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DAY NYSE

Dayforce Inc
1W: +0.0% 1M: +0.1% 3M: +0.3% 1Y: -6.2% 3Y: +11.5% 5Y: -37.2%
$69.86
Last traded 2025-12-31 — delisted
NYSE · Technology · Software - Application · $11.2B mcap · 157M float · 2.33% daily turnover · Short 32% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
45.5 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Network Effects  ·  ROIC: 3.2%  ·  5Y Avg: -0.3%
Cost Advantage
41
Intangibles
47
Switching Cost
48
Network Effect
57
Scale
33
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. DAY shows a Weak competitive edge (45.5/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Network Effects. ROIC of 3.2% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 7Hold: 15Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$—
Analysts0
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2025-09-18 Stifel Nicolaus — Initiated $70 — +1.5% $68.95
2025-08-22 Mizuho Securities — Initiated $70 — +1.2% $69.20
2025-08-22 BMO Capital Daniel Jester $80 $70 -10 +1.2% $69.20
2025-08-22 Wells Fargo — $50 $70 +20 +1.2% $69.20
2025-06-13 Wells Fargo Michael Turrin Initiated $50 — -12.4% $57.08
2024-11-01 BMO Capital Daniel Jester $75 $80 +5 +6.3% $75.23
2024-09-23 KeyBanc Jason Celino Initiated $70 — +18.2% $59.20
2024-07-31 Piper Sandler Arvind Ramnani $68 $71 +3 +19.8% $59.28
2024-07-02 Piper Sandler Arvind Ramnani Initiated $68 — +35.1% $50.33
2024-05-31 CFRA Caydee Blankenship Initiated $53 — +7.2% $49.46
2024-05-06 BMO Capital Daniel Jester Initiated $75 — +28.4% $58.40

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 23 Grade D
Profitability
23
Balance Sheet
38
Earnings Quality
55
Growth
42
Value
28
Momentum
42
Safety
30
Cash Flow
37
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. DAY scores highest in Earnings Quality (55/100) and lowest in Profitability (23/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
1.24
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-2.61
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-5.96
Bankruptcy prob: 0.3%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
B
Score: 27.3/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
—
OCF/NI: -1.83x
Accruals: -5.1%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. DAY scores 1.24, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. DAY scores 5/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. DAY's score of -2.61 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. DAY's implied 0.3% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. DAY receives an estimated rating of B (score: 27.3/100), with a deteriorating trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-63.51x
PEG
0.17x
P/S
11.81x
P/B
4.14x
P/FCF
66.40x
P/OCF
40.10x
EV/EBITDA
80.50x
EV/Revenue
6.13x
EV/EBIT
-177.22x
EV/FCF
70.01x
Earnings Yield
-1.36%
FCF Yield
1.51%
Shareholder Yield
0.61%
Graham Number
—
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. DAY currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
1.584
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.444
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
-0.035
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.225
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
3.198
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-5.7%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. DAY's ROE of -5.7% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 3.20x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance. A tax burden ratio of 1.58 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
—
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$69.16
Median 1Y
$68.10
5th Pctile
$33.37
95th Pctile
$139.56
Ann. Volatility
44.2%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Current
ROE -0.2% -1.6% -3.0% -3.9% -3.5% -3.9% -3.6% -3.6% -3.4% -1.7% -0.6% 0.2% 2.4% 2.2% 2.0% 2.2% 0.7% 1.0% 1.9% -5.7% -5.71%
ROA -0.1% -0.4% -1.0% -1.1% -1.1% -0.9% -1.0% -0.9% -0.9% -0.3% -0.2% 0.0% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.3% 0.6% -1.8% -1.78%
ROIC 0.3% -0.4% -1.0% -1.4% -2.8% -3.3% -3.0% -2.8% -0.7% 0.8% -1.0% 0.2% 2.5% 2.5% 2.2% 2.1% 1.1% 1.4% 2.4% 3.2% 3.17%
ROCE 0.2% -0.8% -1.7% -2.2% -1.6% -1.9% -1.5% -1.2% -1.0% 0.6% 1.8% 2.7% 3.6% 3.4% 2.9% 3.0% 2.1% 2.2% 3.2% -1.9% -1.94%
Gross Margin 38.4% 39.7% 36.8% 36.2% 36.8% 35.2% 38.5% 37.7% 40.2% 43.3% 42.6% 42.5% 42.5% 51.9% 48.7% 45.8% 47.0% 50.4% 51.2% 62.7% 62.73%
Operating Margin -9.8% 1.0% -7.9% -6.2% -26.1% -6.4% -2.2% -1.2% 1.0% 10.4% 8.0% 7.0% 9.7% 9.4% 3.3% 4.7% 6.1% 6.4% 9.1% 6.3% 6.33%
Net Margin -7.8% -8.2% -10.3% -8.1% -3.4% -9.3% -6.6% -6.7% -1.5% 2.7% 0.8% -1.0% 11.4% 1.6% -0.4% 0.5% 2.3% 3.1% 4.6% -40.9% -40.86%
EBITDA Margin -3.1% 3.4% -1.8% 0.6% 6.4% 0.8% 3.1% 3.9% 9.2% 16.1% 14.2% 15.9% 23.2% 18.7% 14.6% 18.0% 14.3% 16.8% 21.2% -21.2% -21.16%
FCF Margin -10.7% -11.2% -10.1% -9.3% -1.5% -0.9% -0.9% 0.7% 3.1% 2.7% 5.6% 3.7% 6.9% 6.6% 7.5% 10.7% 9.7% 11.6% 12.1% 8.8% 8.76%
OCF Margin -3.6% -4.2% -3.4% -3.0% 4.8% 5.4% 5.7% 7.6% 10.6% 10.5% 13.5% 11.8% 14.5% 13.8% 14.4% 17.1% 16.0% 17.8% 18.1% 14.5% 14.50%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only -1.10%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only -2.17%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -0.34%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 1.54%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 2.69%
Cash ROA snapshot only 3.16%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 8.33%
CROIC snapshot only 5.03%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 5.52%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -5.00%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 6.16%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 34.79%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 9.31%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Current
P/E Ratio -3945.03 -394.10 -226.95 -203.65 -209.84 -124.39 -92.68 -110.17 -134.31 -319.86 -799.35 2640.95 194.99 203.60 166.28 184.91 649.35 364.62 182.00 -73.49 -63.509
P/S Ratio 18.73 14.67 15.70 17.56 15.45 9.60 6.34 7.18 7.91 8.72 7.60 7.28 7.06 6.72 4.80 5.77 6.68 5.22 4.82 5.81 11.814
P/B Ratio 7.52 5.80 6.51 7.63 7.10 4.86 3.43 4.17 4.67 5.26 4.71 4.66 4.46 4.35 3.16 3.83 4.62 3.64 3.30 4.09 4.143
P/FCF -175.33 -131.09 -154.98 -188.47 -1061.88 -1094.65 -705.06 1097.43 258.76 326.18 135.10 197.45 101.67 102.39 63.93 54.01 68.53 45.01 39.78 66.40 66.397
P/OCF — — — — 324.22 176.86 111.67 94.38 74.35 83.43 56.45 61.63 48.68 48.72 33.36 33.73 41.81 29.36 26.61 40.10 40.104
EV/EBITDA 286.53 454.83 1684.81 -8870.62 719.97 650.04 258.33 224.09 195.28 110.33 73.09 55.77 42.93 40.06 29.16 33.50 43.08 35.08 29.27 80.50 80.499
EV/Revenue 19.35 15.65 16.62 18.39 16.24 10.44 7.13 7.89 8.57 9.35 8.15 7.79 7.50 7.26 5.27 6.21 7.05 5.59 5.14 6.13 6.131
EV/EBIT 3196.83 -522.34 -265.09 -232.82 -305.72 -171.37 -160.43 -231.81 -311.42 564.76 179.87 120.33 85.99 90.60 79.23 92.08 158.65 137.65 88.33 -177.22 -177.220
EV/FCF -181.15 -139.87 -164.10 -197.34 -1116.19 -1190.60 -792.73 1206.62 280.36 349.39 144.87 211.20 108.08 110.58 70.24 58.12 72.34 48.22 42.47 70.01 70.012
Earnings Yield -0.0% -0.3% -0.4% -0.5% -0.5% -0.8% -1.1% -0.9% -0.7% -0.3% -0.1% 0.0% 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.3% 0.5% -1.4% -1.36%
FCF Yield -0.6% -0.8% -0.6% -0.5% -0.1% -0.1% -0.1% 0.1% 0.4% 0.3% 0.7% 0.5% 1.0% 1.0% 1.6% 1.9% 1.5% 2.2% 2.5% 1.5% 1.51%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.169
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 61.091
EV/OCF snapshot only 42.288
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 11.589
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 87.739
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.61%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Current
Current Ratio 1.07 1.09 1.11 1.07 1.11 1.05 1.06 1.07 1.07 1.07 1.10 1.09 1.12 1.07 1.11 1.15 1.13 1.02 1.04 1.04 1.043
Quick Ratio 1.07 1.09 1.11 1.07 1.11 1.05 1.06 1.07 1.07 1.07 1.10 1.09 1.12 1.07 1.11 1.15 1.13 1.02 1.04 1.04 1.043
Debt/Equity 0.34 0.55 0.54 0.53 0.53 0.59 0.60 0.61 0.59 0.57 0.56 0.55 0.52 0.51 0.50 0.48 0.48 0.47 0.45 0.46 0.455
Net Debt/Equity 0.25 0.39 0.38 0.36 0.36 0.43 0.43 0.42 0.39 0.37 0.34 0.32 0.28 0.35 0.31 0.29 0.26 0.26 0.22 0.22 0.222
Debt/Assets 0.11 0.15 0.17 0.13 0.16 0.11 0.14 0.16 0.15 0.12 0.15 0.14 0.14 0.12 0.14 0.15 0.14 0.13 0.14 0.14 0.141
Debt/EBITDA 12.51 40.11 130.91 -588.15 50.94 72.78 40.43 30.00 22.94 11.15 8.07 6.15 4.70 4.34 4.20 3.94 4.28 4.27 3.78 8.51 8.508
Net Debt/EBITDA 9.20 28.56 93.67 -398.75 35.03 52.39 28.57 20.28 15.05 7.33 4.93 3.63 2.54 2.97 2.62 2.37 2.27 2.34 1.86 4.16 4.156
Interest Coverage 0.20 -1.08 -2.11 -2.44 -1.52 -1.83 -1.53 -1.34 -1.20 0.68 1.83 2.62 3.66 3.14 2.57 2.71 1.93 2.09 3.46 -2.25 -2.251
Equity Multiplier 3.19 3.61 3.09 4.05 3.22 5.17 4.34 3.90 4.01 4.59 3.62 3.95 3.76 4.43 3.65 3.18 3.58 3.66 3.15 3.22 3.220
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.118
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 4.955
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.512
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.135
Defensive Interval snapshot only 400.0 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Current
Asset Turnover 0.13 0.12 0.14 0.13 0.15 0.11 0.14 0.14 0.16 0.13 0.16 0.17 0.17 0.15 0.19 0.20 0.19 0.18 0.21 0.23 0.225
Inventory Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Receivables Turnover 10.72 8.32 8.64 9.28 9.75 8.11 8.41 8.77 9.73 7.58 7.78 7.40 10.18 6.55 8.54 7.87 9.58 7.29 9.34 8.57 8.567
Payables Turnover 12.21 13.44 14.96 17.42 14.17 15.03 15.95 15.14 14.58 14.35 14.07 13.61 14.33 13.27 13.25 12.80 12.67 12.13 12.56 11.01 11.009
DSO 34 44 42 39 37 45 43 42 38 48 47 49 36 56 43 46 38 50 39 43 42.6 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 30 27 24 21 26 24 23 24 25 25 26 27 25 28 28 29 29 30 29 33 33.2 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 4 17 18 18 12 21 21 18 12 23 21 22 10 28 15 18 9 20 10 9 9.4 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 7.775
Cash Velocity snapshot only 3.017
Capital Intensity snapshot only 4.583
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Current
Revenue 2.2% 1.3% 8.7% 14.7% 21.6% 26.8% 24.3% 23.6% 21.7% 22.2% 22.4% 21.6% 21.5% 19.0% 17.6% 16.9% 16.3% 15.0% 13.5% 11.7% 11.73%
Net Income -1.1% -1.4% -1.8% -8.1% -17.9% -1.6% -23.0% 6.6% 2.7% 56.8% 83.0% 1.1% 1.7% 2.4% 4.6% 12.2% -67.0% -50.2% 4.0% -3.8% -3.83%
EPS -1.0% -1.4% -1.9% -7.9% -17.4% -1.6% -20.2% 8.3% 4.1% 58.3% 83.5% 1.1% 1.7% 2.4% 4.6% 11.9% -67.5% -50.8% 2.0% -3.8% -3.83%
FCF -18.6% -25.5% -16.9% -8.3% 83.4% 90.1% 89.0% 1.1% 3.6% 4.7% 8.7% 5.9% 1.8% 1.9% 56.9% 2.4% 63.2% 1.0% 83.0% -8.4% -8.45%
EBITDA -54.0% -75.3% -91.3% -1.0% -59.4% -40.8% 2.5% 22.0% 1.4% 5.4% 3.9% 3.8% 3.8% 1.5% 90.6% 55.1% 8.8% 1.1% 10.2% -54.1% -54.11%
Op. Income -94.9% -1.1% -1.2% -1.4% -12.9% -7.6% -2.0% -86.1% 75.9% 1.2% 1.6% 2.0% 6.2% 3.3% 78.2% 17.2% -21.8% -30.3% 2.1% 15.6% 15.65%
OCF Growth snapshot only -5.34%
Asset Growth snapshot only 6.89%
Equity Growth snapshot only 5.43%
Debt Growth snapshot only -0.83%
Shares Change snapshot only 0.06%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Current
Revenue 3Y — — 72.0% 39.0% 22.4% 12.4% 13.3% 14.1% 14.8% 16.2% 18.3% 19.9% 21.6% 22.6% 21.4% 20.6% 19.8% 18.7% 17.8% 16.7% 16.67%
Revenue 5Y — — — — — — — — — — 50.6% 32.2% 22.0% 15.6% 15.9% 16.1% 16.4% 16.5% 17.1% 17.6% 17.61%
EPS 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — -31.6% — — — — — — — — —
EPS 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 15.3% -9.2% -27.2% -20.5% -9.4% — —
Net Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — -30.3% — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 16.8% -7.9% -25.5% -19.4% -8.2% — —
EBITDA 3Y — — 20.1% — -31.1% -46.0% -38.9% -30.9% -23.8% -2.0% 14.5% 28.3% 66.9% 1.1% 2.2% — 1.3% 1.5% 1.2% 50.9% 50.86%
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — — — — — — 97.1% 42.2% 30.3% 20.9% 16.5% 19.8% 18.4% 19.3% 25.8% 8.5% 8.50%
Gross Profit 3Y — — 68.6% 35.6% 17.2% 5.8% 6.3% 6.9% 8.7% 12.2% 16.0% 20.1% 23.7% 28.6% 29.8% 30.1% 30.5% 30.4% 29.4% 31.3% 31.35%
Gross Profit 5Y — — — — — — — — — — 51.1% 33.2% 22.2% 16.5% 17.0% 17.2% 18.2% 18.3% 19.8% 23.2% 23.15%
Op. Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — -43.7% -25.3% -14.4% 1.5% — — — — — — — —
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — 41.0% 18.5% 9.1% -10.1% -11.8% -5.4% -3.2% -3.22%
FCF 3Y — — — — — — — 50.2% — 1.1% 1.4% 63.2% — — — — — — — 1.8% 1.77%
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.0% — 76.8% 1.4% — 1.2% 1.1% 68.2% 68.24%
OCF 3Y — — — — 14.0% 34.6% 5.5% 20.2% 37.9% 31.5% 42.7% 32.7% — — — — 79.3% 76.2% 73.3% 44.6% 44.65%
OCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — 1.0% 46.2% 55.2% 33.7% 40.9% 40.9% 39.5% 39.1% 30.2% 30.22%
Assets 3Y — — 3.0% 14.7% 10.9% 15.1% 10.5% 13.8% 11.6% 15.9% 11.5% 14.8% 10.4% 11.4% 9.9% -3.4% 8.4% -4.9% -2.2% 2.7% 2.71%
Assets 5Y — — — — — — — — — — 5.5% 8.4% 11.4% 8.2% 6.1% 8.3% 8.4% 8.0% 7.7% 8.0% 7.95%
Equity 3Y — — 13.3% 13.0% 11.3% 8.3% 6.0% 3.4% 3.9% 5.2% 4.1% 3.6% 4.6% 4.1% 4.0% 4.8% 4.6% 6.6% 8.9% 9.5% 9.52%
Book Value 3Y — — 3.3% 11.7% 8.5% 7.0% 5.0% 2.5% 1.7% 3.7% 2.7% 1.7% 2.1% 1.6% 2.1% 2.7% 2.3% 4.4% 7.0% 8.0% 7.99%
Dividend 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Current
Revenue Stability 0.80 0.84 0.75 0.82 0.91 0.83 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.97 0.99 0.98 0.91 0.93 0.94 0.95 0.97 0.99 0.99 0.994
Earnings Stability 0.17 0.02 0.01 0.05 0.05 0.15 0.07 0.19 0.18 0.12 0.02 0.04 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.05 0.05 0.051
Margin Stability 0.95 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.92 0.91 0.90 0.91 0.92 0.91 0.93 0.94 0.94 0.91 0.90 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.86 0.864
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.99 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.200
Earnings Smoothness — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.00 0.00 0.33 0.96 — —
ROE Trend -0.00 -0.02 -0.05 -0.06 -0.05 -0.05 -0.04 -0.02 -0.02 0.01 0.03 0.04 0.06 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.01 0.01 0.01 -0.07 -0.067
Gross Margin Trend -0.03 -0.05 -0.06 -0.06 -0.05 -0.06 -0.04 -0.03 -0.01 0.02 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.05 0.05 0.08 0.082
FCF Margin Trend -0.11 -0.10 -0.11 -0.10 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.09 0.09 0.11 0.08 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.09 0.05 0.07 0.06 0.02 0.016
Sustainable Growth Rate — — — — — — — — — — — 0.2% 2.4% 2.2% 2.0% 2.2% 0.7% 1.0% 1.9% — —
Internal Growth Rate — — — — — — — — — — — 0.0% 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.3% 0.6% — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Current
OCF/Net Income 7.55 1.14 0.49 0.34 -0.65 -0.70 -0.83 -1.17 -1.81 -3.83 -14.16 42.85 4.01 4.18 4.99 5.48 15.53 12.42 6.84 -1.83 -1.832
FCF/OCF 2.98 2.65 2.98 3.14 -0.31 -0.16 -0.16 0.09 0.29 0.26 0.42 0.31 0.48 0.48 0.52 0.62 0.61 0.65 0.67 0.60 0.604
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -1.107
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 1.904
CapEx/Revenue 7.1% 7.0% 6.7% 6.4% 6.2% 6.3% 6.6% 7.0% 7.6% 7.8% 7.8% 8.1% 7.6% 7.2% 6.9% 6.4% 6.2% 6.2% 6.0% 5.7% 5.74%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.518
Accruals Ratio 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.03 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.05 -0.051
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.072
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 2.525
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — —
FCF Payout Ratio — — — — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Payout Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 54.4% 2.0% 2.6% 1.8% — —
Div. Increase Streak — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.3% 0.7% 1.0% 0.6% 0.61%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.1% -0.1% -0.1% -0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.3% 0.7% 1.0% 0.5% 0.49%
Total Shareholder Return 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.1% -0.1% -0.1% -0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.3% 0.7% 1.0% 0.5% 0.49%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.20 0.64 0.75 0.77 0.83 0.82 0.93 1.10 1.17 3.57 -0.46 0.07 0.57 0.60 0.59 0.61 0.35 0.49 0.64 1.58 1.584
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) -3.92 1.93 1.47 1.41 1.66 1.55 1.65 1.75 1.83 -0.46 0.45 0.62 0.73 0.68 0.74 0.76 0.66 0.71 0.71 1.44 1.444
EBIT Margin 0.01 -0.03 -0.06 -0.08 -0.05 -0.06 -0.04 -0.03 -0.03 0.02 0.05 0.06 0.09 0.08 0.07 0.07 0.04 0.04 0.06 -0.03 -0.035
Asset Turnover 0.13 0.12 0.14 0.13 0.15 0.11 0.14 0.14 0.16 0.13 0.16 0.17 0.17 0.15 0.19 0.20 0.19 0.18 0.21 0.23 0.225
Equity Multiplier 3.21 3.53 3.02 3.50 3.21 4.39 3.70 3.98 3.60 4.87 3.97 3.93 3.88 4.50 3.64 3.54 3.67 4.03 3.39 3.20 3.198
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-0.03 $-0.21 $-0.42 $-0.55 $-0.50 $-0.55 $-0.51 $-0.51 $-0.48 $-0.23 $-0.08 $0.03 $0.34 $0.33 $0.30 $0.33 $0.11 $0.16 $0.30 $-0.94 $-0.94
Book Value/Share $14.17 $14.52 $14.73 $14.77 $14.71 $14.07 $13.71 $13.39 $13.73 $13.91 $14.22 $14.56 $15.06 $15.21 $15.68 $16.01 $15.74 $16.01 $16.78 $16.86 $16.86
Tangible Book/Share $-0.87 $-3.12 $-3.15 $-2.85 $-2.83 $-3.46 $-3.41 $-3.32 $-2.94 $-2.29 $-2.00 $-1.60 $-0.79 $-1.50 $-1.04 $-0.42 $0.13 $0.53 $1.10 $1.13 $1.13
Revenue/Share $5.69 $5.74 $6.11 $6.41 $6.76 $7.12 $7.42 $7.78 $8.11 $8.39 $8.81 $9.31 $9.51 $9.85 $10.34 $10.61 $10.88 $11.18 $11.50 $11.85 $5.92
FCF/Share $-0.61 $-0.64 $-0.62 $-0.60 $-0.10 $-0.06 $-0.07 $0.05 $0.25 $0.22 $0.50 $0.34 $0.66 $0.65 $0.78 $1.13 $1.06 $1.30 $1.39 $1.04 $0.58
OCF/Share $-0.20 $-0.24 $-0.21 $-0.19 $0.32 $0.39 $0.42 $0.59 $0.86 $0.88 $1.19 $1.10 $1.38 $1.36 $1.49 $1.82 $1.74 $1.99 $2.08 $1.72 $0.90
Cash/Share $1.27 $2.28 $2.25 $2.52 $2.43 $2.33 $2.43 $2.67 $2.81 $2.72 $3.09 $3.28 $3.58 $2.45 $2.95 $3.09 $3.58 $3.44 $3.88 $3.93 $3.93
EBITDA/Share $0.38 $0.20 $0.06 $-0.01 $0.15 $0.11 $0.20 $0.27 $0.36 $0.71 $0.98 $1.30 $1.66 $1.78 $1.87 $1.97 $1.78 $1.78 $2.02 $0.90 $0.90
Debt/Share $4.81 $7.93 $7.89 $7.82 $7.77 $8.32 $8.28 $8.23 $8.17 $7.93 $7.93 $8.00 $7.81 $7.75 $7.84 $7.75 $7.62 $7.60 $7.64 $7.68 $7.68
Net Debt/Share $3.54 $5.65 $5.65 $5.30 $5.34 $5.99 $5.85 $5.56 $5.36 $5.21 $4.84 $4.72 $4.23 $5.30 $4.90 $4.65 $4.04 $4.16 $3.75 $3.75 $3.75
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.240
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 1.846
Piotroski F-Score 1 2 3 2 4 4 5 5 6 6 6 8 8 8 8 7 7 4 6 5 5
Beneish M-Score -2.20 -1.96 -2.15 -2.24 -2.06 -2.31 -2.34 -2.30 -2.47 -2.29 -2.32 -2.20 -2.34 -2.32 -2.40 -2.56 -2.56 -2.56 -2.61 -2.61 -2.607
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -5.964
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only -13.85%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-2.82
EVA snapshot only $-224883000.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only B
Credit Score 30.62 21.38 26.03 29.15 27.00 17.98 18.12 19.39 20.03 22.41 32.85 30.94 42.33 37.38 34.13 41.95 37.96 36.17 41.48 27.33 27.327
Credit Grade snapshot only 15
Credit Trend snapshot only -14.620
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 750.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 16
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 12

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