CSTM NYSE
Constellium SE
1W: -4.7%
1M: -0.3%
3M: -11.2%
YTD: +24.2%
1Y: +45.3%
3Y: +54.1%
5Y: +34.7%
$24.55
+1.14 (+4.87%)
Weekly Expected Move ±4.5%
$21
$22
$23
$24
$25
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 60% of companies Debt: 36.6% of company value Bonds: $152.7M held by 128 funds, 136 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
If the stock fell to about $1.13 (down 95%), Constellium SE would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $1.92B against a stock market value of $3.33B.
Distance to default 4.19 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $982.5M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 44.4%; Altman Z'' 2.50. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
Total debt $1.92B against a stock market value of $3.33B.
Distance to default 4.19 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $982.5M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 44.4%; Altman Z'' 2.50. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
Overview
Chart
Smart Money
Financials
Income Statement
Cash Flow
Balance Sheet
Earnings
Analysis
Technicals
Weather
Peers
ESG
Institutions
ETF Exposure
Dark Pool
Short Interest
Supply Chain
Oct Typical
⛅
Partly Cloudy
+1.2% YTD avg
Midterm Year
⛈️
Stormy
-25.9% YTD avg
2026 Now
☀️
Sunny
Above typical
20yr Avg YTD
+1.2%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
-25.9%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
+24.2%
Above 20yr avg
Typical Vol
59%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
💨
+3.2%
Midterm
☀️
+5.9%
54% win
43% vol
Feb
20yr
💨
+10.1%
Midterm
☀️
+7.1%
85% win
58% vol
Mar
20yr
⛈️
+2.2%
Midterm
☀️
+5.4%
31% win
96% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
+5.4%
Midterm
☀️
+5.6%
69% win
63% vol
May
20yr
💨
+4.8%
Midterm
☀️
+6.8%
64% win
49% vol
Jun
20yr
⛈️
+7.0%
Midterm
🌧️
-1.6%
50% win
49% vol
Jul
20yr
💨
+12.8%
Midterm
☀️
+5.3%
64% win
44% vol
Aug
20yr
🌫️
+11.5%
Midterm
☁️
-0.7%
36% win
61% vol
Sep
20yr
⛈️
+9.2%
Midterm
⛈️
-10.9%
36% win
45% vol
Oct
20yr
⛈️
+2.9%
Midterm
⛈️
-26.5%
43% win
59% vol
Now:
+1.5%
Nov
20yr
💨
+8.2%
Midterm
⛈️
-30.6%
69% win
70% vol
Dec
20yr
🌫️
-0.2%
Midterm
⛈️
-5.8%
54% win
41% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: +24.2%