CNM NYSE
Core & Main, Inc.
1W: +1.9%
1M: -0.1%
3M: -0.0%
YTD: -20.7%
1Y: -22.5%
3Y: +41.4%
5Y: +74.3%
$42.35
-0.03 (-0.07%)
Weekly Expected Move ±3.0%
$39
$41
$42
$43
$44
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 67% of companies Debt: 26.0% of company value Bonds: $77.2M held by 180 funds, 145 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the safest four tenths, about 1 in 3,500 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $0.88 (down 98%), Core & Main, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $2.75B against a stock market value of $7.81B.
Distance to default 7.11 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-08-02, debt counted $1.23B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 32.2%; Altman Z'' 3.32. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $0.88 (down 98%), Core & Main, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $2.75B against a stock market value of $7.81B.
Distance to default 7.11 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-08-02, debt counted $1.23B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 32.2%; Altman Z'' 3.32. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Institutions
ETF Exposure
Dark Pool
Short Interest
Supply Chain
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+10.7% YTD avg
Midterm Year
⛈️
Stormy
-25.4% YTD avg
2026 Now
⛈️
Stormy
Below typical
20yr Avg YTD
+10.7%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
-25.4%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
-20.7%
Below 20yr avg
Typical Vol
32%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
💨
+8.2%
Midterm
⛈️
-20.5%
80% win
36% vol
Feb
20yr
⛅
+7.1%
Midterm
⛈️
-27.9%
60% win
31% vol
Mar
20yr
💨
+12.7%
Midterm
⛈️
-21.4%
40% win
38% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
+22.0%
Midterm
⛈️
-22.6%
60% win
39% vol
May
20yr
⛅
+21.6%
Midterm
⛈️
-22.3%
60% win
35% vol
Jun
20yr
💨
+18.4%
Midterm
⛈️
-28.2%
40% win
46% vol
Jul
20yr
💨
+24.9%
Midterm
⛈️
-22.1%
83% win
44% vol
Aug
20yr
🌧️
+23.1%
Midterm
⛈️
-23.4%
50% win
32% vol
Sep
20yr
⛈️
+8.9%
Midterm
⛈️
-26.1%
0% win
58% vol
Oct
20yr
⛅
+11.5%
Midterm
⛈️
-23.4%
67% win
32% vol
Now:
+2.1%
Nov
20yr
💨
+15.3%
Midterm
⛈️
-32.4%
40% win
40% vol
Dec
20yr
💨
+6.9%
Midterm
🌧️
-7.2%
80% win
42% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: -20.7%