— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice

DCH NYSE

Dauch Corp.
1W: +2.8% 1M: -14.5% 3M: +1.8% YTD: -13.6%
$5.60
+0.17 (+3.13%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±7.1%
$5 $5 $6 $6 $6
NYSE · Consumer Cyclical · Auto - Parts · Tech Score Strong Sell · Power 25 · $1.3B mcap · 228M float · 1.56% daily turnover · Short 50% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
41.8 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Switching Costs  ·  ROIC: 2.2%
Cost Advantage
52
Intangibles
32
Switching Cost
60
Network Effect
23
Scale
33
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. DCH shows a Weak competitive edge (41.8/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Switching Costs. ROIC of 2.2% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$7
Low
$8
Avg Target
$9
High
Based on 3 analysts since Aug 7, 2026 earnings
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 12Hold: 12Sell: 4Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$8.20
Analysts6
Consensus Change History
DateFieldFromTo
2026-09-09 consensus Hold Buy
2026-02-09 consensus Buy Hold
2026-02-07 _new_coverage None ADDED
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-09-22 Loop Capital Markets — Initiated $7 — +20.1% $5.91
2026-09-22 Jefferies Vanessa Jeffriess $10 $7 -3 +20.1% $5.91
2026-08-17 Barclays — Initiated $9 — +33.7% $6.73
2026-07-20 Stifel Nicolaus Nathan Jones Initiated $6 — +10.3% $5.44
2026-07-13 RBC Capital Tom Narayan $10 $11 +1 +113.0% $5.17
2026-07-09 UBS — Initiated $9 — +76.5% $5.10
2026-06-01 RBC Capital Tom Narayan Initiated $10 — +57.2% $6.36
2026-02-18 Jefferies Vanessa Jeffriess Initiated $10 — +45.4% $7.12

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

C+
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
5
ROE
1
ROA
1
D/E
1
P/E
1
P/B
4
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. DCH receives an overall rating of C+. Strongest factors: DCF (5/5), P/B (4/5). Areas of concern: ROE (1/5), ROA (1/5), D/E (1/5), P/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-08-11 B- C+
2026-08-10 C+ B-
2026-08-07 B- C+
2026-06-24 C B-
2026-06-23 B- C
2026-06-22 C+ B-
2026-06-17 B- C+
2026-06-01 C+ B-
2026-05-28 B- C+
2026-05-13 B B-

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 17 Grade D
Profitability
5
Balance Sheet
24
Earnings Quality
55
Growth
—
Value
41
Momentum
—
Safety
15
Cash Flow
22
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. DCH scores highest in Earnings Quality (55/100) and lowest in Profitability (5/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
0.66
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
3/9
✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
—
—
Ohlson O-Score
-5.08
Bankruptcy prob: 0.6%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
CCC
Score: 16.3/100
Earnings Quality
—
OCF/NI: -0.43x
Accruals: -1.3%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. DCH scores 0.66, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. DCH scores 3/9, suggesting weak financial fundamentals — the company fails the majority of these accounting tests. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. DCH's implied 0.6% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. DCH receives an estimated rating of CCC (score: 16.3/100).

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-5.24x
PEG
0.16x
P/S
0.16x
P/B
0.90x
P/FCF
-8.37x
P/OCF
30.85x
EV/EBITDA
12.11x
EV/Revenue
1.08x
EV/EBIT
74.47x
EV/FCF
-36.16x
Earnings Yield
-7.47%
FCF Yield
-11.94%
Shareholder Yield
0.62%
Graham Number
—
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. DCH currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.974
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
-1.323
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.014
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.483
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
7.319
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-6.6%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. DCH's ROE of -6.6% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 7.32x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance. A tax burden ratio of 0.97 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
—
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 189 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$5.61
Median 1Y
$3.74
5th Pctile
$1.35
95th Pctile
$10.35
Ann. Volatility
65.2%
Analyst Target
$8.20
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical Analyst target

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
David C. Dauch
Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer
$1,100,000 $4,454,330 $9,349,318
Michael K. Simonte
Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer
$560,100 $1,296,049 $3,245,458
Alberto L. Satine
Senior Vice President, Global Driveline Operations
$450,000 $624,777 $1,852,247
Terry J. Woychowski
Senior Vice President, Advanced Engineering & Quality
$463,500 $624,777 $1,501,603
Norman Willemse President,
dent, Metal Formed Product Business Unit
$375,767 $445,473 $1,450,488

CEO Pay Ratio

433:1
CEO-to-Employee Pay Ratio
CEO Total Comp: $9,349,318
Avg Employee Cost (SGA/emp): $21,611
Employees: 18,000

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
18,000
-5.3% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$324,261
Rev: $5,836,700,000
Profit / Employee
$-1,094
NI: $-19,700,000
SGA / Employee
$21,611
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE -6.7% -6.6% -6.58%
ROA -0.9% -0.9% -0.90%
ROIC 0.8% 2.2% 2.17%
ROCE -0.4% 0.9% 0.92%
Gross Margin 8.4% 11.4% 11.44%
Operating Margin 2.6% 3.4% 3.37%
Net Margin -4.2% 0.0% 0.03%
EBITDA Margin 6.4% 10.9% 10.92%
FCF Margin -7.1% -3.0% -2.98%
OCF Margin -2.7% 0.8% 0.81%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 1.92%
Cash ROA snapshot only 0.39%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 0.73%
CROIC snapshot only -2.68%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 2.41%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -1.91%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.97%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 4.74%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.46%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio -11.43 -13.39 -5.241
P/S Ratio 0.48 0.25 0.162
P/B Ratio 0.77 0.88 0.905
P/FCF -6.82 -8.37 -8.372
P/OCF — 30.85 30.847
EV/EBITDA 36.17 12.11 12.105
EV/Revenue 2.30 1.08 1.076
EV/EBIT -180.86 74.47 74.469
EV/FCF -32.62 -36.16 -36.156
Earnings Yield -8.8% -7.5% -7.47%
FCF Yield -14.7% -11.9% -11.94%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.160
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 10.403
EV/OCF snapshot only 133.214
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 10.668
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 35.354
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.62%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 1.40 1.40 1.403
Quick Ratio 1.04 1.03 1.028
Debt/Equity 3.57 3.51 3.506
Net Debt/Equity 2.89 2.92 2.922
Debt/Assets 0.47 0.48 0.479
Debt/EBITDA 35.26 11.16 11.159
Net Debt/EBITDA 28.61 9.30 9.302
Interest Coverage -0.34 0.43 0.430
Equity Multiplier 7.52 7.32 7.319
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.330
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 2.648
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.166
FCF to Debt snapshot only -0.030
Defensive Interval snapshot only 2328.9 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.21 0.48 0.483
Inventory Turnover 2.17 4.79 4.795
Receivables Turnover 1.55 3.52 3.516
Payables Turnover 1.33 2.82 2.825
DSO 236 104 103.8 days
DIO 168 76 76.1 days
DPO 275 129 129.2 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 129 51 50.7 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 1.299
Operating Cycle snapshot only 179.9 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 6.056
Capital Intensity snapshot only 2.071
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability — — —
Earnings Stability — — —
Margin Stability — — —
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence — — —
Earnings Smoothness — — —
ROE Trend — — —
Gross Margin Trend — — —
FCF Margin Trend — — —
Sustainable Growth Rate — — —
Internal Growth Rate — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 0.64 -0.43 -0.434
FCF/OCF 2.61 -3.68 -3.684
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 1.599
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.091
CapEx/Revenue 4.4% 3.8% 3.78%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.508
Accruals Ratio -0.00 -0.01 -0.013
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.018
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 0.213
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio — — —
FCF Payout Ratio — — —
Total Payout Ratio — — —
Div. Increase Streak — — —
Chowder Number — — —
Buyback Yield 0.5% 0.6% 0.62%
Net Buyback Yield 0.5% 0.6% 0.62%
Total Shareholder Return 0.5% 0.6% 0.62%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.84 0.97 0.974
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 3.95 -1.32 -1.323
EBIT Margin -0.01 0.01 0.014
Asset Turnover 0.21 0.48 0.483
Equity Multiplier 7.52 7.32 7.319
Per Share
Metric Trend Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-0.52 $-0.40 $-0.40
Book Value/Share $7.75 $6.15 $6.21
Tangible Book/Share $2.48 $0.52 $0.52
Revenue/Share $12.31 $21.75 $33.72
FCF/Share $-0.87 $-0.65 $-0.13
OCF/Share $-0.33 $0.18 $1.26
Cash/Share $5.22 $3.59 $3.61
EBITDA/Share $0.78 $1.93 $1.93
Debt/Share $27.64 $21.58 $21.58
Net Debt/Share $22.42 $17.99 $17.99
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — 0.660
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 0.723
Piotroski F-Score 2 3 3
Beneish M-Score — — —
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -5.080
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 1.49%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-23.62
EVA snapshot only $-463874000.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only CCC
Credit Score 13.34 16.27 16.267
Credit Grade snapshot only 17
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 1200.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 4
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 6

Sign in to InsiderStreet

You'll also get our free weekly newsletter with
smart money signals, market insights, and alpha ideas.
Unsubscribe anytime.

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms