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CTA.L LSE

CT Automotive Group plc
1W: +3.7% 1M: -37.5% 3M: -35.6% YTD: -21.3% 1Y: -45.5% 3Y: -49.4%
£21.25 ($0.28)
-0.25 (-1.16%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±16.0%
£14 £18 £21 £25 £28
LSE · Consumer Cyclical · Auto - Parts · Tech Score Sell · Power 38 · £15.6M mcap · 68M float · 0.584% daily turnover

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

A
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
4
ROE
5
ROA
5
D/E
1
P/E
4
P/B
4
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. CTA.L receives an overall rating of A. Strongest factors: DCF (4/5), ROE (5/5), ROA (5/5), P/E (4/5), P/B (4/5). Areas of concern: D/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-09-17 A+ A
2026-06-03 A A+
2026-05-20 A- A
2026-05-20 A A-
2026-05-06 A- A
2026-04-07 None ADDED
2026-04-07 EXISTED None
2026-02-24 A A-
2026-01-13 None ADDED
2026-01-04 EXISTED None

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ — Grade B
Profitability
47
Balance Sheet
62
Earnings Quality
76
Growth
45
Value
—
Momentum
65
Safety
—
Cash Flow
23

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
—
—
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-2.14
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-6.18
Bankruptcy prob: 0.2%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BBB
Score: 59.7/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 0.99x
Accruals: 0.2%
The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. CTA.L scores 5/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. CTA.L's score of -2.14 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. CTA.L's implied 0.2% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. CTA.L receives an estimated rating of BBB (score: 59.7/100), with a improving trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). CTA.L's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
3.22x
PEG
-0.16x
P/S
0.17x
P/B
0.65x
P/FCF
—
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
—
EV/Revenue
—
EV/EBIT
—
EV/FCF
—
Earnings Yield
—
FCF Yield
—
Shareholder Yield
—
Graham Number
$1.31
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 3.2x earnings, CTA.L trades at a deep value multiple. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $1.31 per share, 1524% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.944
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.769
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.080
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
2.578
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
3.224
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
48.2%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. CTA.L's ROE of 48.2% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 3.22x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance. A tax burden ratio of 0.94 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$1.49
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with CTA.L's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. CTA.L trades at a premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $1.49, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 3.2x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1176 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$21.25
Median 1Y
$11.94
5th Pctile
$5.07
95th Pctile
$28.03
Ann. Volatility
54.1%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
ROE -21.8% -50.3% -12.9% -2.9% -68.0% -29.7% 95.4% 77.0% 64.8% 48.2% 48.23%
ROA -7.0% -13.3% -42.0% -39.3% -18.4% -8.0% 17.9% 21.8% 18.6% 15.0% 14.96%
ROIC -10.7% -20.9% -73.4% -56.6% -23.0% 9.1% 43.7% 37.0% 38.6% 29.8% 29.78%
ROCE -11.8% -30.9% -1.6% -86.3% -29.7% 13.8% 52.2% 1.6% 56.1% 47.9% 47.93%
Gross Margin 15.7% 15.5% 6.3% 26.2% 17.4% 28.7% 26.6% 30.5% 30.5% 26.6% 26.60%
Operating Margin -13.0% -15.4% -12.9% 4.4% 7.4% 7.4% 5.7% 8.7% 9.8% 4.0% 3.97%
Net Margin -14.4% -13.5% -25.2% 0.9% 7.5% 6.1% 6.5% 6.2% 8.2% 2.4% 2.36%
EBITDA Margin -6.5% -9.4% -8.6% 8.0% 11.1% 10.0% 14.9% 14.0% 11.4% 6.9% 6.86%
FCF Margin -12.7% -15.5% -4.0% -4.3% 0.9% 4.6% 1.7% 2.3% 2.6% 1.3% 1.26%
OCF Margin -7.8% -11.2% -0.4% -1.6% 3.4% 6.9% 4.0% 5.1% 6.3% 5.7% 5.73%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only -15.36%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -3.17%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only -7.74%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 28.64%
Cash ROA snapshot only 13.52%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 25.36%
CROIC snapshot only 5.58%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 6.72%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 6.14%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 19.88%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio — — — — — — 2.14 2.10 — — 3.216
P/S Ratio — — — — — — 0.11 0.14 — — 0.170
P/B Ratio — — — — — — 1.12 1.11 — — 0.649
P/FCF — — — — — — 6.54 6.16 — — —
P/OCF — — — — — — 2.81 2.74 — — —
EV/EBITDA — — — — — — 1.49 1.81 — — —
EV/Revenue — — — — — — 0.16 0.22 — — —
EV/EBIT — — — — — — 2.62 2.90 — — —
EV/FCF — — — — — — 9.56 9.80 — — —
Earnings Yield — — — — — — 46.8% 47.7% — — —
FCF Yield — — — — — — 15.3% 16.2% — — —
Graham Number snapshot only $1.31
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 1.28 1.15 0.88 1.04 1.07 1.18 1.32 0.96 1.33 1.24 1.244
Quick Ratio 0.76 0.60 0.47 0.64 0.65 0.67 0.68 0.39 0.75 0.77 0.767
Debt/Equity 0.80 1.12 11.25 2.41 1.31 0.87 0.65 0.69 0.54 0.77 0.775
Net Debt/Equity 0.45 0.93 9.37 1.73 0.75 0.67 0.52 0.66 0.45 0.57 0.573
Debt/Assets 0.26 0.29 0.37 0.32 0.26 0.24 0.23 0.33 0.20 0.26 0.263
Debt/EBITDA -8.11 -3.93 -1.95 -2.89 7.75 1.35 0.60 0.71 0.58 0.96 0.961
Net Debt/EBITDA -4.54 -3.26 -1.63 -2.07 4.45 1.03 0.47 0.67 0.49 0.71 0.710
Interest Coverage -2.43 -3.95 -4.54 -3.15 -1.46 0.75 3.64 4.06 5.87 5.74 5.740
Equity Multiplier 3.13 3.79 30.71 7.48 4.99 3.63 2.84 2.07 2.63 2.95 2.949
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.113
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 8.313
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.261
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.113
Defensive Interval snapshot only 360.4 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.48 0.95 2.29 3.03 2.64 2.82 3.45 3.27 2.73 2.58 2.578
Inventory Turnover 1.22 2.12 5.84 8.36 6.84 6.37 7.29 6.59 6.12 6.01 6.010
Receivables Turnover 2.18 4.13 11.22 10.94 12.41 13.35 19.25 12.85 9.57 13.34 13.338
Payables Turnover 1.95 3.54 7.33 10.32 9.97 10.46 10.84 9.64 6.12 9.21 9.215
DSO 167 88 33 33 29 27 19 28 38 27 27.4 days
DIO 299 172 63 44 53 57 50 55 60 61 60.7 days
DPO 187 103 50 35 37 35 34 38 60 40 39.6 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 279 157 45 42 46 50 35 46 38 48 48.5 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 11.124
Operating Cycle snapshot only 88.1 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 34.457
Capital Intensity snapshot only 0.423
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Revenue — — — — 3.7% 1.5% 46.2% -5.8% -17.4% -19.5% -19.47%
Net Income — — — — -1.3% 49.9% 1.4% 1.5% 1.8% 2.7% 2.65%
EPS — — — — -55.8% 65.3% 1.3% 1.4% 1.7% 2.7% 2.65%
FCF — — — — 1.3% 1.7% 1.6% 1.5% 1.4% -78.0% -77.96%
EBITDA — — — — 1.8% 2.6% 2.9% 4.1% 8.7% 84.5% 84.53%
Op. Income — — — — -14.8% 1.3% 1.7% 1.8% 3.0% 2.7% 2.74%
OCF Growth snapshot only -33.31%
Asset Growth snapshot only 20.20%
Equity Growth snapshot only 47.98%
Debt Growth snapshot only 31.62%
Shares Change snapshot only 0.00%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability — — — — — — — — 0.55 0.44 0.436
Earnings Stability — — — — — — — — 0.46 0.94 0.936
Margin Stability — — — — — — — — 0.63 0.69 0.687
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0
Earnings Persistence — — — — — — — — 0.20 0.20 0.200
Earnings Smoothness — — — — — — — — — — —
ROE Trend — — — — — — — — 1.17 0.84 0.836
Gross Margin Trend — — — — — — — — 0.13 0.11 0.110
FCF Margin Trend — — — — — — — — 0.09 0.07 0.067
Sustainable Growth Rate — — — — — — 95.4% 77.0% 64.8% 48.2% 48.23%
Internal Growth Rate — — — — — — 21.8% 27.9% 22.8% 17.6% 17.59%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 0.54 0.80 0.02 0.12 -0.50 -2.45 0.76 0.77 0.93 0.99 0.987
FCF/OCF 1.62 1.38 9.22 2.73 0.26 0.67 0.43 0.45 0.42 0.22 0.220
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.217
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.495
CapEx/Revenue 4.8% 4.3% 3.5% 2.7% 2.6% 2.3% 2.3% 2.8% 3.7% 4.5% 4.47%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 1.247
Accruals Ratio -0.03 -0.03 -0.41 -0.35 -0.27 -0.27 0.04 0.05 0.01 0.00 0.002
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.036
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.282
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield — — — — — — 0.0% 0.0% — — 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio — — — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
FCF Payout Ratio — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Payout Ratio — — — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Div. Increase Streak — — — — — — — — — — —
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield — — — — — — 0.0% 0.0% — — —
Net Buyback Yield — — — — — — -31.3% -0.4% — — —
Total Shareholder Return — — — — — — -31.3% -0.4% — — —
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.93 0.88 1.20 1.24 1.48 27.82 1.02 1.07 0.95 0.94 0.944
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.76 1.53 1.49 1.59 1.90 -0.08 0.82 0.81 0.82 0.77 0.769
EBIT Margin -0.09 -0.10 -0.10 -0.07 -0.02 0.01 0.06 0.08 0.09 0.08 0.080
Asset Turnover 0.48 0.95 2.29 3.03 2.64 2.82 3.45 3.27 2.73 2.58 2.578
Equity Multiplier 3.13 3.79 30.71 7.48 3.70 3.73 5.32 3.53 3.49 3.22 3.224
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-0.16 $-0.31 $-0.65 $-0.58 $-0.25 $-0.11 $0.19 $0.21 $0.19 $0.18 $0.18
Book Value/Share $0.75 $0.61 $0.05 $0.20 $0.23 $0.29 $0.36 $0.41 $0.38 $0.43 $0.43
Tangible Book/Share $0.69 $0.55 $0.02 $0.17 $0.21 $0.27 $0.34 $0.39 $0.35 $0.41 $0.41
Revenue/Share $1.13 $2.18 $3.56 $4.44 $3.66 $3.75 $3.60 $3.22 $2.80 $3.02 $1.65
FCF/Share $-0.14 $-0.34 $-0.14 $-0.19 $0.03 $0.17 $0.06 $0.07 $0.07 $0.04 $0.05
OCF/Share $-0.09 $-0.25 $-0.02 $-0.07 $0.13 $0.26 $0.14 $0.16 $0.18 $0.17 $0.15
Cash/Share $0.26 $0.11 $0.09 $0.13 $0.13 $0.06 $0.05 $0.01 $0.03 $0.09 $0.09
EBITDA/Share $-0.07 $-0.17 $-0.29 $-0.16 $0.04 $0.19 $0.39 $0.40 $0.35 $0.35 $0.35
Debt/Share $0.60 $0.68 $0.57 $0.47 $0.30 $0.26 $0.23 $0.28 $0.20 $0.34 $0.34
Net Debt/Share $0.34 $0.56 $0.47 $0.34 $0.17 $0.20 $0.18 $0.27 $0.17 $0.25 $0.25
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — —
Piotroski F-Score 2 2 2 2 4 7 7 5 6 5 5
Beneish M-Score — — — — -4.30 -4.53 -2.41 -3.45 -2.71 -2.14 -2.142
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -6.180
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 52.38%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $0.12
EVA snapshot only $9933596.62
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BBB
Credit Score 34.68 32.33 24.85 29.44 29.41 50.80 72.51 67.47 65.10 59.72 59.719
Credit Grade snapshot only 9
Credit Trend snapshot only 8.917
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 275.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 48
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 53

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