— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice

CPE NYSE

Callon Petroleum Company
1W: +0.0% 1M: +10.3% 3M: +6.2% 1Y: -1.9% 3Y: -3.1% 5Y: -54.1%
$35.76
Last traded 2024-04-11 — delisted
NYSE · Energy · Oil & Gas Exploration & Production · $2.4B mcap · 54M float · 3.07% daily turnover

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NO EDGE
30.5 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Cost Advantage  ·  ROIC: 8.2%  ·  5Y Avg: -17.8%
Cost Advantage ★
38
Intangibles
25
Switching Cost
30
Network Effect
28
Scale
33
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. CPE has No discernible competitive edge (30.5/100). The business operates without significant structural advantages. The primary source of advantage is Cost Advantage. ROIC of 8.2% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 28Hold: 21Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$—
Analysts0
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2023-10-06 RBC Capital Scott Hanold Initiated $50 — +50.3% $33.27
2022-07-13 Truist Financial — $101 $94 -7 +155.9% $36.74
2022-06-19 Truist Financial Neal Dingmann $100 $101 +1 +119.4% $46.03
2022-04-22 Morgan Stanley — Initiated $79 — +34.7% $58.65
2022-03-07 Truist Financial Neal Dingmann Initiated $100 — +64.0% $60.98

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 27 Grade A
Profitability
64
Balance Sheet
46
Earnings Quality
68
Growth
1
Value
80
Momentum
40
Safety
15
Cash Flow
25
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. CPE scores highest in Value (80/100) and lowest in Growth (1/100). An overall grade of A places CPE among the highest-quality companies in its peer group.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
0.76
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
4/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-0.84
Possible Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-8.17
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
B+
Score: 31.8/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 2.72x
Accruals: -10.5%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. CPE scores 0.76, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. CPE scores 4/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. CPE's score of -0.84 exceeds the −1.78 red flag threshold — this does not confirm manipulation but indicates the earnings profile resembles past manipulators statistically. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. CPE's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. CPE receives an estimated rating of B+ (score: 31.8/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). CPE's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
5.77x
PEG
-0.08x
P/S
1.02x
P/B
0.58x
P/FCF
-13.29x
P/OCF
2.00x
EV/EBITDA
6.18x
EV/Revenue
2.24x
EV/EBIT
10.49x
EV/FCF
-24.94x
Earnings Yield
18.37%
FCF Yield
-7.53%
Shareholder Yield
2.54%
Graham Number
$89.03
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 5.8x earnings, CPE trades at a deep value multiple. An earnings yield of 18.4% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $89.03 per share, suggesting a potential 149% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
1.898
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.541
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.213
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.277
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.868
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
11.3%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. CPE's ROE of 11.3% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.277), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 1.90 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$50.58
Price/Value
0.64x
Margin of Safety
35.94%
Premium
-35.94%
Assessment
Neutral
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with CPE's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. CPE trades at a -36% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $50.58, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 5.8x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$35.76
Median 1Y
$19.38
5th Pctile
$4.14
95th Pctile
$92.30
Ann. Volatility
91.0%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Current
ROE 10.4% 9.7% 10.4% 2.4% 10.4% -60.3% -1.1% -1.3% -1.3% -96.8% -39.8% 28.3% 36.2% 56.0% 65.3% 48.9% 50.0% 32.2% 15.1% 11.3% 11.34%
ROA 6.5% 6.2% 6.4% 1.2% 5.3% -27.1% -45.8% -43.8% -47.7% -24.7% -8.8% 7.4% 9.5% 16.1% 22.7% 20.7% 22.4% 14.9% 7.9% 6.1% 6.07%
ROIC 6.3% 6.0% 5.1% 1.8% 2.0% -18.6% -34.3% -52.4% -50.5% -17.1% 3.3% 22.7% 28.6% 33.2% 33.1% 31.3% 25.4% 15.9% 11.3% 8.2% 8.16%
ROCE 6.1% 6.9% 7.7% 1.6% 6.3% -21.2% -41.2% -59.9% -70.3% -31.4% -8.1% 10.0% 12.5% 19.2% 24.7% 23.8% 24.4% 14.7% 7.7% 6.1% 6.08%
Gross Margin 38.2% 42.0% 43.7% 51.3% 24.8% -40.0% 24.3% 29.5% 47.5% 49.9% 58.6% 56.2% 56.3% 55.6% 54.4% 48.2% 38.3% 38.7% 23.4% 35.2% 35.22%
Operating Margin 28.2% 35.0% 33.8% 9.4% 16.5% -8.7% -2.2% -1.7% 42.6% 46.8% 56.3% 52.6% 53.9% 54.4% 52.7% 46.0% 32.9% -39.6% 1.0% 30.5% 30.49%
Net Margin -12.8% 33.0% 35.9% -12.0% 74.7% -10.0% -2.3% -1.7% -22.3% -2.7% 31.1% 41.2% 5.1% 38.1% 65.8% 38.7% 39.4% -19.2% 1.1% 28.1% 28.10%
EBITDA Margin 24.0% 73.6% 74.5% 23.6% 1.5% -8.6% -1.9% -1.3% 3.9% 21.7% 52.8% 61.0% 20.4% 52.5% 82.9% 60.6% 56.5% -15.9% 1.0% 54.4% 54.39%
FCF Margin -39.6% -27.9% -26.5% -24.5% -9.7% -21.4% -15.2% -11.4% -4.4% 6.0% 8.4% -4.8% -2.6% 2.2% 4.5% 14.9% 14.8% 8.8% -5.8% -9.0% -8.97%
OCF Margin 73.4% 76.6% 76.9% 70.9% 73.4% 67.7% 60.3% 54.2% 45.8% 42.1% 45.0% 47.6% 45.4% 44.8% 46.4% 46.5% 48.7% 51.7% 60.3% 59.6% 59.61%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 22.94%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only -57.08%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 10.65%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 24.67%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 8.16%
Cash ROA snapshot only 15.45%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 18.50%
CROIC snapshot only -2.78%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 26.29%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 11.53%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 6.29%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.62%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Current
P/E Ratio 7.64 6.55 4.00 17.66 0.72 -0.35 -0.09 -0.21 -0.58 -2.09 -5.44 7.73 7.56 2.87 1.77 1.90 1.49 2.32 5.28 5.44 5.768
P/S Ratio 2.80 2.34 1.56 1.79 0.27 0.57 0.21 0.51 1.49 1.93 1.40 1.38 1.49 0.83 0.67 0.71 0.69 0.81 1.38 1.19 1.015
P/B Ratio 0.71 0.61 0.40 0.37 0.06 0.24 0.16 0.74 2.14 3.52 2.48 1.51 1.92 1.07 0.77 0.74 0.57 0.61 0.69 0.55 0.580
P/FCF -7.08 -8.39 -5.87 -7.30 -2.78 -2.67 -1.35 -4.46 -33.46 31.87 16.72 -28.78 -57.97 37.00 14.90 4.78 4.63 9.23 -23.90 -13.29 -13.288
P/OCF 3.82 3.05 2.02 2.52 0.37 0.84 0.34 0.93 3.25 4.57 3.11 2.90 3.28 1.85 1.45 1.53 1.41 1.58 2.28 2.00 1.999
EV/EBITDA 7.85 6.46 5.55 13.84 4.92 -5.09 -2.42 -1.91 -2.02 -6.85 198.23 6.68 6.49 3.65 2.59 2.58 2.23 3.29 6.04 6.18 6.181
EV/Revenue 5.01 4.07 3.44 6.63 4.36 4.83 3.66 3.40 4.13 3.99 3.10 2.69 2.55 1.68 1.41 1.40 1.42 1.67 2.38 2.24 2.237
EV/EBIT 13.33 10.41 7.68 41.95 8.18 -3.40 -1.84 -1.52 -1.70 -4.72 -16.29 11.78 10.80 5.24 3.46 3.49 2.93 5.11 10.07 10.49 10.493
EV/FCF -12.63 -14.57 -13.00 -27.11 -45.03 -22.56 -24.07 -29.93 -92.82 66.04 37.02 -56.15 -99.38 75.28 31.19 9.44 9.55 18.87 -41.36 -24.94 -24.939
Earnings Yield 13.1% 15.3% 25.0% 5.7% 1.4% -2.9% -10.7% -4.8% -1.7% -47.9% -18.4% 12.9% 13.2% 34.8% 56.4% 52.7% 67.2% 43.1% 18.9% 18.4% 18.37%
FCF Yield -14.1% -11.9% -17.0% -13.7% -36.0% -37.4% -74.2% -22.4% -3.0% 3.1% 6.0% -3.5% -1.7% 2.7% 6.7% 20.9% 21.6% 10.8% -4.2% -7.5% -7.53%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 0.547
EV/OCF snapshot only 3.753
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 6.129
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 16.149
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 2.54%
Graham Number snapshot only $89.03
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Current
Current Ratio 0.53 0.47 0.55 0.41 0.61 0.34 0.38 0.36 0.35 0.30 0.32 0.34 0.36 0.39 0.44 0.42 0.39 1.22 0.40 0.39 0.390
Quick Ratio 0.49 0.43 0.47 0.37 0.23 0.28 0.36 0.36 0.35 0.28 0.30 0.31 0.36 0.39 0.42 0.39 0.36 0.30 0.39 0.39 0.390
Debt/Equity 0.56 0.45 0.49 1.01 0.97 1.81 2.69 4.23 3.82 3.78 3.01 1.44 1.37 1.11 0.84 0.73 0.60 0.64 0.50 0.48 0.481
Net Debt/Equity 0.56 0.45 0.49 1.01 0.96 1.81 2.68 4.21 3.79 3.78 3.01 1.44 1.37 1.11 0.84 0.73 0.60 0.64 0.50 0.48 0.480
Debt/Assets 0.33 0.29 0.30 0.45 0.45 0.59 0.66 0.69 0.66 0.63 0.60 0.49 0.46 0.42 0.39 0.36 0.33 0.35 0.29 0.27 0.271
Debt/EBITDA 3.48 2.78 3.07 10.16 4.63 -4.50 -2.29 -1.64 -1.30 -3.55 108.84 3.27 2.71 1.86 1.35 1.27 1.15 1.68 2.55 2.89 2.893
Net Debt/EBITDA 3.45 2.74 3.04 10.11 4.61 -4.49 -2.28 -1.63 -1.29 -3.54 108.69 3.26 2.70 1.86 1.35 1.27 1.15 1.68 2.55 2.89 2.888
Interest Coverage 82.90 85.94 96.75 36.51 19.04 -25.39 -27.18 -24.57 -27.22 -11.69 -3.04 4.58 6.10 10.29 15.77 17.09 13.94 6.62 2.96 2.21 2.214
Equity Multiplier 1.69 1.58 1.63 2.23 2.14 3.09 4.10 6.14 5.83 6.00 5.02 2.97 3.00 2.63 2.17 1.99 1.82 1.85 1.74 1.77 1.771
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.005
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 3.758
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.002
FCF to Debt snapshot only -0.086
Defensive Interval snapshot only 189.4 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Current
Asset Turnover 0.18 0.17 0.17 0.12 0.14 0.16 0.21 0.18 0.19 0.27 0.34 0.41 0.48 0.56 0.60 0.55 0.49 0.43 0.30 0.28 0.277
Inventory Turnover 41.66 29.27 25.41 8.22 4.22 27.77 43.22 64.24 7.45 36.04 59.61 80.84 — 171.10 85.79 68.28 116.30 4.62 142.96 109.12 109.122
Receivables Turnover 4.73 6.28 4.51 3.94 7.03 8.46 8.24 6.03 8.11 9.36 10.03 11.19 9.35 10.46 12.83 13.76 10.81 10.13 7.06 8.26 8.257
Payables Turnover 1.55 1.74 1.50 0.97 2.32 1.98 2.61 2.02 6.06 3.36 4.15 3.79 10.24 8.15 11.64 8.70 8.97 7.21 5.36 5.89 5.886
DSO 77 58 81 93 52 43 44 61 45 39 36 33 39 35 28 27 34 36 52 44 44.2 days
DIO 9 12 14 44 87 13 8 6 49 10 6 5 0 2 4 5 3 79 3 3 3.3 days
DPO 235 209 243 377 157 184 140 181 60 108 88 96 36 45 31 42 41 51 68 62 62.0 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -149 -139 -147 -239 -19 -128 -87 -114 34 -59 -45 -59 3 -8 1 -10 -4 64 -14 -14 -14.5 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 0.297
Operating Cycle snapshot only 47.5 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 551.214
Capital Intensity snapshot only 3.858
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Current
Revenue 48.6% 37.6% 17.2% 14.3% 31.8% 24.2% 46.4% 53.8% 36.4% 73.6% 76.7% 97.9% 1.2% 1.1% 95.2% 58.0% 22.4% -9.3% -39.9% -43.3% -43.27%
Net Income 74.4% 57.2% 48.3% -77.4% 35.1% -6.7% -9.3% -38.3% -10.3% 2.9% 79.3% 1.1% 1.2% 1.7% 3.9% 2.3% 1.9% 10.6% -58.7% -66.8% -66.84%
EPS 55.1% 45.6% 48.1% -79.2% -22.5% -4.3% -5.8% -24.3% -9.7% 16.7% 82.5% 1.1% 1.1% 1.5% 3.2% 2.2% 1.9% 10.7% -62.5% -69.6% -69.58%
FCF -24.3% 24.6% 20.3% -14.4% 67.8% 4.8% 15.9% 28.5% 37.4% 1.5% 2.0% 16.4% -28.9% -21.7% 5.2% 5.9% 8.1% 2.6% -1.8% -1.3% -1.34%
EBITDA 29.0% 12.6% -6.5% -28.9% 83.4% -2.9% -4.6% -6.7% -4.1% -6.6% 1.0% 1.4% 1.4% 2.7% 66.9% 1.1% 97.8% -0.5% -56.5% -62.3% -62.28%
Op. Income 42.1% 8.9% -16.7% -33.5% -26.7% -6.3% -10.1% -15.2% -14.3% 37.0% 1.1% 1.4% 1.6% 3.0% 9.9% 62.4% 11.1% -54.4% -77.1% -84.9% -84.89%
OCF Growth snapshot only -27.24%
Asset Growth snapshot only 15.03%
Equity Growth snapshot only 29.36%
Debt Growth snapshot only -14.40%
Shares Change snapshot only 9.02%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Current
Revenue 3Y 64.5% 64.8% 56.8% 49.5% 47.6% 40.4% 43.3% 41.3% 38.8% 43.7% 44.7% 51.5% 58.9% 65.9% 71.6% 68.8% 55.1% 49.4% 27.5% 21.1% 21.06%
Revenue 5Y 40.2% 37.5% 35.4% 34.6% 40.3% 40.1% 45.7% 49.7% 51.6% 57.3% 58.4% 59.1% 57.8% 59.0% 58.9% 54.5% 48.8% 41.6% 28.9% 25.5% 25.55%
EPS 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — -22.6% -7.5% 10.7% 22.2% 92.7% 43.2% — — — —
EPS 5Y 41.7% 30.8% 16.8% -16.1% 11.4% — — — — — — — — 22.5% 33.1% 26.9% 28.7% 16.9% 0.3% -14.7% -14.68%
Net Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — 6.7% 29.2% 54.4% 70.3% 1.6% 66.0% — — — —
Net Income 5Y 1.0% 83.8% 62.2% 12.5% 63.9% — — — — — — — — 53.3% 66.4% 58.6% 60.9% 44.9% 24.8% 6.0% 5.96%
EBITDA 3Y 1.1% 82.1% 68.7% 36.8% 62.3% — — — — — -60.6% 22.1% 35.3% 49.5% 64.3% 76.2% 38.7% — — — —
EBITDA 5Y 44.5% 40.2% 42.5% 32.1% 57.9% — — — — — -20.7% 45.7% 42.0% 47.8% 51.8% 46.1% 44.6% 30.2% 12.5% 8.0% 7.96%
Gross Profit 3Y 1.0% 89.8% 65.5% 55.3% 40.7% 10.5% 7.4% -2.2% 8.0% 30.0% 39.6% 54.2% 68.0% 80.6% 89.0% 80.2% 69.6% 90.4% 64.2% 58.9% 58.90%
Gross Profit 5Y 44.3% 35.3% 32.7% 36.0% 44.0% 34.4% 40.1% 39.6% 50.7% 67.9% 68.8% 69.3% 65.1% 66.0% 65.2% 57.7% 48.4% 37.5% 22.0% 17.3% 17.33%
Op. Income 3Y — — — — 1.1% — — — — — -14.9% 58.6% 75.2% 89.8% 1.0% 1.1% 1.0% — — — —
Op. Income 5Y 71.3% 53.3% 45.4% 35.2% 56.7% — — — — — — — 1.3% 76.2% 73.8% 64.0% 53.4% 27.7% 9.1% -0.4% -0.44%
FCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
OCF 3Y 66.9% 73.5% 82.1% 77.0% 69.2% 55.4% 44.7% 34.5% 23.4% 20.4% 23.3% 27.7% 35.4% 38.7% 45.0% 46.6% 35.2% 36.5% 27.5% 25.0% 24.97%
OCF 5Y 48.9% 47.9% 44.9% 38.2% 49.1% 43.5% 43.6% 45.2% 39.2% 44.0% 55.7% 62.5% 55.6% 55.6% 51.8% 45.5% 40.4% 32.7% 24.1% 18.5% 18.50%
Assets 3Y 73.3% 52.9% 38.0% 46.9% 46.7% 31.0% 23.6% 17.4% 16.4% 9.0% 8.1% 11.7% 11.8% 15.0% 14.9% -5.1% -3.4% 4.2% 10.9% 17.5% 17.46%
Assets 5Y 53.1% 48.6% 46.6% 52.3% 51.7% 43.8% 41.7% 40.8% 41.5% 32.9% 25.1% 19.6% 19.7% 18.2% 18.5% 17.9% 18.6% 13.4% 12.7% 12.2% 12.18%
Equity 3Y 80.1% 55.7% 30.9% 23.0% 24.6% 1.2% -13.1% -27.4% -26.2% -30.4% -25.8% -8.6% -7.6% -3.1% 4.4% -1.4% 2.0% 23.5% 47.5% 77.7% 77.73%
Book Value 3Y 29.0% 25.0% 10.5% 7.6% -0.6% -19.2% -30.6% -42.0% -42.4% -46.4% -41.8% -33.7% -33.9% -30.5% -25.1% -27.3% -12.1% 6.5% 23.2% 49.0% 49.03%
Dividend 3Y -28.4% -19.7% -21.7% -28.4% -46.7% -71.0% — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Current
Revenue Stability 0.84 0.84 0.86 0.89 0.92 0.96 0.95 0.95 0.98 0.90 0.87 0.80 0.76 0.75 0.78 0.83 0.86 0.82 0.60 0.56 0.556
Earnings Stability 0.29 0.27 0.50 0.33 0.63 0.20 0.26 0.30 0.27 0.44 0.21 0.08 0.07 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.10 0.09 0.08 0.081
Margin Stability 0.76 0.79 0.85 0.89 0.84 0.66 0.59 0.56 0.66 0.67 0.66 0.63 0.72 0.70 0.67 0.64 0.71 0.69 0.66 0.61 0.614
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.50 0.81 0.50 0.86 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness 0.46 0.56 0.61 0.00 0.70 — — — — — — — — — — 0.00 0.03 0.90 0.17 0.00 0.000
ROE Trend 0.06 0.03 0.04 -0.07 0.01 -0.78 -1.79 -3.64 -3.78 -1.38 0.35 1.97 2.05 1.57 1.52 2.08 2.10 0.92 0.14 -0.19 -0.193
Gross Margin Trend -0.01 -0.06 -0.08 -0.06 -0.11 -0.26 -0.29 -0.32 -0.19 0.07 0.18 0.24 0.24 0.26 0.22 0.19 0.10 -0.02 -0.11 -0.17 -0.174
FCF Margin Trend 0.01 0.18 0.16 0.14 0.34 0.18 0.17 0.13 0.20 0.31 0.29 0.13 0.04 0.10 0.08 0.23 0.18 0.05 -0.12 -0.14 -0.140
Sustainable Growth Rate 10.0% 9.4% 10.2% 2.3% 10.3% — — — — — — 28.3% 36.2% 56.0% 65.3% 48.9% 50.0% 32.2% 15.1% 11.3% 11.34%
Internal Growth Rate 6.7% 6.4% 6.7% 1.2% 5.5% — — — — — — 8.0% 10.5% 19.2% 29.3% 26.1% 28.9% 17.6% 8.5% 6.5% 6.46%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Current
OCF/Net Income 2.00 2.14 1.98 7.01 1.95 -0.41 -0.27 -0.22 -0.18 -0.46 -1.75 2.67 2.30 1.56 1.22 1.24 1.06 1.47 2.31 2.72 2.723
FCF/OCF -0.54 -0.36 -0.34 -0.34 -0.13 -0.32 -0.25 -0.21 -0.10 0.14 0.19 -0.10 -0.06 0.05 0.10 0.32 0.30 0.17 -0.10 -0.15 -0.150
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -0.410
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 1.647
CapEx/Revenue 1.1% 1.0% 1.0% 95.4% 83.1% 89.1% 75.5% 65.5% 50.3% 36.1% 36.6% 52.4% 48.0% 42.5% 41.9% 31.6% 33.9% 42.8% 66.0% 68.6% 68.58%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 2.319
Accruals Ratio -0.06 -0.07 -0.06 -0.07 -0.05 -0.38 -0.58 -0.54 -0.56 -0.36 -0.24 -0.12 -0.12 -0.09 -0.05 -0.05 -0.01 -0.07 -0.10 -0.10 -0.105
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.080
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 0.869
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Current
Dividend Yield 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.32 $0.32 $0.25 $0.16 $0.05 $0.01 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio 3.2% 3.2% 2.4% 5.9% 0.7% — — — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
FCF Payout Ratio — — — — — — — — — 0.0% 0.0% — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — — —
Total Payout Ratio 48.8% 47.9% 32.7% 4.4% 97.5% — — — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.0% 13.8% 13.83%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Chowder Number 0.00 0.00 -0.20 -0.45 -0.69 -0.95 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield 6.0% 6.8% 7.6% 24.6% 1.4% 64.3% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.6% 2.5% 2.54%
Net Buyback Yield 5.9% 6.8% -14.7% 6.2% 33.7% 15.9% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.6% 2.5% 2.54%
Total Shareholder Return 6.4% 7.3% -14.1% 6.5% 34.7% 16.0% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.6% 2.5% 2.54%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.99 0.92 0.88 0.66 0.74 1.12 1.06 1.05 1.02 1.00 1.02 1.00 1.00 0.99 0.99 0.99 1.03 1.27 1.67 1.90 1.898
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.97 0.95 1.04 1.04 1.04 1.04 1.09 1.33 0.78 0.84 0.90 0.94 0.94 0.93 0.85 0.66 0.54 0.541
EBIT Margin 0.38 0.39 0.45 0.16 0.53 -1.42 -2.00 -2.24 -2.43 -0.85 -0.19 0.23 0.24 0.32 0.41 0.40 0.48 0.33 0.24 0.21 0.213
Asset Turnover 0.18 0.17 0.17 0.12 0.14 0.16 0.21 0.18 0.19 0.27 0.34 0.41 0.48 0.56 0.60 0.55 0.49 0.43 0.30 0.28 0.277
Equity Multiplier 1.60 1.57 1.62 1.97 1.96 2.23 2.44 2.94 2.82 3.92 4.50 3.85 3.81 3.48 2.88 2.36 2.23 2.16 1.92 1.87 1.868
Per Share
Metric Trend Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $9.88 $10.06 $10.84 $2.74 $7.66 $-33.14 $-51.63 $-63.74 $-66.46 $-27.61 $-9.03 $6.11 $7.82 $13.65 $19.76 $19.56 $22.48 $15.11 $7.41 $5.95 $5.95
Book Value/Share $106.61 $108.75 $108.06 $129.78 $86.76 $47.38 $30.29 $17.89 $18.03 $16.37 $19.81 $31.23 $30.85 $36.49 $45.40 $49.89 $58.99 $57.27 $56.71 $59.20 $61.70
Tangible Book/Share $106.61 $108.75 $108.06 $130.30 $86.76 $47.38 $30.29 $17.89 $18.03 $16.37 $19.81 $31.23 $30.85 $36.49 $45.40 $49.89 $58.99 $57.27 $57.03 $59.20 $59.20
Revenue/Share $26.92 $28.16 $27.90 $27.04 $20.37 $20.11 $23.48 $25.99 $25.90 $29.96 $35.01 $34.23 $39.67 $47.42 $52.03 $52.24 $48.71 $43.04 $28.43 $27.18 $36.22
FCF/Share $-10.67 $-7.86 $-7.39 $-6.61 $-1.97 $-4.30 $-3.57 $-2.95 $-1.15 $1.81 $2.93 $-1.64 $-1.02 $1.06 $2.35 $7.77 $7.22 $3.80 $-1.64 $-2.44 $-2.54
OCF/Share $19.76 $21.57 $21.46 $19.18 $14.95 $13.62 $14.16 $14.08 $11.87 $12.61 $15.76 $16.31 $18.01 $21.23 $24.17 $24.28 $23.73 $22.23 $17.14 $16.20 $16.89
Cash/Share $0.46 $0.70 $0.50 $0.54 $0.37 $0.19 $0.26 $0.51 $0.57 $0.08 $0.08 $0.17 $0.07 $0.10 $0.07 $0.05 $0.05 $0.06 $0.05 $0.05 $0.05
EBITDA/Share $17.17 $17.72 $17.32 $12.95 $18.08 $-19.07 $-35.59 $-46.20 $-52.95 $-17.46 $0.55 $13.79 $15.61 $21.86 $28.35 $28.43 $30.97 $21.77 $11.21 $9.84 $9.84
Debt/Share $59.74 $49.34 $53.18 $131.51 $83.77 $85.77 $81.48 $75.72 $68.97 $61.93 $59.66 $45.10 $42.27 $40.65 $38.36 $36.24 $35.63 $36.67 $28.62 $28.46 $28.46
Net Debt/Share $59.28 $48.64 $52.68 $130.97 $83.40 $85.58 $81.22 $75.21 $68.39 $61.84 $59.58 $44.93 $42.20 $40.55 $38.29 $36.19 $35.57 $36.61 $28.57 $28.41 $28.41
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.762
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 0.660
Piotroski F-Score 5 5 5 4 4 2 3 3 4 4 6 7 8 8 7 7 8 7 4 4 4
Beneish M-Score -2.43 -2.87 -2.77 -0.44 -1.05 -4.94 -3.89 -5.84 -5.77 -3.61 -2.34 -2.09 -2.07 -1.92 -2.39 -2.45 -2.52 -2.52 0.88 -0.84 -0.840
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -8.173
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 6.76%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-41.92
EVA snapshot only $-108845664.63
Credit
Metric Trend Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only B+
Credit Score 48.24 50.89 51.30 40.63 47.20 16.37 15.69 12.48 12.75 12.85 6.62 30.61 36.71 44.27 52.25 54.96 53.28 47.25 30.70 31.77 31.768
Credit Grade snapshot only 14
Credit Trend snapshot only -23.195
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 650.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 21
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 20

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