CVLT NASDAQ
Commvault Systems, Inc.
1W: +10.7%
1M: +16.5%
3M: +43.4%
YTD: +39.0%
1Y: +1.6%
3Y: +160.4%
5Y: +125.9%
$172.55
+4.82 (+2.87%)
Weekly Expected Move ±6.0%
$149
$159
$169
$180
$190
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 57% of companies Debt: 11.4% of company value Bonds: $40.6M held by 14 funds → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $2.72 (down 98%), Commvault Systems, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $921.4M against a stock market value of $7.15B.
Distance to default 4.51 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-09-30, debt counted $448.9M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 63.3%; Altman Z'' 2.53. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $2.72 (down 98%), Commvault Systems, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $921.4M against a stock market value of $7.15B.
Distance to default 4.51 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-09-30, debt counted $448.9M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 63.3%; Altman Z'' 2.53. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Dark Pool
Short Interest
Supply Chain
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+6.9% YTD avg
Midterm Year
⛈️
Stormy
-5.3% YTD avg
2026 Now
☀️
Sunny
Above typical
20yr Avg YTD
+6.9%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
-5.3%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
+39.0%
Above 20yr avg
Typical Vol
52%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
⛈️
+2.3%
Midterm
🌧️
-1.1%
45% win
48% vol
Feb
20yr
⛈️
-0.5%
Midterm
🌧️
-5.0%
40% win
40% vol
Mar
20yr
🌫️
+2.5%
Midterm
⛅
+1.9%
45% win
40% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
+1.0%
Midterm
⛈️
-8.3%
60% win
47% vol
May
20yr
💨
+5.6%
Midterm
🌧️
-4.8%
60% win
41% vol
Jun
20yr
⛅
+8.0%
Midterm
⛈️
-5.5%
65% win
35% vol
Jul
20yr
🌫️
+9.0%
Midterm
⛈️
-13.5%
40% win
49% vol
Aug
20yr
💨
+11.6%
Midterm
🌧️
-3.7%
55% win
38% vol
Sep
20yr
🌫️
+12.3%
Midterm
🌧️
-3.9%
50% win
36% vol
Oct
20yr
⛈️
+9.9%
Midterm
⛈️
-7.7%
52% win
52% vol
Now:
+15.1%
Nov
20yr
💨
+15.0%
Midterm
🌧️
-2.4%
85% win
36% vol
Dec
20yr
⛅
+1.7%
Midterm
⛅
+0.6%
55% win
34% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: +39.0%