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Not Investment Advice

COUP NASDAQ

Coupa Software Incorporated
1W: +1.2% 1M: +1.4% 3M: +37.4% 1Y: -29.6% 3Y: -49.4% 5Y: +88.3%
$80.97
Last traded 2023-02-27 — delisted
NASDAQ · Technology · Software - Application · $6.1B mcap · 76M float · 3.03% daily turnover

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NO EDGE
36.0 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Network Effects  ·  ROIC: -13.3%  ·  5Y Avg: 5.6%
Cost Advantage
23
Intangibles
35
Switching Cost
28
Network Effect
69
Scale
35
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. COUP has No discernible competitive edge (36.0/100). The business operates without significant structural advantages. The primary source of advantage is Network Effects. Negative ROIC of -13.3% indicates the company is currently destroying value, though this may reflect a growth investment phase.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$81
Low
$81
Avg Target
$81
High
Based on 1 analyst since Dec 12, 2022 earnings
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 18Hold: 15Sell: 5Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$—
Analysts0
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2022-12-12 RBC Capital Rishi Jaluria $55 $81 +26 +3.0% $78.65
2022-11-25 Credit Suisse Fred Lee Initiated $60 — -4.3% $62.69
2022-10-19 Piper Sandler Brent Bracelin Initiated $55 — +5.0% $52.37
2022-09-07 RBC Capital Rishi Jaluria $55 $55 0 -15.8% $65.33
2022-09-06 Citigroup Steve Enders Initiated $82 — +46.9% $55.82
2022-09-06 D.A. Davidson Robert Simmons, CFA Initiated $70 — +25.4% $55.82
2022-09-06 Berenberg Bank Andrew Degasperi Initiated $71 — +27.2% $55.82
2022-09-06 UBS Taylor McGinnis $84 $78 -6 +39.7% $55.82
2022-09-06 RBC Capital Rishi Jaluria $65 $55 -10 -1.5% $55.82
2022-06-16 KeyBanc Josh Beck $200 $100 -100 +94.3% $51.47
2022-06-06 BMO Capital Daniel Jester $110 $85 -25 +14.8% $74.04
2022-06-06 Evercore ISI Peter Levine $140 $115 -25 +55.3% $74.04
2022-06-05 Mizuho Securities Siti Panigrahi $75 $75 0 +4.0% $72.13
2022-06-05 RBC Capital Rishi Jaluria $65 $65 0 -9.9% $72.13
2022-06-03 J.P. Morgan Pinjalim Bora $88 $75 -13 +6.0% $70.76
2022-06-01 UBS Taylor McGinnis Initiated $84 — +12.1% $74.93
2022-04-10 Evercore ISI Peter Levine Initiated $140 — +32.5% $105.66
2022-04-07 BMO Capital Daniel Jester Initiated $110 — +5.7% $104.04
2022-03-14 Mizuho Securities Siti Panigrahi Initiated $75 — +3.4% $72.55
2022-03-14 J.P. Morgan Mark Murphy Initiated $88 — +21.3% $72.55
2022-03-14 RBC Capital Rishi Jaluria Initiated $65 — -10.4% $72.55
2022-03-14 Wells Fargo Michael Turrin Initiated $80 — +10.3% $72.55
2022-03-14 Needham Ryan MacDonald Initiated $90 — +24.1% $72.55
2022-03-14 Canaccord Genuity Joseph Vafi Initiated $100 — +37.8% $72.55
2022-01-24 KeyBanc Josh Beck Initiated $200 — +62.6% $122.99
2021-12-06 FBN Securities Shebly Seyrafi Initiated $230 — +36.1% $169.00
2021-04-21 Wolfe Research Alex Zukin Initiated $310 — +17.0% $264.99

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 32 Grade D
Profitability
18
Balance Sheet
13
Earnings Quality
27
Growth
67
Value
19
Momentum
63
Safety
15
Cash Flow
61
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. COUP scores highest in Growth (67/100) and lowest in Balance Sheet (13/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
0.51
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
6/9
✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-3.12
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-4.52
Bankruptcy prob: 1.1%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
B
Score: 26.4/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
—
OCF/NI: -0.46x
Accruals: -15.2%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. COUP scores 0.51, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. COUP scores 6/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. COUP's score of -3.12 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. COUP's implied 1.1% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. COUP receives an estimated rating of B (score: 26.4/100), with a deteriorating trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
0.00x
PEG
0.00x
P/S
7.48x
P/B
6.89x
P/FCF
27.53x
P/OCF
26.96x
EV/EBITDA
-22.56x
EV/Revenue
6.58x
EV/EBIT
-15.74x
EV/FCF
36.63x
Earnings Yield
-8.15%
FCF Yield
3.63%
Shareholder Yield
0.25%
Graham Number
—
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 0.0x earnings, COUP trades at a deep value multiple.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
1.028
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.938
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
-0.418
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.260
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
5.180
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-54.3%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. COUP's ROE of -54.3% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 5.18x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance. A tax burden ratio of 1.03 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
—
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1608 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$80.97
Median 1Y
$79.31
5th Pctile
$30.53
95th Pctile
$205.53
Ann. Volatility
57.0%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
ROE -21.1% -22.0% -22.0% -18.6% -20.1% -21.3% -18.9% -21.6% -23.4% -21.7% -24.6% -32.7% -24.0% -36.2% -45.3% -51.2% -39.0% -53.6% -52.8% -54.3% -54.27%
ROA -10.2% -11.1% -10.7% -9.5% -8.5% -9.0% -6.4% -7.6% -7.8% -7.5% -5.8% -7.5% -7.7% -11.6% -11.7% -12.8% -12.0% -11.5% -10.7% -10.5% -10.48%
ROIC 3.8% 2.4% 1.5% -42.8% -22.5% -23.5% -13.7% -15.8% -12.1% -10.7% -10.1% -12.6% -6.6% -9.4% -10.6% -11.7% -10.6% -10.9% -11.6% -13.3% -13.26%
ROCE 0.0% -2.8% -8.3% -9.3% -12.9% -13.4% -5.7% -6.0% -5.9% -4.6% -4.1% -5.6% -7.5% -11.1% -12.7% -13.9% -11.9% -12.1% -12.4% -13.3% -13.32%
Gross Margin 69.4% 67.8% 69.8% 67.9% 66.6% 66.4% 63.7% 63.4% 64.0% 64.1% 61.5% 61.8% 51.3% 52.2% 55.8% 58.2% 60.3% 58.8% 60.5% 59.6% 59.64%
Operating Margin -16.8% -21.4% -17.2% -14.7% -19.7% -21.9% -24.0% -16.6% -14.2% -4.7% -25.4% -25.3% -58.3% -44.2% -30.3% -30.2% -31.0% -36.3% -30.1% -35.6% -35.61%
Net Margin -16.2% -27.4% -22.5% -14.3% -22.1% -25.2% -21.0% -25.9% -21.6% -12.4% -34.2% -45.7% -37.5% -60.1% -51.0% -49.1% -48.6% -41.4% -33.4% -38.7% -38.70%
EBITDA Margin -10.2% -17.7% -13.4% -9.0% -11.7% -15.8% -14.7% -4.9% -3.3% 6.9% -11.7% -14.5% -33.8% -22.0% -11.0% -11.1% -65.1% -21.6% -14.0% -18.9% -18.87%
FCF Margin 8.2% 10.3% 9.8% 8.5% 11.5% 12.1% 7.3% 12.1% 14.4% 12.1% 16.2% 14.0% 12.3% 14.3% 15.7% 16.1% 14.4% 16.0% 13.8% 18.0% 17.97%
OCF Margin 10.6% 12.5% 12.5% 11.0% 14.4% 15.3% 10.5% 15.7% 17.5% 15.1% 19.0% 16.4% 14.4% 16.1% 17.5% 17.9% 14.3% 16.1% 14.0% 18.4% 18.35%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only -62.59%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only -44.24%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -9.21%
ROIC Economic snapshot only -8.72%
Cash ROA snapshot only 4.70%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 9.26%
CROIC snapshot only 9.07%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only -26.28%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -39.21%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 22.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 71.10%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 21.06%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
P/E Ratio -47.83 -52.64 -70.80 -79.16 -93.58 -103.75 -126.27 -104.02 -113.54 -135.34 -191.27 -129.26 -124.14 -73.79 -50.81 -49.01 -26.61 -18.13 -14.69 -12.27 0.000
P/S Ratio 11.22 12.83 15.94 15.78 19.96 22.01 26.41 24.55 26.46 26.96 45.19 37.70 41.28 33.26 24.83 24.27 13.83 8.60 6.29 4.95 7.476
P/B Ratio 8.71 10.40 13.82 12.11 16.59 19.68 18.54 18.87 22.30 24.75 48.51 44.69 21.49 19.60 16.64 18.11 11.23 19.29 15.60 14.26 6.890
P/FCF 137.11 124.74 161.90 184.57 173.73 181.87 362.08 202.42 183.56 222.31 279.62 269.78 335.19 232.74 157.70 150.55 95.96 53.69 45.46 27.53 27.532
P/OCF 105.99 102.62 127.58 143.94 138.80 144.08 251.04 156.63 151.32 177.98 238.36 230.47 285.93 206.62 142.08 135.79 96.55 53.37 45.06 26.96 26.960
EV/EBITDA -53.34 -64.35 -97.96 -118.62 -152.54 -170.70 -199.90 -210.69 -290.52 -793.98 -1369.21 -630.64 -287.25 -163.15 -129.13 -134.75 -54.04 -37.90 -29.04 -22.56 -22.563
EV/Revenue 9.88 11.52 14.69 14.80 19.39 21.52 26.16 24.27 26.51 26.93 45.46 37.97 43.02 34.91 26.33 25.65 15.11 10.47 8.06 6.58 6.583
EV/EBIT — -194.03 -144.67 -113.99 -115.96 -126.78 -140.19 -134.84 -161.13 -232.55 -376.41 -246.57 -152.08 -91.75 -66.79 -64.20 -35.05 -25.13 -19.66 -15.74 -15.744
EV/FCF 120.76 112.02 149.16 173.09 168.83 177.81 358.78 200.14 183.85 222.09 281.30 271.74 349.33 244.28 167.26 159.09 104.86 65.39 58.22 36.63 36.632
Earnings Yield -2.1% -1.9% -1.4% -1.3% -1.1% -1.0% -0.8% -1.0% -0.9% -0.7% -0.5% -0.8% -0.8% -1.4% -2.0% -2.0% -3.8% -5.5% -6.8% -8.1% -8.15%
FCF Yield 0.7% 0.8% 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 1.0% 1.9% 2.2% 3.6% 3.63%
EV/OCF snapshot only 35.871
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 11.000
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.25%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Current Ratio 3.18 3.27 1.54 1.41 1.08 1.07 2.13 2.11 1.82 2.03 1.61 1.59 0.80 0.77 0.79 0.82 1.79 1.81 1.82 1.78 1.781
Quick Ratio 3.18 3.27 1.54 1.41 1.08 1.07 2.13 2.11 1.82 2.03 1.61 1.59 0.80 0.77 0.79 0.82 1.79 1.81 1.82 1.78 1.781
Debt/Equity 0.68 0.67 0.67 0.55 0.56 0.65 1.61 1.62 1.69 1.49 3.43 3.60 1.49 1.57 1.67 1.74 1.86 6.54 6.93 7.74 7.745
Net Debt/Equity -1.04 -1.06 -1.09 -0.75 -0.47 -0.44 -0.17 -0.21 0.04 -0.03 0.29 0.33 0.91 0.97 1.01 1.03 1.04 4.20 4.38 4.71 4.714
Debt/Assets 0.28 0.29 0.28 0.25 0.24 0.27 0.50 0.49 0.49 0.47 0.64 0.65 0.50 0.51 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.688
Debt/EBITDA -4.71 -4.58 -5.13 -5.75 -5.28 -5.73 -17.53 -18.30 -22.03 -47.85 -96.34 -50.50 -19.10 -12.47 -12.21 -12.28 -8.18 -10.55 -10.07 -9.21 -9.209
Net Debt/EBITDA 7.22 7.31 8.36 7.87 4.44 3.90 1.84 2.40 -0.46 0.80 -8.16 -4.56 -11.63 -7.71 -7.38 -7.23 -4.59 -6.78 -6.37 -5.61 -5.605
Interest Coverage — -4.03 -3.65 -3.35 -3.48 -3.81 -3.29 -2.26 -1.70 -1.06 -0.95 -1.01 -1.68 -2.07 -2.14 -2.31 -5.30 -9.43 -50.88 -16.10 -16.101
Equity Multiplier 2.38 2.33 2.36 2.16 2.36 2.40 3.25 3.29 3.45 3.20 5.34 5.57 2.98 3.07 3.23 3.33 3.57 9.44 10.07 11.25 11.253
Cash Ratio snapshot only 1.373
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only -11.235
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.391
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.067
Defensive Interval snapshot only 508.4 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Asset Turnover 0.44 0.45 0.48 0.48 0.40 0.42 0.31 0.32 0.33 0.38 0.24 0.26 0.23 0.26 0.24 0.26 0.23 0.24 0.25 0.26 0.260
Inventory Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Receivables Turnover 3.43 4.93 5.07 5.73 3.32 5.06 4.77 5.43 3.65 5.48 4.95 5.50 3.44 4.90 4.74 5.01 3.44 4.48 4.04 4.30 4.304
Payables Turnover 47.60 35.28 31.51 26.04 34.35 27.38 35.13 35.24 39.58 41.48 67.33 66.79 53.11 49.71 54.91 87.85 66.36 40.12 37.76 69.13 69.133
DSO 106 74 72 64 110 72 77 67 100 67 74 66 106 75 77 73 106 81 90 85 84.8 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 8 10 12 14 11 13 10 10 9 9 5 5 7 7 7 4 6 9 10 5 5.3 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 99 64 60 50 99 59 66 57 91 58 68 61 99 67 70 69 101 72 81 80 79.5 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 11.440
Cash Velocity snapshot only 0.951
Capital Intensity snapshot only 3.904
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Revenue 1.5% 76.3% 37.7% 39.9% 39.4% 41.3% 45.5% 47.6% 49.7% 49.8% 43.8% 38.6% 39.0% 37.8% 40.2% 42.1% 33.9% 28.1% 22.4% 17.6% 17.62%
Net Income -2.3% -1.1% -33.0% -14.4% -26.8% -23.0% -35.2% -74.8% -63.6% -40.7% -62.4% -71.3% -98.3% -2.1% -1.9% -1.4% -1.1% -34.7% -7.3% 4.2% 4.22%
EPS -2.0% -90.9% -23.2% -5.6% -16.3% -13.1% -24.1% -61.4% -52.7% -30.6% -49.1% -56.7% -75.9% -1.8% -1.7% -1.2% -1.0% -30.5% -4.3% 6.6% 6.63%
FCF 2.0% 3.2% 21.9% 2.1% 95.7% 66.3% 7.8% 1.1% 87.9% 50.2% 2.2% 59.7% 18.7% 62.4% 36.6% 63.9% 56.7% 43.5% 7.6% 31.1% 31.12%
EBITDA -2.4% -93.4% -8.5% 12.3% 4.3% 0.5% -27.0% -36.4% -7.4% 59.7% 63.5% 27.5% -1.3% -7.7% -7.6% -3.5% -1.5% -65.3% -66.6% -80.3% -80.31%
Op. Income -2.8% -1.1% -17.0% 1.6% -5.3% -13.8% -52.1% -73.5% -55.0% -15.3% -7.8% -20.4% -1.3% -2.8% -2.7% -2.2% -46.6% -2.9% 2.5% 2.7% 2.68%
OCF Growth snapshot only 20.77%
Asset Growth snapshot only 2.89%
Equity Growth snapshot only -69.54%
Debt Growth snapshot only 35.22%
Shares Change snapshot only 2.57%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Revenue 3Y — — — — — — — 1.2% 74.4% 55.1% 42.3% 42.0% 42.6% 42.9% 43.1% 42.7% 40.7% 38.3% 35.1% 32.3% 32.31%
Revenue 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 81.4% 58.1% 45.8% 37.7% 36.8% 36.75%
EPS 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EPS 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EBITDA 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Gross Profit 3Y — — — — — — — 1.1% 70.3% 51.6% 39.0% 38.3% 36.1% 34.0% 32.8% 32.2% 32.6% 31.7% 30.6% 28.8% 28.82%
Gross Profit 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 73.6% 52.1% 41.2% 34.1% 33.3% 33.33%
Op. Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — 1.2% 63.4% 59.5% 67.4% 76.3% 51.8% 51.8% 67.3% 50.8% 50.85%
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 86.4% 86.44%
OCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — 2.0% 93.2% 58.2% 55.5% 60.1% 68.0% 40.5% 40.8% 48.5% 39.5% 39.46%
OCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.0% 68.3% 68.34%
Assets 3Y — — — — — — — 77.7% 77.8% 69.2% 92.1% 90.7% 75.7% 74.3% 73.0% 66.4% 62.8% 60.7% 29.3% 28.3% 28.32%
Assets 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 63.0% 62.3% 59.5% 58.3% 57.3% 57.30%
Equity 3Y — — — — — — — 38.5% 38.6% 32.8% 29.9% 27.1% 62.9% 58.9% 56.0% 44.1% 41.8% 1.8% -11.3% -14.8% -14.84%
Book Value 3Y — — — — — — — 27.3% 27.4% 21.8% 19.6% 17.0% 48.7% 45.5% 43.2% 32.9% 31.6% -5.2% -16.9% -20.0% -19.99%
Dividend 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Revenue Stability — — — 0.96 0.99 1.00 0.98 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.97 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.97 0.98 0.975
Earnings Stability — — — 0.86 0.94 0.95 0.99 0.94 0.97 0.98 0.92 0.93 0.88 0.72 0.72 0.77 0.80 0.83 0.83 0.85 0.855
Margin Stability — — — 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.96 0.96 0.94 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.92 0.91 0.92 0.92 0.918
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.500
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence — — — 0.94 0.89 0.91 0.86 0.50 0.50 0.84 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.86 0.97 0.98 0.983
Earnings Smoothness — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
ROE Trend — — — -0.03 -0.05 -0.03 0.05 -0.00 -0.02 0.01 -0.08 -0.18 0.01 -0.08 -0.13 -0.11 -0.24 -0.84 -0.77 -0.80 -0.805
Gross Margin Trend — — — 0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.03 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.07 -0.10 -0.10 -0.09 -0.05 -0.02 0.00 0.01 0.012
FCF Margin Trend — — — 0.12 0.18 0.11 0.03 0.06 0.05 0.01 0.08 0.04 -0.01 0.02 0.04 0.03 0.01 0.03 -0.02 0.03 0.029
Sustainable Growth Rate — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Internal Growth Rate — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
OCF/Net Income -0.45 -0.51 -0.55 -0.55 -0.67 -0.72 -0.50 -0.66 -0.75 -0.76 -0.80 -0.56 -0.43 -0.36 -0.36 -0.36 -0.28 -0.34 -0.33 -0.46 -0.455
FCF/OCF 0.77 0.82 0.79 0.78 0.80 0.79 0.69 0.77 0.82 0.80 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.89 0.90 0.90 1.01 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.979
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -0.446
CapEx/Revenue 2.4% 2.2% 2.6% 2.4% 2.9% 3.2% 3.2% 3.5% 3.1% 3.0% 2.8% 2.4% 2.1% 1.8% 1.7% 1.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.4% 0.38%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.083
Accruals Ratio -0.15 -0.17 -0.17 -0.15 -0.14 -0.15 -0.10 -0.13 -0.14 -0.13 -0.10 -0.12 -0.11 -0.16 -0.16 -0.17 -0.15 -0.15 -0.14 -0.15 -0.152
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.208
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 48.166
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Payout Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Div. Increase Streak — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.25%
Net Buyback Yield -0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.25%
Total Shareholder Return -0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.25%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.04 1.04 1.05 1.00 0.99 0.99 0.86 0.91 0.89 0.88 0.95 0.95 0.74 0.80 0.83 0.85 0.99 1.01 1.02 1.03 1.028
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) — 3.93 2.11 1.54 1.29 1.26 1.30 1.44 1.59 1.94 2.06 1.99 1.60 1.48 1.49 1.46 1.21 1.13 1.03 0.94 0.938
EBIT Margin 0.00 -0.06 -0.10 -0.13 -0.17 -0.17 -0.19 -0.18 -0.16 -0.12 -0.12 -0.15 -0.28 -0.38 -0.39 -0.40 -0.43 -0.42 -0.41 -0.42 -0.418
Asset Turnover 0.44 0.45 0.48 0.48 0.40 0.42 0.31 0.32 0.33 0.38 0.24 0.26 0.23 0.26 0.24 0.26 0.23 0.24 0.25 0.26 0.260
Equity Multiplier 2.07 1.98 2.05 1.96 2.37 2.37 2.93 2.83 3.01 2.88 4.27 4.37 3.13 3.11 3.88 4.02 3.26 4.68 4.93 5.18 5.180
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-0.80 $-0.88 $-0.87 $-0.82 $-0.93 $-1.00 $-1.07 $-1.32 $-1.42 $-1.30 $-1.60 $-2.07 $-2.50 $-3.65 $-4.27 $-4.65 $-5.05 $-4.76 $-4.45 $-4.34 $-4.34
Book Value/Share $4.39 $4.46 $4.44 $5.35 $5.24 $5.25 $7.32 $7.29 $7.23 $7.12 $6.32 $5.99 $14.42 $13.73 $13.04 $12.57 $11.96 $4.47 $4.19 $3.73 $11.91
Tangible Book/Share $3.21 $3.32 $3.34 $2.49 $0.80 $0.94 $-0.35 $-0.13 $-1.69 $-1.48 $-4.02 $-4.02 $-14.86 $-15.44 $-15.42 $-15.20 $-15.15 $-22.03 $-21.72 $-21.63 $-21.63
Revenue/Share $3.41 $3.62 $3.85 $4.11 $4.36 $4.69 $5.14 $5.60 $6.09 $6.53 $6.78 $7.10 $7.51 $8.09 $8.74 $9.38 $9.71 $10.04 $10.40 $10.76 $10.76
FCF/Share $0.28 $0.37 $0.38 $0.35 $0.50 $0.57 $0.37 $0.68 $0.88 $0.79 $1.10 $0.99 $0.92 $1.16 $1.38 $1.51 $1.40 $1.61 $1.44 $1.93 $2.03
OCF/Share $0.36 $0.45 $0.48 $0.45 $0.63 $0.72 $0.54 $0.88 $1.06 $0.99 $1.29 $1.16 $1.08 $1.30 $1.53 $1.68 $1.39 $1.62 $1.45 $1.97 $2.21
Cash/Share $7.53 $7.70 $7.78 $6.98 $5.38 $5.70 $13.03 $13.36 $11.99 $10.78 $19.85 $19.64 $8.40 $8.24 $8.62 $9.01 $9.76 $10.46 $10.70 $11.31 $9.59
EBITDA/Share $-0.63 $-0.65 $-0.58 $-0.51 $-0.55 $-0.59 $-0.67 $-0.65 $-0.56 $-0.22 $-0.23 $-0.43 $-1.12 $-1.73 $-1.78 $-1.79 $-2.71 $-2.77 $-2.89 $-3.14 $-3.14
Debt/Share $2.97 $2.97 $2.96 $2.95 $2.92 $3.39 $11.79 $11.81 $12.24 $10.60 $21.69 $21.59 $21.48 $21.58 $21.77 $21.93 $22.22 $29.26 $29.07 $28.91 $28.91
Net Debt/Share $-4.56 $-4.73 $-4.82 $-4.03 $-2.46 $-2.31 $-1.24 $-1.55 $0.25 $-0.18 $1.84 $1.95 $13.07 $13.34 $13.15 $12.92 $12.45 $18.80 $18.37 $17.59 $17.59
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.511
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 0.787
Piotroski F-Score 4 5 4 3 4 4 4 3 3 5 3 3 2 2 4 4 5 5 5 6 6
Beneish M-Score -2.05 -2.04 -2.72 -2.14 -1.74 -1.95 -1.35 -2.11 -2.46 -2.35 -2.58 -2.62 -1.79 -1.99 -1.95 -1.99 -3.12 -3.07 -2.97 -3.12 -3.124
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -4.522
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-23.34
EVA snapshot only $-377144150.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only B
Credit Score 69.26 61.03 57.65 55.72 54.54 54.55 55.29 56.41 54.55 57.54 50.51 49.15 46.00 43.75 43.95 46.87 38.81 25.65 25.08 26.43 26.433
Credit Grade snapshot only 15
Credit Trend snapshot only -20.437
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 750.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 18
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 13

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