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CSGS NASDAQ

CSG Systems International, Inc.
1W: +0.4% 1M: +0.5% 3M: +1.3% YTD: +5.1% 1Y: +25.4% 3Y: +72.1% 5Y: +93.4%
$80.69
Last traded 2026-05-15 — delisted
NASDAQ · Technology · Software - Infrastructure · $2.3B mcap · 26M float · 1.36% daily turnover · Short 46% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
48.1 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Cost Advantage  ·  ROIC: 16.2%  ·  5Y Avg: 11.2%
Cost Advantage ★
72
Intangibles
45
Switching Cost
40
Network Effect
28
Scale
55
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. CSGS shows a Weak competitive edge (48.1/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Cost Advantage. ROIC of 16.2% confirms the company is generating returns well above its cost of capital — a hallmark of durable competitive advantages.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$0
Low
$81
Avg Target
$81
High
Based on 1 analyst ratings (12 mo)
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 7Hold: 6Sell: 2Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$80.70
Analysts1
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2025-10-29 RBC Capital — $52 $81 +29 +2.6% $78.68
2024-08-08 RBC Capital Dan Bergstrom $61 $52 -9 +20.7% $43.07
2024-03-26 RBC Capital Dan Bergstrom Initiated $61 — +21.3% $50.30

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 49 Grade B
Profitability
51
Balance Sheet
40
Earnings Quality
64
Growth
26
Value
38
Momentum
58
Safety
90
Cash Flow
55
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. CSGS scores highest in Safety (90/100) and lowest in Growth (26/100). A grade of B indicates above-average fundamentals with room for improvement in select areas.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
3.54
Safe Zone
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-2.68
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-5.58
Bankruptcy prob: 0.4%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
A
Score: 70.6/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 2.25x
Accruals: -5.5%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. CSGS scores 3.54, placing it in the Safe Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Bankruptcy is statistically unlikely within the next two years. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. CSGS scores 5/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. CSGS's score of -2.68 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. CSGS's implied 0.4% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. CSGS receives an estimated rating of A (score: 70.6/100), with a improving trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). CSGS's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
35.24x
PEG
-1.56x
P/S
1.86x
P/B
7.63x
P/FCF
17.57x
P/OCF
16.11x
EV/EBITDA
13.70x
EV/Revenue
2.20x
EV/EBIT
20.97x
EV/FCF
20.75x
Earnings Yield
2.76%
FCF Yield
5.69%
Shareholder Yield
4.82%
Graham Number
$22.46
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 35.2x earnings, CSGS commands a growth premium. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $22.46 per share, 259% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.627
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.780
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.105
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.853
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
5.026
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
22.1%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. CSGS's ROE of 22.1% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 5.03x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
4.63%
Fair P/E
17.76x
Intrinsic Value
$39.14
Price/Value
2.04x
Margin of Safety
-104.26%
Premium
104.26%
Assessment
Neutral
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with CSGS's realized 4.6% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. CSGS trades at a 104% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $39.14, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 17.8x compares to the current market P/E of 35.2x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$80.69
Median 1Y
$87.00
5th Pctile
$54.48
95th Pctile
$139.00
Ann. Volatility
27.8%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE 15.7% 16.1% 16.8% 14.0% 11.0% 10.5% 11.1% 15.1% 17.8% 24.4% 21.1% 20.3% 19.7% 23.7% 31.2% 30.2% 29.1% 28.8% 19.7% 22.1% 22.06%
ROA 5.1% 5.2% 5.3% 4.6% 3.5% 3.1% 3.2% 4.5% 5.2% 5.7% 4.7% 5.0% 4.9% 4.8% 5.9% 6.2% 5.9% 5.8% 3.7% 4.4% 4.39%
ROIC 11.6% 12.2% 13.3% 11.4% 8.8% 7.4% 8.2% 10.1% 11.9% 13.1% 14.0% 12.2% 11.7% 12.1% 14.6% 14.2% 14.5% 15.1% 14.9% 16.2% 16.21%
ROCE 17.1% 16.3% 17.1% 14.9% 12.4% 8.8% 9.4% 12.1% 14.1% 15.3% 14.0% 14.0% 13.9% 13.4% 16.1% 15.2% 15.0% 15.4% 13.4% 14.5% 14.48%
Gross Margin 47.9% 48.8% 48.4% 47.6% 47.3% 49.3% 48.2% 48.1% 47.2% 46.8% 45.5% 46.5% 47.3% 49.4% 51.3% 48.4% 49.5% 46.7% 48.7% 47.2% 47.15%
Operating Margin 12.6% 12.4% 10.1% 6.2% 2.8% 7.3% 12.1% 12.8% 9.9% 11.4% 11.2% 10.8% 8.8% 10.8% 13.4% 9.8% 10.0% 11.9% 22.1% 14.9% 14.94%
Net Margin 7.6% 6.1% 6.3% 2.3% 2.0% 4.6% 7.0% 7.0% 4.9% 6.5% 4.3% 6.6% 4.8% 6.5% 10.9% 5.4% 4.1% 6.7% 2.2% 7.6% 7.62%
EBITDA Margin 19.5% 17.3% 17.6% 11.3% 11.3% 15.2% 18.3% 17.9% 15.6% 18.3% 14.8% 17.6% 16.0% 17.0% 21.7% 15.3% 14.6% 17.3% 14.8% 17.7% 17.69%
FCF Margin 13.3% 11.4% 10.9% 10.2% 5.0% 2.4% 2.4% 4.4% 6.2% 6.7% 8.9% 5.4% 8.3% 9.4% 9.5% 12.9% 12.4% 13.3% 11.6% 10.6% 10.62%
OCF Margin 16.3% 14.1% 13.4% 12.9% 8.0% 5.7% 5.8% 7.5% 9.1% 9.2% 11.3% 7.5% 10.1% 11.3% 11.3% 14.7% 14.1% 14.7% 12.7% 11.6% 11.58%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 25.07%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 21.10%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 5.06%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 10.20%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 13.83%
Cash ROA snapshot only 9.67%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 20.12%
CROIC snapshot only 18.45%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 9.33%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 8.20%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 13.22%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 23.19%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.70%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio 20.96 20.70 23.47 31.86 39.04 37.44 37.49 26.38 22.81 20.06 22.25 22.13 17.72 20.85 16.53 20.27 22.31 21.60 39.12 36.28 35.236
P/S Ratio 1.36 1.37 1.62 1.77 1.64 1.43 1.52 1.38 1.34 1.27 1.26 1.23 0.98 1.15 1.20 1.41 1.51 1.48 1.79 1.87 1.859
P/B Ratio 3.14 3.21 3.89 4.56 4.64 4.48 4.65 4.22 4.02 5.68 5.39 5.32 4.19 4.70 5.08 5.98 6.29 6.22 7.70 7.86 7.631
P/FCF 10.24 12.00 14.94 17.32 32.59 59.52 62.09 31.55 21.73 18.95 14.18 22.72 11.78 12.20 12.67 10.96 12.17 11.10 15.46 17.57 17.571
P/OCF 8.37 9.71 12.11 13.69 20.65 25.06 25.97 18.37 14.72 13.90 11.17 16.45 9.72 10.22 10.58 9.59 10.71 10.05 14.02 16.11 16.113
EV/EBITDA 8.90 9.08 10.10 12.46 13.57 12.74 12.90 10.63 9.71 9.55 9.65 9.84 8.31 9.43 8.52 10.06 10.81 10.50 13.69 13.70 13.701
EV/Revenue 1.60 1.62 1.85 2.04 1.95 1.77 1.82 1.68 1.63 1.67 1.61 1.63 1.38 1.54 1.54 1.77 1.86 1.82 2.12 2.20 2.204
EV/EBIT 14.20 14.63 16.30 22.17 27.68 26.71 25.75 18.25 15.44 14.62 15.22 15.56 13.23 15.24 12.95 15.56 16.52 15.98 21.67 20.97 20.968
EV/FCF 12.06 14.16 17.00 19.98 38.77 73.52 74.74 38.41 26.44 24.93 18.09 30.13 16.64 16.33 16.32 13.74 14.96 13.62 18.33 20.75 20.754
Earnings Yield 4.8% 4.8% 4.3% 3.1% 2.6% 2.7% 2.7% 3.8% 4.4% 5.0% 4.5% 4.5% 5.6% 4.8% 6.0% 4.9% 4.5% 4.6% 2.6% 2.8% 2.76%
FCF Yield 9.8% 8.3% 6.7% 5.8% 3.1% 1.7% 1.6% 3.2% 4.6% 5.3% 7.1% 4.4% 8.5% 8.2% 7.9% 9.1% 8.2% 9.0% 6.5% 5.7% 5.69%
EV/OCF snapshot only 19.032
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 4.590
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 14.819
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 4.82%
Graham Number snapshot only $22.46
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 1.09 1.09 1.08 1.06 1.04 1.55 1.45 1.66 1.68 1.65 1.54 1.74 1.59 1.58 1.46 1.55 1.56 1.50 1.44 1.53 1.528
Quick Ratio 1.09 1.09 1.08 1.06 1.04 1.55 1.45 1.66 1.68 1.65 1.54 1.74 1.59 1.58 1.46 1.55 1.56 1.50 1.44 1.53 1.528
Debt/Equity 1.04 1.09 1.07 1.16 1.24 1.48 1.37 1.37 1.25 2.35 2.17 2.18 2.13 2.00 2.03 2.00 1.94 1.96 2.07 1.92 1.924
Net Debt/Equity 0.55 0.58 0.54 0.70 0.88 1.05 0.95 0.92 0.87 1.79 1.49 1.73 1.73 1.59 1.46 1.52 1.44 1.41 1.43 1.42 1.423
Debt/Assets 0.35 0.35 0.34 0.36 0.36 0.40 0.36 0.39 0.37 0.46 0.41 0.45 0.43 0.42 0.38 0.40 0.40 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.382
Debt/EBITDA 2.50 2.61 2.45 2.74 3.05 3.41 3.16 2.84 2.49 3.01 3.04 3.04 2.99 3.00 2.65 2.68 2.72 2.69 3.10 2.84 2.841
Net Debt/EBITDA 1.34 1.39 1.22 1.66 2.16 2.43 2.18 1.90 1.73 2.29 2.09 2.42 2.43 2.39 1.90 2.04 2.01 1.94 2.15 2.10 2.101
Interest Coverage 6.52 6.49 6.74 5.91 5.09 4.86 4.70 5.09 4.75 4.55 3.96 3.88 3.90 3.84 4.68 4.52 4.56 4.69 4.13 4.55 4.547
Equity Multiplier 2.94 3.10 3.18 3.17 3.42 3.66 3.80 3.52 3.37 5.10 5.28 4.80 4.95 4.81 5.31 5.01 4.89 5.09 5.44 5.04 5.040
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.253
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 6.958
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.260
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.232
Defensive Interval snapshot only 463.2 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.79 0.78 0.77 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.80 0.86 0.89 0.90 0.84 0.90 0.88 0.87 0.81 0.89 0.87 0.85 0.80 0.85 0.853
Inventory Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Receivables Turnover 3.70 3.80 4.11 3.72 3.87 3.76 4.20 3.69 3.72 3.58 3.75 3.86 3.89 3.69 3.44 4.45 4.60 3.84 3.42 3.89 3.894
Payables Turnover 16.06 15.61 16.65 16.09 16.76 17.20 13.60 16.32 16.49 16.17 13.20 15.62 13.78 13.17 14.85 16.26 13.06 13.15 15.48 16.59 16.592
DSO 99 96 89 98 94 97 87 99 98 102 97 95 94 99 106 82 79 95 107 94 93.7 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 23 23 22 23 22 21 27 22 22 23 28 23 26 28 25 22 28 28 24 22 22.0 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 76 73 67 75 72 76 60 77 76 79 70 71 67 71 82 60 51 67 83 72 71.7 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 22.562
Cash Velocity snapshot only 8.400
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.197
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 2.1% 4.8% 5.6% 6.0% 5.1% 4.2% 4.1% 6.3% 7.8% 8.1% 7.3% 3.7% 1.9% 1.4% 2.4% 3.1% 3.3% 3.3% 2.2% 3.0% 3.00%
Net Income -13.5% 0.5% 23.2% 3.5% -31.9% -39.8% -39.1% 0.1% 50.7% 79.1% 50.4% 10.0% -4.2% -11.8% 31.1% 28.9% 26.7% 28.1% -35.7% -23.8% -23.79%
EPS -12.7% 1.5% 24.3% 4.6% -30.8% -38.2% -36.7% 4.0% 54.4% 84.3% 60.2% 17.0% 2.9% -6.1% 32.6% 31.3% 28.9% 30.4% -35.6% -25.4% -25.43%
FCF -3.4% -6.0% -20.9% -25.5% -60.1% -78.0% -76.6% -54.5% 32.0% 2.0% 2.9% 28.2% 37.2% 42.5% 9.0% 1.4% 54.5% 45.9% 24.8% -14.9% -14.93%
EBITDA 0.7% 4.7% 12.1% 2.9% -15.9% -18.7% -19.4% 2.5% 25.8% 36.4% 26.3% 8.6% 1.0% -5.5% 11.4% 9.2% 6.8% 9.2% -12.7% -5.6% -5.65%
Op. Income -0.4% 7.0% 17.6% 5.3% -27.4% -40.4% -36.6% -8.0% 44.0% 87.6% 68.1% 25.3% 1.4% -8.9% -0.8% 2.3% 8.3% 12.5% 26.8% 42.8% 42.76%
OCF Growth snapshot only -18.82%
Asset Growth snapshot only 4.40%
Equity Growth snapshot only 3.83%
Debt Growth snapshot only -0.09%
Shares Change snapshot only 2.19%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 70.93%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 7.3% 7.4% 6.1% 4.8% 3.8% 2.8% 3.0% 4.1% 5.0% 5.7% 5.7% 5.3% 4.9% 4.5% 4.6% 4.3% 4.3% 4.2% 3.9% 3.3% 3.26%
Revenue 5Y 5.9% 6.2% 6.6% 6.6% 6.7% 6.6% 6.7% 7.1% 7.0% 6.9% 6.0% 4.9% 4.2% 3.6% 3.7% 3.8% 4.0% 4.3% 4.3% 4.4% 4.40%
EPS 3Y 4.9% 5.2% 3.7% -5.6% -15.2% -19.1% -17.5% -9.9% -2.3% 4.9% 8.0% 8.4% 3.2% 2.2% 10.4% 16.9% 27.0% 31.2% 11.0% 4.6% 4.63%
EPS 5Y -1.5% -1.1% 3.5% -0.4% -5.5% -5.9% -5.1% 2.9% 4.3% 5.8% 2.5% 0.4% -0.6% -1.7% 3.6% 2.4% 4.3% 7.2% 1.5% 4.5% 4.50%
Net Income 3Y 3.9% 4.3% 3.0% -6.2% -16.0% -20.2% -19.0% -11.5% -3.9% 2.7% 4.1% 4.5% -0.6% -1.6% 6.3% 12.4% 22.3% 26.5% 8.2% 2.6% 2.63%
Net Income 5Y -2.0% -1.6% 2.8% -0.9% -6.4% -7.0% -6.4% 1.3% 2.8% 4.1% 0.0% -1.9% -3.1% -4.3% 1.0% -0.4% 1.5% 4.1% -1.0% 2.3% 2.29%
EBITDA 3Y 8.0% 9.3% 8.1% 1.4% -5.5% -8.6% -7.3% -3.1% 2.1% 5.1% 4.5% 4.6% 2.2% 1.5% 4.3% 6.7% 10.7% 12.1% 7.1% 3.8% 3.84%
EBITDA 5Y 0.5% 0.3% 1.9% 1.0% -0.5% -0.1% 0.5% 4.2% 5.9% 7.6% 5.2% 3.0% 1.4% -0.3% 2.3% 1.6% 2.8% 3.7% 2.1% 3.4% 3.39%
Gross Profit 3Y 5.5% 6.2% 5.8% 5.0% 4.3% 3.6% 3.6% 4.9% 6.5% 6.9% 6.4% 5.6% 4.2% 3.9% 5.0% 5.0% 5.5% 4.8% 4.1% 3.1% 3.09%
Gross Profit 5Y 4.2% 4.8% 5.5% 5.8% 6.0% 6.1% 5.9% 6.2% 6.2% 6.0% 5.2% 4.2% 3.8% 3.6% 4.3% 4.7% 5.5% 5.7% 5.4% 5.2% 5.25%
Op. Income 3Y 3.7% 5.7% 5.8% -0.6% -10.5% -17.0% -14.5% -7.5% 1.4% 6.2% 7.8% 6.7% 2.0% 0.6% 1.9% 5.7% 16.5% 24.3% 28.4% 22.3% 22.34%
Op. Income 5Y -3.1% -3.2% -1.3% -1.6% -5.7% -7.4% -5.7% -0.8% 3.1% 5.7% 4.8% 2.5% 0.9% -0.5% 0.8% 0.3% 2.7% 4.2% 9.6% 12.1% 12.14%
FCF 3Y 41.7% 36.9% 9.6% 13.9% -18.0% -42.6% -38.4% -20.3% -20.2% -14.6% -10.2% -24.3% -10.3% -1.9% -0.1% 12.6% 40.9% 84.3% 74.5% 38.7% 38.72%
FCF 5Y 5.1% 5.4% 12.8% 7.8% -3.2% -22.0% -20.9% -10.9% 8.4% 11.2% 3.8% -2.9% -0.0% -4.1% -0.1% 9.7% 1.5% 5.3% -0.3% -2.0% -1.98%
OCF 3Y 22.8% 14.3% -0.7% 2.7% -16.5% -29.8% -25.1% -13.6% -15.4% -12.6% -8.7% -21.2% -10.6% -3.0% -1.1% 8.8% 26.3% 42.9% 34.8% 19.2% 19.23%
OCF 5Y 5.0% 5.4% 10.7% 5.8% -2.9% -13.6% -12.9% -7.8% 3.3% 1.7% -1.7% -7.2% -4.1% -5.7% -2.1% 6.1% -0.3% 2.4% -2.1% -4.3% -4.25%
Assets 3Y 11.7% 12.9% 7.6% 4.3% 3.0% 1.4% 1.7% 1.9% 0.6% 1.5% 2.7% 0.5% 1.6% 0.6% 2.7% 2.9% 3.3% 5.4% 4.6% 4.6% 4.56%
Assets 5Y 8.1% 9.5% 9.2% 8.9% 8.3% 7.5% 8.3% 6.9% 6.9% 7.0% 5.3% 2.4% 2.8% 2.8% 3.2% 3.0% 2.3% 3.0% 3.0% 3.1% 3.05%
Equity 3Y 7.9% 7.1% 6.5% 3.8% 0.2% -3.4% -3.6% -1.6% -1.2% -14.0% -13.5% -14.3% -14.7% -13.1% -13.5% -11.7% -8.3% -5.6% -7.2% -7.2% -7.24%
Book Value 3Y 8.9% 8.0% 7.3% 4.4% 1.3% -2.0% -1.9% 0.2% 0.4% -12.2% -10.2% -11.1% -11.4% -9.7% -10.2% -8.1% -4.8% -2.2% -4.9% -5.4% -5.43%
Dividend 3Y 2.8% 2.7% 2.3% 2.2% 2.3% 2.5% 2.7% 2.7% 2.5% 3.1% 4.2% 4.4% 4.1% 3.9% -4.2% -4.4% -4.1% -3.8% 14.9% 22.8% 22.78%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.93 0.90 0.94 0.95 0.93 0.89 0.90 0.94 0.97 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.96 0.93 0.95 0.98 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.98 0.978
Earnings Stability 0.03 0.02 0.11 0.00 0.09 0.10 0.14 0.05 0.07 0.04 0.17 0.30 0.23 0.13 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.14 0.03 0.38 0.383
Margin Stability 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.98 0.98 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.97 0.98 0.98 0.97 0.973
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.95 1.00 0.91 0.99 0.87 0.84 0.84 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.96 0.98 0.95 0.88 0.88 0.89 0.89 0.86 0.90 0.905
Earnings Smoothness 0.86 1.00 0.79 0.97 0.62 0.50 0.51 1.00 0.60 0.43 0.60 0.90 0.96 0.88 0.73 0.75 0.76 0.75 0.57 0.73 0.730
ROE Trend -0.05 -0.03 -0.01 -0.03 -0.05 -0.04 -0.03 0.02 0.04 0.15 0.10 0.09 0.09 0.02 0.12 0.09 0.08 0.03 -0.08 -0.05 -0.051
Gross Margin Trend 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.002
FCF Margin Trend 0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.09 -0.10 -0.10 -0.08 -0.03 -0.00 0.02 -0.02 0.03 0.05 0.04 0.08 0.05 0.05 0.02 0.01 0.015
Sustainable Growth Rate 8.1% 8.5% 9.3% 6.2% 2.9% 2.0% 2.7% 6.5% 8.8% 13.0% 10.3% 9.6% 9.2% 11.2% 21.7% 20.6% 19.5% 19.4% 6.5% 6.0% 5.95%
Internal Growth Rate 2.7% 2.8% 3.0% 2.1% 0.9% 0.6% 0.8% 2.0% 2.7% 3.1% 2.4% 2.4% 2.3% 2.3% 4.3% 4.4% 4.1% 4.1% 1.2% 1.2% 1.20%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 2.51 2.13 1.94 2.33 1.89 1.49 1.44 1.44 1.55 1.44 1.99 1.35 1.82 2.04 1.56 2.11 2.08 2.15 2.79 2.25 2.252
FCF/OCF 0.82 0.81 0.81 0.79 0.63 0.42 0.42 0.58 0.68 0.73 0.79 0.72 0.83 0.84 0.83 0.88 0.88 0.90 0.91 0.92 0.917
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 2.065
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.720
CapEx/Revenue 3.0% 2.7% 2.5% 2.7% 2.9% 3.3% 3.4% 3.1% 2.9% 2.4% 2.4% 2.1% 1.8% 1.8% 1.9% 1.8% 1.7% 1.4% 1.2% 1.0% 0.96%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.172
Accruals Ratio -0.08 -0.06 -0.05 -0.06 -0.03 -0.02 -0.01 -0.02 -0.03 -0.03 -0.05 -0.02 -0.04 -0.05 -0.03 -0.07 -0.06 -0.07 -0.07 -0.05 -0.055
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.034
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 2.455
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 2.3% 2.3% 1.9% 1.8% 1.9% 2.2% 2.0% 2.2% 2.2% 2.3% 2.3% 2.4% 3.0% 2.5% 1.9% 1.6% 1.5% 1.5% 1.7% 2.0% 1.61%
Dividend/Share $1.00 $1.01 $1.02 $1.03 $1.05 $1.07 $1.09 $1.10 $1.11 $1.13 $1.18 $1.19 $1.20 $1.20 $0.93 $0.94 $0.96 $0.98 $1.31 $1.61 $1.30
Payout Ratio 48.4% 47.2% 45.1% 55.8% 73.9% 81.0% 76.0% 57.2% 50.3% 46.5% 51.2% 53.0% 53.1% 52.7% 30.6% 31.9% 33.0% 32.9% 66.9% 73.0% 73.02%
FCF Payout Ratio 23.7% 27.4% 28.7% 30.3% 61.7% 1.3% 1.3% 68.4% 48.0% 44.0% 32.7% 54.4% 35.3% 30.8% 23.5% 17.2% 18.0% 16.9% 26.4% 35.4% 35.36%
Total Payout Ratio 1.1% 1.1% 1.0% 1.5% 2.3% 3.0% 3.0% 2.0% 1.4% 2.4% 2.4% 2.6% 2.8% 1.3% 1.1% 1.2% 1.3% 1.3% 2.2% 1.7% 1.75%
Div. Increase Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chowder Number 0.08 0.08 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.02 -0.20 -0.21 -0.20 -0.19 0.42 0.77 0.767
Buyback Yield 3.1% 3.1% 2.5% 2.9% 3.9% 5.8% 5.9% 5.3% 4.0% 9.5% 8.6% 9.5% 12.7% 3.9% 4.7% 4.3% 4.4% 4.7% 3.8% 2.8% 2.80%
Net Buyback Yield 2.9% 2.9% 2.3% 2.8% 3.8% 5.7% 5.7% 5.1% 3.8% 9.2% 8.4% 9.2% 12.4% 3.7% 4.5% 4.1% 4.2% 4.5% 3.7% 2.7% 2.73%
Total Shareholder Return 5.2% 5.2% 4.3% 4.5% 5.7% 7.8% 7.7% 7.3% 6.0% 11.5% 10.7% 11.6% 15.4% 6.2% 6.4% 5.7% 5.7% 6.0% 5.4% 4.7% 4.74%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.68 0.71 0.72 0.73 0.74 0.73 0.72 0.71 0.70 0.71 0.72 0.71 0.71 0.74 0.77 0.79 0.77 0.77 0.62 0.63 0.627
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.83 0.80 0.79 0.79 0.80 0.79 0.78 0.75 0.74 0.74 0.74 0.79 0.78 0.78 0.79 0.76 0.78 0.780
EBIT Margin 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.09 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.09 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.12 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.10 0.11 0.105
Asset Turnover 0.79 0.78 0.77 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.80 0.86 0.89 0.90 0.84 0.90 0.88 0.87 0.81 0.89 0.87 0.85 0.80 0.85 0.853
Equity Multiplier 3.06 3.10 3.17 3.08 3.16 3.35 3.45 3.34 3.40 4.28 4.44 4.06 4.03 4.95 5.30 4.91 4.92 4.95 5.38 5.03 5.026
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $2.06 $2.14 $2.26 $1.85 $1.42 $1.32 $1.43 $1.92 $2.20 $2.43 $2.30 $2.25 $2.26 $2.29 $3.04 $2.95 $2.91 $2.98 $1.96 $2.20 $2.20
Book Value/Share $13.75 $13.77 $13.67 $12.91 $11.97 $11.05 $11.56 $12.03 $12.48 $8.60 $9.48 $9.35 $9.56 $10.13 $9.91 $10.02 $10.33 $10.35 $9.95 $10.18 $10.57
Tangible Book/Share $1.29 $-0.13 $-0.57 $-1.23 $-1.57 $-2.42 $-2.33 $-1.80 $-1.20 $-4.97 $-4.85 $-4.82 $-5.91 $-5.66 $-5.38 $-5.62 $-5.58 $-5.67 $-5.65 $-4.99 $-4.99
Revenue/Share $31.66 $32.29 $32.77 $33.25 $33.81 $34.50 $35.46 $36.72 $37.37 $38.36 $40.54 $40.48 $40.90 $41.38 $41.97 $42.51 $42.95 $43.51 $42.92 $42.84 $44.52
FCF/Share $4.21 $3.69 $3.56 $3.40 $1.70 $0.83 $0.87 $1.61 $2.31 $2.58 $3.60 $2.19 $3.40 $3.91 $3.97 $5.47 $5.34 $5.80 $4.96 $4.55 $4.73
OCF/Share $5.15 $4.56 $4.39 $4.30 $2.69 $1.97 $2.07 $2.76 $3.41 $3.51 $4.57 $3.03 $4.12 $4.66 $4.76 $6.25 $6.07 $6.41 $5.47 $4.96 $5.16
Cash/Share $6.63 $7.03 $7.32 $5.90 $4.29 $4.73 $4.90 $5.48 $4.76 $4.85 $6.46 $4.20 $3.86 $4.16 $5.67 $4.81 $5.19 $5.66 $6.32 $5.10 $5.30
EBITDA/Share $5.70 $5.75 $5.99 $5.45 $4.87 $4.80 $5.02 $5.81 $6.28 $6.73 $6.75 $6.71 $6.81 $6.76 $7.61 $7.46 $7.39 $7.52 $6.65 $6.89 $6.89
Debt/Share $14.25 $15.00 $14.65 $14.95 $14.83 $16.36 $15.85 $16.52 $15.61 $20.24 $20.55 $20.42 $20.39 $20.30 $20.14 $20.03 $20.08 $20.25 $20.58 $19.58 $19.58
Net Debt/Share $7.62 $7.98 $7.34 $9.05 $10.54 $11.63 $10.96 $11.04 $10.86 $15.40 $14.10 $16.22 $16.52 $16.14 $14.47 $15.22 $14.90 $14.58 $14.27 $14.48 $14.48
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 3.537
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 6.312
Piotroski F-Score 7 7 8 7 5 7 6 8 7 7 7 7 5 6 8 7 8 7 6 5 5
Beneish M-Score -2.94 -2.70 -2.59 -2.76 -2.54 -2.50 -2.43 -2.45 -2.50 -2.41 -2.59 -2.45 -2.56 -2.67 -2.67 -2.78 -2.80 -2.77 -2.71 -2.68 -2.678
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -5.580
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-10.28
EVA snapshot only $44220675.34
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only A
Credit Score 67.39 62.22 68.28 68.09 66.74 64.43 62.31 69.53 70.53 64.34 64.54 62.38 66.79 64.39 63.93 67.48 67.54 67.36 64.54 70.63 70.633
Credit Grade snapshot only 6
Credit Trend snapshot only 3.153
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 150.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 66
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 56

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