CSCO NASDAQ
Cisco Systems, Inc.
1W: +3.5%
1M: +3.7%
3M: -4.2%
YTD: +46.9%
1Y: +59.8%
3Y: +123.0%
5Y: +129.1%
$111.38
+1.14 (+1.03%)
After Hours: $111.87 (+0.49, +0.44%)
Weekly Expected Move ±4.6%
$97
$102
$106
$111
$116
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 78% of companies Debt: 6.4% of company value Bonds: $417.8M held by 264 funds, 58 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the safest four tenths, about 1 in 3,500 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $0.78 (down 99.3%), Cisco Systems, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $29.53B against a stock market value of $434.63B.
Distance to default 9.15 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-07-25, debt counted $19.85B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 35.5%; Altman Z 4.21. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $0.78 (down 99.3%), Cisco Systems, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $29.53B against a stock market value of $434.63B.
Distance to default 9.15 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-07-25, debt counted $19.85B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 35.5%; Altman Z 4.21. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+8.0% YTD avg
Midterm Year
☀️
Sunny
+6.8% YTD avg
2026 Now
☀️
Sunny
Above typical
20yr Avg YTD
+8.0%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
+6.8%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
+48.4%
Above 20yr avg
Typical Vol
30%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
🌧️
-0.5%
Midterm
☁️
-1.0%
55% win
25% vol
Feb
20yr
⛅
+1.3%
Midterm
⛅
+4.2%
60% win
31% vol
Mar
20yr
⛅
+4.2%
Midterm
☀️
+6.0%
50% win
33% vol
Apr
20yr
☀️
+5.0%
Midterm
☀️
+7.3%
65% win
26% vol
May
20yr
⛅
+4.1%
Midterm
⛅
+1.9%
55% win
33% vol
Jun
20yr
🌧️
+3.6%
Midterm
🌧️
-1.3%
55% win
23% vol
Jul
20yr
☀️
+6.2%
Midterm
☁️
-0.6%
75% win
22% vol
Aug
20yr
⛅
+7.6%
Midterm
⛅
+3.6%
50% win
32% vol
Sep
20yr
☁️
+8.3%
Midterm
☀️
+6.1%
60% win
24% vol
Oct
20yr
⛅
+8.6%
Midterm
☀️
+6.4%
48% win
30% vol
Now:
+3.9%
Nov
20yr
💨
+9.8%
Midterm
☀️
+13.6%
55% win
36% vol
Dec
20yr
☀️
+1.6%
Midterm
🌧️
-1.2%
65% win
22% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: +48.4%