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CONE NASDAQ

CyrusOne Inc.
1W: -0.0% 1M: +0.5% 3M: +0.9% 1Y: +35.6% 3Y: +73.9% 5Y: +77.8%
$90.36
Last traded 2022-03-24 — delisted
NASDAQ · Real Estate · REIT - Industrial

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NO EDGE
34.6 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Efficient Scale  ·  ROIC: 0.3%  ·  5Y Avg: -0.2%
Cost Advantage
33
Intangibles
14
Switching Cost
36
Network Effect
48
Scale ★
55
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. CONE has No discernible competitive edge (34.6/100). The business operates without significant structural advantages. The primary source of advantage is Efficient Scale. ROIC of 0.3% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 12Hold: 20Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$—
Analysts0
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2021-11-14 MoffettNathanson Nick Del Deo Initiated $90 — +1.8% $88.93
2021-10-28 Truist Financial Gregory P Miller Initiated $85 — +4.2% $81.55
2021-10-28 Wells Fargo Eric Luebchow Initiated $82 — +0.6% $81.55
2021-10-27 Berenberg Bank Nate Crossett Initiated $93 — +14.0% $81.58
2021-10-27 Barclays Tim Long Initiated $84 — +3.0% $81.58
2021-10-11 Wolfe Research Andrew Rosivach CFA Initiated $80 — +5.9% $75.55
2021-09-28 Bank of America Securities Michael Funk Initiated $90 — +16.2% $77.47

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 38 Grade C
Profitability
19
Balance Sheet
39
Earnings Quality
62
Growth
33
Value
40
Momentum
65
Safety
30
Cash Flow
78
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. CONE scores highest in Cash Flow (78/100) and lowest in Profitability (19/100). A grade of C represents mixed fundamentals — strengths in some areas offset by weaknesses.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
1.55
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-2.53
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-6.77
Bankruptcy prob: 0.1%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
B+
Score: 32.6/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 60.46x
Accruals: -6.5%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. CONE scores 1.55, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. CONE scores 5/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. CONE's score of -2.53 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. CONE's implied 0.1% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. CONE receives an estimated rating of B+ (score: 32.6/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). CONE's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
451.80x
PEG
-5.31x
P/S
0.00x
P/B
3.83x
P/FCF
24.03x
P/OCF
24.03x
EV/EBITDA
25.60x
EV/Revenue
12.41x
EV/EBIT
175.97x
EV/FCF
31.32x
Earnings Yield
0.07%
FCF Yield
4.16%
Shareholder Yield
2.21%
Graham Number
$5.64
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 451.8x earnings, CONE is priced for high growth expectations. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $5.64 per share, 1503% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.387
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.240
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.070
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.168
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.618
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
0.3%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. CONE's ROE of 0.3% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.168), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 0.39 suggests the company retains less than 60% of pre-tax earnings after taxes.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
15.00%
Fair P/E
38.50x
Intrinsic Value
$2.38
Price/Value
37.73x
Margin of Safety
-3672.87%
Premium
3672.87%
Assessment
Overvalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with CONE's realized 15.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. CONE actually compounded EPS at 76.1% over three years; the model uses 15%, the highest rate it will extrapolate — of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it over the following seven years. CONE trades at a 3673% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $2.38, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 38.5x compares to the current market P/E of 451.8x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$90.36
Median 1Y
$102.33
5th Pctile
$65.84
95th Pctile
$158.95
Ann. Volatility
29.6%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Current
ROE -1.4% -2.1% -6.7% -5.8% -0.6% 5.7% 6.1% 0.1% 2.2% -3.1% -0.5% 1.8% -1.4% 0.8% -1.2% 1.7% 1.8% 0.3% 1.9% 0.3% 0.29%
ROA -0.5% -0.8% -2.6% -2.3% -0.2% 2.3% 2.3% 0.0% 0.9% -1.3% -0.2% 0.7% -0.5% 0.3% -0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.11%
ROIC 1.8% 1.6% 0.3% 0.5% 0.7% 1.0% 2.0% 1.2% 1.4% 1.0% 0.9% 1.4% 1.0% 1.5% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.31%
ROCE 1.1% 0.9% -0.6% -0.3% 1.6% 4.2% 3.9% 1.8% 2.6% 0.5% 1.3% 2.1% 0.6% 1.4% 0.4% 1.5% 1.5% 0.9% 1.6% 1.2% 1.25%
Gross Margin 65.0% 64.3% 64.1% 66.6% 65.5% 65.0% 62.4% 64.8% 63.0% 58.9% 58.9% 63.1% 62.3% 61.4% 58.3% 58.9% 54.5% 57.2% 56.1% 56.0% 56.00%
Operating Margin 13.3% 10.0% -20.7% 13.2% 14.1% 13.7% 9.8% 6.7% 5.2% 7.8% 5.3% 8.8% 5.4% 8.2% -1.8% 3.9% 4.7% 6.5% 2.8% 3.3% 3.27%
Net Margin -20.4% -0.5% -31.4% 1.6% 22.1% 53.8% -20.5% -47.8% 39.7% -3.4% 5.0% -20.5% 6.0% 17.6% -14.2% 7.1% 6.1% 2.6% 2.2% -7.7% -7.66%
EBITDA Margin 26.3% 48.0% 18.5% 52.5% 71.1% 1.1% 32.7% 7.2% 95.6% 45.0% 54.0% 28.9% 56.0% 65.3% 33.2% 56.9% 51.3% 50.5% 49.5% 43.0% 43.03%
FCF Margin -1.8% -1.9% -1.8% -1.7% -83.2% -34.5% -6.2% 20.0% 36.4% 36.3% 40.4% 37.3% 40.7% 40.9% 42.3% 44.2% 43.9% 42.0% 43.6% 39.6% 39.61%
OCF Margin 32.6% 35.0% 36.4% 43.1% 38.7% 42.2% 38.7% 37.7% 36.4% 36.3% 40.4% 37.3% 40.7% 40.9% 42.3% 44.2% 43.9% 42.0% 43.6% 39.6% 39.61%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 1.20%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only -0.25%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 0.46%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 0.35%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 0.30%
Cash ROA snapshot only 6.41%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 7.46%
CROIC snapshot only 7.46%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 1.65%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 1.69%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 9.69%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 1.87%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Current
P/E Ratio -269.96 -171.54 -62.65 -68.44 -515.30 59.74 57.45 4675.47 121.14 -97.00 -729.91 179.00 -213.44 416.69 -279.88 223.81 183.00 1208.33 187.56 1452.56 451.800
P/S Ratio 7.75 7.47 8.52 8.50 6.88 7.74 8.08 6.83 6.71 7.22 9.46 7.55 7.09 8.36 8.16 8.97 7.56 7.92 8.33 9.52 0.000
P/B Ratio 3.33 3.04 3.89 3.33 2.67 3.01 2.82 2.52 2.40 2.65 3.71 3.04 3.01 3.42 3.19 3.62 3.14 3.32 3.43 3.92 3.829
P/FCF -4.29 -3.98 -4.67 -5.11 -8.26 -22.47 -130.61 34.19 18.46 19.88 23.42 20.26 17.42 20.41 19.30 20.31 17.24 18.84 19.10 24.03 24.027
P/OCF 23.75 21.32 23.38 19.74 17.76 18.33 20.87 18.14 18.46 19.88 23.42 20.26 17.42 20.41 19.30 20.31 17.24 18.84 19.10 24.03 24.027
EV/EBITDA 26.24 25.51 35.03 31.62 19.88 16.59 17.32 18.98 16.76 22.09 24.38 19.02 22.54 22.90 24.97 23.27 20.73 23.01 21.71 25.60 25.603
EV/Revenue 11.07 10.71 11.91 11.60 9.59 10.50 11.30 9.95 9.98 10.06 12.34 10.42 10.35 11.69 11.41 12.27 10.70 11.08 11.27 12.41 12.406
EV/EBIT 171.40 203.12 -317.37 -628.58 99.80 43.12 43.62 84.67 58.75 352.63 161.63 85.39 285.66 142.18 435.48 132.79 118.93 206.11 119.69 175.97 175.970
EV/FCF -6.12 -5.71 -6.53 -6.98 -11.52 -30.46 -182.68 49.79 27.44 27.71 30.52 27.95 25.41 28.55 27.00 27.79 24.38 26.37 25.85 31.32 31.318
Earnings Yield -0.4% -0.6% -1.6% -1.5% -0.2% 1.7% 1.7% 0.0% 0.8% -1.0% -0.1% 0.6% -0.5% 0.2% -0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.07%
FCF Yield -23.3% -25.1% -21.4% -19.6% -12.1% -4.5% -0.8% 2.9% 5.4% 5.0% 4.3% 4.9% 5.7% 4.9% 5.2% 4.9% 5.8% 5.3% 5.2% 4.2% 4.16%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 4.896
EV/OCF snapshot only 31.318
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 22.172
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 290.437
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 2.21%
Graham Number snapshot only $5.64
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Current
Current Ratio 0.41 0.49 0.48 0.95 3.29 1.38 1.02 0.46 1.40 1.40 1.11 1.10 1.06 1.17 1.29 1.80 1.77 1.41 1.54 1.57 1.568
Quick Ratio 0.41 0.49 0.48 0.95 3.29 1.38 1.02 0.46 1.40 1.40 1.11 1.10 1.06 1.17 1.29 1.80 1.77 1.41 1.54 1.57 1.568
Debt/Equity 1.44 1.35 1.57 1.30 1.29 1.30 1.28 1.27 1.34 1.14 1.19 1.24 1.40 1.39 1.33 1.44 1.39 1.47 1.37 1.31 1.310
Net Debt/Equity 1.43 1.32 1.55 1.21 1.05 1.07 1.12 1.15 1.17 1.04 1.13 1.15 1.38 1.36 1.27 1.34 1.30 1.33 1.21 1.19 1.191
Debt/Assets 0.53 0.52 0.56 0.52 0.53 0.54 0.52 0.50 0.54 0.48 0.49 0.49 0.53 0.53 0.52 0.53 0.53 0.54 0.53 0.51 0.514
Debt/EBITDA 7.94 7.89 10.09 9.05 6.90 5.27 5.61 6.56 6.32 6.81 6.00 5.62 7.22 6.66 7.45 6.77 6.50 7.26 6.43 6.55 6.554
Net Debt/EBITDA 7.86 7.73 9.98 8.44 5.62 4.35 4.94 5.95 5.48 6.24 5.68 5.23 7.09 6.53 7.12 6.27 6.07 6.57 5.67 5.96 5.961
Interest Coverage 0.72 0.57 -0.40 -0.18 0.92 2.24 2.26 1.02 1.48 0.27 0.81 1.46 0.49 1.23 0.44 1.66 1.72 1.04 1.76 1.32 1.316
Equity Multiplier 2.72 2.60 2.82 2.52 2.43 2.40 2.45 2.51 2.50 2.38 2.44 2.52 2.66 2.63 2.58 2.70 2.64 2.73 2.62 2.55 2.549
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.554
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 9.043
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.090
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.125
Defensive Interval snapshot only 454.3 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Current
Asset Turnover 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.18 0.18 0.17 0.17 0.16 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.17 0.168
Inventory Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Receivables Turnover 7.16 7.48 7.58 7.73 4.96 5.08 4.92 8.35 3.78 3.85 3.77 4.93 3.62 3.50 3.48 3.30 3.13 3.11 3.23 3.20 3.196
Payables Turnover 0.86 0.97 0.97 0.97 1.50 1.41 1.61 1.55 4.15 3.35 3.21 3.14 3.88 3.24 2.85 3.00 3.14 3.48 2.97 3.09 3.087
DSO 51 49 48 47 74 72 74 44 96 95 97 74 101 104 105 111 117 117 113 114 114.2 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 425 374 376 374 244 258 227 235 88 109 114 116 94 113 128 121 116 105 123 118 118.2 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -374 -326 -328 -327 -170 -186 -153 -191 9 -14 -17 -42 7 -8 -23 -11 0 12 -10 -4 -4.0 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 7.729
Cash Velocity snapshot only 3.482
Capital Intensity snapshot only 6.181
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Current
Revenue 29.9% 26.5% 24.5% 27.0% 28.3% 25.4% 24.1% 22.2% 18.1% 20.7% 21.5% 19.5% 17.9% 11.4% 7.4% 5.3% 8.4% 10.7% 13.4% 16.7% 16.66%
Net Income -1.9% -3.9% -5.7% -5.2% 40.4% 4.7% 2.3% 1.0% 5.9% -1.7% -1.1% 33.5% -1.7% 1.3% -1.4% 0.0% 2.3% -63.9% 2.7% -80.9% -80.92%
EPS -1.5% -3.8% -5.2% -4.5% 47.9% 4.0% 2.2% 1.0% 5.4% -1.6% -1.1% 31.3% -1.7% 1.3% -1.3% -10.6% 2.3% -66.1% 2.6% -81.1% -81.10%
FCF -3.3% -2.2% -1.5% -1.0% 40.9% 77.0% 95.8% 1.1% 1.5% 2.3% 8.9% 1.2% 32.1% 25.6% 12.3% 24.8% 16.8% 13.5% 17.0% 4.7% 4.67%
EBITDA 24.0% 13.2% -12.2% -3.1% 46.7% 89.0% 1.4% 74.7% 45.8% -13.1% -5.8% 24.8% -9.1% 24.8% -3.0% 1.4% 21.8% 4.4% 28.8% 7.2% 7.21%
Op. Income 85.2% 18.1% -81.3% -65.8% -55.8% -37.8% 6.7% 2.7% 1.3% 57.2% -39.8% -25.3% -7.3% 5.0% -12.6% -40.1% -40.2% -45.0% -1.0% 28.4% 28.43%
OCF Growth snapshot only 4.67%
Asset Growth snapshot only 8.04%
Equity Growth snapshot only 14.29%
Debt Growth snapshot only 3.83%
Shares Change snapshot only 0.97%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 6.46%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Current
Revenue 3Y 25.9% 25.9% 25.7% 26.6% 28.5% 29.3% 27.9% 27.2% 25.4% 24.2% 23.4% 22.9% 21.4% 19.0% 17.5% 15.4% 14.7% 14.1% 14.0% 13.6% 13.65%
Revenue 5Y — — — — 64.3% 43.4% 32.5% 25.5% 24.8% 24.8% 24.6% 24.3% 24.2% 23.8% 22.3% 20.9% 20.3% 18.7% 18.0% 17.9% 17.91%
EPS 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — 13.7% — — — — — -60.7% -28.0% 76.1% 76.10%
EPS 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -12.5% 13.1% -24.3% -24.32%
Net Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — 27.7% — — — — — -57.8% -22.4% 87.4% 87.42%
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -4.3% 23.2% -16.9% -16.87%
EBITDA 3Y 12.9% 8.7% -1.6% 17.7% 32.9% 49.1% 50.0% 36.6% 38.4% 23.0% 25.4% 28.3% 24.8% 27.0% 29.6% 30.3% 17.3% 4.2% 5.6% 10.7% 10.70%
EBITDA 5Y — — — — 1.0% 89.5% 76.9% 25.9% 25.2% 16.1% 16.4% 28.9% 25.5% 29.1% 25.3% 26.4% 24.1% 19.4% 19.8% 18.1% 18.09%
Gross Profit 3Y 26.1% 26.1% 26.7% 28.4% 30.7% 31.3% 29.4% 28.3% 25.4% 22.8% 21.5% 20.5% 19.1% 17.3% 15.4% 12.5% 10.4% 9.2% 9.0% 8.4% 8.44%
Gross Profit 5Y — — — — 63.6% 44.0% 32.8% 25.4% 24.6% 24.1% 23.8% 23.7% 23.8% 23.4% 21.7% 19.9% 18.1% 16.0% 15.1% 14.6% 14.58%
Op. Income 3Y 27.5% 22.8% -30.1% -15.5% 2.4% 19.2% 62.8% 57.9% 23.6% 4.9% -4.8% -1.7% -1.9% 0.9% 59.1% 18.5% 8.5% -3.2% -19.5% -16.9% -16.89%
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — — 1.1% 50.5% 16.2% 12.6% 9.5% 10.9% 18.1% 22.8% 17.8% 12.0% 0.9% -7.8% -5.7% -6.1% -6.09%
FCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 42.8% 42.77%
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
OCF 3Y 25.6% 36.7% 11.0% 37.6% 37.8% 34.9% 34.5% 30.2% 24.6% 24.2% 28.6% 26.5% 30.6% 25.4% 23.4% 16.4% 19.6% 13.9% 18.6% 15.6% 15.58%
OCF 5Y — — — — 62.1% 50.1% — 31.3% 27.3% 32.0% 18.0% 26.9% 30.8% 26.2% 28.2% 26.6% 24.4% 22.3% 22.8% 21.5% 21.47%
Assets 3Y 32.4% 36.3% 36.2% 39.6% 41.8% 32.5% 36.0% 36.6% 33.7% 32.7% 29.8% 29.1% 21.0% 19.2% 20.0% 16.9% 15.4% 16.1% 10.1% 10.0% 10.04%
Assets 5Y — — — — 23.4% 24.9% 29.3% 30.0% 31.2% 31.3% 30.8% 31.1% 31.8% 26.6% 25.2% 25.7% 22.7% 23.6% 22.2% 21.2% 21.17%
Equity 3Y 59.8% 45.2% 42.7% 54.9% 60.8% 33.5% 41.6% 39.4% 31.7% 34.0% 26.7% 28.0% 21.9% 18.8% 23.7% 14.3% 12.1% 11.3% 7.8% 9.5% 9.51%
Book Value 3Y 3.1% 13.9% 7.3% 12.6% 15.5% 6.2% 18.0% 22.8% 15.2% 18.9% 13.3% 14.0% 10.0% 5.1% 13.2% 4.2% 3.9% 3.6% 0.1% 2.9% 2.90%
Dividend 3Y -28.3% -14.2% -17.5% -21.2% -22.7% -14.3% -10.8% -5.3% -6.2% -5.7% -5.3% -6.4% -5.6% -7.4% -4.3% -5.2% -4.3% -4.3% -4.8% -3.7% -3.75%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Current
Revenue Stability 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.98 1.00 1.00 0.99 0.97 0.97 0.98 0.98 0.99 1.00 1.00 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.986
Earnings Stability 0.65 0.15 0.32 0.28 0.47 0.30 0.09 0.06 0.33 0.00 0.04 0.06 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.24 0.17 0.00 0.03 0.17 0.168
Margin Stability 0.98 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.97 0.98 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.98 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.94 0.942
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.84 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.50 1.00 0.20 0.50 0.20 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness — — — — — — — — — — — 0.00 — — — 1.00 — 0.06 — 0.00 0.000
ROE Trend 0.00 -0.01 -0.06 -0.05 0.00 0.05 0.07 0.02 0.03 -0.04 0.00 0.04 -0.02 -0.00 -0.03 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.03 -0.01 -0.014
Gross Margin Trend 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.03 -0.03 -0.04 -0.04 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.04 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.046
FCF Margin Trend -1.27 -1.32 -1.21 -1.02 0.34 0.96 1.30 1.55 1.68 1.47 1.35 1.10 0.64 0.40 0.25 0.16 0.05 0.03 0.02 -0.01 -0.011
Sustainable Growth Rate — — — — — -3.9% -3.4% -9.1% -6.8% — — -7.3% — -8.3% — -7.8% -7.9% -9.3% -7.3% -9.0% -8.97%
Internal Growth Rate — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Current
OCF/Net Income -11.37 -8.05 -2.68 -3.47 -29.01 3.26 2.75 257.75 6.56 -4.88 -31.17 8.83 -12.26 20.42 -14.50 11.02 10.62 64.14 9.82 60.46 60.456
FCF/OCF -5.54 -5.36 -5.01 -3.86 -2.15 -0.82 -0.16 0.53 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 60.456
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.818
CapEx/Revenue 2.1% 2.2% 2.2% 2.1% 1.2% 76.7% 44.9% 17.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.000
Accruals Ratio -0.07 -0.07 -0.10 -0.10 -0.07 -0.05 -0.04 -0.06 -0.05 -0.08 -0.07 -0.06 -0.07 -0.06 -0.07 -0.06 -0.07 -0.07 -0.06 -0.07 -0.065
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.059
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.881
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Current
Dividend Yield 2.9% 2.9% 2.6% 2.5% 3.1% 2.8% 2.7% 3.2% 3.3% 3.0% 2.3% 2.8% 3.1% 2.7% 2.8% 2.5% 2.9% 2.8% 2.6% 2.2% 2.29%
Dividend/Share $1.47 $1.63 $1.53 $1.52 $1.60 $1.64 $1.71 $1.71 $1.75 $1.73 $1.78 $1.86 $1.90 $1.95 $1.95 $1.86 $1.98 $1.98 $2.01 $1.99 $2.07
Payout Ratio — — — — — 1.7% 1.6% 150.9% 4.0% — — 5.1% — 11.1% — 5.7% 5.4% 33.5% 4.9% 32.1% 32.14%
FCF Payout Ratio — — — — — — — 1.1% 61.7% 59.6% 52.8% 57.5% 53.5% 54.6% 53.8% 51.8% 50.5% 52.3% 49.5% 53.2% 53.16%
Total Payout Ratio — — — — — 1.7% 1.6% 150.9% 4.0% — — 5.1% — 11.1% — 5.7% 5.4% 33.6% 4.9% 32.1% 32.14%
Div. Increase Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Chowder Number 0.40 0.34 0.35 0.30 0.28 0.28 0.26 0.28 0.27 0.23 0.21 0.19 0.18 0.18 0.17 0.15 0.13 0.11 0.10 0.10 0.097
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield -9.3% -13.5% -7.6% -12.4% -12.9% -7.8% -13.5% -12.5% -11.6% -12.3% -4.5% -4.8% -3.6% -2.5% -5.2% -3.5% -5.1% -4.7% -4.2% -5.2% -5.21%
Total Shareholder Return -6.4% -10.5% -5.0% -9.8% -9.8% -4.9% -10.8% -9.2% -8.3% -9.3% -2.2% -2.0% -0.5% 0.2% -2.4% -1.0% -2.2% -1.9% -1.6% -3.0% -3.00%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.14 1.09 1.03 1.04 1.55 0.96 0.97 0.67 1.01 0.96 0.71 1.10 0.88 1.29 0.87 1.10 1.10 3.32 1.09 0.39 0.387
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) -0.39 -0.76 3.52 6.49 -0.09 0.55 0.56 0.02 0.32 -2.72 -0.24 0.31 -1.05 0.19 -1.28 0.40 0.42 0.04 0.43 0.24 0.240
EBIT Margin 0.06 0.05 -0.04 -0.02 0.10 0.24 0.26 0.12 0.17 0.03 0.08 0.12 0.04 0.08 0.03 0.09 0.09 0.05 0.09 0.07 0.070
Asset Turnover 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.18 0.18 0.17 0.17 0.16 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.17 0.168
Equity Multiplier 2.57 2.54 2.56 2.49 2.55 2.49 2.59 2.51 2.47 2.39 2.45 2.52 2.58 2.51 2.51 2.61 2.65 2.68 2.60 2.62 2.618
Per Share
Metric Trend Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-0.19 $-0.33 $-0.94 $-0.87 $-0.10 $0.98 $1.10 $0.01 $0.43 $-0.60 $-0.11 $0.37 $-0.29 $0.17 $-0.25 $0.33 $0.37 $0.06 $0.41 $0.06 $0.06
Book Value/Share $15.44 $18.32 $15.14 $17.85 $19.20 $19.40 $22.50 $20.98 $21.86 $21.77 $21.29 $21.50 $20.54 $21.27 $21.94 $20.20 $21.55 $21.54 $22.57 $22.86 $23.60
Tangible Book/Share $7.41 $9.93 $7.83 $11.00 $12.45 $12.90 $15.43 $14.47 $15.60 $15.85 $15.49 $15.75 $14.98 $15.82 $16.71 $15.36 $16.57 $16.71 $17.84 $18.33 $18.33
Revenue/Share $6.64 $7.47 $6.92 $7.00 $7.45 $7.54 $7.85 $7.74 $7.81 $8.00 $8.36 $8.66 $8.71 $8.70 $8.58 $8.16 $8.95 $9.04 $9.30 $9.43 $9.73
FCF/Share $-12.00 $-14.01 $-12.62 $-11.64 $-6.20 $-2.60 $-0.49 $1.55 $2.84 $2.90 $3.38 $3.23 $3.55 $3.56 $3.63 $3.60 $3.93 $3.80 $4.05 $3.73 $3.85
OCF/Share $2.17 $2.62 $2.52 $3.02 $2.88 $3.18 $3.04 $2.92 $2.84 $2.90 $3.38 $3.23 $3.55 $3.56 $3.63 $3.60 $3.93 $3.80 $4.05 $3.73 $3.85
Cash/Share $0.24 $0.50 $0.27 $1.58 $4.60 $4.38 $3.45 $2.47 $3.91 $2.09 $1.37 $1.87 $0.50 $0.61 $1.32 $2.14 $1.99 $3.00 $3.67 $2.71 $2.79
EBITDA/Share $2.80 $3.13 $2.35 $2.57 $3.59 $4.77 $5.12 $4.06 $4.65 $3.64 $4.23 $4.74 $4.00 $4.44 $3.92 $4.30 $4.62 $4.35 $4.83 $4.57 $4.57
Debt/Share $22.25 $24.73 $23.74 $23.24 $24.79 $25.13 $28.73 $26.61 $29.39 $24.81 $25.38 $26.68 $28.84 $29.61 $29.24 $29.11 $30.03 $31.58 $31.02 $29.93 $29.93
Net Debt/Share $22.01 $24.23 $23.47 $21.66 $20.18 $20.76 $25.28 $24.13 $25.48 $22.72 $24.00 $24.81 $28.34 $29.00 $27.93 $26.97 $28.05 $28.58 $27.35 $27.23 $27.23
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.552
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 2.525
Piotroski F-Score 3 3 5 5 6 7 7 6 5 5 5 7 4 6 4 4 7 5 6 5 5
Beneish M-Score -2.32 -2.29 -2.53 -2.62 -1.82 -1.73 -1.41 -2.50 -2.34 -2.36 -2.51 -1.26 -2.60 -2.62 -2.73 -2.57 -2.39 -2.40 -2.44 -2.53 -2.528
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -6.769
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 16.61%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-27.73
EVA snapshot only $-620656372.55
Credit
Metric Trend Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only B+
Credit Score 13.15 13.57 14.00 17.90 33.07 37.46 34.21 17.60 24.87 23.20 26.77 30.88 22.72 29.68 28.25 37.94 32.64 26.49 37.03 32.59 32.592
Credit Grade snapshot only 14
Credit Trend snapshot only -5.350
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 650.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 11
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 32

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