— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice

CTIC NASDAQ

CTI BioPharma Corp.
1W: +0.2% 1M: +1.1% 3M: +111.4% 1Y: +52.3% 3Y: +615.8% 5Y: +80.7%
$9.10
Last traded 2023-06-23 — delisted
NASDAQ · Healthcare · Biotechnology · $1.2B mcap · 100M float · 6.36% daily turnover

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
43.5 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Network Effects  ·  ROIC: 120.1%
Cost Advantage
55
Intangibles
33
Switching Cost
34
Network Effect
78
Scale
27
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. CTIC shows a Weak competitive edge (43.5/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Network Effects. ROIC of 120.1% confirms the company is generating returns well above its cost of capital — a hallmark of durable competitive advantages.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 13Hold: 6Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$—
Analysts0
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2022-09-01 Jefferies Kelly Shi Initiated $13 — +107.0% $6.28
2022-08-09 JMP Securities — Initiated $9 — +36.7% $6.58
2022-08-09 Needham — Initiated $9 — +27.5% $7.06
2022-04-19 DNB Markets Leah Rush Cann Initiated $12 — +153.7% $4.73
2022-03-02 BTIG Robert Hazlett Initiated $9 — +127.8% $3.95

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 33 Grade D
Profitability
20
Balance Sheet
34
Earnings Quality
49
Growth
88
Value
23
Momentum
80
Safety
0
Cash Flow
30
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. CTIC scores highest in Growth (88/100) and lowest in Safety (0/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
-29.84
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
4/9
✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓
Beneish M-Score
6.23
Possible Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-0.47
Bankruptcy prob: 38.4%
Moderate
Credit Rating
B-
Score: 20.0/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
—
OCF/NI: 1.07x
Accruals: 4.4%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. CTIC scores -29.84, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. CTIC scores 4/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. CTIC's score of 6.23 exceeds the −1.78 red flag threshold — this does not confirm manipulation but indicates the earnings profile resembles past manipulators statistically. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. CTIC's implied 38.4% bankruptcy probability is elevated and warrants attention to the balance sheet. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. CTIC receives an estimated rating of B- (score: 20.0/100), with a improving trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-11.51x
PEG
-0.17x
P/S
22.23x
P/B
-59.35x
P/FCF
-6.71x
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
-10.66x
EV/Revenue
7.16x
EV/EBIT
-10.34x
EV/FCF
-6.59x
Earnings Yield
-13.94%
FCF Yield
-14.90%
Shareholder Yield
0.00%
Graham Number
—
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. CTIC currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
1.112
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.320
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
-0.692
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.622
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
-4.575
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
289.2%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. CTIC's ROE of 289.2% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.622), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 1.11 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
—
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$9.09
Median 1Y
$7.17
5th Pctile
$1.77
95th Pctile
$29.10
Ann. Volatility
80.6%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
ROE -73.0% -97.4% -72.8% -54.3% -64.9% -69.6% -1.0% -67.8% -91.0% -1.2% -1.8% -1.2% -1.1% -1.8% -4.5% 188.8% -4.3% -10.3% 13.4% 2.9% 2.89%
ROA -44.0% -57.3% -40.5% -37.7% -42.3% -41.8% -58.8% -50.6% -62.3% -75.0% -1.0% -88.0% -82.1% -92.7% -1.5% -1.4% -1.2% -1.0% -93.2% -63.2% -63.20%
ROIC 3.8% 3.9% -4.5% -5.7% -10.3% 30.2% 9.3% -28.1% 7.3% 9.4% 5.3% 8.4% 8.0% 7.6% 6.8% 1.2% 1.7% 1.6% 1.3% 1.2% 1.20%
ROCE -49.6% -64.1% -41.4% -57.8% -70.6% -95.7% -1.4% -54.4% -68.9% -91.6% -1.2% -2.1% -1.0% -1.9% -33.0% -6.4% -2.0% -2.1% -1.8% -1.2% -1.19%
Gross Margin 4.1% 84.2% 99.4% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% — — — — — — — — — 87.9% 92.6% 93.7% 94.5% 94.9% 94.92%
Operating Margin -22.8% -20.4% 1.4% -16.5% -26.4% -4.2% — — — — — — — — — -15.3% -1.5% -67.0% -64.5% -38.3% -38.28%
Net Margin -18.5% -20.5% 5.8% -16.9% -26.4% -4.4% — — — — — — — — — -16.2% -1.8% -85.7% -80.3% -90.4% -90.38%
EBITDA Margin -22.8% -20.4% -14.3% -16.0% -25.1% -4.2% — — — — — — — — — -15.1% -1.5% -61.7% -65.0% -32.5% -32.53%
FCF Margin -3.5% -3.1% -1.5% -2.5% -2.2% -1.6% -8.3% -12.9% -16.2% — — — — — — -42.7% -6.9% -2.9% -1.5% -1.1% -1.09%
OCF Margin -3.5% -3.1% -1.5% -2.5% -2.2% -1.6% -8.3% -12.9% -16.2% — — — — — — -42.7% -6.9% -2.9% -1.5% -1.1% -1.09%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -97.92%
ROIC Economic snapshot only -1.93%
Cash ROA snapshot only -73.32%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only -56.23%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -91.38%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 51.55%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 1.17%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 14.32%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
P/E Ratio -6.94 -2.82 -1.44 -1.56 -1.39 -1.57 -2.29 -1.39 -1.92 -3.47 -4.58 -3.86 -3.65 -3.64 -2.44 -3.91 -5.30 -6.23 -8.35 -7.18 -11.513
P/S Ratio 21.77 10.20 1.61 3.42 3.06 2.72 27.38 21.24 37.34 — — — — — — 203.15 44.31 21.53 14.31 7.29 22.233
P/B Ratio 4.16 2.19 0.72 1.12 1.22 1.52 5.11 0.80 1.50 3.38 6.00 8.34 3.74 7.12 64.30 -16.70 -122.85 -42.03 -43.91 -21.80 -59.347
P/FCF -6.21 -3.32 -1.06 -1.38 -1.40 -1.67 -3.29 -1.65 -2.30 -3.70 -5.69 -4.58 -4.08 -4.21 -2.85 -4.75 -6.43 -7.39 -9.51 -6.71 -6.713
P/OCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBITDA -58.61 -8.91 0.34 -0.28 -0.32 -0.49 -1.85 0.33 -0.57 -2.46 -3.80 -3.40 -2.64 -3.10 -1.19 -2.01 -2.91 -3.47 -9.53 -10.66 -10.656
EV/Revenue 15.84 4.78 -0.40 0.69 0.73 0.88 20.98 -4.86 10.56 — — — — — — 181.99 41.12 20.55 13.75 7.16 7.159
EV/EBIT -5.27 -1.37 0.39 -0.33 -0.35 -0.54 -1.82 0.33 -0.56 -2.43 -3.76 -3.37 -2.61 -3.07 -1.19 -2.00 -2.89 -3.44 -9.37 -10.34 -10.339
EV/FCF -4.52 -1.55 0.27 -0.28 -0.33 -0.54 -2.52 0.38 -0.65 -2.52 -4.57 -3.93 -2.88 -3.50 -2.68 -4.26 -5.97 -7.06 -9.14 -6.59 -6.590
Earnings Yield -14.4% -35.5% -69.3% -64.2% -71.8% -63.9% -43.7% -72.0% -52.0% -28.8% -21.8% -25.9% -27.4% -27.5% -41.0% -25.6% -18.9% -16.1% -12.0% -13.9% -13.94%
FCF Yield -16.1% -30.2% -94.2% -72.7% -71.2% -59.7% -30.4% -60.6% -43.4% -27.1% -17.6% -21.9% -24.5% -23.7% -35.0% -21.0% -15.5% -13.5% -10.5% -14.9% -14.90%
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 7.607
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.00%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
Current Ratio 4.27 3.58 3.58 4.04 3.15 1.78 1.92 5.74 5.20 4.04 3.19 2.53 4.74 1.59 1.03 1.04 3.60 3.26 1.23 1.27 1.267
Quick Ratio 4.27 3.58 3.58 4.04 3.15 1.78 1.92 5.74 5.20 4.04 3.19 2.53 4.74 1.59 1.03 1.04 3.58 3.22 1.22 1.26 1.256
Debt/Equity 0.21 0.25 0.24 0.34 0.38 0.44 0.68 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.13 0.21 0.06 1.25 13.42 -1.73 -9.35 -2.92 -2.84 -1.93 -1.929
Net Debt/Equity -1.13 -1.16 -0.90 -0.89 -0.93 -1.03 -1.19 -0.98 -1.08 -1.08 -1.18 -1.19 -1.10 -1.20 -3.95 — — — — — —
Debt/Assets 0.14 0.16 0.16 0.23 0.24 0.24 0.26 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.09 0.13 0.05 0.48 0.70 0.37 0.37 0.40 0.40 0.44 0.436
Debt/EBITDA -3.98 -2.19 -0.45 -0.42 -0.42 -0.43 -0.32 -0.27 -0.21 -0.16 -0.10 -0.10 -0.06 -0.65 -0.27 -0.23 -0.24 -0.25 -0.64 -0.96 -0.961
Net Debt/EBITDA 21.93 10.10 1.70 1.09 1.01 1.01 0.56 1.79 1.44 1.15 0.93 0.56 1.10 0.63 0.08 0.23 0.23 0.17 0.39 0.20 0.199
Interest Coverage -22.31 -24.70 -15.93 -19.81 -19.94 -17.89 -25.28 -28.65 -34.14 -39.07 -49.82 -60.66 -74.16 -59.56 -77.77 -48.19 -25.58 -17.11 -5.74 -3.13 -3.128
Equity Multiplier 1.48 1.57 1.53 1.51 1.63 1.83 2.58 1.23 1.34 1.35 1.45 1.61 1.26 2.60 19.23 -4.71 -25.51 -7.33 -7.16 -4.43 -4.429
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.865
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only -3.035
Cash to Debt snapshot only 1.207
FCF to Debt snapshot only -1.684
Defensive Interval snapshot only 238.9 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
Asset Turnover 0.14 0.16 0.36 0.17 0.19 0.24 0.05 0.03 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.14 0.29 0.54 0.62 0.622
Inventory Turnover 1.10 2.92 3.20 2.80 — — — — — — — — — — — 5.45 3.40 4.09 9.59 10.15 10.148
Receivables Turnover 55.24 136.39 13145.00 — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.89 3.58 6.21 7.01 5.97 5.970
Payables Turnover 0.22 0.43 0.25 0.48 0.08 0.03 0.00 4.16 4.79 2.66 10.26 4.05 4.30 4.25 0.00 0.15 0.54 1.11 1.19 2.00 2.004
DSO 7 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 — — — — — — 193 102 59 52 61 61.1 days
DIO 331 125 114 130 0 0 — 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 — 67 107 89 38 36 36.0 days
DPO 1697 854 1471 766 4367 10579 — 88 76 137 36 90 85 86 — 2361 671 329 306 182 182.1 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -1360 -726 -1357 -635 -4367 -10579 — -88 -76 — — — — — — -2101 -462 -181 -216 -85 -85.0 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 40.111
Operating Cycle snapshot only 97.1 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 1.284
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.482
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
Revenue -63.7% -63.7% 4.5% -52.8% 22.6% 45.2% -87.3% -83.6% -85.9% -1.0% -1.0% -1.0% -1.0% — — — — — — 32.0% 32.01%
Net Income 16.8% -35.6% 27.9% -45.2% 14.1% 30.3% -36.5% -14.6% -24.3% -47.3% -31.1% -39.0% -42.3% -66.8% -89.4% -1.1% -93.4% -49.3% 7.0% 35.4% 35.42%
EPS 54.2% -0.3% 46.7% -26.1% 14.1% 30.3% -36.5% -6.4% 2.2% -15.8% -1.8% -13.7% -13.5% -31.0% -44.7% -58.6% -64.5% -15.2% 29.3% 51.0% 50.99%
FCF -29.5% 12.9% -1.3% -23.4% 23.6% 23.2% 30.2% 14.8% -4.6% -47.9% -51.8% -39.5% -52.6% -53.3% -1.0% -1.0% -78.0% -45.6% 4.4% 16.1% 16.08%
EBITDA 92.5% 78.8% -9.4% -3.6% -9.5% -3.9% -21.6% 4.0% -13.6% -36.1% -34.1% -42.1% -45.1% -69.1% -2.7% -2.7% -2.3% -1.6% 59.1% 75.5% 75.54%
Op. Income 9.2% -49.2% 16.8% -59.3% 17.6% 33.7% -23.7% -7.7% -13.9% -36.8% -17.3% -25.6% -51.8% -76.1% -99.6% -1.1% -80.6% -35.9% 16.3% 52.4% 52.43%
OCF Growth snapshot only 16.08%
Asset Growth snapshot only -14.58%
Debt Growth snapshot only 1.14%
Shares Change snapshot only 31.78%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
Revenue 3Y -39.9% -18.4% 17.7% -30.9% -33.8% -33.1% -61.2% -50.0% -60.3% — — — — — — -48.1% -3.5% 22.6% 1.5% 2.0% 2.04%
Revenue 5Y 56.1% 46.9% -5.4% -14.0% -14.7% -25.0% -43.9% -46.4% -48.2% — — — — — — -36.2% -16.7% -0.6% 16.5% 16.8% 16.79%
EPS 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EPS 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EBITDA 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Gross Profit 3Y -40.9% -18.5% 21.5% -31.1% -33.3% -32.8% -60.9% — — — — — — — — -49.5% -5.8% 19.8% 1.5% — —
Gross Profit 5Y 56.1% 46.5% -6.0% -14.7% -14.7% -25.0% -43.7% — — — — — — — — -37.0% -17.6% -1.4% 15.3% 15.6% 15.60%
Op. Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
OCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
OCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Assets 3Y 11.8% 12.4% -14.6% -15.0% -12.1% -8.5% -10.2% 25.4% -4.0% -1.3% 2.0% -28.2% -8.9% 4.1% -6.9% 20.2% 26.6% 28.2% 39.6% 8.5% 8.47%
Assets 5Y 15.8% 13.7% -0.8% 0.7% 3.7% -3.1% -12.9% 6.9% 0.8% -0.0% -16.6% -19.1% -4.5% 5.8% 2.6% 24.1% 9.3% 13.5% 18.1% -0.6% -0.60%
Equity 3Y — — 4.1% -5.5% -1.0% 21.3% 10.4% — 8.4% 11.1% 22.4% -31.5% -3.8% -12.0% -60.0% — — — — — —
Book Value 3Y — — -23.8% -26.0% -22.3% -4.8% -13.3% — -18.0% -7.2% 1.8% -40.4% -17.7% -25.1% -66.4% — — — — — —
Dividend 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
Revenue Stability 0.02 0.11 0.01 0.30 0.42 0.90 0.85 0.84 0.94 0.48 0.36 0.96 0.86 0.84 0.89 0.83 0.55 0.08 0.06 0.08 0.076
Earnings Stability 0.30 0.10 0.20 0.32 0.56 0.24 0.67 0.72 0.76 0.57 0.40 0.28 0.09 0.02 0.38 0.25 0.52 0.74 0.76 0.66 0.664
Margin Stability 0.98 0.98 0.95 0.98 0.98 0.97 0.99 0.00 0.00 0.97 0.94 0.00 0.00 0.96 0.98 0.00 0.00 0.97 0.96 0.00 0.000
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 1.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.500
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.93 0.86 0.89 0.82 0.94 0.88 0.85 0.94 0.90 0.81 0.88 0.84 0.83 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.80 0.97 0.86 0.858
Earnings Smoothness — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
ROE Trend 0.85 1.69 2.39 — -0.02 -0.10 -1.05 -0.07 -0.04 -0.10 0.06 -1.51 -0.20 -0.99 -24.60 — — — — — —
Gross Margin Trend -0.03 -0.04 -0.01 -0.01 0.04 0.05 0.02 -1.52 -1.80 — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF Margin Trend -2.16 -1.73 -0.06 -0.57 0.06 0.55 -6.78 -11.15 -13.36 — — — — — — — — — — — —
Sustainable Growth Rate — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Internal Growth Rate — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.11 0.85 1.36 1.13 0.99 0.94 0.70 0.84 0.83 0.94 0.80 0.84 0.89 0.86 0.85 0.82 0.82 0.84 0.88 1.07 1.069
FCF/OCF 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 1.069
CapEx/Revenue 0.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — — — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.000
Accruals Ratio 0.05 -0.09 0.15 0.05 -0.00 -0.03 -0.18 -0.08 -0.10 -0.05 -0.20 -0.14 -0.09 -0.13 -0.22 -0.24 -0.20 -0.16 -0.11 0.04 0.044
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.089
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF Payout Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Total Payout Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Div. Increase Streak — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield -37.0% -85.3% -1.5% -0.7% -0.0% -0.0% 0.0% -1.0% -69.4% -37.4% -27.6% -4.5% -4.3% -3.7% -23.1% -12.0% -15.5% -14.1% -7.4% -9.8% -9.81%
Total Shareholder Return -37.0% -85.3% -1.5% -0.7% -0.0% -0.0% 0.0% -1.0% -69.4% -37.4% -27.6% -4.5% -4.3% -3.7% -23.1% -12.0% -15.5% -14.1% -7.4% -9.8% -9.81%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 0.99 1.11 1.112
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.04 1.04 1.06 1.05 1.05 1.06 1.04 1.03 1.03 1.03 1.02 1.02 1.01 1.02 0.51 0.56 0.58 0.57 1.17 1.32 1.320
EBIT Margin -3.01 -3.48 -1.05 -2.09 -2.09 -1.65 -11.51 -14.79 -18.85 — — — — — — -90.99 -14.22 -5.97 -1.47 -0.69 -0.692
Asset Turnover 0.14 0.16 0.36 0.17 0.19 0.24 0.05 0.03 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.14 0.29 0.54 0.62 0.622
Equity Multiplier 1.66 1.70 1.80 1.44 1.53 1.66 1.78 1.34 1.46 1.54 1.80 1.33 1.30 1.92 2.98 -137.94 3.76 10.19 -14.36 -4.58 -4.575
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-0.72 $-0.77 $-0.51 $-0.62 $-0.62 $-0.53 $-0.69 $-0.66 $-0.60 $-0.62 $-0.70 $-0.75 $-0.68 $-0.81 $-1.02 $-1.19 $-1.13 $-0.93 $-0.72 $-0.59 $-0.59
Book Value/Share $1.20 $0.99 $1.01 $0.87 $0.70 $0.55 $0.31 $1.15 $0.77 $0.64 $0.54 $0.35 $0.67 $0.41 $0.04 $-0.28 $-0.05 $-0.14 $-0.14 $-0.19 $-0.15
Tangible Book/Share $1.20 $0.99 $1.01 $0.87 $0.70 $0.55 $0.31 $1.15 $0.77 $0.64 $0.54 $0.35 $0.67 $0.41 $0.04 $-0.53 $-0.27 $-0.33 $-0.32 $-0.37 $-0.37
Revenue/Share $0.23 $0.21 $0.45 $0.28 $0.28 $0.31 $0.06 $0.04 $0.03 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.02 $0.13 $0.27 $0.42 $0.58 $0.47
FCF/Share $-0.80 $-0.65 $-0.69 $-0.70 $-0.61 $-0.50 $-0.48 $-0.56 $-0.50 $-0.58 $-0.57 $-0.64 $-0.61 $-0.70 $-0.87 $-0.98 $-0.93 $-0.79 $-0.63 $-0.63 $-0.93
OCF/Share $-0.80 $-0.65 $-0.69 $-0.70 $-0.61 $-0.50 $-0.48 $-0.56 $-0.50 $-0.58 $-0.57 $-0.64 $-0.61 $-0.70 $-0.87 $-0.98 $-0.93 $-0.79 $-0.63 $-0.63 $-0.71
Cash/Share $1.60 $1.40 $1.16 $1.07 $0.93 $0.81 $0.58 $1.30 $0.95 $0.78 $0.70 $0.49 $0.78 $1.02 $0.67 $0.97 $0.88 $0.67 $0.62 $0.45 $0.70
EBITDA/Share $-0.06 $-0.11 $-0.54 $-0.71 $-0.65 $-0.56 $-0.65 $-0.63 $-0.58 $-0.60 $-0.68 $-0.73 $-0.67 $-0.79 $-1.95 $-2.08 $-1.91 $-1.60 $-0.61 $-0.39 $-0.39
Debt/Share $0.25 $0.25 $0.24 $0.30 $0.27 $0.24 $0.21 $0.17 $0.12 $0.10 $0.07 $0.07 $0.04 $0.52 $0.52 $0.48 $0.45 $0.40 $0.39 $0.37 $0.37
Net Debt/Share $-1.36 $-1.15 $-0.91 $-0.77 $-0.66 $-0.57 $-0.37 $-1.13 $-0.83 $-0.68 $-0.63 $-0.41 $-0.74 $-0.50 $-0.15 $-0.49 $-0.43 $-0.27 $-0.23 $-0.08 $-0.08
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -29.841
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -71.390
Piotroski F-Score 3 3 4 1 3 4 1 3 3 3 3 1 2 1 1 2 2 4 5 4 4
Beneish M-Score 4.68 -4.44 24.25 -5.54 -3.33 -0.63 — — — — — — — — — — — — — 6.23 6.231
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -0.472
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-0.39
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only B-
Credit Score 29.49 29.52 30.02 30.84 30.75 27.24 25.70 32.87 31.59 31.51 30.86 28.73 30.19 22.70 15.40 19.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.000
Credit Grade snapshot only 16
Credit Trend snapshot only 1.003
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 900.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 10
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 12

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