Also trades as: CVE.TO (TSX) · $vol 169M
CVE NYSE
Cenovus Energy Inc.
1W: -0.1%
1M: +7.3%
3M: +20.0%
YTD: +89.3%
1Y: +93.3%
3Y: +69.3%
5Y: +222.9%
$31.66
-1.52 (-4.58%)
After Hours: $31.96 (+0.30, +0.93%)
Weekly Expected Move ±4.4%
$30
$31
$33
$34
$36
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 76% of companies Debt: 12.0% of company value Bonds: $151.1M held by 250 funds, 94 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
If the stock fell to about $0.28 (down 99.2%), Cenovus Energy Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $8.31B against a stock market value of $61.19B.
Distance to default 8.70 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $3.33B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 35.7%; Altman Z'' 3.30. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
Total debt $8.31B against a stock market value of $61.19B.
Distance to default 8.70 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $3.33B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 35.7%; Altman Z'' 3.30. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
Overview
Chart
Smart Money
Financials
Income Statement
Cash Flow
Balance Sheet
Earnings
Analysis
Technicals
Weather
Peers
ESG
Institutions
ETF Exposure
Dark Pool
Short Interest
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+5.8% YTD avg
Midterm Year
☀️
Sunny
+11.0% YTD avg
2026 Now
☀️
Sunny
Above typical
20yr Avg YTD
+5.8%
Day 205 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
+11.0%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
+89.3%
Above 20yr avg
Typical Vol
37%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
🌫️
-1.3%
Midterm
☁️
+0.9%
41% win
36% vol
Feb
20yr
💨
-0.6%
Midterm
🌧️
-2.5%
53% win
40% vol
Mar
20yr
🌫️
-0.7%
Midterm
☀️
+6.7%
59% win
70% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
+2.5%
Midterm
☀️
+16.3%
71% win
52% vol
May
20yr
⛈️
+4.6%
Midterm
☀️
+27.3%
47% win
42% vol
Jun
20yr
⛈️
+2.8%
Midterm
☀️
+18.3%
47% win
45% vol
Jul
20yr
💨
+2.2%
Midterm
☀️
+18.1%
65% win
38% vol
Aug
20yr
🌫️
+2.6%
Midterm
☀️
+16.9%
41% win
39% vol
Sep
20yr
💨
+2.8%
Midterm
☀️
+8.8%
59% win
42% vol
Oct
20yr
🌫️
+5.3%
Midterm
☀️
+11.2%
35% win
37% vol
Now:
+6.8%
Nov
20yr
💨
+2.3%
Midterm
☀️
+5.6%
35% win
45% vol
Dec
20yr
🌫️
+0.5%
Midterm
💨
+1.1%
29% win
39% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: +89.3%