1.3% -1.5% -2.4% -1.1% -1.4% 81.2% 1.1% 1.2% 1.5% -34.0% -35.2% -39.9% -44.6% -48.6% -56.2% -56.17%
ROA -73.7% -73.7% -32.0% -42.6% -98.0% -1.1% -1.3% -1.9% -89.7% -1.1% 71.9% 90.6% 1.1% 1.2% -31.6% -32.2% -36.5% -40.4% -43.5% -49.3% -49.27%
ROIC 44.2% 153.4% 17.3% 12.7% -19.1% -29.0% 79.5% 36.8% 25.9% 6.7% 9.0% -1.5% -2.2% -2.9% -5.0% -6.4% -4.4% -8.4% -378.0% -83.8% -83.75%
ROCE -42.5% -36.2% -42.5% -58.4% -35.3% -45.7% -58.6% -1.3% -2.0% -3.5% 55.7% 65.5% 70.2% 76.3% -45.8% -47.9% -53.2% -60.6% -68.0% -79.1% -79.06%
Gross Margin -6.2% -5.1% -5.2% -6.8% 1.0% -34.3% -128.2% 76.1% -6.6% 98.4% 99.0% 99.3% 99.3% -650.0% -1422.4% -5314.8% — 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.00%
Operating Margin -8.8% -7.3% -7.2% -10.5% -67.9% -45.6% -173.8% -859.4% -1651.4% -53.3% 35.8% -29.3% -85.6% -821.1% -2426.3% -5202.5% — -177.0% -953.6% -430.7% -430.74%
Net Margin -8.4% -7.1% -7.1% -10.4% -67.9% -45.4% -173.5% -858.7% -1650.9% -53.4% 7.4% -25.7% -65.5% -714.5% -2180.5% -4540.2% — -160.3% -880.0% -402.7% -402.70%
EBITDA Margin -8.7% -7.3% -7.1% -10.4% -10.1% -45.5% -173.5% -859.2% -1649.8% -53.2% 7.4% -29.2% -85.5% -820.2% -2424.2% -5196.8% — -176.8% -952.8% -430.3% -430.26%
FCF Margin -6.2% -5.7% -2.8% -6.7% -11.4% -15.0% -24.6% -50.6% -153.2% -137.1% -1.8% -1.4% -1.3% -1.5% -65.8% -300.0% -2258.8% -667.1% -620.4% -356.0% -356.03%
OCF Margin -6.2% -5.7% -2.8% -6.7% -11.3% -14.9% -24.6% -50.5% -152.9% -137.0% -1.8% -1.4% -1.3% -1.5% -65.7% -213.0% -1572.9% -471.3% -443.1% -354.7% -354.67%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only -15.56%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only -71.96%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -12.05%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only -20.64%
ROIC Economic snapshot only -62.46%
Cash ROA snapshot only -51.50%
Cash ROIC snapshot only -82.55%
CROIC snapshot only -82.86%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only -359.85%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -416.92%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 351.76%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 104.74%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 44.73%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
P/E Ratio -0.84 -1.97 -4.38 -6.96 -5.92 -4.99 -3.68 -3.22 -3.97 -1.71 1.10 0.95 0.62 0.58 -1.04 -1.08 -1.15 -0.93 -1.00 -3.55 -8.626
P/S Ratio 7.80 16.92 14.07 56.38 138.91 151.44 175.05 282.24 713.54 299.12 5.13 4.84 3.26 3.18 75.01 264.12 2307.67 545.26 524.67 1481.65 3778.700
P/B Ratio 0.88 2.07 1.86 4.13 5.79 5.79 5.11 8.18 8.34 6.51 0.62 0.64 0.46 0.48 0.41 0.44 0.54 0.50 0.61 2.58 6.295
P/FCF -1.26 -2.99 -5.08 -8.39 -12.23 -10.11 -7.11 -5.58 -4.66 -2.18 -2.78 -3.49 -2.43 -2.16 -1.14 -0.88 -1.02 -0.82 -0.85 -4.16 -4.162
P/OCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBITDA 0.33 -2.89 -1.94 -5.14 -13.49 -10.37 -6.85 -5.39 -3.46 -1.33 -0.73 -0.30 -0.60 -0.56 1.12 1.03 0.67 0.72 0.56 -2.94 -2.939
EV/Revenue -1.23 8.68 6.37 42.20 115.87 126.11 140.32 245.87 622.53 232.63 -3.42 -1.52 -2.98 -2.88 -95.19 -296.16 -1530.42 -473.23 -328.08 1337.35 1337.354
EV/EBIT 0.33 -2.85 -1.91 -5.09 -13.39 -10.31 -6.83 -5.38 -3.46 -1.33 -0.73 -0.30 -0.60 -0.56 1.12 1.03 0.67 0.72 0.56 -2.94 -2.936
EV/FCF 0.20 -1.53 -2.30 -6.28 -10.20 -8.42 -5.70 -4.86 -4.06 -1.70 1.85 1.10 2.22 1.96 1.45 0.99 0.68 0.71 0.53 -3.76 -3.756
Earnings Yield -1.2% -50.8% -22.8% -14.4% -16.9% -20.0% -27.2% -31.0% -25.2% -58.5% 90.6% 1.1% 1.6% 1.7% -96.5% -92.6% -87.3% -1.1% -1.0% -28.1% -28.14%
FCF Yield -79.1% -33.5% -19.7% -11.9% -8.2% -9.9% -14.1% -17.9% -21.5% -45.8% -36.0% -28.7% -41.1% -46.2% -87.7% -1.1% -97.9% -1.2% -1.2% -24.0% -24.03%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.815
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 2.581
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 1337.354
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.00%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Current Ratio 15.98 15.86 12.18 9.57 6.66 5.47 4.89 3.20 4.11 2.18 16.44 11.18 13.68 13.79 12.94 10.25 8.61 6.94 6.33 5.70 5.695
Quick Ratio 15.98 15.86 12.18 9.57 6.66 5.47 4.83 3.11 3.89 2.00 16.44 11.18 13.68 13.79 12.94 10.25 8.61 6.94 6.33 5.80 5.796
Debt/Equity 0.00 0.02 0.04 0.04 0.13 0.14 0.16 0.24 0.05 0.08 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.004
Net Debt/Equity -1.02 -1.01 -1.02 -1.04 -0.96 -0.97 -1.01 -1.05 -1.06 -1.45 -1.03 -0.84 -0.89 -0.91 -0.93 -0.94 -0.90 -0.94 -1.00 -0.25 -0.251
Debt/Assets 0.00 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.16 0.04 0.04 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.003
Debt/EBITDA -0.00 -0.07 -0.08 -0.06 -0.35 -0.30 -0.26 -0.18 -0.02 -0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 -0.02 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.00 -0.005
Net Debt/EBITDA 2.42 2.74 2.34 1.73 2.68 2.08 1.70 0.80 0.51 0.38 -1.84 -1.27 -1.25 -1.19 2.01 1.95 1.69 1.55 1.46 0.32 0.317
Interest Coverage — — — — — — — — — -5064.29 7322.14 8070.62 8096.95 — — — — — — — —
Equity Multiplier 1.07 1.09 1.12 1.15 1.19 1.23 1.28 1.47 1.37 1.92 1.07 1.09 1.08 1.08 1.08 1.10 1.11 1.15 1.17 1.20 1.200
Cash Ratio snapshot only 1.301
Cash to Debt snapshot only 67.793
FCF to Debt snapshot only -164.799
Defensive Interval snapshot only 120.2 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Asset Turnover 0.08 0.09 0.10 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.00 0.01 0.15 0.18 0.21 0.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.001
Inventory Turnover — — — — — — 45.52 20.02 16.29 6.76 0.58 0.33 0.20 8.37 — — — — — — —
Receivables Turnover (trade) 9.11 19.93 10.02 6.83 7.13 22.61 14.17 5.75 2.32 -0.32 126.89 48.74 102.07 -17.60 4.73 0.62 0.12 1.86 1.92 6.95 6.951
Payables Turnover 18.32 19.94 16.08 19.69 16.51 22.56 27.17 13.57 9.78 8.72 0.18 0.16 0.11 9.68 11.27 18.30 16.15 12.34 5.42 0.00 —
DSO (trade) 40 18 36 53 51 16 26 63 157 -1146 3 7 4 -21 77 588 2978 196 191 53 52.5 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 18 22 54 626 1095 1786 44 0 0 0 0 0 — —
DPO 20 18 23 19 22 16 13 27 37 42 1991 2310 3325 38 32 20 23 30 67 — —
Cash Conversion Cycle (trade) 20 0 14 35 29 -0 20 55 142 -1134 -1363 -1207 -1536 -15 45 568 2955 167 123 — —
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 0.155
Cash Velocity snapshot only 0.007
Capital Intensity snapshot only 688.717
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Revenue 29.9% 25.9% 3.8% -57.1% -51.2% -59.9% -72.3% -63.2% -90.0% -86.7% 9.8% 16.1% 60.0% 54.4% -96.6% -99.0% -99.9% -99.6% -86.0% -34.6% -34.57%
Net Income -56.4% -47.1% 71.5% 61.3% -23.9% -41.6% -3.1% -3.0% 22.9% 23.1% 2.1% 2.0% 2.8% 2.7% -1.5% -1.5% -1.5% -1.5% -1.9% -11.5% -11.53%
EPS -28.9% -21.3% 73.2% 62.2% 4.6% -1.9% -2.0% -1.9% 29.0% 24.2% 2.0% 2.0% 2.7% 2.7% -1.5% -1.5% -1.5% -1.5% -0.7% -9.9% -9.86%
FCF -37.4% -26.3% 61.9% 52.1% 10.1% -6.0% -1.5% -1.8% -35.4% -22.2% 18.8% 53.1% 46.5% 40.5% -22.3% -1.1% -1.0% -93.8% -32.3% 22.3% 22.33%
EBITDA 38.8% 50.6% 41.5% 12.4% -12.5% -62.4% -72.6% -1.0% -1.1% -91.8% 3.5% 2.9% 2.7% 2.6% -1.6% -1.5% -1.5% -1.5% 3.4% -3.8% -3.76%
Op. Income -54.0% -43.0% 71.3% 61.6% -21.3% -39.1% -3.0% -2.9% 23.1% 23.3% 47.7% 65.2% 40.6% 45.7% -26.2% -54.1% -55.8% -64.1% 3.4% -3.8% -3.76%
OCF Growth snapshot only -8.93%
Asset Growth snapshot only -31.38%
Equity Growth snapshot only -36.96%
Debt Growth snapshot only -64.82%
Shares Change snapshot only 1.52%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Revenue 3Y 27.1% 37.4% 33.5% 6.1% 9.8% -1.2% -10.1% -35.0% -60.1% -59.3% 46.0% 39.3% 44.1% 43.6% -53.1% -60.8% -80.5% -68.4% -62.7% -52.5% -52.51%
Revenue 5Y 20.5% 8.0% 4.6% -13.0% -12.3% -11.6% -14.9% -19.1% -36.8% -32.6% 48.2% 49.7% 52.0% 48.1% -23.0% -46.2% -65.8% -56.3% -56.8% -55.8% -55.77%
EPS 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EPS 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EBITDA 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Gross Profit 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Gross Profit 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Op. Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
OCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
OCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Assets 3Y -26.6% -26.7% -27.6% -28.9% -9.6% -10.0% -12.4% -19.2% -28.3% -31.1% 32.0% 32.8% 33.9% 33.3% 34.1% 35.9% 6.9% 6.8% 6.0% 13.2% 13.24%
Assets 5Y -17.0% -24.8% -24.9% -25.0% -13.3% -13.9% -14.8% -18.9% -24.8% -27.0% 3.6% 3.5% 3.8% 3.7% 2.5% 2.2% 1.7% 1.8% 4.4% 4.1% 4.11%
Equity 3Y -27.3% -28.0% -29.5% -30.8% -13.4% -14.6% -17.9% -27.3% -33.7% -42.8% 34.8% 32.7% 33.5% 34.0% 35.8% 38.0% 9.2% 9.3% 9.1% 21.3% 21.26%
Book Value 3Y -33.9% -34.4% -35.7% -37.0% -27.2% -29.9% -32.4% -39.2% -44.6% -52.2% 17.7% 17.7% 18.5% 19.0% 20.7% 22.9% 5.4% 7.9% 7.7% 19.7% 19.72%
Dividend 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Revenue Stability 0.66 0.26 0.14 0.04 0.06 0.01 0.00 0.08 0.16 0.10 0.38 0.30 0.29 0.27 0.05 0.03 0.01 0.01 0.05 0.07 0.069
Earnings Stability 0.00 0.04 0.17 0.25 0.08 0.14 0.06 0.27 0.61 0.64 0.24 0.20 0.28 0.27 0.11 0.09 0.14 0.13 0.03 0.03 0.026
Margin Stability 0.47 0.47 0.42 0.54 0.40 0.45 0.41 0.44 0.00 0.12 0.00 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.81 0.50 0.50 0.90 0.83 0.50 0.50 0.91 0.91 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
ROE Trend -0.66 -0.63 0.32 0.11 -0.25 -0.41 -0.62 -1.73 -1.09 -2.70 1.47 2.24 2.28 3.30 0.02 0.52 0.21 0.95 -0.70 -0.86 -0.856
Gross Margin Trend 6.26 5.53 5.26 -1.41 -0.35 -2.94 -8.16 -9.08 -45.73 -17.95 7.52 10.34 27.26 14.53 -22.79 -159.21 -1288.50 -244.66 -119.35 83.11 83.106
FCF Margin Trend 3.31 3.12 7.90 0.02 -5.36 -9.32 -19.45 -44.23 -144.39 -126.75 11.85 27.27 80.92 74.55 -52.53 -273.96 -2181.58 -597.79 -586.59 -205.36 -205.359
Sustainable Growth Rate — — — — — — — — — — 81.2% 1.1% 1.2% 1.5% — — — — — — —
Internal Growth Rate — — — — — — — — — — 2.6% 9.7% -10.9% -5.1% — — — — — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
OCF/Net Income 0.67 0.66 0.86 0.83 0.48 0.49 0.52 0.58 0.85 0.78 -0.40 -0.27 -0.26 -0.27 0.91 0.87 0.78 0.80 0.84 0.85 0.851
FCF/OCF 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.41 1.44 1.42 1.40 1.00 1.004
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.854
CapEx/Revenue 0.6% 0.2% 0.6% 1.1% 2.3% 5.2% 6.3% 10.5% 23.6% 3.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 7.8% 86.9% 685.9% 195.7% 177.3% 1.4% 1.35%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 3.053
Accruals Ratio -0.25 -0.25 -0.04 -0.07 -0.51 -0.57 -0.62 -0.79 -0.13 -0.23 1.00 1.15 1.38 1.58 -0.03 -0.04 -0.08 -0.08 -0.07 -0.07 -0.074
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.327
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only -261.990
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio — — — — — — — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — — — — — — —
FCF Payout Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Total Payout Ratio — — — — — — — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — — — — — — —
Div. Increase Streak — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield -39.3% -18.1% -22.5% -0.3% -14.1% -15.8% -20.4% -19.3% -0.2% -0.4% -0.4% -0.8% -0.9% -0.9% -1.3% 0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.6% -2.2% -2.18%
Total Shareholder Return -39.3% -18.1% -22.5% -0.3% -14.1% -15.8% -20.4% -19.3% -0.2% -0.4% -0.4% -0.8% -0.9% -0.9% -1.3% 0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.6% -2.2% -2.18%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.02 1.02 0.97 0.97 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 2.45 2.82 0.97 0.98 2.71 2.48 2.32 1.91 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.02 1.03 1.05 0.88 0.88 0.89 0.89 0.90 0.92 0.915
EBIT Margin -3.77 -3.04 -3.32 -8.29 -8.65 -12.23 -20.55 -45.74 -180.18 -174.92 4.65 5.01 4.99 5.11 -84.72 -287.24 -2274.07 -657.78 -583.81 -455.50 -455.505
Asset Turnover 0.08 0.09 0.10 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.00 0.01 0.15 0.18 0.21 0.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.001
Equity Multiplier 1.08 1.09 1.13 1.11 1.14 1.17 1.21 1.31 1.24 1.36 1.13 1.17 1.12 1.17 1.08 1.09 1.09 1.11 1.12 1.14 1.140
Per Share
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-1.71 $-1.57 $-0.57 $-0.69 $-1.63 $-1.60 $-1.68 $-1.99 $-1.15 $-1.22 $1.75 $1.96 $2.02 $2.07 $-0.93 $-0.89 $-0.93 $-0.94 $-0.93 $-0.98 $-0.98
Book Value/Share $1.64 $1.50 $1.34 $1.17 $1.67 $1.38 $1.21 $0.79 $0.55 $0.32 $3.12 $2.92 $2.72 $2.53 $2.35 $2.17 $1.95 $1.74 $1.51 $1.35 $1.36
Tangible Book/Share $1.64 $1.50 $1.34 $1.17 $1.67 $1.38 $1.21 $0.79 $0.55 $0.32 $3.12 $2.92 $2.72 $2.53 $2.35 $2.17 $1.95 $1.74 $1.51 $1.35 $1.35
Revenue/Share $0.18 $0.18 $0.18 $0.09 $0.07 $0.05 $0.04 $0.02 $0.01 $0.01 $0.38 $0.38 $0.39 $0.38 $0.01 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
FCF/Share $-1.14 $-1.04 $-0.49 $-0.58 $-0.79 $-0.79 $-0.87 $-1.15 $-0.98 $-0.95 $-0.69 $-0.53 $-0.52 $-0.56 $-0.84 $-1.09 $-1.04 $-1.07 $-1.10 $-0.84 $-0.84
OCF/Share $-1.14 $-1.04 $-0.49 $-0.57 $-0.79 $-0.79 $-0.87 $-1.15 $-0.98 $-0.95 $-0.69 $-0.53 $-0.52 $-0.56 $-0.84 $-0.78 $-0.72 $-0.76 $-0.79 $-0.83 $-0.84
Cash/Share $1.67 $1.55 $1.41 $1.26 $1.81 $1.53 $1.42 $1.02 $0.61 $0.49 $3.24 $2.47 $2.43 $2.32 $2.19 $2.06 $1.78 $1.65 $1.52 $0.34 $1.47
EBITDA/Share $-0.69 $-0.55 $-0.58 $-0.70 $-0.60 $-0.64 $-0.72 $-1.04 $-1.16 $-1.22 $1.75 $1.93 $1.93 $1.94 $-1.08 $-1.05 $-1.04 $-1.06 $-1.03 $-1.07 $-1.07
Debt/Share $0.00 $0.04 $0.05 $0.04 $0.21 $0.19 $0.19 $0.19 $0.03 $0.03 $0.03 $0.02 $0.02 $0.02 $0.02 $0.01 $0.02 $0.02 $0.01 $0.01 $0.01
Net Debt/Share $-1.67 $-1.51 $-1.36 $-1.21 $-1.60 $-1.34 $-1.23 $-0.83 $-0.58 $-0.46 $-3.22 $-2.44 $-2.41 $-2.30 $-2.18 $-2.04 $-1.76 $-1.64 $-1.51 $-0.34 $-0.34
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -1.989
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -5.588
Piotroski F-Score 4 4 4 2 2 1 1 2 2 3 6 6 6 5 2 2 1 2 3 3 3
Beneish M-Score -4.53 -4.62 -3.92 -4.86 120.94 74.04 12.56 31.83 -29.02 -112.67 201.63 18.59 20.86 3.65 -804.78 166.24 — -343.03 -748.62 -2798.84 -2798.839
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -1.647
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only -85.12%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $1.24
EVA snapshot only $-85396730.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BB
Credit Score 43.34 74.79 41.73 71.55 72.91 73.12 48.88 39.71 42.22 30.41 90.28 88.08 81.26 64.65 44.50 44.66 44.52 44.23 44.45 44.10 44.096
Credit Grade snapshot only 12
Credit Trend snapshot only -0.561
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 475.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 41
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 36

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