DAR NYSE
Darling Ingredients Inc.
1W: -6.0%
1M: -8.1%
3M: -5.0%
YTD: +47.9%
1Y: +61.1%
3Y: +33.5%
5Y: -28.0%
$55.67
-1.49 (-2.61%)
Weekly Expected Move ±5.2%
$50
$53
$56
$59
$62
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 60% of companies Debt: 32.2% of company value Bonds: $166.4M held by 160 funds, 147 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the safest four tenths, about 1 in 3,500 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $1.64 (down 97%), Darling Ingredients Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $4.17B against a stock market value of $8.78B.
Distance to default 6.17 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-07-04, debt counted $2.02B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 33.1%; Altman Z 2.52. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $1.64 (down 97%), Darling Ingredients Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $4.17B against a stock market value of $8.78B.
Distance to default 6.17 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-07-04, debt counted $2.02B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 33.1%; Altman Z 2.52. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Analysis
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Weather
Peers
ESG
Institutions
ETF Exposure
Dark Pool
Short Interest
Supply Chain
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+10.0% YTD avg
Midterm Year
⛅
Partly Cloudy
+3.8% YTD avg
2026 Now
☀️
Sunny
Above typical
20yr Avg YTD
+10.0%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
+3.8%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
+47.9%
Above 20yr avg
Typical Vol
46%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
🌫️
-0.8%
Midterm
🌧️
-2.4%
55% win
40% vol
Feb
20yr
💨
+3.2%
Midterm
⛅
+2.0%
60% win
37% vol
Mar
20yr
💨
+3.4%
Midterm
⛅
+4.9%
55% win
59% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
+7.1%
Midterm
⛅
+3.7%
65% win
43% vol
May
20yr
💨
+11.8%
Midterm
⛅
+2.0%
60% win
42% vol
Jun
20yr
⛈️
+11.7%
Midterm
☁️
-0.6%
50% win
37% vol
Jul
20yr
⛅
+11.8%
Midterm
⛅
+1.2%
70% win
32% vol
Aug
20yr
🌫️
+11.1%
Midterm
⛅
+1.4%
50% win
44% vol
Sep
20yr
⛈️
+8.2%
Midterm
🌧️
-1.8%
40% win
38% vol
Oct
20yr
💨
+10.7%
Midterm
☀️
+5.5%
67% win
46% vol
Now:
-8.3%
Nov
20yr
💨
+12.5%
Midterm
☀️
+11.7%
65% win
52% vol
Dec
20yr
💨
+3.2%
Midterm
⛅
+1.6%
55% win
48% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: +47.9%