DBD Smart Money
Diebold Nixdorf, Incorporated
1W: -1.5%
1M: +9.7%
3M: -11.1%
YTD: +4.5%
1Y: +13.8%
3Y: +279.0%
$66.68
-2.14 (-3.11%)
Weekly Expected Move ±4.2%
$63
$66
$69
$72
$75
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 51% of companies Debt: 32.9% of company value Bonds: $214.9M held by 126 funds, 212 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $2.33 (down 97%), Diebold Nixdorf, Incorporated would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $1.11B against a stock market value of $2.26B.
Distance to default 5.03 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $527.5M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 40.1%; Altman Z'' 1.55. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $2.33 (down 97%), Diebold Nixdorf, Incorporated would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $1.11B against a stock market value of $2.26B.
Distance to default 5.03 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $527.5M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 40.1%; Altman Z'' 1.55. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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🏦 Institutional Activity
Latest: Q2 2026251
Institutions Holding
+38 vs prior
142.9%
Ownership
+23.30%
54
New
80
Increased
95
Reduced
34
Closed
👔 Insider Trades
25 records| Date | Name | Title | Type | Shares | Price | Value | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Timko Thomas S | officer: evp, cfo | P-Purchase | 700 | $72.29 | $51K | Filing |
| 2026-06-26 | Millstreet Capital Management LLC | 10% owner | S-Sale | 100,000 | $84.80 | $8.5M | Filing |
| 2026-06-26 | Connolly Brian D | 10% owner | S-Sale | 100,000 | $84.80 | $8.5M | Filing |
| 2026-06-26 | Kelleher Craig | 10% owner | S-Sale | 100,000 | $84.80 | $8.5M | Filing |
| 2026-06-25 | Connolly Brian D | 10% owner | S-Sale | 2,741 | $85.06 | $233K | Filing |
| 2026-06-25 | Millstreet Capital Management LLC | 10% owner | S-Sale | 2,741 | $85.06 | $233K | Filing |
| 2026-06-25 | Kelleher Craig | 10% owner | S-Sale | 2,741 | $85.06 | $233K | Filing |
| 2026-06-24 | Millstreet Capital Management LLC | 10% owner | S-Sale | 228,723 | $83.95 | $19.2M | Filing |
| 2026-06-24 | Kelleher Craig | 10% owner | S-Sale | 228,723 | $83.95 | $19.2M | Filing |
| 2026-06-24 | Connolly Brian D | 10% owner | S-Sale | 228,723 | $83.95 | $19.2M | Filing |
| 2026-06-15 | Millstreet Capital Management LLC | 10% owner | S-Sale | 1,765 | $83.91 | $148K | Filing |
| 2026-06-15 | Connolly Brian D | 10% owner | S-Sale | 1,765 | $83.91 | $148K | Filing |
| 2026-06-15 | Kelleher Craig | 10% owner | S-Sale | 1,765 | $83.91 | $148K | Filing |
| 2026-06-12 | Millstreet Capital Management LLC | 10% owner | S-Sale | 159,675 | $82.12 | $13.1M | Filing |
| 2026-06-12 | Kelleher Craig | 10% owner | S-Sale | 159,675 | $82.12 | $13.1M | Filing |
| 2026-06-12 | Connolly Brian D | 10% owner | S-Sale | 159,675 | $82.12 | $13.1M | Filing |
| 2026-06-11 | Millstreet Capital Management LLC | 10% owner | S-Sale | 1,108 | $82.06 | $91K | Filing |
| 2026-06-11 | Connolly Brian D | 10% owner | S-Sale | 1,108 | $82.06 | $91K | Filing |
| 2026-06-11 | Kelleher Craig | 10% owner | S-Sale | 1,108 | $82.06 | $91K | Filing |
| 2026-06-10 | Connolly Brian D | 10% owner | S-Sale | 17,660 | $82.08 | $1.4M | Filing |
| 2026-06-10 | Kelleher Craig | 10% owner | S-Sale | 17,660 | $82.08 | $1.4M | Filing |
| 2026-06-10 | Millstreet Capital Management LLC | 10% owner | S-Sale | 17,660 | $82.08 | $1.4M | Filing |
| 2026-06-08 | Connolly Brian D | 10% owner | S-Sale | 88,334 | $82.99 | $7.3M | Filing |
| 2026-06-08 | Millstreet Capital Management LLC | 10% owner | S-Sale | 88,334 | $82.99 | $7.3M | Filing |
| 2026-06-08 | Kelleher Craig | 10% owner | S-Sale | 88,334 | $82.99 | $7.3M | Filing |
🏛️ Congressional Trades
2 records| Date | Politician | Chamber | Type | Amount | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-04-30 | Donna Shalala | House | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2019-03-06 | Donna Shalala | House | Buy | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
🏦 Top Institutional Holders
20 holders| Holder | Shares | Value | Date Reported | Filing | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capital World Investors | 11,552,095 | $982M | -50,000 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| BlackRock, Inc. | 4,554,469 | $387M | +2,559,173 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Millstreet Capital Management LLC | 4,104,432 | $349M | -1,112,240 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| WILLIAM BLAIR INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, LLC | 1,379,553 | $117M | -46,911 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP | 1,296,672 | $110M | +147,710 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| STATE STREET CORP | 1,140,716 | $97M | +538,472 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 1,137,494 | $97M | +15,265 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | 956,753 | $81M | +375,154 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 842,285 | $72M | +2,564 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| AMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC | 802,545 | $68M | +59,809 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Beach Point Capital Management LP | 690,661 | $59M | -110,000 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Allspring Global Investments Holdings, L | 596,406 | $50M | -74,008 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Irenic Capital Management LP | 476,523 | $41M | -4,034 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Skylands Capital, LLC | 469,185 | $40M | +10,085 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| ARROWSTREET CAPITAL, LIMITED PARTNERSHIP | 468,040 | $40M | -51,161 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Sixth Street Partners Management Company | 355,334 | $30M | +355,334 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC | 355,334 | $30M | +44,848 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Prescott Group Capital Management, L.L.C | 307,891 | $26M | -60,282 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| MORGAN STANLEY | 303,951 | $26M | +151,956 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| FMR LLC | 272,704 | $23M | -7,004 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |