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Also trades as: CP.TO (TSX) · $vol 116M

CP NYSE

Canadian Pacific Kansas City Ltd.
1W: +3.7% 1M: +3.4% 3M: -2.0% YTD: +20.6% 1Y: +18.3% 3Y: +27.9% 5Y: +26.1%
$91.13
+1.31 (+1.46%)
After Hours: $90.43 (-0.70, -0.77%)
Weekly Expected Move ±2.6%
$85 $87 $90 $92 $94
NYSE · Industrials · Railroads · Tech Score Strong Buy · Power 67 · $79.0B mcap · 832M float · 0.290% daily turnover · Short 47% of daily vol
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 84% of companies Debt: 18.5% of company value Bonds: $335.6M held by 339 funds, 72 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
If the stock fell to about $1.15 (down 99%), Canadian Pacific Kansas City Ltd. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $17.95B against a stock market value of $78.96B.
Distance to default 10.93 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $10.01B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 22.6%; Altman Z'' 2.18. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+13.9% YTD avg
Midterm Year
☀️
Sunny
+22.2% YTD avg
2026 Now
☀️
Sunny
Above typical
20yr Avg YTD
+13.9%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
+22.2%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
+22.4%
Above 20yr avg
Typical Vol
35%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
⛅
+2.3%
Midterm
⛅
+1.9%
70% win 32% vol
Feb
20yr
☀️
+4.2%
Midterm
☀️
+6.3%
60% win 26% vol
Mar
20yr
💨
+5.0%
Midterm
☀️
+8.4%
55% win 39% vol
Apr
20yr
☀️
+8.9%
Midterm
☀️
+10.2%
80% win 29% vol
May
20yr
☀️
+10.7%
Midterm
☀️
+10.9%
60% win 28% vol
Jun
20yr
🌧️
+9.5%
Midterm
☀️
+10.0%
30% win 26% vol
Jul
20yr
⛅
+13.0%
Midterm
☀️
+15.1%
80% win 30% vol
Aug
20yr
🌧️
+12.5%
Midterm
☀️
+16.8%
45% win 24% vol
Sep
20yr
🌧️
+11.6%
Midterm
☀️
+17.7%
45% win 27% vol
Oct
20yr
💨
+13.6%
Midterm
☀️
+22.6%
52% win 35% vol
Now: +7.1%
Nov
20yr
🌫️
+14.3%
Midterm
☀️
+24.1%
60% win 33% vol
Dec
20yr
⛅
+0.8%
Midterm
🌧️
-5.6%
55% win 25% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: +22.4%

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms