— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: CTX.DE (XETRA) · $vol 0M · 0HYR.L (LSE)

CTXS NASDAQ

Citrix Systems, Inc.
1W: +0.1% 1M: +1.3% 3M: +6.9% 1Y: -3.9% 3Y: +7.7% 5Y: +35.9%
$103.90
Last traded 2022-09-29 — delisted
NASDAQ · Technology · Software - Application

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
48.3 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Cost Advantage  ·  ROIC: 13.4%
Cost Advantage ★
61
Intangibles
55
Switching Cost
31
Network Effect
52
Scale
45
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. CTXS shows a Weak competitive edge (48.3/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Cost Advantage. ROIC of 13.4% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 16Hold: 23Sell: 4Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$—
Analysts0
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2022-01-17 Barclays Raimo Lenschow Initiated $80 — -20.8% $101.00
2021-04-29 Stifel Nicolaus Brad Reback Initiated $130 — +6.2% $122.46

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 55 Grade B
Profitability
67
Balance Sheet
26
Earnings Quality
66
Growth
42
Value
34
Momentum
67
Safety
65
Cash Flow
76
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. CTXS scores highest in Cash Flow (76/100) and lowest in Balance Sheet (26/100). A grade of B indicates above-average fundamentals with room for improvement in select areas.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
2.82
Grey Zone
Piotroski F-Score
7/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-2.72
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-5.36
Bankruptcy prob: 0.5%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BB
Score: 44.7/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 2.30x
Accruals: -6.3%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. CTXS scores 2.82, placing it in the Grey Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Financial distress is possible and warrants monitoring. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. CTXS scores 7/9, signaling strong financial health across all three dimensions. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. CTXS's score of -2.72 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. CTXS's implied 0.5% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. CTXS receives an estimated rating of BB (score: 44.7/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). CTXS's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
42.58x
PEG
-3.69x
P/S
0.00x
P/B
23.97x
P/FCF
18.35x
P/OCF
16.31x
EV/EBITDA
26.50x
EV/Revenue
4.53x
EV/EBIT
45.26x
EV/FCF
22.18x
Earnings Yield
2.66%
FCF Yield
5.45%
Shareholder Yield
3.48%
Graham Number
$19.36
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 42.6x earnings, CTXS is priced for high growth expectations. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $19.36 per share, 437% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
1.392
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.715
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.100
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.483
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
12.286
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
59.1%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. CTXS's ROE of 59.1% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 12.29x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance. A tax burden ratio of 1.39 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$21.97
Price/Value
4.42x
Margin of Safety
-342.33%
Premium
342.33%
Assessment
Overvalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with CTXS's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. CTXS trades at a 342% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $21.97, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 42.6x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$103.90
Median 1Y
$104.18
5th Pctile
$66.00
95th Pctile
$164.55
Ann. Volatility
29.2%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Current
ROE 20.9% -1.1% 8.5% 7.4% 9.1% 74.2% 1.0% 90.2% 86.2% 97.6% 4.5% 3.7% 1.5% 1.1% 26.9% 3.6% 1.4% 93.3% 60.7% 59.1% 59.14%
ROA 8.1% -0.3% 1.8% 1.7% 2.3% 10.5% 10.5% 11.4% 13.5% 14.3% 15.8% 18.2% 13.9% 10.9% 7.6% 6.4% 5.7% 5.2% 4.1% 4.8% 4.81%
ROIC 27.5% 1.1% 5.9% 7.7% 12.3% 49.4% 85.4% 75.2% 70.7% 69.3% 80.6% 75.7% 52.4% 47.6% 13.6% 12.1% 11.0% 12.6% 12.5% 13.4% 13.42%
ROCE 15.9% 14.6% 17.7% 28.4% 29.1% 31.9% 29.0% 28.4% 23.9% 21.7% 25.4% 25.6% 24.9% 22.6% 11.2% 10.1% 9.2% 5.7% 5.5% 7.1% 7.05%
Gross Margin 84.7% 84.3% 84.5% 85.4% 85.8% 85.9% 85.1% 85.2% 82.7% 85.3% 86.6% 84.7% 83.4% 83.5% 81.5% 80.1% 81.1% 79.6% 82.8% 81.9% 81.86%
Operating Margin 19.8% 24.4% 23.7% 19.6% 22.5% 25.2% 17.1% 15.6% 15.1% 22.9% 23.4% 18.0% 16.7% 16.7% 11.9% 10.4% 10.9% -2.5% 11.6% 19.8% 19.83%
Net Margin 18.3% -36.5% 20.7% 14.4% 21.7% 20.7% 15.3% 12.5% 37.0% 25.6% 21.0% 14.1% 12.8% 13.8% 11.6% 7.7% 6.7% 12.1% 7.3% 13.4% 13.43%
EBITDA Margin 28.7% 28.1% 32.0% 27.8% 32.0% 23.4% 27.6% 23.2% 25.5% 22.9% 30.1% 24.9% 24.2% 15.6% 22.7% 22.1% 22.1% 0.2% 22.0% 24.6% 24.59%
FCF Margin 27.6% 29.0% 32.7% 32.9% 34.1% 32.4% 29.1% 28.6% 23.8% 23.8% 23.4% 31.4% 29.4% 26.8% 24.8% 15.7% 17.2% 17.9% 19.7% 20.4% 20.43%
OCF Margin 30.9% 32.2% 35.6% 35.6% 36.7% 34.8% 31.5% 31.2% 26.1% 26.0% 25.4% 33.0% 31.6% 28.9% 27.4% 18.6% 19.9% 20.9% 22.5% 23.0% 22.97%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 9.03%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 93.10%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 10.86%
Cash ROA snapshot only 10.86%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 22.27%
CROIC snapshot only 19.80%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 13.84%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 7.16%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 17.39%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 47.74%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 9.76%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Current
P/E Ratio 25.65 -626.01 141.63 162.35 130.13 25.70 25.94 24.94 19.99 21.65 23.99 24.09 28.91 31.79 42.80 40.69 42.83 38.96 46.41 37.60 42.582
P/S Ratio 4.02 4.59 4.75 5.24 5.56 4.97 4.69 4.39 4.26 4.90 5.73 5.81 5.35 4.95 5.61 4.67 4.27 3.72 3.95 3.75 0.000
P/B Ratio 5.95 13.07 25.96 22.96 21.23 26.43 25.28 25.94 17.96 17.62 -82.49 -198.70 251.93 142.99 70.84 50.46 33.93 21.89 19.39 15.07 23.971
P/FCF 14.54 15.82 14.55 15.92 16.31 15.36 16.13 15.35 17.92 20.61 24.45 18.49 18.19 18.49 22.62 29.83 24.80 20.79 20.06 18.35 18.349
P/OCF 13.00 14.28 13.36 14.71 15.15 14.29 14.87 14.06 16.34 18.85 22.58 17.60 16.96 17.14 20.46 25.09 21.43 17.83 17.57 16.31 16.314
EV/EBITDA 23.19 19.59 18.14 18.77 18.95 18.19 17.14 16.89 17.49 20.08 23.93 23.81 22.31 22.19 30.37 26.85 25.42 28.23 29.22 26.50 26.502
EV/Revenue 3.99 4.95 5.16 5.46 5.67 5.21 4.73 4.47 4.35 4.97 6.11 6.17 5.71 5.28 6.62 5.66 5.23 4.65 4.78 4.53 4.531
EV/EBIT 18.54 23.23 23.01 23.81 23.86 21.82 21.01 20.96 22.60 26.93 30.85 30.27 27.65 27.58 40.12 38.52 40.02 56.85 61.80 45.26 45.263
EV/FCF 14.43 17.05 15.82 16.58 16.64 16.09 16.27 15.63 18.27 20.89 26.09 19.66 19.42 19.71 26.68 36.18 30.39 25.94 24.32 22.18 22.181
Earnings Yield 3.9% -0.2% 0.7% 0.6% 0.8% 3.9% 3.9% 4.0% 5.0% 4.6% 4.2% 4.2% 3.5% 3.1% 2.3% 2.5% 2.3% 2.6% 2.2% 2.7% 2.66%
FCF Yield 6.9% 6.3% 6.9% 6.3% 6.1% 6.5% 6.2% 6.5% 5.6% 4.9% 4.1% 5.4% 5.5% 5.4% 4.4% 3.4% 4.0% 4.8% 5.0% 5.4% 5.45%
EV/OCF snapshot only 19.721
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 5.569
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 45.565
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 3.48%
Graham Number snapshot only $19.36
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Current
Current Ratio 1.44 1.55 1.36 0.75 0.83 0.72 0.86 0.76 0.74 0.83 0.78 0.85 0.91 0.93 0.69 0.72 0.66 0.73 0.74 0.82 0.823
Quick Ratio 1.43 1.55 1.35 0.75 0.82 0.71 0.85 0.74 0.73 0.82 0.77 0.84 0.90 0.92 0.68 0.71 0.65 0.72 0.73 0.81 0.812
Debt/Equity 0.71 2.78 5.06 3.23 2.79 3.39 3.43 1.58 1.12 0.94 -8.02 -21.84 30.35 17.20 14.69 12.52 8.78 6.38 5.24 4.21 4.206
Net Debt/Equity -0.04 1.02 2.26 0.96 0.42 1.24 0.21 0.47 0.35 0.24 — — 16.91 9.38 12.70 10.74 7.65 5.42 4.12 3.15 3.147
Debt/Assets 0.26 0.47 0.52 0.40 0.40 0.37 0.37 0.20 0.20 0.18 0.41 0.45 0.45 0.39 0.55 0.55 0.54 0.50 0.51 0.49 0.494
Debt/EBITDA 2.79 3.87 3.25 2.54 2.44 2.23 2.30 1.01 1.07 1.06 2.18 2.46 2.52 2.50 5.34 5.49 5.37 6.60 6.50 6.12 6.119
Net Debt/EBITDA -0.17 1.42 1.45 0.75 0.37 0.82 0.14 0.30 0.33 0.26 1.50 1.42 1.40 1.37 4.62 4.71 4.68 5.60 5.12 4.58 4.578
Interest Coverage 13.64 11.66 10.62 9.68 9.09 8.85 8.66 9.47 10.23 12.08 14.68 13.24 11.70 9.58 6.98 5.80 4.81 2.86 2.83 3.67 3.668
Equity Multiplier 2.76 5.86 9.82 8.08 7.04 9.18 9.29 7.75 5.65 5.24 -19.78 -48.59 66.99 43.61 26.49 22.93 16.35 12.75 10.33 8.50 8.505
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.378
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 6.264
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.252
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.195
Defensive Interval snapshot only 256.2 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Current
Asset Turnover 0.52 0.46 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.58 0.65 0.63 0.63 0.66 0.76 0.75 0.70 0.58 0.56 0.57 0.54 0.48 0.48 0.483
Inventory Turnover 30.70 33.26 30.96 26.55 24.42 24.22 23.59 20.14 22.94 24.55 23.33 23.81 28.15 27.71 27.32 28.66 29.01 28.91 25.87 26.52 26.523
Receivables Turnover 6.29 3.93 6.26 5.44 6.72 4.25 6.58 5.67 7.15 4.27 5.33 5.60 6.53 4.10 4.96 4.95 5.79 3.69 5.57 4.87 4.865
Payables Turnover 6.40 5.83 6.71 5.86 6.93 6.09 5.77 4.74 6.37 5.80 5.06 4.42 5.57 5.64 4.72 4.34 5.12 4.85 4.93 4.34 4.337
DSO 58 93 58 67 54 86 55 64 51 85 68 65 56 89 74 74 63 99 66 75 75.0 days
DIO 12 11 12 14 15 15 15 18 16 15 16 15 13 13 13 13 13 13 14 14 13.8 days
DPO 57 63 54 62 53 60 63 77 57 63 72 83 66 65 77 84 71 75 74 84 84.2 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 13 41 16 19 17 41 8 6 10 37 12 -2 3 37 10 2 4 36 6 5 4.6 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 9.756
Operating Cycle snapshot only 88.8 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 3.797
Capital Intensity snapshot only 2.116
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Current
Revenue -13.5% -17.4% -12.2% -6.3% -0.2% 5.3% 4.8% 3.2% 1.8% 1.2% 5.2% 6.7% 7.8% 7.5% -0.0% -1.2% -1.9% -0.6% 3.7% 4.7% 4.72%
Net Income -1.0% -1.0% -80.0% -79.9% -72.8% 28.8% 4.6% 4.6% 4.1% 18.4% 38.9% 46.1% -6.4% -26.0% -45.1% -53.0% -47.2% -39.0% -32.8% -9.0% -9.02%
EPS 0.9% -1.0% -78.4% -78.5% -71.5% 29.4% 4.9% 5.1% 4.7% 28.5% 53.6% 56.0% -1.3% -20.1% -44.4% -53.1% -47.4% -40.7% -33.7% -10.3% -10.32%
FCF -15.4% -14.2% 2.7% 13.4% 23.1% 17.4% -6.7% -10.4% -28.9% -25.6% -15.2% 17.1% 33.3% 21.1% 5.9% -50.7% -42.6% -33.6% -17.8% 36.7% 36.67%
EBITDA 6.9% 7.9% 35.8% 57.0% 73.6% 19.3% 1.6% -6.1% -15.5% -12.5% -2.6% 4.5% 11.1% 3.4% -14.7% -19.6% -21.1% -31.3% -22.1% -15.1% -15.11%
Op. Income 15.5% -12.0% -7.1% 1.2% 8.6% 18.7% 3.5% -4.7% -16.8% -20.9% -3.2% 5.6% 19.1% 13.6% -18.7% -31.3% -39.8% -60.5% -51.2% -25.2% -25.21%
OCF Growth snapshot only 29.26%
Asset Growth snapshot only 4.42%
Equity Growth snapshot only 1.81%
Debt Growth snapshot only -5.46%
Shares Change snapshot only 1.45%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -48.72%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Current
Revenue 3Y -1.5% -3.5% -3.2% -2.8% -2.9% -3.2% -3.6% -3.9% -4.2% -4.1% -1.1% 1.0% 3.1% 4.6% 3.3% 2.9% 2.5% 2.7% 2.9% 3.4% 3.35%
Revenue 5Y 3.7% 1.8% 1.4% 0.9% 0.6% 0.4% -0.0% -0.3% -0.6% -0.9% -0.0% 0.2% 0.1% -0.2% -1.2% -1.3% -1.4% -1.2% 0.1% 1.3% 1.31%
EPS 3Y 18.9% — -22.1% -27.5% -21.3% 25.0% 17.0% 16.3% 17.6% 14.8% 24.8% 27.0% 16.7% — 71.1% 64.6% 43.2% -15.2% -17.3% -13.1% -13.08%
EPS 5Y 10.3% — -18.5% -17.4% -12.5% 17.0% 16.3% 15.7% 22.1% 27.1% 33.6% 29.3% 22.2% 14.9% 6.5% 2.9% -3.3% -6.4% -6.4% -2.9% -2.94%
Net Income 3Y 16.2% — -24.7% -30.1% -23.7% 21.7% 13.2% 10.5% 11.1% 8.3% 16.2% 18.1% 9.0% — 62.7% 57.0% 35.9% -18.9% -20.0% -14.5% -14.49%
Net Income 5Y 5.9% — -22.5% -21.6% -16.7% 11.1% 10.0% 10.3% 16.8% 22.1% 27.4% 22.9% 16.2% 9.6% 2.0% -1.5% -7.5% -10.5% -10.4% -6.7% -6.74%
EBITDA 3Y -4.6% 8.0% 10.3% 8.7% 6.0% 33.7% 24.5% 20.3% 16.2% 4.0% 10.3% 15.5% 17.7% 2.6% -5.5% -7.6% -9.5% -14.7% -13.5% -10.7% -10.65%
EBITDA 5Y 13.7% 24.3% 30.3% 32.1% 32.6% 13.6% 12.2% 7.8% 4.9% 5.6% 5.8% 4.8% 2.3% 16.7% 9.9% 7.9% 6.6% -4.4% -2.3% 1.0% 1.00%
Gross Profit 3Y -0.2% -1.9% -1.6% -1.7% -1.7% -1.5% -2.0% -2.3% -3.0% -3.8% -0.6% 1.3% 3.3% 4.7% 2.8% 1.8% 1.1% 0.7% 1.0% 1.6% 1.64%
Gross Profit 5Y 3.5% 1.8% 1.5% 1.2% 1.1% 1.0% 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.2% 1.1% 1.0% 0.9% 0.6% -0.7% -1.2% -1.5% -1.9% -0.7% 0.6% 0.59%
Op. Income 3Y 21.0% 23.6% 29.6% 22.1% 23.3% 24.6% 15.8% 11.3% 1.4% -6.2% -2.4% 0.6% 2.5% 2.2% -6.6% -11.6% -15.8% -29.2% -27.3% -18.4% -18.43%
Op. Income 5Y 10.0% 7.9% 10.9% 12.1% 12.7% 12.2% 9.9% 10.1% 9.9% 12.1% 16.9% 12.9% 13.2% 11.7% 4.1% 0.0% -5.6% -18.0% -18.1% -12.1% -12.15%
FCF 3Y 3.7% 7.1% 12.5% 13.5% 9.7% 3.7% -0.7% -2.5% -9.5% -9.2% -6.7% 6.0% 5.3% 1.9% -5.7% -19.7% -18.4% -15.7% -9.6% -7.6% -7.62%
FCF 5Y 5.2% 4.2% 7.0% 6.3% 6.8% 5.0% 1.9% 1.9% -0.5% 1.4% 2.4% 8.9% 4.6% 0.1% -2.6% -11.8% -10.7% -9.6% -6.7% -4.3% -4.33%
OCF 3Y 0.4% 2.4% 6.2% 6.9% 4.7% 0.0% -4.4% -5.5% -11.7% -11.1% -7.9% 3.7% 3.8% 1.0% -5.3% -17.2% -16.4% -13.4% -8.1% -6.7% -6.69%
OCF 5Y 3.7% 2.1% 4.3% 3.7% 3.6% 2.2% -0.5% -0.5% -2.8% -1.5% -1.2% 4.5% 1.6% -2.0% -4.4% -11.9% -11.1% -9.7% -6.5% -4.3% -4.27%
Assets 3Y 1.7% 1.8% -2.0% -0.8% 0.2% -2.1% -2.2% -11.7% -12.0% -11.8% -6.9% -5.7% -5.7% -5.6% 8.8% 7.8% 6.3% 10.7% 9.9% 21.2% 21.23%
Assets 5Y 4.1% 3.9% 1.2% 1.4% 1.2% -0.3% -0.4% -5.6% -5.1% -4.5% -4.5% -3.7% -3.1% -2.3% 3.7% 3.3% 2.0% 1.8% 5.1% 5.2% 5.24%
Equity 3Y -1.6% -23.0% -37.1% -33.2% -28.2% -34.3% -35.5% -39.0% -33.6% -32.2% — — -67.5% -51.7% -21.9% -23.9% -19.7% -0.7% 6.1% 17.5% 17.51%
Book Value 3Y 0.7% -20.3% -34.9% -30.7% -25.9% -32.5% -33.3% -35.8% -29.7% -28.2% — — -65.1% -48.7% -17.9% -20.2% -15.4% 3.7% 9.7% 19.5% 19.45%
Dividend 3Y -53.7% — 38.9% 39.2% 38.5% 1.6% 2.6% 3.2% 3.6% 66.8% 34.0% 16.6% 5.3% 4.0% 4.1% 5.0% 6.4% 6.8% -4.4% -18.2% -18.24%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Current
Revenue Stability 0.46 0.22 0.16 0.07 0.01 0.01 0.06 0.14 0.19 0.20 0.08 0.02 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.08 0.10 0.08 0.01 0.51 0.505
Earnings Stability 0.44 0.13 0.07 0.06 0.01 0.02 0.06 0.04 0.14 0.24 0.40 0.34 0.23 0.17 0.13 0.08 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.007
Margin Stability 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.978
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 1.00 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.84 0.82 0.97 0.90 0.82 0.50 0.81 0.84 0.87 0.96 0.964
Earnings Smoothness 0.99 — 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.83 0.67 0.63 0.93 0.70 0.42 0.28 0.38 0.51 0.61 0.91 0.906
ROE Trend 0.07 -0.20 -0.05 -0.07 -0.05 0.94 0.74 0.85 0.70 0.31 — — 8.18 3.58 — — -4.01 -2.09 — — —
Gross Margin Trend 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 -0.00 -0.00 0.00 -0.00 0.00 -0.00 -0.02 -0.03 -0.03 -0.04 -0.03 -0.02 -0.022
FCF Margin Trend 0.02 0.02 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.04 -0.01 -0.01 -0.07 -0.07 -0.07 0.01 0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.14 -0.09 -0.07 -0.04 -0.03 -0.031
Sustainable Growth Rate 20.8% — 8.3% 7.2% 9.0% 68.1% 83.2% 66.5% 61.5% 71.4% 3.4% 2.9% 1.1% 70.0% 15.5% 1.9% 58.1% 37.5% 30.5% 42.6% 42.62%
Internal Growth Rate 8.8% — 1.8% 1.7% 2.3% 10.7% 9.5% 9.1% 10.7% 11.7% 13.7% 16.3% 10.9% 7.7% 4.6% 3.4% 2.5% 2.1% 2.1% 3.6% 3.59%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.97 -43.84 10.60 11.04 8.59 1.80 1.74 1.77 1.22 1.15 1.06 1.37 1.70 1.86 2.09 1.62 2.00 2.18 2.64 2.30 2.305
FCF/OCF 0.89 0.90 0.92 0.92 0.93 0.93 0.92 0.92 0.91 0.91 0.92 0.95 0.93 0.93 0.90 0.84 0.86 0.86 0.88 0.89 0.889
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 2.049
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 1.344
CapEx/Revenue 3.3% 3.1% 2.9% 2.7% 2.6% 2.4% 2.5% 2.6% 2.3% 2.2% 1.9% 1.6% 2.1% 2.1% 2.6% 3.0% 2.7% 3.0% 2.8% 2.5% 2.55%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.354
Accruals Ratio -0.08 -0.15 -0.18 -0.17 -0.17 -0.08 -0.08 -0.09 -0.03 -0.02 -0.01 -0.07 -0.10 -0.09 -0.08 -0.04 -0.06 -0.06 -0.07 -0.06 -0.063
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.008
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 4.308
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.7% 1.1% 1.4% 1.2% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.1% 1.0% 1.2% 1.3% 1.5% 1.1% 0.7% 0.71%
Dividend/Share $0.01 $0.02 $0.01 $0.02 $0.01 $0.32 $0.66 $1.03 $1.39 $1.37 $1.41 $1.41 $1.39 $1.40 $1.39 $1.41 $1.43 $1.45 $1.08 $0.72 $0.74
Payout Ratio 0.2% — 2.3% 2.3% 1.7% 8.1% 17.1% 26.2% 28.7% 26.8% 23.9% 22.9% 29.2% 34.1% 42.3% 48.9% 57.0% 59.8% 49.8% 27.9% 27.94%
FCF Payout Ratio 0.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 4.9% 10.7% 16.1% 25.8% 25.5% 24.3% 17.6% 18.4% 19.8% 22.3% 35.8% 33.0% 31.9% 21.5% 13.6% 13.64%
Total Payout Ratio 1.2% — 16.4% 17.0% 13.0% 2.3% 1.3% 1.7% 1.4% 93.4% 2.3% 2.0% 2.5% 2.9% 63.7% 73.3% 85.0% 1.7% 1.7% 1.3% 1.31%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
Chowder Number -0.91 — 1.42 1.42 1.42 14.54 41.51 62.49 83.27 2.92 0.95 0.29 -0.04 -0.05 -0.02 0.01 0.05 0.08 -0.20 -0.47 -0.472
Buyback Yield 4.6% 10.2% 11.6% 10.4% 9.9% 8.5% 4.3% 5.7% 5.7% 3.1% 8.6% 7.5% 7.5% 8.0% 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 2.8% 2.6% 2.7% 2.73%
Net Buyback Yield 4.2% 10.2% 11.6% 10.4% 9.9% 8.5% 4.3% 5.7% 5.7% -6.2% 1.1% 0.2% -0.4% 3.4% -3.7% -4.5% -4.9% 2.8% 2.6% 2.7% 2.71%
Total Shareholder Return 4.3% 10.2% 11.6% 10.4% 9.9% 8.8% 5.0% 6.7% 7.2% -4.9% 2.1% 1.2% 0.6% 4.4% -2.8% -3.3% -3.5% 4.4% 3.7% 3.5% 3.45%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.79 -0.04 0.17 0.16 0.20 0.91 0.91 0.92 1.23 1.34 1.29 1.28 0.98 0.91 0.93 0.94 0.96 1.84 1.74 1.39 1.392
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.93 0.91 0.91 0.90 0.89 0.89 0.88 0.89 0.90 0.92 0.93 0.92 0.91 0.90 0.86 0.83 0.79 0.64 0.63 0.72 0.715
EBIT Margin 0.22 0.21 0.22 0.23 0.24 0.24 0.23 0.21 0.19 0.18 0.20 0.20 0.21 0.19 0.16 0.15 0.13 0.08 0.08 0.10 0.100
Asset Turnover 0.52 0.46 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.58 0.65 0.63 0.63 0.66 0.76 0.75 0.70 0.58 0.56 0.57 0.54 0.48 0.48 0.483
Equity Multiplier 2.58 3.32 4.65 4.24 3.95 7.06 9.55 7.93 6.37 6.82 28.18 20.47 11.05 9.77 355.77 56.52 23.79 17.99 14.74 12.29 12.286
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $2.99 $-0.14 $0.66 $0.65 $0.85 $3.99 $3.84 $3.94 $4.83 $5.12 $5.90 $6.14 $4.76 $4.09 $3.28 $2.88 $2.51 $2.43 $2.17 $2.58 $2.58
Book Value/Share $12.91 $6.73 $3.58 $4.57 $5.23 $3.88 $3.94 $3.78 $5.37 $6.29 $-1.72 $-0.74 $0.55 $0.91 $1.98 $2.32 $3.16 $4.32 $5.20 $6.45 $4.33
Tangible Book/Share $1.36 $-5.18 $-8.85 $-7.84 $-6.89 $-9.77 $-9.94 $-10.70 $-9.08 $-8.03 $-16.61 $-15.79 $-14.43 $-14.34 $-32.50 $-31.87 $-30.66 $-28.54 $-27.13 $-25.59 $-25.59
Revenue/Share $19.11 $19.16 $19.53 $20.00 $19.99 $20.60 $21.24 $22.36 $22.63 $22.62 $24.71 $25.47 $25.72 $26.26 $25.01 $25.12 $25.14 $25.40 $25.57 $25.93 $25.48
FCF/Share $5.28 $5.56 $6.38 $6.59 $6.81 $6.67 $6.18 $6.39 $5.39 $5.38 $5.79 $8.00 $7.57 $7.03 $6.20 $3.93 $4.33 $4.55 $5.03 $5.30 $4.56
OCF/Share $5.91 $6.16 $6.95 $7.13 $7.34 $7.17 $6.70 $6.98 $5.91 $5.88 $6.27 $8.40 $8.12 $7.59 $6.86 $4.67 $5.01 $5.30 $5.74 $5.96 $5.32
Cash/Share $9.73 $11.86 $10.01 $10.38 $12.43 $8.33 $12.67 $4.19 $4.14 $4.42 $4.32 $6.90 $7.35 $7.12 $3.95 $4.13 $3.56 $4.16 $5.79 $6.83 $4.18
EBITDA/Share $3.29 $4.84 $5.56 $5.82 $5.98 $5.90 $5.86 $5.92 $5.63 $5.60 $6.31 $6.61 $6.59 $6.25 $5.45 $5.30 $5.18 $4.18 $4.19 $4.43 $4.43
Debt/Share $9.16 $18.73 $18.09 $14.76 $14.62 $13.14 $13.51 $5.96 $6.02 $5.90 $13.77 $16.26 $16.59 $15.65 $29.11 $29.10 $27.78 $27.58 $27.24 $27.12 $27.12
Net Debt/Share $-0.56 $6.87 $8.08 $4.39 $2.19 $4.81 $0.84 $1.77 $1.88 $1.48 $9.45 $9.36 $9.24 $8.53 $25.16 $24.97 $24.22 $23.41 $21.45 $20.29 $20.29
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2.817
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 4.497
Piotroski F-Score 7 4 5 5 6 8 8 8 7 8 7 6 7 6 4 3 3 3 7 7 7
Beneish M-Score -2.88 -3.26 -3.43 -3.35 -3.46 -2.97 -2.83 -3.06 -2.64 -2.59 -2.11 -2.60 -2.63 -2.72 -2.72 -2.30 -2.50 -2.43 -2.75 -2.72 -2.718
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -5.363
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-33.55
EVA snapshot only $116839782.43
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BB
Credit Score 84.91 70.90 74.14 74.12 78.74 79.95 76.74 86.63 88.78 89.08 80.99 80.88 80.11 78.24 53.85 51.12 42.95 37.97 36.03 44.68 44.678
Credit Grade snapshot only 12
Credit Trend snapshot only -6.444
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 475.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 35
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 27

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